Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 145, NWS Fairbanks, AK

October 3, 2021

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 3, 2021, 3:41 PM AKDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 3, 2021, 3:41 PM AKDT (23:41 UTC)
Expired
Oct 9, 2021, 4:49 AM AKDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

917 
FZAK52 PAFG 032341
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-041445-
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A weather front in the Central Bering Sea will move to the Bering
Strait to the Yukon Delta by 4pm Mon, and move inland on Tue.
A strong low in the Western Bering Sea will move to 150 NM 
southwest of Gambell as a 978 mb low by 4pm Tue, and to Gambell as
a 987 mb low by 4pm Wed.

$$

PKZ200-041445-
Norton Sound-
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas 5 ft building to
7 ft. Fog.
.MON...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-041445-
Dall Point to Wales-
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Fog. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-041445-
Kotzebue Sound-
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt becoming SE. Seas building to 5 ft.
Freezing fog. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.TUE...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-041445-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
341 PM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. 
.MON...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog.
.TUE...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
11 follow-up statements
121 
FZAK52 PAFG 041213
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-050200-
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A weather front will move to the West Coast this morning, then
inland. A 968 mb low in the Northwest Bering Sea will move to 500
nm N of Shemya by Tue morning, then 150 nm W of Gambell Wed 
morning as it weakens to 976 mb. A 985 mb low will move to Cape
Romanzof Wed morning. 

$$

PKZ200-050200-
Norton Sound-
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-050200-
Dall Point to Wales-
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog. Rain showers.
.TUE...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-050200-
Kotzebue Sound-
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog and fog.
Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-050200-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
413 AM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
552 
FZAK52 PAFG 042257
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-051415-
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 971 mb low 550 NM W of Gambell by Tue morning, then 300 NM SSW 
of Gambell Wed morning as it weakens to 980 mb. A 980 mb low will
move to Cape Romanzof Wed morning.

$$

PKZ200-051415-
Norton Sound-
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-051415-
Dall Point to Wales-
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain.
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...N winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-051415-
Kotzebue Sound-
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow.
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow. 
.THU...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-051415-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
257 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, snow.
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
392 
FZAK52 PAFG 051147
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-060230-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 978 mb low that is 400 NM W of Gambell will move to 100 NM SSW 
of Gambell by Wed morning. A second low will will move over St 
Matthew Island this evening and will reach Cape Romanzof Wed 
morning.

$$

PKZ200-060230-
Norton Sound-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-060230-
Dall Point to Wales-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain.
.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.THU...W winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-060230-
Kotzebue Sound-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-060230-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
347 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
008 
FZAK52 PAFG 060013
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-061415-
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 982 mb low 100 NM 100 NM west of Gambell and a 987 mb low in 
the southern Bering Sea will merge over Norton Sound as a 980 mb 
low by 4pm Wed, and then the low will move east over Alaska Wed 
night and Thu. 

$$

PKZ200-061415-
Norton Sound-
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog, rain. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-061415-
Dall Point to Wales-
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Fog, rain. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog, rain.
.WED NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog.
.THU...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-061415-
Kotzebue Sound-
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog, rain.
.THU...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-061415-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
413 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Fog, rain. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
064 
FZAK52 PAFG 061207
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-070215-
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 982 mb low 100 NM west of Gambell and a 987 mb low in the 
southern Bering Sea will merge over Norton Sound as a 980 mb low 
by this afternoon then move inland. A 977 mb low will move into
the southern Bering Sea Thu. 

$$

PKZ200-070215-
Norton Sound-
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Fog, rain.
.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog, rain.
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-070215-
Dall Point to Wales-
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt becoming N. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.THU...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-070215-
Kotzebue Sound-
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain with snow. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-070215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
407 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
901 
FZAK52 PAFG 062308
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-071445-
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 986 mb low over Norton Sound will move and weaken to the east 
over Koyuk as a 1000 mb low by Thu morning. A strong 981 mb low
will be located in the southern Bering Sea Thu morning and move
over St. Paul Island as a 973 mb low by Thu afternoon. This low
will move to the Kuskokwim Bay as a 970 mb low by Fri morning.

$$

PKZ200-071445-
Norton Sound-
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt becoming W. Seas building to 4 ft. Fog.
.THU...W winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-071445-
Dall Point to Wales-
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.THU...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-071445-
Kotzebue Sound-
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding.
Rain and snow. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-071445-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
308 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Fog.
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
627 
FZAK52 PAFG 071206
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-080215-
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 981 mb low in the southern Bering Sea will move over St. Paul 
Island as a 973 mb low by this afternoon. This low will move to 
the Kuskokwim Bay as a 970 mb low by Fri morning.

$$

PKZ200-080215-
Norton Sound-
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Fog.
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-080215-
Dall Point to Wales-
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-080215-
Kotzebue Sound-
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-080215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TODAY...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
418 
FZAK52 PAFG 072226
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-081400-
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 966 mb low will move to Nunivak Island by Fri morning and into
the SW mainland Fri night. High pressure will push S over the
Chukchi Sea Fri night. The low will continue to move E with a
trough extending W to a 1005 mb low 300 nm W of Gambell Sat
morning.

$$

PKZ200-081400-
Norton Sound-
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building
to 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-081400-
Dall Point to Wales-
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 8 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-081400-
Kotzebue Sound-
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-081400-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
869 
FZAK52 PAFG 081202
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-090215-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 966 mb low near Nunivak Island will slowly push inland today. 
High pressure will push S over the Chukchi Sea tonight. 

$$

PKZ200-090215-
Norton Sound-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-090215-
Dall Point to Wales-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain with snow. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-090215-
Kotzebue Sound-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-090215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
131 
FZAK52 PAFG 082210
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-091400-
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 970 mb low near Bethel will move SE. High pressure over the
Western Bering Sea will move to the Eastern Bering Sea Sat
evening with high pressure extending NW over St Lawrence Island 
to a 1014 mb high over Chukotka. A 993 mb low will move into the 
Bering Sea and reach the Pribilofs Sun afternoon. A 1008 mb low 
will develop over the Seward Peninsula Sat night and merge with 
the low near the Pribilofs Sun. 

$$

PKZ200-091400-
Norton Sound-
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-091400-
Dall Point to Wales-
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-091400-
Kotzebue Sound-
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding.
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-091400-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
136 
FZAK52 PAFG 091249
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-100230-
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
High pressure continues to push south over the Dateline while low
pressure extends north over the Eastern Arctic to the east of 
Banks Island. A 982 mb low over southwest Alaska will continue to 
weaken as a weak ridge builds north and then moves east over the 
Southern Bering Sea.

$$

PKZ200-100230-
Norton Sound-
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-100230-
Dall Point to Wales-
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-100230-
Kotzebue Sound-
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 5 kt. Seas 1 foot.  

$$

PKZ220-100230-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 3, 6:20 AM AKDT, 9 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 3, 6:20 AM AKDT, 9 hours 21 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
620 AM AKDT Sun Oct 3 2021

.SYNOPSIS...The snow dump in the Interior will taper off through
the morning with light snow and flurries lingering into Monday
morning before tapering off. The strong lows in the Gulf of
Alaska and the Yukon Territory are sliding off to the southeast
today as high pressure to the west moves over the state. Snow will
be tapering off to flurries in the Arctic as well. A remnants of
Typhoon Mindulle are moving east across the Northern Bering Sea
and a weather front associated with the low will move to the West
Coast tonight sending a mix of precipitation to the area Monday.
Strong winds and elevated surf will accompany the front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Models...The 03/00Z solutions are in good agreement, but a bit
messy over the Arctic in the near term. Solutions seem to be
handling the remnants of Typhoon Mindulle better today.
Solutions initialized well against the 03/12Z upper air flights,
and at the surface the solutions were within a couple millibars
for the major features when compared to the 03/06Z local
analysis. No change from our blend yesterday as it worked well,
and will provide good continuity with the previous forecast.
Kicking up the probabilities up again today using the SREF to
ensure categorical snow in the Central and Eastern Interior this
morning.

Aloft...At 500 hpa...Troughing is sliding to the southeast today
as ridging builds over the West Coast to the Southern Beaufort
Sea. Ridging remains over the Eastern Bering Sea extending north
to a 541 dam high over Wrangel Island. A 536 dam low has developed
over Kotzebue this morning and weak troughing extends northeast
from the low over the Eastern Arctic. A 520 dam low, associated
with Typhoon Mindulle, has moved over the Western Bering Sea.
Monday morning ridging will be over most of the state with a 545
dam center over the Upper Yukon Flats. A 536 dam low will be over
the Western Brooks Range, and the low over the Western Bering Sea
will have a 517 dam center. Tuesday morning the ridging over the
state will be flattening out as the low over the Brooks Range
moves over the Central Arctic Coast, and the low in the Bering Sea
moves to the Dateline near the Gulf of Anadyr with a 518 dam
center. At 850 hpa...Temperatures from 0C to -11C with the
warmest temperatures over the Southeast Interior and the coldest
over the West Coast. Temperatures will warm in the western half of
the state, and cool in the eastern half the next couple days.

Surface...Low pressure continues to dominate with a 992 mb low
near Prince William Sound, and a 990 mb low in the Southern Yukon
Territory. High pressure is starting to push over the West Coast
and across the Arctic as a 1028 mb high has moved to 400 nm north
of Utqiagvik this morning. High pressure extends south through the
Bering Strait to a 1034 mb high south of Nikolski. A 967 mb low,
the remnants of Typhoon Mindulle, has moved into the Western
Bering Sea. By Monday morning The low pressure over the state will
be barely hanging on over the Southeast Interior. High pressure
will extend from a 1030 mb high 500 nm north of Demarcation Point
over the state to a 1031 mb high 500 nm south of Sand Point. The
remnants of Typhoon Mindulle will be in the Northwest Bering Sea
with a 963 mb center, and the associated weather front will be
approaching the West Coast south of the Bering Strait. Tuesday
morning the high pressure will be over the eastern half of the
state as the low in the Bering Sea moves to the Dateline near the
Gulf of Anadyr at 975 mb. The associated front will be pushing
into the Western Interior.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Some lingering flurries or light
snow with cloudy conditions, but no significant accumulations.
Winds will be swinging around from the east at 5 to 15 mph. Winter
Storm Warnings for the Eastern areas continue as does the snow
this morning. Highs in the 30s, lows in the 20s.

West Coast and Western Interior...Increasing clouds later today
with the front moving to the coast Monday morning with a mix of
precipitation. Expect rain and snow along the coast south of the
Bering Strait and in the Nulato Hills with snow north of the
Bering Strait and in the Western Interior by Tuesday morning.
Significant snowfall is possible Tuesday and Wednesday, but
details are still a bit sketchy so we will be evaluating that as
new guidance comes in. Strong gusty south and southwest winds to
45 mph will move to the coast with the front along with elevated
surf on the south and southwest facing coastlines. Highs in the
30s and lows in the 20s today with warming temperatures through
midweek that will push highs into the 40s in some areas.

Central and Eastern Interior...Winter Storm Warnings and Winter
Weather Advisories remain in effect through the morning, but the
snow will be tapering off to flurries or light snow with
accumulations generally less than 2 inches today. Some clearing as
high pressure moves in tonight. Winds variable to 10 mph.
Temperatures fairly steady with highs in the mid 30s and lows in
the 20s.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...The remnants of Typhoon
Mindulle will be moving across the Northern Bering Sea with
increasing winds and potential for elevated surf on south and
southwest facing shorelines from the Bering Strait south Monday
into Wednesday. Southwest to west flow is expected through the end
of the week.

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...The remnants of Typhoon
Mindulle will bring the potential for another round of heavy snow
to the Interior later this week as westerly flow sets up across
the state. A mix of precipitation is expected in the Western areas
with potential for heavy snow in the Brooks Range midweek. Another
strong low will move to the southwest mainland Friday morning.

&&

.Hydrology...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Winter Storm Warning for AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ226.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ220-AKZ221-AKZ222-AKZ225.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ210.

&&

SDB OCT 21

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 3, 3:37 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG60 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.