Small Craft Advisory 119, NWS Fairbanks, AK

065 
FZAK51 PAFG 102256
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
256 PM AKDT Fri Sep 10 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-111445-
256 PM AKDT Fri Sep 10 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 994 mb low north of St Lawrence Island will move north through 
the Bering Strait today and into the southern Chukchi Sea on 
Saturday. Easterly flow along the Beaufort Sea through Saturday. 

$$

PKZ225-111445-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
256 PM AKDT Fri Sep 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-111445-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
256 PM AKDT Fri Sep 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-111445-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
256 PM AKDT Fri Sep 10 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-111445-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
256 PM AKDT Fri Sep 10 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-111445-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
256 PM AKDT Fri Sep 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NW winds 5 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Sep 21

808 
FZAK51 PAFG 111248
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
448 AM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-120245-
448 AM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 994 mb low west of St Lawrence Island will remain in place today
as a 998 mb low near Nunivak Island moves north into Norton Sound 
this evening. Weak high pressure will remain in place from near 
Point Barrow to Banks Island through Sunday.

$$

PKZ225-120245-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
448 AM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

.TODAY...S winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-120245-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
448 AM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt becoming SW. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-120245-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
448 AM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-120245-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
448 AM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.SUN...W winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-120245-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
448 AM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.SUN...W winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Sep 21

143 
FZAK51 PAFG 112322
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
322 PM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-121430-
322 PM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1027 mb high north of the Canadian Archipelago will slowly weaken
as it moves east. A weak 1009 mb low will develop offshore of 
Barter Island this evening but will weaken by Sun AM. Another weak
1009 mb low will develop 250 NM northeast of Wrangel Island Sun 
AM and will move north into higher waters.

$$

PKZ225-121430-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
322 PM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.SUN...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-121430-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
322 PM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-121430-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
322 PM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

.TONIGHT...S winds 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 3 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-121430-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
322 PM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN...N winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.WED...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-121430-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
322 PM AKDT Sat Sep 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.SUN...NW winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.WED...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Sep 21

220 
FZAK51 PAFG 121220
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
420 AM AKDT Sun Sep 12 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-130230-
420 AM AKDT Sun Sep 12 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1024 mb high north of the Canadian Archipelago will slowly 
weaken as it moves east. A weak 1005 mb low will develop over the
McKenzie Delta and slowly move to the east today and into Monday.  
A 1000 mb low will develop near 80N and the dateline and slowly
move to the east through Monday.

$$

PKZ225-130230-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
420 AM AKDT Sun Sep 12 2021

.TODAY...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ230-130230-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
420 AM AKDT Sun Sep 12 2021

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ235-130230-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
420 AM AKDT Sun Sep 12 2021

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ240-130230-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
420 AM AKDT Sun Sep 12 2021

.TODAY...E winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ245-130230-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
420 AM AKDT Sun Sep 12 2021

.TODAY...E winds 5 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.WED...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Sep 21

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
128 AM AKDT Fri Sep 10 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Another very nice fall day on tap for the Central and Eastern
Interior today with partly cloudy skies early and temperatures
reaching into the mid 60s again. Clouds will increase as will
chances for rain over the Central and Eastern Interior this
evening and Saturday morning. Clouds and a chance of rain will
increase again over these areas Saturday night and into Sunday.
Several fronts will pass over the West Coast and into the Western
Interior over the next several days brining a chance of rain over
the area through the weekend. over the Eastern interior before

&&

.DISCUSSION...
In the upper levels, a deep longwave trough is situated across
the Bering Sea and southeast into the Gulf of Alaska. There are
closed lows in the western Bering as well as in the Gulf of
Alaska. The current ridge axis remains to the east of the AlCan
border. The longwave trough will transition to a high amplitude
trough and ridge pattern with a deep trough over the Bering Sea
and an upper level ridge establishing itself again over Eastern
Alaska. This will result in strong south to north flow over much
of Alaska by Sunday. A strong shortwave will push north across
the Alaska Range and into the Interior Sunday night and into
Monday. This set up will likely produce strong gap and mountain
wave winds through the Alaska Range Passes and over the Northern
Foothills of the Alaska Range Sunday evening into Monday. winds
with to West Coast through Saturday.

On the surface, dry and warm conditions will continue again today
with temperatures reaching into the mid 60s over the Central and
Eastern Interior before clouds and increased chances for rain push
into the area with moisture moving in from the southeast ahead of
a front pushing in from the southwest. A weather front will
move across the West Coast and into the Western Interior to the
foothills of the Brooks Range today. This front will cause enough
lift when combined with a westerly moving front that will develop
north of the Alaska Range today to bring precipitation to the
Central and Eastern Interior this evening. Models continue to
struggle on the placement of fronts in the in the Bering, but the
overall theme remains the same out west, as several fronts moving
north along the West Coast and into the Western Interior will
bring several round of rain through the weekend. which will be
wet and cool. Conditions will dry once again for the Interior
Saturday afternoon and will continue into Sunday morning.

Central and Eastern Interior...
Dry and warm conditions continuing for today before increasing
clouds and chances for precipitation move into the Central
Interior this evening with the best chances of rain from Fairbanks
north as a weather front lifts north through the area. After this
front, clearing and dry conditions will return with middle 50s to
low 60s on Sunday.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
Low stratus and fog, dense at many locations, has returned across
the Arctic Coast as easterly flow continues today. Areas north of
the Brooks Range will remain dry going into the weekend as high
pressure remains situated over Arctic waters. Temperatures will
remain seasonal into the weekend.

West Coast and Western Interior...
Cloudy and wet conditions will continue to be the story for areas
of the West Coast and Western Interior going into and through the
weekend. A complex of surface lows will remain in the Bering Sea,
bringing periods of precipitation to the West Coast and to the
foothills of the western and central Brooks Range through tonight.
Another front will push into the Yukon Delta by Saturday morning,
bringing a second round of precipitation that will last into
Sunday. Temperatures will remain near or slightly below normal
through the weekend.

Coastal Hazard Potential...
Southwest winds over Norton Sound today through Saturday will
produce elevated water levels 1 to 2 feet above the normal high
tide level along south and west facing coastlines beginning
tonight and lasting through the weekend south of the Bering
Strait. Residents are encouraged to secure items by moving them
away from the beach.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Rivers in the Kobuk and Noatak Valleys continue to remain high as
heavy rainfall from earlier in the week continues to move
downstream. Expect these rivers to remain near bankfull and
continue to run high through the weekend.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

CCC SEP 21