Small Craft Advisory 153, NWS Fairbanks, AK

099 
FZAK51 PAFG 112345
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
345 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-121415-
345 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A low pressure trough over the North Slope of Alaska will
persist into Tue. A 990 mb low will develop south of Inuvik by 4am
Wed and then move to Inuvik as a 991 mb low by 4 pm Wed.

$$

PKZ225-121415-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
345 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft. Freezing
fog. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-121415-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
345 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-121415-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
345 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-121415-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
345 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-121415-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
345 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog and blowing
snow. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing fog and blowing
snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

804 
FZAK51 PAFG 121216
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
416 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-130230-
416 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1026 mb high pressure system near 80N and the dateline will
drift slowly west into Thursday. A low pressure trough over the 
North Slope of Alaska will persist into Wednesday. A 990 mb low 
will develop south of Inuvik by 4am Wed and then move to Inuvik as
a 991 mb low by 4 pm Wed.

$$

PKZ225-130230-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
416 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.THU...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-130230-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
416 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-130230-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
416 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-130230-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
416 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-130230-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
416 AM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog and blowing
snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

370 
FZAK51 PAFG 122314
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
314 PM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-131415-
314 PM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A low pressure trough over the North Slope of Alaska will persist
into Wednesday then weaken Thu. A 988 mb low will develop south 
of Inuvik by 4am Wed and then move to Inuvik as a 991 mb low by 4 
pm Wed, and to MacKenzie Bay as a 997 mb low by 4pm Thu, and then 
weakening slowly through Fri.

$$

PKZ225-131415-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
314 PM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-131415-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
314 PM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-131415-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
314 PM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-131415-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
314 PM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-131415-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
314 PM AKDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog and blowing
snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 5 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

646 
FZAK51 PAFG 131155
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-140215-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A low pressure trough over the North Slope of Alaska will persist
into today and then weaken Thursday. A 988 mb low currently south
of Inuvik will move into MacKenzie Bay as a 997 mb low by this
afternoon and then weakening slowly through Friday.

$$

PKZ225-140215-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-140215-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-140215-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-140215-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-140215-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
355 AM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog and blowing
snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

961 
FZAK51 PAFG 132325
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
325 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-141515-
325 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 988 mb low near Inuvik will weaken to 998 mb by 4pm Thu, then
move to 100 NM northeast of Barter Island as a 1009 mb low by 4pm
Fri, then weaken in place. A cold front along the West Coast of 
Alaska will remain in place through Fri and then move inland on 
Fri night.

$$

PKZ225-141515-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
325 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Snow
showers. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers.
Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-141515-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
325 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-141515-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
325 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-141515-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
325 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. Vsby 1 nm or less. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SAT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-141515-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
325 PM AKDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. Vsby 1 nm or less. 
.THU...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SAT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

445 
FZAK51 PAFG 141058
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
258 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-150215-
258 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A low pressure system over McKenzie Bay will continue to weaken 
and push west passing north of Kaktovik Friday afternoon. A cold 
front along the West Coast of Alaska will remain in place through 
Fri and then move inland on Fri night.

$$

PKZ225-150215-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
258 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers.
Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers.
Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers.
Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-150215-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
258 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy Freezing 
spray.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-150215-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
258 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SAT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N winds 5 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-150215-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
258 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SAT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-150215-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
258 AM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SAT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

693 
FZAK51 PAFG 142241
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
241 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-151445-
241 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 994 mb low near Tuktoyaktuk will move to 100 NM north of Barter
Island as a 1005 mb low by 4pm Fri, and to 120 NM northeast of
Point Barrow as a 1008 mb low by 4pm Sat, then to 120 NM north of
Point Barrow as a 1008 mb low by 4pm Sun. 

$$

PKZ225-151445-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
241 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers.
Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Snow showers.
Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-151445-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
241 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SUN...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-151445-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
241 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SAT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N winds 5 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-151445-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
241 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SAT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 5 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-151445-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
241 PM AKDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Freezing fog.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing fog. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 5 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
452 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure north of the state will continue while a
series of low pressure systems bring winds gusting to 55 mph in
and near the Alaska Range Passes and snow to the Eastern and
Central Interior tonight and Monday where Winter Weather
Advisories have been issued. Mostly cloudy skies will continue
form the Western Interior, West Coast as well as the North Slope
and Brooks Range.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Models...The 11/00Z model solutions remain in good agreement on
the position and strength of major synoptic scale features as fall
are strength however there still remains significant difference
in the models on the location of a strong low pressure expected to
develop in the Gulf of Alaska by Tuesday. The NAM continues to
remain an outlier solution in keeping with continuity we so leaned
a bit more toward the GFS and ECMWF for precip position and a
broad blend of models for probabilities. Minimal changes were made
to the temperatures as the current forecast looks pretty good.

Aloft at 500 mb broad longwave troughing continue over Northern
Alaska with no significant change expected through the end of the
week. Shortwaves that support surface low pressure systems diving
south and east of the Eastern Bering Sea into the Gulf of Alaska
will continue through the week. A strong shortwave currently east
of Bristol Bay will continue to push south and east into the Gulf
of Alaska tonight and Tuesday. 850 mb temperatures over Fairbanks
currently around 3 below will drop to around 7 below by mid week
and remain around 7 below into the end of the week.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Generally cloudy with some light
snow or flurries, but no significant accumulations expected.
East winds continue at 5 to 15 mph, but will be picking up to 10
to 25 mph this evening in most of the coastal areas. With open
water along the coast expect some patchy dense fog at times near
the coast. Fog and flurries will increase Monday night reducing
visibility along the coast. Highs in the teens to lower 30s, lows
in the single digits above to the lower 20s.

West Coast and Western Interior...A 989 mb low over Bristol Bay
will continue to push south and east into the Northern Gulf of
Alaska while spreading a mix of rain and snow north to the Seward
Peninsula, the Middle Yukon Valley, mainly south of Galena
tonight through this morning, North of the Seward Peninsula and
Galena generally cloudy, but expect some breaks. Winds along the
coast offshore at 5 to 15 mph, except 10 to 25 mph in Kotzebue
Sound and the Southern Chukchi Sea. On St Lawrence Island and
Diomede mainly north winds 10 to 25 mph. Inland winds variable,
mainly east, to 10 mph. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s, with
lows in the lower 20s to mid 30s.

Central and Eastern Interior...Mostly cloudy skies again over much
of the Interior with light winds over the Interior, however a Wind
Advisory remains in effect of the Eastern Alaska Range where winds
are expected to guts to near 50 mph this morning and then
diminish in the afternoon. A strong low in the Gulf of Alaska will
send a weather front in the southeast Interior this evening and
Tuesday with snow spreading into the area. Model track on this
storm has improved with the Tok area looking to be the bullseye
for this next snow event. Winter Weather Advisories have been
issued for zone 224 for 4 to 8 inches of snow that is expected to
fall beginning tonight in the Upper Tanana Valley areas. Winter
Weather Advisory is also in effect for zone 226 for 6 to 12 inches
of snow. The heaviest snowfall is expected to occur along the Tok
Cutoff. Lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s, and highs in the mid
30s to lower 40s.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...Broad low pressure will remain
over the state as a couple of strong lows dive out of the Bering
Sea in the the Gulf of Alaska. Strong north flow through the
Bering Strait will bring snow to the Capes, while fronts spinning
around the lows in the gulf will bring chances of snow to the
Interior. Temperatures slowly cooling.

&&

.Hydrology...none.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory for AKZ226.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ224-AKZ226.

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ230-PKZ245-PKZ500-PKZ505.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ210-PKZ230-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CCC OCT 21