Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 167, NWS Fairbanks, AK

October 22, 2021

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 22, 2021, 5:13 AM AKDT. It was in force for 68 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 22, 2021, 5:13 AM AKDT (13:13 UTC)
Expired
Oct 25, 2021, 1:40 AM AKDT
In force
68 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

189 
FZAK51 PAFG 221313
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
513 AM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-230215-
513 AM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A trough of low pressure north of the eastern Arctic Coast will 
remain in the general area today. A 980 mb low will move 
northwest out of MacKenzie Bay Saturday morning and lie 300 NM N 
Barter Island by Sat night.

$$

PKZ225-230215-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
513 AM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Snow.
Freezing spray. 
.MON...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-230215-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
513 AM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

.TODAY...N winds 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SAT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.MON...N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-230215-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
513 AM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

.TODAY...N winds 10 kt. Seas building to 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.MON...W winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-230215-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
513 AM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

.TODAY...W winds 5 kt becoming N. Seas building to 2 ft. Freezing
fog. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SUN...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...NE winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-230215-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
513 AM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

.TODAY...W winds 5 kt becoming N. Seas 1 foot. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
6 follow-up statements
603 
FZAK51 PAFG 222035
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1235 PM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-231415-
1235 PM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 980 mb low will move northwest out of MacKenzie Bay Saturday 
morning and lie 300 NM N Barter Island by Sat night.

$$

PKZ225-231415-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
1235 PM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-231415-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
1235 PM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Freezing fog.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-231415-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
1235 PM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SUN...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-231415-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
1235 PM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SUN...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SUN NIGHT...W winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-231415-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
1235 PM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT...W winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
650 
FZAK51 PAFG 231153
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
353 AM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-240215-
353 AM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 980 mb low 140 nm N of Mackenzie Bay will move north and weaken
through Sun. A trough of low pressure will remain near the 
Lisburne Peninsula through Sun night.

$$

PKZ225-240215-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
353 AM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Snow.
Freezing spray. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-240215-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
353 AM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-240215-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
353 AM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SUN...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-240215-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
353 AM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

.TODAY...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SUN...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-240215-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
353 AM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
786 
FZAK51 PAFG 232206
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
206 PM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-241430-
206 PM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 982 mb low 250 nm north of Demarcation Point will continue to 
move north and weaken. A 995 mb low will develop over the Seward 
Peninsula by early Sunday morning. The low will deepen to 987 mb 
and slowly drift north to be offshore Shishmaref by Monday 
morning. 

$$

PKZ225-241430-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
206 PM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Snow.
Freezing spray. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-241430-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
206 PM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-241430-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
206 PM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Freezing fog.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-241430-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
206 PM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SUN...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. Freezing fog. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-241430-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
206 PM AKDT Sat Oct 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SUN...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
007 
FZAK51 PAFG 240959
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
159 AM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-250215-
159 AM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 984 mb low 350 nm north of Mackenzie Bay will continue to move 
north and weaken. A 994 mb low currently over the Seward 
Peninsula will move to near Point Hope at 986 mb Mon night then
remain in place and gradually weaken through Wed.

$$

PKZ225-250215-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
159 AM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow.
Freezing spray. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.TUE...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-250215-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
159 AM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...S winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-250215-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
159 AM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-250215-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
159 AM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

.TODAY...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-250215-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
159 AM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding. Freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
255 
FZAK51 PAFG 242203
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
203 PM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-251400-
203 PM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 987 mb low 500 nm N of MacKenzie Bay will move N. A 991 mb low
near Shishmaref will move N to Point Hope Mon evening at 987 mb as
weak high pressure over the Arctic Coast moves over the offshore
waters. High pressure will continue to slide N Tue as low pressure
moves over the nearshore waters with the 987 mb low 100 NW of Point
Hope and a 992 mb low 50 N of Prudhoe Bay.

$$

PKZ225-251400-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
203 PM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.MON...E winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing 
fog. Snow. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Snow.
.TUE...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-251400-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
203 PM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...S winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-251400-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
203 PM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-251400-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
203 PM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas building to 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-251400-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
203 PM AKDT Sun Oct 24 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 5 kt increasing to 15 kt. Seas building to
3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Snow.
Freezing spray. 
.TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
141 
FZAK51 PAFG 250940
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
140 AM AKDT Mon Oct 25 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-260215-
140 AM AKDT Mon Oct 25 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 985 mb low near Shishmaref will move N to Point Hope Mon 
evening at 987 mb then remain in place through Wed as it slowly 
weakens. A 988 mb low will form near Demarcation Point Mon then 
move offshore as a 992 mb low Tue.

$$

PKZ225-260215-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
140 AM AKDT Mon Oct 25 2021

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 5 ft. Freezing
fog. Snow. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Snow.
.TUE...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...S winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-260215-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
140 AM AKDT Mon Oct 25 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-260215-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
140 AM AKDT Mon Oct 25 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Freezing fog and
blowing snow. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-260215-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
140 AM AKDT Mon Oct 25 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog and blowing
snow. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-260215-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
140 AM AKDT Mon Oct 25 2021

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Freezing
spray. 
.TUE...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 22, 5:08 AM AKDT, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 22, 5:08 AM AKDT, 5 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
508 AM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong low pressure located in the southern Bering Sea will move
into the Gulf of Alaska today, resulting in increasing north
winds and elevated surf along the north side of St. Lawrence
Island beginning this evening and lasting into Saturday. Chances
for snow across the Interior increasing this afternoon, before
the surface low located in the Yukon and Northwest Territories
tracks north and brings snow and strong winds to the eastern
Arctic Coast tonight and into tomorrow. Fog issues have improved
across the North Slope this morning, while windy conditions in the
Interior continue to subside.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The upper level pattern consists of mostly south to southeast flow
across northern Alaska this morning. Weak ridging extends east to
west across the Brooks Range, as a couple of strong closed lows
extend across from the southeastern Bering Sea to the Alaskan
panhandle.

The trough over the panhandle will move north and quickly break
down the ridging, bringing mostly a trough pattern over the state
going into next week. The trough moving north will be situated
near Demarcation Point by Saturday morning, while the strong
closed low in the southeastern Bering Sea will slide east into the
Gulf of Alaska. This feature will swing a shortwave trough towards
the Alaska Range on Sunday, but models differ on how far this
feature will penetrate into the Interior going into Sunday night.

Another shortwave trough will move to the West Coast on Sunday,
before model uncertainty increases as to the movement of this
feature going into Sunday night.

At the surface, a strong sub-950 mb low in the Bering Sea is the
headline feature this morning. This low will track eastward into
the Gulf of Alaska and weaken. Surface low pressure will develop
in the Yukon and Northwest Territories this morning before
tracking offshore near the AlCan border by late tonight. As a
result of the movement and development of these features, strong
north to northeast winds will develop across the Bering Sea this
evening and into Saturday.

Surface low pressure will develop along the West Coast on Sunday,
but due to the differences in track of the upper level trough,
the surface feature also has discrepancies in location and
intensity at this time between models. These differences will
affect the areas that receive the most snow, so the current
forecast blends the solutions together.

Overall, not an overly impactful pattern, but there is a lot of
uncertainty beginning even within the first 24 hours of the
forecast as models struggle to handle the strong surface low and
associated upper level features in the southern Bering Sea as it
tracks into the Gulf of Alaska.

Central and Eastern Interior...
Alaska Range winds have subsided, while easterly winds through the
Tanana Valley continue to diminish this morning. Surface low
pressure developing in the Yukon and Northwest Territories this
morning will bring increasing chances for snow along the AlCan
border through tonight. However, uncertainty remains on how far
west the snow will spread, but overall snow accumulations will
remain between 1 to 2 inches north and east of Fairbanks through
tonight. The next round of snow looks to develop Sunday morning,
but model discrepancies remain large in terms of timing, location,
and intensity going into next week. Temperatures remaining above
normal going into next week.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
Fog conditions have improved across the North Slope this morning.
Chances for snow increasing this evening across the eastern
Brooks Range and tonight across the eastern Arctic Coast with 1 to
2 inches of accumulation for these areas through tomorrow evening.
Winds will pick up out of the west to northwest around 25 to 35
mph along the eastern Arctic Coast as the surface low pressure
tracks north of Kaktovik by tomorrow morning. Temperatures
trending down but remaining above normal through the weekend.

West Coast and Western Interior...
Persistent north to northeast flow along the coast expected to
persist through the weekend. Winds will strengthen to 30 to 40
mph from Point Hope to St. Lawrence Island south as the pressure
gradient tightens through the Bering Strait this evening. These
conditions will result in elevated surf for St. Lawrence Island
going into Saturday. Cold air advection through this region will
result in the development of snow showers over the open water that
could drift to areas along the north facing coasts of the Seward
Peninsula and St. Lawrence Island tomorrow and into Sunday.
Surface low pressure will develop along the West Coast early
Sunday morning, resulting in increasing chances for snow. However,
the exact placement of the low and associated fronts remain
uncertain at this time. Temperatures remaining near normal over
the next several days.

Coastal Hazard Potential...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph
developing through the Bering Strait this evening will result in
elevated surf with wave runup of up to 2 feet above the normal
high tide line along the north shore of St. Lawrence Island going
into Saturday. Residents should move boats and other property
well above the normal high tide line in advance of the storm.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heavy Freezing Spray for PKZ500.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

&&

OCT 21

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 22, 4:21 AM AKDT, 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
421 AM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

AKZ211-213-230200-
Southern Seward Peninsula Coast-
St Lawrence Island and Bering Strait Coast-
Including Nome, White Mountain, Golovin, Gambell, Savoonga,
Brevig Mission, Teller, Wales, and Diomede
421 AM AKDT Fri Oct 22 2021

...Elevated Surf Expected Along North Coast of St Lawrence Island
Through Saturday...

Elevated surf with wave runup of up to 2 feet above normal high
tide line is expected along the north shore of St Lawrence Island
today and continuing into Saturday.

A strong low pressure system will be moving through the Eastern
Bering Sea today and into the Gulf of Alaska Saturday. Northeast
winds 30 to 40 mph will develop over the Northeast Bering Sea and
Chukchi Sea this evening and turn from the north early Saturday.
Winds will diminish Saturday evening.

Residents should move boats and other property well above the
normal high tide line in advance of the storm.

For the latest information go to www.weather.gov/fairbanks.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 22, 12:35 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG37 hr
Oct 22, 12:35 PM AKDTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFG3 days
Oct 22, 12:36 PM AKDTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFG16 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.