Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 57, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 23, 2021, 2:38 PM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 23, 2021, 2:38 PM AKDT (22:38 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 25, 2021, 2:44 PM AKDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted.
769 FZAK52 PAFG 232238 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 238 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-241415- 238 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 1008 mb low forming off of the Chukotsk Peninsula Sat morning will move near Cape Lisburne Sat night at 1004 mb. High pressure in the Bering Sea S of St Lawrence Island through Sat morning. $$ PKZ200-241415- Norton Sound- 238 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 .TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding. Fog. .SAT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SAT NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ210-241415- Dall Point to Wales- 238 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Fog. .SAT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .SAT NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .SUN...S winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...S winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ215-241415- Kotzebue Sound- 238 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 .TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog. .SAT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog. .SAT NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SUN...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...S winds 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...S winds 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ220-241415- Wales to Cape Thompson- 238 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SAT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .SAT NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. Rain showers. .SUN...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog, rain. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ Jul 21
4 follow-up statements
651 FZAK52 PAFG 241211 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 411 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-250230- 411 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 1006 mb low forming off of the Chukotsk Peninsula this morning will move 100 nm NW of Cape Lisburne Sat night at 1004 mb. A 1004 mb low developing in the Gulf of Anadyr Sat night will move SE near St Lawrence Island Sun morning. $$ PKZ200-250230- Norton Sound- 411 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 .TODAY...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog. .MON...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...S winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ210-250230- Dall Point to Wales- 411 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. .SUN...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .MON...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .TUE...S winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...S winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ215-250230- Kotzebue Sound- 411 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 .TODAY...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .SUN...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog, rain. .MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TUE...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ220-250230- Wales to Cape Thompson- 411 AM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog. Rain showers. .SUN...S winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog, rain. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .MON...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ KS Jul 21
638 FZAK52 PAFG 242241 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 241 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-251415- 241 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 1006 mb low near the Chukotsk Peninsula will move 100 nm NW of Cape Lisburne tonight at 1004 mb then move into the Chukchi Sea Sun and weaken. A 1004 mb low developing in the Gulf of Anadyr tonight will move SE near St Lawrence Island Sun morning. $$ PKZ200-251415- Norton Sound- 241 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 .TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SUN...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog. .MON...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...S winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ210-251415- Dall Point to Wales- 241 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 5 ft. Fog. .SUN...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .MON...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...S winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...S winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ215-251415- Kotzebue Sound- 241 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 .TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Fog. Rain showers. .SUN...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog, rain. .MON...S winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TUE...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ220-251415- Wales to Cape Thompson- 241 PM AKDT Sat Jul 24 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog. Rain showers. .SUN...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog, rain. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ Jul 21
524 FZAK52 PAFG 251211 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 411 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-260230- 411 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 1004 mb low in the Gulf of Anadyr will move ESE near Wales Sun night as a 1006 mb low. $$ PKZ200-260230- Norton Sound- 411 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 .TODAY...S winds 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .MON...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ210-260230- Dall Point to Wales- 411 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 .TODAY...S winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog. .MON...S winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...S winds 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...S winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ215-260230- Kotzebue Sound- 411 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 .TODAY...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Fog. .TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog, rain. .MON...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog, rain. .MON NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .WED...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ220-260230- Wales to Cape Thompson- 411 AM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING... .TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog, rain. .TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...S winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ KS Jul 21
891 FZAK52 PAFG 252244 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 244 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-261800- 244 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 1006 mb low over the Gulf of Anadyr will move onto the Seward Peninsula tonight. High pressure will build over the Chukchi Sea and Bering Strai Monday. A 983 mb low will move into the Gulf of Anadyr Tuesday. $$ PKZ200-261800- Norton Sound- 244 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 .TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog, rain. .MON...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog, rain. .MON NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog, rain. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog, rain. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain. .WED...S winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain. .WED NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ210-261800- Dall Point to Wales- 244 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 .TONIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Fog. .MON...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog, rain. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain. .WED...S winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain. .WED NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ215-261800- Kotzebue Sound- 244 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 .TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog, rain. .MON...S winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog, rain. .TUE...S winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog, rain. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog, rain. .WED...S winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog, rain. .WED NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ220-261800- Wales to Cape Thompson- 244 PM AKDT Sun Jul 25 2021 .TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt becoming N. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Fog, rain. .MON...N winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog, rain. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog, rain. .WED...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog, rain. .WED NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .THU...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ Jul 21
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 23, 6:05 AM AKDT, 8 hours 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 6:05 AM AKDT, 8 hours 33 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 605 AM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 .SYNOPSIS...Widespread thunderstorms and showers east of the Ruby from the Arctic Plains to the Alaska Range. Rainfall from Fairbanks south and east through Saturday will range up the 2 inches. Stream in the Alaska Range and Fortymile Country may rise to bankfull. Showers continue on the West Coast and in the Arctic along with some isolated thunderstorms. Temperatures in the Interior cooling and will be around 5 degrees cooler today and another 5 degrees cooler Saturday as highs fall to the upper 60s to upper 70s.&& .DISCUSSION... Models...There is pretty good agreement today with the 23/00Z solutions, they go sideways when they move into the midrange and extended periods. Surface solutions are also in pretty good agreement in the short term and initialized well. Convective indicies support widespread isolated thunderstorms today in most of the eastern half of the state with some scattered thunderstorms in the Central and Eastern Interior east of Fort Yukon to the White mountains and northwest of Chicken. Lifted indicies are in the -1 to -5 range with CAPE values up to 1800 J/kg this afternoon. Saturday models are being more aggressive with a front moving across the Arctic and convective indicies are going up, so will increase the thunderstorm coverage in the Plains and the Eastern Brooks Range. Precipitation coverage today through Saturday is still putting a bullseye over the Fortymile Country and the Eastern Alaska Range with up to 2 inches of rain possible. Not making very many changes to the current forecast database with the exception of those mentioned above. The use of a general blend including the current forecast should produce good continuity for the short term forecast. Aloft...At 500 hpa...A 566 dam high sits over the northeast corner of the state with a 554 dam low over the Chukchi Sea with a trough extending south over Kuskokwim Bay, and a 552 dam low 300 nm south of Prince William Sound. This afternoon the high will be over Chalkyitsik at 568 dam, the low to the west will move over Point Hope with the trough extending south over Bethel, and the low to the south will drift southwest to 200 nm southeast of Kodiak City. Saturday morning the high will drift just east of Chalkyitsik over the Yukon Territory while the low to the west moves over Point Lay at 553 dam with a trough extending south over Dillingham. The low to the south will continue to drift southwest and will be 300 nm south southeast of Kodiak City. By Saturday afternoon the high will drift south over Eagle at 568 dam with ridging extending southwest over the Western Alaska Range, then west to Nunivak Island, then southwest to a 595 dam high in the North Pacific. The low to the west will move over the Arctic Plain near Umiat at 555 dam with the trough extending south to Allakaket, then southwest to McGrath. Troughing will also extend northwest, then west from the low to a 546 dam low over Wrangel Island. The low in the Northeast Pacific will move east to 400 nm south of Cordova. At 850 hpa...A dome of temperatures +10C or warmer remains over the northeast mainland under the high aloft, while a pool of temperatures around 0C is over the Bering Strait and southern Chuckchi Sea under the low. By Saturday afternoon those temperatures moderate some as the low moves slowly to the northeast. By Sunday morning temperatures over the state will range from around +2C to +8C. Surface...Troughing extends from the Upper Tanana Valley to the Northern Chukchi Sea this morning with weak high pressure along the south slopes of the Alaska Range. Low pressure associated with a 1001 mb low is in the Gulf of Alaska, and high pressure is pushing north over the Bering Sea out of the North Pacific with a 1019 mb high near St Matthew Island. Not much change by this afternoon as the trough will remain across the state from the Upper Tanana Valley to Point Lay, as a low near Eagle deepens to 1005 mb. The thermal trough will be northeast and east of Fairbanks today moving into the Yukon Territory Saturday. The trough across the state will slide north and east tonight to be over the Plains and the Eastern Brooks Range, then lifts offshore Saturday night as high pressure holds to the north over the Arctic, and the high pressure over the Bering Sea pushes into the Interior north of the Alaska Range. Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Stratus and showers along the coast with cloudy with showers and thunderstorms inland. As the low in the Chukchi Sea moves east across the plains expect increased thunderstorm activity Saturday from Umiat east. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s, with lows in the 40s for most locations along the coast. Warmer inland with highs in the upper 50s and 60s. Winds along the coast northeast to east at 5 to 15 mph, while inland and in the Brooks Range winds northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest. West Coast and Western Interior...Showers in the Chukchi Sea region tapering off today as the low moves northeast and the troughing moves east. High pressure builds north to the Bering Strait and into the Western Interior tonight, then weakens as a low moving out of Siberia moves across the Bering Strait pushing the high pressure south. High temperatures along the coast mid 40s to mid 50s, while inland high temperatures will be in 60s. Lows will be in the 40s to mid 50s. Central and Eastern Interior...Scattered to isolated thunderstorms across the area today with rainfall amounts from Fairbanks east and south ranging up to 2 inches through Saturday night. Some stream and creeks may reach bankfull. Thunderstorms this afternoon and evening will be scattered from east of Fort Yukon to the White Mountains, and north east of Chicken. Winds generally light and variable today around Fairbanks, while to the northeast of Fairbanks winds will be northeast to 10 mph becoming southwest overnight. Temperatures cooler with highs in the 70s, while lows will be in the 50s. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None. Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...Models are literally going in opposite directions, 23/00Z solutions, in the midrange and extended periods. The ECMWF has fared a bit better of late, and the GFS is the only outlier, so will lean toward the ECMWF and Ensemble solutions. This will mean a change to southwest flow across the area starting Tuesday as the ridging slides south of the Alaska Range, with the flow turning a little more south the remainder of the week. The southwest flow will bring precipitation across the state Tuesday, then as the flow turns the precipitation will remain west and north of Fairbanks. && .Fire Weather...Red Flag Warnings remain in effect. Widespread isolated thunderstorms and showers east of Ruby will extend from the Eastern Arctic Plain south to the Alaska Range. Scattered thunderstorms expected in the area just east of Fort Yukon to the White Mountains, and northwest of Chicken. Temperatures around 5 degrees cooler today as they rise into the 70s to around 80, then 5 degrees cooler Saturday. Minimum Relative Humidity values will be around 30 in the Upper Yukon Flats ranging into the 40s west to the Middle Yukon Valley, then values 5 to 10 higher Saturday. Winds variable to 10 mph today becoming southwest for most area Saturday to 10 mph. Winds a bit stronger Saturday night in the White Mountains as they range up to 15 mph and gusty. Relative Humidity recovery will be good. && .Hydrology...Heavy rain over the next couple days in the Central and Eastern Alaska Range, Fortymile Country, and Brooks Range with up to 2 inches of rain possible will lead to small stream rising rapidly to bankfull with possible minor flooding. This rainfall is not expected to impact the larger mainstem rivers as they continue to run well below normal levels. For the latest river information go to www.weather.gov/aprfc. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning for AKZ220-AKZ222-AKZ224. Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ245. && SDB JUL 21
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 23, 11:00 AM AKDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 1100 AM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 AKZ225-226-241500- Denali-Eastern Alaska Range- Including Healy, Denali National Park, Carlo Creek, Kantishna, Mentasta Lake, Black Rapids, Donnelly Dome, Trims DOT Camp, Eagle Trail, and Mineral Lake 1100 AM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 ...Heavy Rain Likely Over The Southeast Interior Tonight Through Saturday... Rain showers are expected over the southeast Interior from tonight through Saturday. Between 0.50-1.50 inches of rain is expected along the Alaska Range, including Isabel Pass and the Denali Park area. This could lead to small stream flooding along the Alaska Range through Saturday. People in the Alaska Range this weekend should be alert to the possibility of rising water on small streams. AKZ220-222>224-241500- Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-Middle Tanana Valley- Deltana and Tanana Flats- Upper Tanana Valley and the Fortymile Country- Including Fort Yukon, Venetie, Central, Circle, Stevens Village, Beaver, Chalkyitsik, Birch Creek, Circle Hot Springs, Eagle Summit, Twelvemile Summit, Fairbanks, Fort Wainwright, Eielson AFB, Ester, North Pole, Moose Creek, Two Rivers, Fox, Chatanika, Chena Hot Springs, Sourdough Camp, Salcha, Delta Junction, Fort Greely, Harding/Birch Lake, Dry Creek, Dot Lake, Healy Lake, Tok, Tanacross, Eagle, Tetlin, Northway, Alcan, Chicken, and Boundary 1100 AM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 ...Strong Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Likely This Afternoon and Evening... Thunderstorms are expected across the White Mountains, Fortymile Uplands, and Tanana Valley including Fairbanks this afternoon and evening. Some storms may be strong with frequent lightning, small hail, and heavy downpours. By tonight, this will turn into a heavy rainfall event with 0.5-1 inch expected through Saturday morning. Rain will taper off by Saturday afternoon.
Special weather statement, Jul 23, 2:15 PM AKDT, 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 215 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 AKZ204-206-241500- Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast-Northeastern Brooks Range- Including Kaktovik, Flaxman Island, Anaktuvuk Pass, Atigun Pass, Galbraith Lake, Sagwon, and Franklin Bluffs 215 PM AKDT Fri Jul 23 2021 ...Strong Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Saturday... Scattered thunderstorms are expected across the Eastern Brooks Range and Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast through this evening. Another round of storms is expected in the same areas Saturday afternoon and evening, and some of these storms may be strong with frequent lightning and heavy downpours. Up to 0.5-1.5 inches of rain is possible across most of the area due to these storms. Outdoor recreators should remain vigilant for thunderstorms as well as sharp rises on local streams and rivers draining from the Eastern Brooks Range. For the latest forecast go to weather.gov/fairbanks
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 3:57 AM AKDT | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFG | 35 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.