Small Craft Advisory 16, NWS Juneau, AK

598 
FZAK51 PAJK 080343 AAA
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-081730-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A developing low off the coast of Haida Gwaii will  track
northward toward Prince of Wales Island by Friday morning.  The
low is expected to weaken to a trough as it continues  northward
along the coast Friday afternoon.  

$$

PKZ011-081730-
Glacier Bay-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N late. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers
in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers in the 
evening. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ012-081730-
Northern Lynn Canal-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming N late. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers
early in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers in the
evening. 
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ013-081730-
Southern Lynn Canal-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming N late. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers 
early in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers in the 
evening. 
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ021-081730-
Icy Strait-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers in the evening. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ022-081730-
Cross Sound-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. S swell. Rain 
showers and isolated thunderstorms. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E late. Seas 10 ft. S
swell. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 



$$

PKZ031-081730-
Stephens Passage-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE late. Seas 5 ft. Rain 
showers early in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers in the
evening. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ032-081730-
Northern Chatham Strait-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N late. Gusts to 35 kt in the 
evening. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers early in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ033-081730-
Southern Chatham Strait-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 16 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers in the evening. 
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Near ocean entrances,
seas 17 ft. Rain showers in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except
12 ft near ocean entrances. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft, except
14 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft,
except 18 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ034-081730-
Frederick Sound-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers in the
afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ035-081730-
Sumner Strait-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 10 ft
near ocean entrances.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 
ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean 
entrances. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 11 ft near ocean 
entrances. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ036-081730-
Clarence Strait-
643 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft, except 13 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers early in the evening. 
.FRI...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 12 ft, except 15 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 



$$

050 
FZAK51 PAJK 080732 AAB
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-081800-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A developing low off the coast of Haida Gwaii will  track
northward toward Prince of Wales Island by Friday morning.  The
low is expected to weaken to a trough as it continues  northward
along the coast Friday afternoon.  

$$

PKZ011-081800-
Glacier Bay-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N late. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers
in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers in the 
evening. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ012-081800-
Northern Lynn Canal-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming N late. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers
early in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers in the
evening. 
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ013-081800-
Southern Lynn Canal-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming N late. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers 
early in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers in the 
evening. 
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ021-081800-
Icy Strait-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers in the evening. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ022-081800-
Cross Sound-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. Isolated
thunderstorms. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. S swell. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E late. Seas 10 ft. S
swell. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 



$$

PKZ031-081800-
Stephens Passage-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE late. Seas 5 ft. Rain 
showers early in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers in the
evening. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ032-081800-
Northern Chatham Strait-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N late. Gusts to 35 kt in the 
evening. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers early in the evening. 
.FRI...N wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ033-081800-
Southern Chatham Strait-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 16 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers in the evening. 
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Near ocean entrances,
seas 17 ft. Rain showers in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except
12 ft near ocean entrances. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft, except
14 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft,
except 18 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ034-081800-
Frederick Sound-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers in the
afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ035-081800-
Sumner Strait-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 10 ft
near ocean entrances.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 
ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean 
entrances. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 11 ft near ocean 
entrances. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ036-081800-
Clarence Strait-
1032 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 
4 ft building to 7 ft late.
.FRI...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 12 ft, except 15 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 



$$

005 
FZAK51 PAJK 081317
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-090345-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A low over Haida Gwaii with hurricane force gusts will track
northward toward Prince of Wales Island early Friday morning. The
low is expected to weaken to a trough as it moves northward over 
the panhandle through Friday afternoon with a wind shift to the 
south as it passes. A storm force front will move into the Eastern
Gulf Saturday. 

$$

PKZ011-090345-
Glacier Bay-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt diminishing late. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-090345-
Northern Lynn Canal-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming SE in the late afternoon. Seas 3 
ft. Rain showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers
and snow showers in the evening. 
.SAT...N wind increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas building
to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-090345-
Southern Lynn Canal-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming SE in the late afternoon. Seas 3 
ft. Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 5 ft. Rain 
showers in the evening. 
.SAT..SE wind 10 kt becoming NE in the morning, then increasing to
20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE late. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas
5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-090345-
Icy Strait-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-090345-
Cross Sound-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. S
swell. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming E 15 kt late. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-090345-
Stephens Passage-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 25 kt in the late morning, then
shifting to the SE. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes. Seas 5
ft. Rain showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 5 ft. Rain 
showers in the evening.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 
ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-090345-
Northern Chatham Strait-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt shifting to the SE in the late afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 
ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-090345-
Southern Chatham Strait-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the morning, then
becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in 
the morning. Near ocean entrances, seas 15 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 11 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to gale 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. 
Seas building to 7 ft, except 13 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft,
except 19 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-090345-
Frederick Sound-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the morning, then
becoming S in the afternoon. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain
showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-090345-
Sumner Strait-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the morning, then
becoming S in the afternoon. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 4 ft building 
to 7 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 11 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft
near ocean entrances. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 8 ft
near ocean entrances. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft,
except 12 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-090345-
Clarence Strait-
417 AM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...STORM WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt in the late morning,
then becoming S 40 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft. Near ocean 
entrances, seas 11 ft building to 15 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 45 kt. Seas 12 ft, except 15 ft near
ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

608 
FZAK51 PAJK 090019
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-091700-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A weakening low moves northward through the central Panhandle and
into Canada by tonight. A storm force front will move northward 
into the Eastern Gulf on Saturday. 

$$

PKZ011-091700-
Glacier Bay-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers in the 
evening.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-091700-
Northern Lynn Canal-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S and increasing to 25 kt. Seas 
building to 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. Snow late. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-091700-
Southern Lynn Canal-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S and increasing to 20 kt. Seas 
building to 4 ft. Rain showers in the evening.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S late. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-091700-
Icy Strait-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers in the evening.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas building to 6 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-091700-
Cross Sound-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. Rain showers in the
evening. 
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-091700-
Stephens Passage-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Gusts to 35 
kt in the evening. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming SE gale to 35 kt late. Seas
building to 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-091700-
Northern Chatham Strait-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming SE late. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-091700-
Southern Chatham Strait-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 11 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.SAT...N wind 25 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Near
ocean entrances, seas 11 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft,
except 19 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 19 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except
15 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-091700-
Frederick Sound-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers in the evening.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt late. Seas 
6 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-091700-
Sumner Strait-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming E late. Gusts to 35 kt late,
Seas 5 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft
late. Rain showers early in the evening. 
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 9 ft
near ocean entrances. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft,
except 12 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 12 ft
near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft, except
11 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-091700-
Clarence Strait-
319 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE gale to 45 kt. Seas 12 ft, except 15 ft near
ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

300 
FZAK51 PAJK 091335
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-100345-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A storm force low lifts N into the eastern gulf today and stalls 
tonight before pulling NW. A strong gale force front arrives in 
the eastern gulf Sunday. 

$$

PKZ011-100345-
Glacier Bay-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Snow early in the morning, then rain
and snow in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow in the morning. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-100345-
Northern Lynn Canal-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind diminishing to 10 kt in the evening. Seas 3 ft 
in the evening then 2 ft or less. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow in the morning. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-100345-
Southern Lynn Canal-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming N in the morning, then increasing
to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming S late. Gusts to 35 kt late. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-100345-
Icy Strait-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
5 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-100345-
Cross Sound-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. SE swell. Rain showers.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-100345-
Stephens Passage-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Out of 
interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-100345-
Northern Chatham Strait-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON AND LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt, then diminishing to 20
kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft. Rain in the 
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-100345-
Southern Chatham Strait-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Near ocean
entrances, seas 10 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 19 ft
near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 19 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except
15 ft near ocean entrances. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-100345-
Frederick Sound-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 35 kt late. Gusts to 45 kt out 
of interior passes. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-100345-
Sumner Strait-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 12 ft near ocean 
entrances. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 11 ft
near ocean entrances. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 10 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-100345-
Clarence Strait-
435 AM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft building to 7 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft, except 15 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE gale to 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
247 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

.SHORT TERM.../Through Sat night/ Short range forecast is very
active with a new system impacting the panhandle every day.
Today's system ended up being a little stronger then anticipated
with a narrow band of strong winds just ahead of the front as it
moved through this morning. Gale force winds were observed in
Stephens Passage, and Cross Sound, and gusty winds were seen at
Petersburg, Angoon, Sitka, Yakutat, Ketchikan, and Gustavus.
There was even a ship report received just off Lituya Bay around
11 am of 55 kt with gusts to 70 kt likely due to a tip jet off of
Cape Spencer producing locally higher winds in that vicinity.
There has also been some thunderstorm activity along and behind
the front today. It has mostly been detected by lightning
detection, but reports of thunder from spotters and airport
observers around Baranof island have come in as well.

Into tonight and tomorrow, the remains of that front and the low
coming up behind it for Fri are the main issues. Winter weather
advisory remain up for the Haines and Klondike Highways until
midnight, but are mainly for the higher elevations of the roads.
The towns are just too warm right now to get any major
accumulations. Attention then turns to the low coming up from the
south. Guidance has been terrible with low timing and position
with solutions all over the eastern gulf. 12z model runs were
divided into two camps with GFS and Nam faster and farther north,
while the Canadian and ECMWF were slower and farther south. Since
then the low has developed enough that satellite imagery
comparisons with model initialization is showing that the Canadian
and ECMWF had the better representation and the new 18z runs of
the Nam and GFS have trended farther south. Current forecast more
closely follows the Canadian and ECMWF solution at this time. What
is still up in the air is the wind forecast. This low looks like
it will be small, with a narrow band of strong (possibly high)
winds wrapped around it. There is high uncertainly where, or if,
these winds will hit the southern panhandle tomorrow morning
(could be as far east as Ketchikan and Metlakatla, or it could
stay just off the outer coast). Gusts to 40 to 50 mph looks to be
a good bet, but there is an outside chance of an area of 60+ mph
gusts showing up somewhere in the southern panhandle. We will be
keeping an eye on this system as it develops and moves into the
area tonight. In any case that low rapidly weakens as it moves up
the panhandle on Fri spreading more rain and more gusty winds as
it comes.

Sat brings yet another front that has the potential to be
stronger then today's system. Storm force winds are expected out
in the gulf and gusty winds for the southern half and outer coast
of the panhandle from this front by Sat afternoon. Another round
of mostly rain is expected as well, with snow possible for the
northern inner channels again especially Sat night. Higher
confidence on this system with models generally agreeing on
overall timing and strength of the system.

.LONG TERM...A very active winter-time pattern continues well
into the mid-range. High confidence exists for a developing storm
that eventually evolves out of a wave currently crossing the
North Pacific along 40 N near the International Dateline. By both
the GFS and NAM solutions, the storm deepens into yet another
storm force low of 50 to 60 kt winds in the southeast gulf. ECMWF
and Canadian solutions still keep it at strong gales, so we
currently split the difference with widespread 45 to 50 kt
southeasterlies late Saturday. Ketchikan, Metlakatla, Prince of
Wales Island, and Sitka should all pay heed to this weekend's
forecast for at least the potential for a period of damaging wind
gusts. However, we cannot be certain at this juncture. Other
portions of the Panhandle could feel effects of the front later
Saturday night in the form of stronger winds. But this of course,
depends on the ultimate strength of the system. We also feel
confident in widespread southerlies of 25 kt, potentially gale
force through north-south inner channels, and 25 kt easterlies
through east-west channels. Farther north in Lynn Canal, predicted
parallel pressure gradient will lead to precarious wind forecasts
of low confidence in this region. Winds could be south or north,
but we kept magnitudes lower than the south and central Inner
Channels.

Saturday's gulf storm also should spread precipitation in the form
of rain across Southeast. As the precipitation shield presses
northward Saturday night, we anticipate that cold air across the
Chilkat River Valley and the higher elevations of the South
Klondike will translate to moderate to heavy snow, especially
leading into Sunday. From Juneau south, confidence in liquid
precipitation is high. Sure, we could have chances of occasional
slush north of Juneau out the road, or deep in the Mendenhall
Valley, but the overwhelming story will be rain with temperatures
in the temperatures in the mid 30s to low 40s.

A more pronounced slug of moisture follows for late Sunday which
should add to the Panhandle's winter blues. Again, confidence in
rain is high through the Panhandle from Juneau south and along the
coast. But confidence falls north into Upper Lynn Canal where
difficult wind and temperature forecasts prove pivotal on ultimate
impacts: big snow or big rain.

The parade of storms appears to have no end next week. There will
be breaks of course, but storm after storm keeps rain in the
forecast, and likely some snow issues in the far north. Haines
and South Klondike snow cannot be ruled out on occasion.
Wind will also be a threat, but it is far too early to say when
and where.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from 6 PM this evening to midnight AKST tonight for
     AKZ027.
     Strong Wind through late tonight for AKZ023.
     Winter Weather Advisory until midnight AKST tonight for AKZ018-
     019.
     Strong Wind until midnight AKST tonight for AKZ017.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ022-041>043-051-052.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-031>036-053.

&&

EAL/JWA

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Juneau AK
245 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

AKZ027-028-081500-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area-
Southern Inner Channels-
Including the cities of Craig, Klawock, Ketchikan, and Metlakatla
245 PM AKST Thu Jan 7 2021

...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL FRIDAY MORNING...

A developing area of low pressure is forecast to track near the
Southern Panhandle late Thursday night into Friday morning. There
is still major uncertainty with the track of this low; however
guidance suggests high wind potential just north of this system.
The track will be critical in determining which areas could
see wind gusts in excess of 60 mph. Prince of Wales Island,
Ketchikan, and Metlakatla are all in the zone of uncertainty.
Current forecast has gusts over 40 mph for these areas. Those
with marine interests should monitor the forecast closely as this
will be a rapidly evolving and fast moving storm system.