Small Craft Advisory 79, NWS Fairbanks, AK

780 
FZAK52 PAFG 122219
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
219 PM AKDT Thu Aug 12 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-131430-
219 PM AKDT Thu Aug 12 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1005 mb just east of Kotzebue will move inland tonight. A low 
north of Russia will move to 100 NM north of Wrangel Island as a 
996 mb low by 4am Fri, and to 200 NM north of Utqiagvik as a 988 
mb low by 4am Sat.

$$

PKZ200-131430-
Norton Sound-
219 PM AKDT Thu Aug 12 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.FRI...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.SAT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-131430-
Dall Point to Wales-
219 PM AKDT Thu Aug 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Fog.
.FRI...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SAT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-131430-
Kotzebue Sound-
219 PM AKDT Thu Aug 12 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-131430-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
219 PM AKDT Thu Aug 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 15 kt becoming SW. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog.
.SAT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog, rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Aug 21

974 
FZAK52 PAFG 131305
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
505 AM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-140230-
505 AM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A strong low west of Wrangel Island will move to 300 NM northwest
of Utqiagvik as a 988 mb low by 4am Sat, and to 200 NM north of 
Utqiagvik as a 986 mb low by 4am Sun. A cold front associated with
this low will move along the Dateline Sat and then move along the
West Coast of Alaska Sat night.

$$

PKZ200-140230-
Norton Sound-
505 AM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.SAT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-140230-
Dall Point to Wales-
505 AM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW winds 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building 
to 7 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SAT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog. Rain
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog. Rain.
.SUN...N winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-140230-
Kotzebue Sound-
505 AM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

.TODAY...SW winds 15 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-140230-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
505 AM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW winds 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building 
to 7 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog.
.SAT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog, rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SUN...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Aug 21

060 
FZAK52 PAFG 132228
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
228 PM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-141415-
228 PM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A strong low west of Wrangel Island will move to 300 NM northwest
of Utqiagvik as a 988 mb low by 4am Sat, and to 200 NM north of 
Utqiagvik as a 986 mb low by 4am Sun. A cold front associated with
this low will move along the Dateline Sat and then move along the
West Coast of Alaska Sat night.

$$

PKZ200-141415-
Norton Sound-
228 PM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Fog.
.SAT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog, rain.
.MON...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-141415-
Dall Point to Wales-
228 PM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SUN...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-141415-
Kotzebue Sound-
228 PM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
.SAT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-141415-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
228 PM AKDT Fri Aug 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog.
.SAT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog, rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.MON...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Aug 21

357 
FZAK52 PAFG 141106
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
306 AM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-150230-
306 AM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 987 mb low 300 NM northwest of Utqiagvik will move to 350 NM 
north of Utqiagvik as a 986 mb low by 4 am Sunday. The low will 
remain stationary and weaken to 991 mb by 4 am Monday. A cold 
front associated with this low will move eastward through the
Bering Strait today and and then move along the west coast of 
Alaska tonight.

$$

PKZ200-150230-
Norton Sound-
306 AM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SUN...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog, rain.
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-150230-
Dall Point to Wales-
306 AM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SUN...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-150230-
Kotzebue Sound-
306 AM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-150230-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
306 AM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Aug 21

916 
FZAK52 PAFG 142133
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
133 PM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-151415-
133 PM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A strong low west of Wrangel Island will move to 300 NM northwest
of Utqiagvik as a 988 mb low, and to 200 NM north of Utqiagvik as
a 986 mb low by 4am Sun. The low will remain stationary and 
weaken to 991 mb by 4 am Monday. A cold front associated with this
low will move eastward through the Bering Strait this afternoon  
then move along the west coast of Alaska tonight.

$$

PKZ200-151415-
Norton Sound-
133 PM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog, rain.
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-151415-
Dall Point to Wales-
133 PM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SUN...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-151415-
Kotzebue Sound-
133 PM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

.TONIGHT...SW winds 20 kt becoming NW. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-151415-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
133 PM AKDT Sat Aug 14 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Aug 21

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
132 PM AKDT Wed Aug 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Showery and cooler weather will persist across much of northern
Alaska into the weekend. An unseasonably cold airmass over the
North Slope and Brooks Range will continue to bring flurries to
the Arctic Coast and accumulating snow to higher elevations. Up
to 2 inches of snowfall are expected along the Dalton Highway at
Atigun Pass through Thursday. The Bering Strait coast will remain
relatively dry the next couple days before a weather front moves
onshore on Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The forecast models are in good agreement with the general
location and movement of large scale synoptic features over the
next several days. A closed upper low over the Arctic Ocean will
remain nearly stationary into the weekend with pulses of energy
rotating around it and into northern Alaska. A longwave trough
extending southward from this low and draped along the west coast
will gradually shift east to the Alcan border on Saturday and
into Canada on Sunday. This will drag some of the chilly air over
the North Slope and Brooks Range across the Interior over the next
several days. A weather front will push into the northwest Arctic
coast on Friday, with a more significant front on it's heals
moving into the west coast on Saturday and across the Interior
Sunday.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
A little chilly for August with periods of fog, flurries and
mixed precip along the coast into Thursday. Rain and snow will
fall over the central and eastern Brooks Range with up to 2 inches
expected through Thursday at higher elevations above 3000 feet. A
weather front moving into the Chukchi Sea coast on Friday will
bring increasing southwest winds, precipitation, and slightly
warmer temperatures to the region.

West Coast and Western Interior...
A few lingering showers showers over the Yukon Delta will taper
off by Thursday will mainly dry conditions over the west coast
through Friday. Scattered showers from McGrath to Galena will
diminish on Thursday. Otherwise high temperatures will be in the
50's inland and in the 40's along the coast.

Central and Eastern Interior...
The most summer-like conditions across the state will be confined
to the eastern Interior mainly south of the Yukon River with
scattered showers and some isolated thunderstorms this afternoon
and evening. A band of more significant showers extending from
Tanana to Coldfoot will shift east Thursday afternoon bringing a
better chance of showers from Fairbanks to Fort Yukon. Cooler
temperatures will trickle into the area from the northwest
Thursday and Friday with highs mainly in the 50's, except in the
upper 40s in the Brooks Range. The upper Tanana Valley and
Fortymile country will be a bit warmer with isolated thunderstorms
on Thursday.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Relatively quiet with mostly cloudy and a few showers the next
few days. A little bit of rain fell over the northern Yukon Flats
and some showers are possible into Thursday, but rainfall amounts
will be light. Minimum relative humidity will be above 40 percent
across the board except possibly dipping into the upper 30
percent range in the northern Yukon Flats on Friday. Some isolated
thunderstorms are possible today from Fairbanks to the Alcan
border late this afternoon and evening. On thursday, this area of
instability will shift east and be limited to the upper Tanana
Valley and Fortymile country.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
All sites remain below flood stage. The water level rise from the
1-2 inches of rain that fell over the central Interior is making
its way down the Chena, Tanana, and other drainages in the region
but the crest is well below the bank.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

EWP AUG 21