Gale Warning 304, NWS Juneau, AK

461 
FZAK51 PAJK 121554 CCA
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-130345-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A gale force low in the southeast gulf will slowly slide south of
the gulf Sunday night. Northerly outflow winds will persist into 
Monday then begin to diminish early Tuesday. 

$$

PKZ011-130345-
Glacier Bay-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-130345-
Northern Lynn Canal-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N gale to 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-130345-
Southern Lynn Canal-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...N wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-130345-
Icy Strait-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-130345-
Cross Sound-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...NE gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-130345-
Stephens Passage-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-130345-
Northern Chatham Strait-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing
spray early in the morning. Snow showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-130345-
Southern Chatham Strait-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 16 ft
near ocean entrances. Snow showers. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft late. Near
ocean entrances, seas 12 ft. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 10 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-130345-
Frederick Sound-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Gusts to
45 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior
passes. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt becoming SW. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-130345-
Sumner Strait-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 ft, except
12 ft near ocean entrances. Snow showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Freezing spray late. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Freezing spray in the morning. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt, except 40 kt out
of interior passes. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-130345-
Clarence Strait-
654 AM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing. Seas 5 ft. Near ocean 
entrances, seas 12 ft. Snow showers early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of interior
passes. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

001 
FZAK51 PAJK 130101
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-131515-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A Gale force low in the SE Gulf will slowly slide S of the Gulf
Sun night. Northerly outflow winds will start to  diminish Tue.
Outlook: Another low center slides S of the Gulf  and Panhandle
from W to E on Tue. 

$$

PKZ011-131515-
Glacier Bay-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-131515-
Northern Lynn Canal-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...N gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-131515-
Southern Lynn Canal-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...N wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-131515-
Icy Strait-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-131515-
Cross Sound-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray late. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt becoming light. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-131515-
Stephens Passage-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft.
Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-131515-
Northern Chatham Strait-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.THU...N wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-131515-
Southern Chatham Strait-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 30 kt. Seas 5 ft, except
12 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers and snow showers early
in the evening. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 10 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 6 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-131515-
Frederick Sound-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 40 kt in
the morning. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior
passes. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes.
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior
passes. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-131515-
Sumner Strait-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 10 ft near ocean
entrances. Freezing spray late. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Freezing spray in the morning. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Out of
interior passes, gusts to 40 kt late. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior
passes. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt. Seas 4 ft then 2 ft or
less. 

$$

PKZ036-131515-
Clarence Strait-
401 PM AKST Sun Dec 12 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N late. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft
near ocean entrances. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to
35 kt late. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of interior passes.
Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
307 PM AKST Sat Dec 11 2021

.SHORT TERM.../Saturday night through Sunday night/...An upper
level trough is over the area with a surface low in the gulf
sending waves of snow showers into the panhandle. Some impressive
snowfall totals have been reported across central and southern
zones with near a foot of snow in the Wrangell/Petersburg area and
a little less than that in the Klawock/Craig area. The next wave
rotating around the surface low is expected to impact mainly the
southern panhandle this evening and overnight tonight. A Winter
Storm Warning is being issued with the afternoon package for 4-10
inches of snow for Ketchikan, POW Island, Craig, Klawock, and Port
Alexander. Highest amounts are expected over the higher terrain
on the POW road system. The environment is still expected to be
very unstable with lapse rates of 9C per km. Terrain and lift from
the approaching short wave will will efficiently manufacture
snowfall. Models did bring the low closer to the coast which does
throw in the possibility of snow showers mixing with rain,
especially for Hydaburg and Metlakatla. As we've witnessed over
the past 24 hours, and all throughout the snow season thus far,
snow showers will lend to highly variable snowfall accumulations
depending on where they develop.

Flipping sides to the northern panhandle, northerly outflow will
be on the increase this evening into tomorrow. Currently have
northerly winds increasing to 45kt in Lynn Canal by tomorrow.
Winds will be gusty out of the interior passes with gales and
small crafts over most of our waterways. Strong winds are
anticipated for places like Haines and Skagway, and a mountain
wave event is also possible for Juneau. Some of the coldest
temperatures so far this season will be experienced across the
Northern and Central Panhandle over the next few days. Areas that
get windy (Skagway, Juneau) will likely stay warmer.

.LONG TERM.../Monday through Wednesday night/...the mid term
forecast begins with a very cold panhandle. Monday morning
forecasted temperatures are in the single digits to teens for most
of SE AK, a few lows in the 20s are possible in the far southern
region. And going forward, the cold – below normal – temperatures
will continue through much of next week.

A 500mb ridge will pass over the panhandle early in the week.
This should keep clear to mostly clear skies over the area through
Monday night. And this time of year, clear skies can be
associated with below normal temps, upwards of 10 to 20 degrees
below normal! So while Monday’s weather is looking quiet, the
high temperatures around the region look to be in the 20s for the
south, teens to 20s for the central and coastal areas, single
digits to teens for the Haines/Skagway area.

The strong winds from the weekend will gradually and slowly
decrease Monday into Tuesday. That being said, still expecting
inner channel marine wind speeds to be 25 to over 35 kts for Lynn
Canal through Monday night while 15 to 25 kt speeds elsewhere.

Going into Tuesday, the 500mb ridge looks to break down a bit as
a trough and associated surface low track near SE AK. This pattern
would bring clouds back to the area and some potential
precipitation. But with general offshore flow, have kept the
precip potential only in the Yakutat area for now. Put mostly
clear skies, with increasing clouds, over the inner channels.

Wednesday could be tricky. An advancing ridge could push the
forecasted snow near Yakutat into the northern inner channel
areas. So PoPs were allowed to move eastward over the bulk of the
panhandle.

/ Thursday to Friday / Models are trending later with the next
possibly significant front. What was Wednesday, then Thursday, is
now Friday - so lowered and delayed PoPs a bit. Kept the gradual
warming (but still cold) trend as the front approaches.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to noon AKST Sunday
     for AKZ023-027-028.
     Strong Wind from 9 PM AKST this evening through Sunday afternoon
     for AKZ025.
     Strong Wind from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon for
     AKZ019.
     Strong Wind from late tonight through Sunday afternoon for
     AKZ018.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012-013-022-041>043-310.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-021-031>036-051>053.

&&

BFL/GJS/BFL

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