Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 156, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 13, 2021, 3:31 PM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 13, 2021, 3:31 PM AKDT (23:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 15, 2021, 3:23 PM AKDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted.
493 FZAK52 PAFG 132331 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 331 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-141530- 331 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A cold front along the West Coast of Alaska will remain in place through Fri and then move inland on Fri night. A low in the Western Bering Sea will move to the Alaska Peninsula on Thu PM, and into the Gulf of Alaska Thu night. A strong storm will develop in the Western Bering Sea on Fri and move to the Southeast Bering Sea on Sat, and into the Gulf of Alaska on Sun. $$ PKZ200-141530- Norton Sound- 331 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021 .TONIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. .FRI NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ210-141530- Dall Point to Wales- 331 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog. .FRI...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .FRI NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .SAT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ215-141530- Kotzebue Sound- 331 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021 .TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ220-141530- Wales to Cape Thompson- 331 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021 .TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. Snow showers. Freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. .SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ Oct 21
4 follow-up statements
969 FZAK52 PAFG 141100 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 300 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-150215- 300 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A cold front along the West Coast of Alaska will remain in place through Fri and then move inland on Fri night. A strong storm will develop in the Western Bering Sea on Fri and move to the Southeast Bering Sea on Sat, and into the Gulf of Alaska on Sun. $$ PKZ200-150215- Norton Sound- 300 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 .TODAY...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .FRI NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. .SAT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ210-150215- Dall Point to Wales- 300 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 8 ft. Fog. .TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .FRI...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .FRI NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. .SAT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ215-150215- Kotzebue Sound- 300 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 .TODAY...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft subsiding. .TONIGHT...N winds 5 kt. Seas 1 foot. .FRI...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ220-150215- Wales to Cape Thompson- 300 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 .TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. .SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ Oct 21
217 FZAK52 PAFG 142243 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 243 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-151445- 243 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A low pressure trough along the West Coast of Alaska will move inland on Fri. A strong low storm will develop in the Western Bering Sea on Fri and move to the Central Bering Sea on Sat, and into the Gulf of Alaska on Sun. $$ PKZ200-151445- Norton Sound- 243 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 .TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .FRI NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .SAT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog and fog. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ210-151445- Dall Point to Wales- 243 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. .FRI...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .FRI NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .SAT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Fog, rain. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ215-151445- Kotzebue Sound- 243 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 .TONIGHT...N winds 5 kt. Seas 1 foot. Freezing fog. .FRI...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. .SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. .SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ220-151445- Wales to Cape Thompson- 243 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SUN...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ Oct 21
541 FZAK52 PAFG 151221 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 421 AM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-160200- 421 AM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... Low pressure in the area will slide E as high pressure in the Central Bering Sea moves into the Eastern Bering Sea and Chukotsk Peninsula tonight. A 1009 mb low will develop over the Seward Peninsula tonight, then merge with a strong 973 mb low moving E across the Northern Bering Sea. A weather front associated with the low will move to the Lower Yukon Delta Sat morning as the low moves near St Matthew Island Sat evening. The low will move SE Sun as high pressure moves over the Northeast Bering Sea and Bering Strait with a 1021 mb high on the Chukotsk Peninsula. $$ PKZ200-160200- Norton Sound- 421 AM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 .TODAY...NW winds 15 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .SAT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog and fog. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ210-160200- Dall Point to Wales- 421 AM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NW winds 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog and fog. .SAT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Fog. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ215-160200- Kotzebue Sound- 421 AM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 .TODAY...E winds 5 kt. Seas 1 foot. Freezing fog. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. .SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ220-160200- Wales to Cape Thompson- 421 AM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ SDB Oct 21
937 FZAK52 PAFG 152323 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 323 PM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-161415- 323 PM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... Low pressure in the area will weaken tonight. A 980 mb low in the Western Bering Sea will strengthen to 968 mb as it moves east to near St Matthew Island by Saturday afternoon. $$ PKZ200-161415- Norton Sound- 323 PM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .SAT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ210-161415- Dall Point to Wales- 323 PM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...NW winds 10 kt becoming E 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .SAT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog and freezing fog. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. Freezing spray. .SUN...N winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow and rain. Freezing spray. .TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ215-161415- Kotzebue Sound- 323 PM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 .TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Freezing fog. .SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ220-161415- Wales to Cape Thompson- 323 PM AKDT Fri Oct 15 2021 .TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. .SUN...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ Oct 21
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 13, 2:44 AM AKDT, 12 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 13, 2:44 AM AKDT, 12 hours 47 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 244 AM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021 .SYNOPSIS... Broad low pressure over Northern Alaska will remain in place through the weekend and into early next week as a series of weak storms produce flurries or sprinkles in the Interior and low visibilities in blowing snow this evening and into Thursday on the eastern Arctic Coast. Northerly winds will continue over the Eastern Bering Sea and West Coast. Temperatures will remain near seasonal normals into early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Models...The 00z model suite initialized well against the 00z surface analysis and upper air observations and verified well against the 06z surface analysis. Model spread is minimal in the short range products but begins to increase spread in both position and strength of synoptic scale features by Sunday and continue to increase into early portions of next week, especially on the strength and to a lesser degree the position and track of a low pressure system forecasted to develop and push into the Western Bering Sea on Monday and to a greater extent a very strong low forecasted to push into the same areas on Wednesday and Thursday of next week. North Slope and Brooks Range... A low pressure trough over the North Slope combined with high pressure near 80N and the dateline continues to cause east winds 25-30 kt along with stratus, flurries, and fog into Thursday morning. Low visibility in blowing snow is expected to develop along the eastern Arctic Coast as snow increases this evening and continues into Thursday morning. Conditions are expected to improve on Thursday morning as snow and winds decrease. Central and Eastern Interior... Mostly cloudy skies, occasional sprinkles or flurries, light winds and near normal temperatures are expected through the weekend and into early next week. West Coast and Brooks Range... The West Coast of Alaska will continue to see north winds 15-25kt through Friday with snow showers along the North facing shores, especially along Western Capes. A deep low moves out of the Western Bering Sea into the Central Bering Sea on Saturday and into the Northwestern Gulf of Alaska by Sunday which will bring a shift to southerly and southeasterly winds as well as increasing chances of precipitation to the West Coast and Western Interior to the south of Unalakleet. At this time winds are expected to be offshore direction minimizing the threat for coastal flooding and erosion. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4... A deep low moves out of the Western Bering Sea into the Central Bering Sea on Saturday and into the Northwestern Gulf of Alaska by Sunday which will bring a shift to southerly and southeasterly winds as well as increasing chances of precipitation to the West Coast and Western Interior to the south of Unalakleet. At this time winds are expected to be offshore direction minimizing the threat for coastal flooding and erosion. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ203-AKZ204. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245- PKZ500. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245. && CCC OCT 21
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 3:55 AM AKDT | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFG | 3 days |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.