Alert archive / Alaska / Winter Storm Watches in 2021

Winter Storm Watch 33, NWS Fairbanks, AK

December 27, 2021

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this winter storm watch at Dec 27, 2021, 1:18 PM AKST. It took effect at Dec 28, 2021, 12:00 PM AKST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 27, 2021, 1:18 PM AKST (22:18 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 28, 2021, 12:00 PM AKST
Expired
Dec 27, 2021, 6:04 PM AKST
In force
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

264 
WWAK43 PAFG 272218
WSWAFG

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
118 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

AKZ219-281415-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WS.A.0033.211228T2100Z-211229T1500Z/
Upper Koyukuk Valley-
Including Allakaket, Hughes, Bettles, Caribou Mountain, 
and Gobblers Knob
118 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Travel will be very difficult to 
  impossible. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches, with 
  localized amounts up to 11 inches, are possible.

* WHERE...Upper Koyukuk Valley.

* WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through early Wednesday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant reductions in visibility are
  possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.

$$
1 follow-up statement
227 
WWAK43 PAFG 280304
WSWAFG

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
604 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

AKZ219-281500-
/O.UPG.PAFG.WS.A.0033.211228T2100Z-211229T1500Z/
/O.NEW.PAFG.WS.W.0033.211228T1500Z-211230T0900Z/
Upper Koyukuk Valley-
Including Allakaket, Hughes, Bettles, Caribou Mountain, 
and Gobblers Knob
604 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT
AKST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Travel will be very difficult to
  impossible. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches, with
  localized amounts up to 16 inches, are expected.

* WHERE...Upper Koyukuk Valley.

* WHEN...6 AM Tuesday to midnight Wednesday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Look for significant reductions in
  visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected. This will make travel very difficult or
impossible. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling
5 1 1.

$$

AKZ221-281500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WS.W.0033.211228T0304Z-211230T1200Z/
Central Interior-
Including Nenana, Anderson, Tanana, Minto, Manley Hot Springs, 
Rampart, Lake Minchumina, and Livengood
604 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow occurring. Travel will be very difficult to
  impossible. Additional snow accumulations of 6 to 9 inches, with
  localized amounts up to 12 inches, are expected.

* WHERE...Central Interior.

* WHEN...Until 3 AM Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Look for significant reductions in
  visibility at times. Highest snow accumulations along the
  Elliott Highway east of Manley Hot Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions are occurring. This will make travel very difficult or
impossible. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling
5 1 1.

$$

AKZ220-281500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WS.W.0033.211228T1500Z-211230T1500Z/
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
Including Fort Yukon, Venetie, Central, Circle, Stevens Village, 
Beaver, Chalkyitsik, Birch Creek, Circle Hot Springs, 
Eagle Summit, and Twelvemile Summit
604 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM AKST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions.
  Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches, with localized
  amounts up to 12 inches, are expected.

* WHERE...Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands.

* WHEN...6 AM Tuesday to 6 AM Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Look for significant reductions in
  visibility at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected. This will make travel very difficult or
impossible. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling
5 1 1.

$$

AKZ222-281500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WS.W.0033.211228T0900Z-211230T1500Z/
Middle Tanana Valley-
Including Fairbanks, Fort Wainwright, Eielson AFB, Ester, 
North Pole, Moose Creek, Two Rivers, Fox, Chatanika, 
Chena Hot Springs, and Sourdough Camp
604 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
AKST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Travel will be very difficult to
  impossible. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches, with
  localized amounts up to 16 inches, are expected.

* WHERE...Middle Tanana Valley.

* WHEN...Midnight to 6 AM Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Look for significant reductions in
  visibility at times. Expect 2 to 5 inches through Tuesday
  morning before heavier snow develops Tuesday afternoon. Highest
  storm total accumulations north and east of Fairbanks along the
  Steese Highway and Chena Hot Springs Road.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected. This will make travel very difficult or
impossible. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling
5 1 1.

$$

AKZ223-281500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WS.W.0033.211228T0900Z-211230T1200Z/
Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Including Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, 
Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, and Healy Lake
604 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 AM
AKST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Travel will be very difficult to
  impossible. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches, with 
  localized amounts up to 12 inches, are expected.

* WHERE...Deltana and Tanana Flats.

* WHEN...Midnight to 3 AM Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Look for significant reductions in
  visibility at times. Highest snow accumulations expected north
  of Delta Junction.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected. This will make travel very difficult or
impossible. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling
5 1 1.

$$

AKZ225-281500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WW.Y.0139.211228T0600Z-211230T1200Z/
Denali-
Including Healy, Denali National Park, Carlo Creek, and Kantishna
604 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 AM AKST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Plan on slippery road
  conditions. In addition, areas of poor visibility are expected. 
  Total snow accumulations of 8 to 11 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Denali.

* WHEN...9 PM today to 3 AM Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 50 mph will cause
  areas of blowing and drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow and blowing snow means periods
of snow and blowing snow will cause travel difficulties. The
latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

AKZ224-281500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WW.Y.0139.211228T1500Z-211230T1200Z/
Upper Tanana Valley and the Fortymile Country-
Including Tok, Tanacross, Eagle, Tetlin, Northway, Alcan, 
Chicken, and Boundary
604 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 3 AM
AKST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Travel will be very
  difficult to impossible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 7
  inches are expected.

* WHERE...Upper Tanana Valley and the Fortymile Country.

* WHEN...6 AM Tuesday to 3 AM Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 40 mph will cause
  areas of blowing and drifting snow. Highest snow accumulations
  near Eagle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow and blowing snow means periods
of snow and blowing snow will cause travel difficulties. The
latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

$$

AKZ218-281500-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WS.A.0035.211229T0000Z-211230T0900Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
Including Arctic Village, Wiseman, Coldfoot, Chandalar DOT Camp, 
and Iniakuk Lake
604 PM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Plan on difficult travel conditions.
  Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches, are possible.

* WHERE...Along the Dalton Highway.

* WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant reductions in visibility are
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Dec 27, 6:47 AM AKST, 6 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 6:47 AM AKST, 6 hours 31 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
647 AM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

.Synopsis...
Much of Northern Alaska will remain in a warm and stormy westerly
flow pattern through Thu. The major winter storm that dropped
heavy snow, heavy rain, and heavy ice accumulation across the
Interior, along with widespread power outages, road closures,
localized flooding, and even some roof collapse, is now bringing
strong gusty west winds to the Eastern Interior along with periods
of light freezing rain, which will diminish this afternoon as the
storm moves east into Canada. This storm is also causing blizzard
conditions across the Eastern North Slope that will improve
tonight as the storm moves east.

A second storm, now in the Southern Bering Sea will move north
over the Southwest Alaska today and then north and east over the
Northwest Alaska and Central Interior tonight and Tuesday. This
will bring 4-6 inches of snow to most over the area southwest of
Fairbanks to Kotzebue with periods of freezing rain over the area
southwest of Nome to Mcgrath. This will bring Blizzard Conditions
to the Bering Strait and St Lawrence Island today through Tue.

A third and stronger storm will move from the southern Bering Sea north
over the West Coast and Western Interior on Tue, and then move
east across Northern Alaska Tue night and Wed. This will bring
a mix of rain and snow to SW AK Tue into Wed, and 6-10 inches of
snow across NW Alaska and the Northern and Eastern Interior Tue
night and Wed.

Conditions are expected to cool below normal by the end of the
week.

.DISCUSSION...
Models initialize well and show similar solutions aloft through
Tue with slight differences into Wed. The ECMF pushes precip NE
much faster than the NAM and GFS on Tue night and Wed so we are
favoring a blend of the NAM and GFS for precip and temps. At 06Z,
models all verify about 5 mb too weak on the low in MacKenzie Bay.
For this reason we will keep winds stronger and for a long time
over NE Alaska than Models indicate. This will keep the Winter
storm and strong winds over the Eastern North Slope longer than
models indicate.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning for AKZ203-AKZ206.

Blizzard Warning for AKZ204-AKZ213.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ218-
AKZ220-AKZ222-AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ225-AKZ226.

Gale Warning for PKZ210-PKZ245.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ220-PKZ240.
&&

JB DEC 21

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 27, 8:46 AM AKST, 4 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
846 AM AKST MON DEC 27 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     HEAVY SNOW       1 N EAGLE               64.79N 141.20W
12/26/2021  M17.0 INCH       SOUTHEAST FAIRBANKSAK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            OBSERVER REPORTS 17 INCHES OF VERY FLUFFY
            SNOW.

&&
Special weather statement, Dec 27, 10:42 AM AKST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1042 AM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

AKZ219>225-282100-
Upper Koyukuk Valley-Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
Central Interior-Middle Tanana Valley-Deltana and Tanana Flats-
Upper Tanana Valley and the Fortymile Country-Denali-
Including Allakaket, Hughes, Bettles, Caribou Mountain,
Gobblers Knob, Fort Yukon, Venetie, Central, Circle,
Stevens Village, Beaver, Chalkyitsik, Birch Creek,
Circle Hot Springs, Eagle Summit, Twelvemile Summit, Nenana,
Anderson, Tanana, Minto, Manley Hot Springs, Rampart,
Lake Minchumina, Livengood, Fairbanks, Fort Wainwright,
Eielson AFB, Ester, North Pole, Moose Creek, Two Rivers, Fox,
Chatanika, Chena Hot Springs, Sourdough Camp, Salcha,
Delta Junction, Fort Greely, Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek,
Dot Lake, Healy Lake, Tok, Tanacross, Eagle, Tetlin, Northway,
Alcan, Chicken, Boundary, Healy, Denali National Park,
Carlo Creek, and Kantishna
1042 AM AKST Mon Dec 27 2021

...More Snow For the Interior Tuesday through Wednesday...

Another weather front will move into the Interior Tuesday
morning, with snow amounts of around 4 inches are expected for
the Fairbanks area, with higher amounts up to 6 inches possible
further south. Snow will taper off briefly Tuesday afternoon, then
a stronger front will bring more snow to the Interior Tuesday
evening into Wednesday. Additional accumulations around 6 inches
with higher amounts northeast of Fairbanks. Snow will taper off
to scattered snow showers Wednesday afternoon.

Motorists should prepare for difficult travel conditions,
especially on roads that have not been plowed from the recent
winter storm.

For the latest weather updates, visit www.weather.gov/fairbanks.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 27, 5:40 AM AKSTGale WarningAFG25 hr
Dec 27, 5:41 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG6 hr
Dec 27, 6:04 AM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFG51 hr
Dec 27, 6:04 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG51 hr
Dec 27, 1:21 PM AKSTWinter Storm WatchAFG4 hr
Dec 27, 1:48 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG16 hr
Dec 27, 1:48 PM AKSTGale WarningAFG16 hr
Dec 27, 1:49 PM AKSTGale WarningAFG16 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Alaska, 2021Every winter storm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.