Winter Storm Watch 8, NWS Fairbanks, AK

887 
WWAK42 PAFG 111754
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
854 AM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

AKZ214-111900-
/O.CAN.PAFG.BZ.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210311T2100Z/
Yukon Delta-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik, 
Pilot Station, St Marys, Scammon Bay, Marshall, Nunam Iqua, 
and Pitkas Point
854 AM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

$$

AKZ207-121500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T0900Z-210315T0000Z/
Chukchi Sea Coast-
Including Point Hope, Shishmaref, Kivalina, and Espenberg
854 AM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Travel could be very 
  difficult.

* WHERE...Chukchi Sea Coast.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 50 mph could 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is also possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch for blizzard conditions means there is a
potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and
extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions
and make travel very difficult.

$$

AKZ209-121500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T0900Z-210315T0000Z/
Baldwin Peninsula and Selawik Valley-
Including Kotzebue, Selawik, and Noorvik
854 AM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Travel could be very 
  difficult.

* WHERE...Baldwin Peninsula and Selawik Valley.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 45 mph could 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is also possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch for blizzard conditions means there is a
potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and
extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions
and make travel very difficult.

$$

AKZ211-121500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T1200Z-210315T0000Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
854 AM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Travel could be very 
  difficult. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are 
  possible.

* WHERE...Southern Seward Peninsula Coast.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 50 mph could 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is also possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch for blizzard conditions means there is a
potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and
extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions
and make travel very difficult.

$$

AKZ213-121500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210312T2100Z-210314T1800Z/
St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast-
Including Gambell, Savoonga, Brevig Mission, Teller, Wales, 
and Diomede
854 AM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Travel could be very 
  difficult. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches possible.

* WHERE...St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Sunday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 60 mph could 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is also possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch for blizzard conditions means there is a
potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and
extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions
and make travel very difficult.

$$

991 
WWAK42 PAFG 112202
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
102 PM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

AKZ213-121500-
/O.UPG.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210312T2100Z-210314T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.BZ.W.0016.210312T1800Z-210314T1800Z/
St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast-
Including Gambell, Savoonga, Brevig Mission, Teller, Wales, 
and Diomede
102 PM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM AKST FRIDAY TO 10 AM AKDT
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Travel will be very 
  difficult to impossible. Damage to power lines is possible. 
  Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with localized 
  amounts up to 14 inches, are expected.

* WHERE...St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast.

* WHEN...9 AM Friday to 10 AM Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 60 mph will 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is likely.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions, making travel extremely difficult.

$$

AKZ207-121500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T0900Z-210315T0000Z/
Chukchi Sea Coast-
Including Point Hope, Shishmaref, Kivalina, and Espenberg
102 PM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Travel could be very 
  difficult.

* WHERE...Chukchi Sea Coast.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 50 mph could 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is also possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch for blizzard conditions means there is a
potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and
extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions
and make travel very difficult.

$$

AKZ209-121500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T0900Z-210315T0000Z/
Baldwin Peninsula and Selawik Valley-
Including Kotzebue, Selawik, and Noorvik
102 PM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Travel could be very 
  difficult.

* WHERE...Baldwin Peninsula and Selawik Valley.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 45 mph could 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is also possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch for blizzard conditions means there is a
potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and
extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions
and make travel very difficult.

$$

AKZ211-121500-
/O.CON.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T1200Z-210315T0000Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
102 PM AKST Thu Mar 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Travel could be very 
  difficult. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are 
  possible.

* WHERE...Southern Seward Peninsula Coast.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 50 mph could 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is also possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch for blizzard conditions means there is a
potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and
extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions
and make travel very difficult.

$$

159 
WWAK42 PAFG 121321
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
421 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

AKZ207-130200-
/O.UPG.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T0900Z-210315T0000Z/
/O.EXB.PAFG.BZ.W.0016.210313T0900Z-210315T0000Z/
Chukchi Sea Coast-
Including Point Hope, Shishmaref, Kivalina, and Espenberg
421 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT TO 4 PM
AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Travel will be very
  difficult. Damage to power lines is possible.

* WHERE...Chukchi Sea Coast.

* WHEN...Midnight to 4 PM Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 55 mph will 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is likely.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions, making travel extremely difficult.

$$

AKZ214-130200-
/O.EXB.PAFG.BZ.W.0016.210313T1500Z-210314T0600Z/
Yukon Delta-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik, 
Pilot Station, St Marys, Scammon Bay, Marshall, Nunam Iqua, 
and Pitkas Point
421 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AKST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Travel will be very
  difficult. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches expected.

* WHERE...Yukon Delta.

* WHEN...6 AM to 9 PM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 45 mph will 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is likely.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions, making travel extremely difficult.

$$

AKZ213-130200-
/O.EXT.PAFG.BZ.W.0016.210312T1321Z-210314T1800Z/
St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast-
Including Gambell, Savoonga, Brevig Mission, Teller, Wales, 
and Diomede
421 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions occurring. Travel will be very
  difficult. Damage to power lines is possible. Additional snow
  accumulations of 2 to 7 inches are expected.

* WHERE...St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 60 mph will cause
  whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant drifting of the
  snow is likely. The heaviest snow is expected on St Lawrence
  Island. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions, making travel extremely difficult.

$$

AKZ209-130200-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T1500Z-210315T0300Z/
Baldwin Peninsula and Selawik Valley-
Including Kotzebue, Selawik, and Noorvik
421 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Travel could be very
  difficult. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch are 
  possible.

* WHERE...Baldwin Peninsula and Selawik Valley.

* WHEN...From Saturday morning through Sunday evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 50 mph could 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is also possible. Cold wind chills as low 
  as 40 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 
  minutes to exposed skin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch for blizzard conditions means there is a
potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and
extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions
and make travel very difficult.

$$

AKZ211-130200-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T1500Z-210315T0000Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
421 AM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Travel could be very
  difficult. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with 
  localized amounts up to 6 inches, are possible.

* WHERE...Southern Seward Peninsula Coast.

* WHEN...From Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 50 mph could 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is also possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch for blizzard conditions means there is a
potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and
extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions
and make travel very difficult.

$$

915 
WWAK42 PAFG 122247
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
147 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

AKZ207-131500-
/O.EXT.PAFG.BZ.W.0016.210313T0300Z-210315T0000Z/
Chukchi Sea Coast-
Including Point Hope, Shishmaref, Kivalina, and Espenberg
147 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING TO
4 PM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Travel will be very 
  difficult. Damage to power lines is possible.

* WHERE...Chukchi Sea Coast.

* WHEN...6 PM today to 4 PM Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 55 mph will 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is likely.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions, making travel extremely difficult.

$$

AKZ213-131500-
/O.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0016.000000T0000Z-210314T1800Z/
St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast-
Including Gambell, Savoonga, Brevig Mission, Teller, Wales, 
and Diomede
147 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions occurring. Travel will be very 
  difficult. Damage to power lines is possible. Additional snow 
  accumulations of 2 to 7 inches are expected.

* WHERE...St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 60 mph will 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is likely. The heaviest snow is expected 
  on St Lawrence Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions, making travel extremely difficult.

$$

AKZ214-131500-
/O.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0016.210313T1500Z-210314T0600Z/
Yukon Delta-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik, 
Pilot Station, St Marys, Scammon Bay, Marshall, Nunam Iqua, 
and Pitkas Point
147 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM AKST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Travel will be very 
  difficult. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches expected.

* WHERE...Yukon Delta Coast.

* WHEN...6 AM Saturday to 9 PM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 45 mph will 
  cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant 
  drifting of the snow is likely.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions, making travel extremely difficult.

$$

AKZ209-131500-
/O.UPG.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T1500Z-210315T0300Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.WW.Y.0051.210313T0900Z-210315T0300Z/
Baldwin Peninsula and Selawik Valley-
Including Kotzebue, Selawik, and Noorvik
147 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT
TO 7 PM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Areas of poor visibility
  are expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Baldwin Peninsula and Selawik Valley.

* WHEN...Midnight tonight to 7 PM Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 50 mph will cause
  areas of blowing and drifting snow. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow and blowing snow means periods
of snow and blowing snow will cause travel difficulties.

$$

AKZ211-131500-
/O.UPG.PAFG.WS.A.0008.210313T1500Z-210315T0000Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.WW.Y.0051.210313T0900Z-210314T0900Z/
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, and Golovin
147 PM AKST Fri Mar 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT AKST SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Areas of poor visibility
  are expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southern Seward Peninsula Coast.

* WHEN...Midnight tonight to midnight Saturday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 50 mph will 
  cause areas of blowing and drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow and blowing snow means periods
of snow and blowing snow will cause travel difficulties.

$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
346 PM AKST Wed Mar 10 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong Arctic cold front over the Central North Slope and
Western Interior will move east across the Interior and Eastern
North Slope tonight and Thu. This will bring much colder air
across those areas along with winds, snow and blowing snow.

A polar occluded front that lies from Denali to Fort Yukon will
persist tonight then move east on Thu. This will cause another
1-3 inches of snow through Thu PM over the Interior south and East
of Livengood and over the North Slope east of Prudhoe Bay, with
another 4 inches along the Alaska Range. Expect Northwest winds of
15 mph gusting to 30 mph with blowing snow over much of the
Eastern Interior from late tonight through Thu morning, but will
see N-NW winds gusting to 40 mph with low visibility in blowing
snow through Alaska Range Passes and over the Alaska Highway
tonight through Fri night.

West winds 20 mph and brief low visibility in snow and blowing
snow over the Deadhorse area this afternoon will move east this
evening. The Barter Island area will see west winds 35 mph and
blizzard conditions in snow and blowing snow from late tonight
through Thu afternoon.

A polar low moving east across the Bering Sea along the ice edge
will bring gale force winds and blizzard conditions to the Yukon
Delta late tonight through Thu morning.

High pressure building over the Western Interior Thu and all of
Interior Fri will bring clearing and much colder temperatures.

A strong low moving into the Western Bering Sea on Fri is expected
to spread gales, snow and possible blizzard conditions to St
Lawrence Is Fri night and Sat, with a chance of Blizzard
conditions to the remainder of the West Coast on Sat.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
At 12Z models initialize well aloft and show similar solutions
through Sat. Models precipitation fields are fairly similar
through Fri, with slight differences on Sat. Will use a blend of
models for precip location and amounts.

At the surface at 15Z, models verify well on features over
Alaska. Models are all a bit too far NE and about 3 mb too weak
with the 15Z location of the low in the NW Bering Sea. The
Canadian model track this low further south and a bit deeper than
other models as the low moves east tonight. Given that this
feature is set up for Polar Low development moving east right
along the ice edge, favor the Canadian model track with this
feature, but expect it will be at least 5 mb deeper than models
indicate with gale fore winds as would be expected with a polar
low. This will bring Blizzard conditions to the Yukon Delta late
tonight into Thu morning. Will use a blend of models for other
surface features. Models see larger differences on depth and
location of surface low in the Western Bering Sea on Fri and Sat.
A this time will use the GFS on this feature as it maintains the
deepest solution.

Bottom line for models is that we will use a blend of models
temps, clouds, precip location and amounts. Will use a blend of
models to surface features and winds through Fri, except use
Canadian models for track of low moving across Bering Sea tonight
and Thu AM and will bump up winds 5-10 kt to account for polar
low development.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Chill Advisory for AKZ206-AKZ218-AKZ219.

Blizzard Warning for AKZ204-AKZ214.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ220-AKZ221-AKZ222-AKZ223-AKZ224-
AKZ225-AKZ226.

Gale Warning for PKZ210-PKZ245.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

JB MAR 21