Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 180, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 30, 2021, 4:02 PM AKDT. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 30, 2021, 4:02 PM AKDT (00:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 3, 2021, 4:18 AM AKDT
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted.
017 FZAK52 PAFG 310002 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 402 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-311430- 402 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 1005 mb low 100 NM west of Point Hope will dissipate tonight. A 1000 mb low 100 NM west of Gambell will move to Nunivak Island tonight. A strong low over the Western Gulf of Alaska will move to 100 NM north of Point Hope as a 982 mb low by 4pm Sun, and to 600 NM northwest of Point Hope as a 974 mb low bu 4pm Mon. $$ PKZ200-311430- Norton Sound- 402 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ210-311430- Dall Point to Wales- 402 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SUN...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .MON...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain. Freezing spray. .TUE...N winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ215-311430- Kotzebue Sound- 402 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...W winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ220-311430- Wales to Cape Thompson- 402 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...N winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .MON...W winds 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ Oct 21
7 follow-up statements
597 FZAK52 PAFG 311215 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 415 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-010215- 415 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 989 mb low over Norton Sound this morning will move to Cape Lisburne this afternoon, moving to 200 NM NE of Wrangel Island and deepening to 980 mb by Monday morning, continuing NW through Monday. A 990 mb low 100 NM NW of Nunivak Island will move SE to the Y-K Delta and weaken by Monday morning. Another low will enter the Western Bering Sea this afternoon, moving to the Central Bering Sea by Tuesday morning. $$ PKZ200-010215- Norton Sound- 415 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 .TODAY...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ210-010215- Dall Point to Wales- 415 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .MON...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing rain. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ215-010215- Kotzebue Sound- 415 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE winds 10 kt becoming W 25 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ220-010215- Wales to Cape Thompson- 415 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. .MON...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ Oct 21
686 FZAK52 PAFG 312300 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 300 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-011400- 300 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 989 mb low will move to Cape Romanzof this evening, then weaken and move NW. A 987 mb low near Point Lay will move to 200 nm NW of Point Lay by Mon morning. The low that was near Cape Romanzof will merge with a low near St Matthew Island Mon morning then move over St Lawrence Island Mon night. A 980 mb low will move to the Dateline 200 nm N of Adak Mon afternoon, then to the Pribilofs by Tue morning as the low near St Lawrence Island moves into the Chukchi Sea. $$ PKZ200-011400- Norton Sound- 300 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 .TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt becoming N. Seas 2 ft. .MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ210-011400- Dall Point to Wales- 300 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .MON...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing rain. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .TUE...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ215-011400- Kotzebue Sound- 300 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Freezing spray. .MON...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ220-011400- Wales to Cape Thompson- 300 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .MON...W winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing rain. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ SDB Oct 21
317 FZAK52 PAFG 011111 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 311 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-020230- 311 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 982 mb low 200 NM NW of Point Lay will move to 150 NM NE of Wrangel Island by this afternoon as it deepens to 974 mb. A 981 mb low 175 NM NW of Shemya will move to 200 NM NW of Adak this afternoon and weaken to 984 mb. An elongated trough will develop and extend from this low northeast to the Bering Strait this afternoon and tonight. $$ PKZ200-020230- Norton Sound- 311 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E winds 15 kt becoming SE 35 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing rain. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ210-020230- Dall Point to Wales- 311 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E winds 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers and freezing rain. Freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ215-020230- Kotzebue Sound- 311 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ220-020230- Wales to Cape Thompson- 311 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...W winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ Nov 21
733 FZAK52 PAFG 012224 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 224 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-021400- 224 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A low pressure system is moving into the Eastern Bering Sea with a 987 mb low near St Lawrence Island and a 985 mb low just N of Amchitka. Weak high pressure is over the Chukchi Sea. Low pressure will spread N into the Chukchi Sea Tue as a 987 mb low moves over St Lawrence Island and a front extends S along 170W. Low pressure will remain over the area through Wed. $$ PKZ200-021400- Norton Sound- 224 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Strongest W of Nome. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ210-021400- Dall Point to Wales- 224 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. Freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 35 kt. Strongest winds W of St Lawrence Island. Seas 12 ft. Fog. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ215-021400- Kotzebue Sound- 224 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ220-021400- Wales to Cape Thompson- 224 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ SDB Nov 21
799 FZAK52 PAFG 021142 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-030215- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 988 mb low pressure system over St lawrence Island will weaken and push into the Gulf of Anadyr on Wednesday. Weak high pressure will remain over the Chukchi Sea. Low pressure will remain over the area through Wednesday. $$ PKZ200-030215- Norton Sound- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE winds 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ210-030215- Dall Point to Wales- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ215-030215- Kotzebue Sound- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ220-030215- Wales to Cape Thompson- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers. Heavy Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ Nov 21
056 FZAK52 PAFG 022120 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 120 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-031400- 120 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 990 mb low near Gambell will weaken this evening. Low pressure over the nearshore waters will merge with low pressure over mainland Alaska Wed as high pressure builds over Chukotka and pushes NE across the Chukchi Sea. $$ PKZ200-031400- Norton Sound- 120 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ210-031400- Dall Point to Wales- 120 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt becoming N. Strongest winds W of Gambell. Seas 12 ft. Freezing fog and fog. Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ215-031400- Kotzebue Sound- 120 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 1 foot. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ220-031400- Wales to Cape Thompson- 120 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ SDB Nov 21
614 FZAK52 PAFG 031218 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 418 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-040230- 418 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... a 983 mb low near 80N and the dateline will weaken and move northwest. A 989 mb low over Bristol Bay will continue to weaken and push south and east into the Northwestern Gulf of Alaska today and into Thursday. Gusty northerly winds will continue through the Bering Strait and through the northern Bering Sea into Saturday. $$ PKZ200-040230- Norton Sound- 418 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 .TODAY...E winds 10 kt becoming N. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. .TONIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. .THU...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. .THU NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ210-040230- Dall Point to Wales- 418 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog and fog. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ215-040230- Kotzebue Sound- 418 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 .TODAY...E winds 15 kt becoming NE 5 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ220-040230- Wales to Cape Thompson- 418 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NE winds 15 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ Nov 21
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 30, 3:16 PM AKDT, 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 30, 3:16 PM AKDT, 46 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 316 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 .SYNOPSIS... A very strong storm now moving north over Western Alaska will move over NW Alaska Sun and then move into the Chukchi Sea and restrengthen Sun PM and Mon. This is causing heavy snow over the Western Interior that will spread northwest to portions of the West Coast tonight, then move back east over the Western Interior on Sun PM, before tapering off and moving east into the Eastern Interior on Mon. This storm is causing high winds over the Alaska Range that will last through Sun night. This is also causing temperatures in the 30s and lower 40s over the Eastern Interior along with gusting east winds that will last through Sun. This storm will cause strong south winds over the Brooks Range tonight through Sun night and cause snow and blowing snow issues in Brooks Range Passes through Sun night. This storm is causing heavy snow over the Western Interior and portions of the West Coast and Central Brooks Range that will continue into Sun with storm totals of 6-12 inches. The heaviest snow will be north and west of Kobuk to Galena to Shageluk today through Sun. Expect snow to change over to rain or possibly brief freezing rain southeast of Kobuk to Galena to Shageluk today and tonight, with a chance of rain and freezing rain on the North Slope east of Utqiagvik on Sun. Precipitation should change back to all snow on Sun night and Mon. This storm will cause northwest winds 20-30 kt and high surf along the Chukchi Sea Coast from Shishmaref to Point Hope from Sun PM into Mon AM. This storm will cause southwest winds 25 to 35kt and high surf along the Arctic Coast from Point Lay to Point Barrow from late Sun night through late Mon night. There is a chance of low visibility in blowing snow along the Arctic Coast on Mon, but at this time it looks like the strong winds will occur after the snow has tapering off. A second storm moving into the Northern Bering Sea on Mon and to the Southern Chukchi Sea on Tue will bring more stormy weather to the West Coast Mon and Tue. && .DISCUSSION... Models initialize well aloft at 12Z and show similar solutions through 4pm Sun. After that time, the NAM/ECMF and Canadian models all deepen the low aloft/short wave over NW Alaska and the Chukchi Sea much more than the GFS. It appears as through the frontal wave moving north on Sun taps into very cold low level air off of Siberia once it gets over the Chukchi Sea which should cause this strengthening and deepening. Since the NAM deepens this more than any other models, we prefer the NAM solution. The set up is there for deepening aloft with the cold air to be tapped into at low levels, and the still open water of the Chukchi Sea to cause surface level heating and thus surface level pressure lowering. 850 MB temperatures rise above freezing southeast of the warm front on all models. Expect snow to change over to rain or possibly brief freezing rain southeast of Kobuk to Galena to Shageluk today and tonight, and on the North Slope east of Utqiagvik on Sun. Precipitation should change back to all snow as the cold front moves east on Sun night and Mon. With precipitation, models show similar areal coverage and amounts through Sun morning, then the NAM and ECMF move the precip to the east more quickly than the GFS Sun PM into Mon and Tue. Since the NAM and ECMF are the preferred solutions aloft, with the NAM preferred at the surface, will use the NAM for precipitation location and amounts, but blend in a minor portion of the ECMF while excluding the GFS precip. At the surface at 15Z, models all verify well at the surface. Models show similar solutions through tonight, and then the all models deepen the triple point low moving over NW Alaska on Sun, with the NAM deepening it the most, the ECMF and Canadian deepening it almost as much as the NAM, but the GFS being significantly weaker. Since this is a set up for rapid deepening as the low taps into the cold air of Siberia Sun, and then moves over the warm water of the Chukchi Sea on Mon, we favor the deepest solution, which will likely be the NAM. In fact, this set up could well be deeper than the NAM, but we will go with the NAM at this point in time for the surface fields and winds. Bottom line for models is that we will generally use the NAM, blending in the ECMF in a minor way for precip. Expect snow to change over to rain or possibly brief freezing rain southeast of Kobuk to Galena to Shageluk today and tonight, and on the North Slope east of Utqiagvik on Sun. Precipitation should change back to all snow as the cold front moves east on Sun night and Mon. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4... Chukchi Sea Coast from Shishmaref to Point Hope will see northwest winds 20-30 kt and high surf Sun PM into Mon AM. Arctic Coast from Point Lay to Point Barrow will see southwest winds 25 to 35kt and high surf along the Arctic Coast from late Sun night through late Mon night. High surf possible Norton Sound Coast Mon and Tue, and Southern Chukchi Sea Coast on Tue. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... High Surf Advisory for AKZ201-AKZ202-AKZ207-AKZ209. Winter Storm Warning for AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ212-AKZ215-AKZ216- AKZ217. High Wind Warning for AKZ223-AKZ225-AKZ226-AKZ227. Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ206-AKZ218-AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ227. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ200-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230- PKZ235-PKZ500. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ230- PKZ235-PKZ240. Gale Warning for PKZ225-PKZ500. && JB OCT 21
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFG | 12 hr | |
| Oct 30, 4:01 PM AKDT | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFG | 12 hr | |
| Oct 30, 4:01 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFG | 35 hr | |
| Oct 30, 4:01 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 46 hr | |
| Oct 31, 12:07 AM AKDT | Wind Advisory | AFG | 27 hr | |
| Oct 31, 4:15 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFG | 23 hr | |
| Oct 31, 4:15 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFG | 23 hr | |
| Oct 31, 4:15 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 11 hr | |
| Oct 31, 4:15 AM AKDT | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFG | 6 days |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.