Brisk Wind Advisory 78, NWS Fairbanks, AK

751 
FZAK52 PAFG 231325
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
425 AM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-240315-
425 AM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 990 mb low will push a front through the Bering Sea today and move
to St. Matthew Island by 6am Wednesday while high pressure 
remains in place over the Northern Bering Sea and Eastern Siberia.

$$

PKZ200-240315-
Norton Sound-
425 AM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow and freezing fog. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-240315-
Dall Point to Wales-
425 AM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 35 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-240315-
Kotzebue Sound-
425 AM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-240315-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
425 AM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt.  

$$

Feb 21

062 
FZAK52 PAFG 232319
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
219 PM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-241515-
219 PM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 990 mb low will push a front through the Bering Sea tonight and
move to St. Matthew Island by 6am Wednesday while high pressure 
remains in place over the Northern Bering Sea and Eastern Siberia.

$$

PKZ200-241515-
Norton Sound-
219 PM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU...W winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...NW winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-241515-
Dall Point to Wales-
219 PM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...NE winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-241515-
Kotzebue Sound-
219 PM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...W winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-241515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
219 PM AKST Tue Feb 23 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. 
.WED...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...NW winds 25 kt.  

$$

Feb 21

595 
FZAK52 PAFG 241253
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
353 AM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-250315-
353 AM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 990 mb low will push to St. Matthew Island by 6am Wednesday 
while high pressure remains in place over the Northern Bering Sea 
and Eastern Siberia.

$$

PKZ200-250315-
Norton Sound-
353 AM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE winds 30 kt. Freezing fog. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU...W winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-250315-
Dall Point to Wales-
353 AM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE winds 35 kt. Blowing snow and freezing fog. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 35 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-250315-
Kotzebue Sound-
353 AM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 10 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-250315-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
353 AM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 30 kt.  

$$

Feb 21

798 
FZAK52 PAFG 250010
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
310 PM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-251515-
310 PM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 990 mb low near St. Matthew Island will push east tonight while
high pressure remains in place over the Chukchi Sea and Eastern 
Siberia. A 1006 mb low will develop over Kotzebue Sound tonight 
and slowly weaken on Thursday. 

$$

PKZ200-251515-
Norton Sound-
310 PM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt becoming N 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. 
.MON...N winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-251515-
Dall Point to Wales-
310 PM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 35 kt. 
.MON...N winds 40 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-251515-
Kotzebue Sound-
310 PM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-251515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
310 PM AKST Wed Feb 24 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 30 kt. 
.MON...N winds 35 kt.  

$$

Feb 21

967 
FZAK52 PAFG 251256
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
356 AM AKST Thu Feb 25 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-260315-
356 AM AKST Thu Feb 25 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 990 mb low near St. Matthew Island will push east while high 
pressure remains in place over the Chukchi Sea and Eastern 
Siberia. A 1006 mb low will develop over Kotzebue Sound tonight 
and slowly weaken on Thursday.

$$

PKZ200-260315-
Norton Sound-
356 AM AKST Thu Feb 25 2021

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-260315-
Dall Point to Wales-
356 AM AKST Thu Feb 25 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SUN...NE winds 40 kt. 
.MON...N winds 35 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-260315-
Kotzebue Sound-
356 AM AKST Thu Feb 25 2021

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 10 kt. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-260315-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
356 AM AKST Thu Feb 25 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SUN...N winds 25 kt. 
.MON...N winds 35 kt.  

$$

Feb 21

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
206 AM AKST Mon Feb 22 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
With the exception of the Eastern North Slope where blizzard
conditions continue this morning, high pressure continues to
dominate much of Northern Alaska, keeping weather conditions
relatively benign. Blizzard conditions are expected to improve
this afternoon over Eastern North Slope as both winds and snow
diminish. Temperatures once again plummeted into the 30s and 40s
below this morning over much of the Interior. Temperatures are
expected to moderate nicely again this afternoon to the single
digits below zero before plummeting once again tonight into the
20s and 30s below. These temperatures coupled with areas of
stronger winds along the Arctic and West Coast will continue to
produce very low wind chills into today. Attention quickly shifts
to Tuesday, as the start of a series of storms to impact the
Interior, bringing warmer temperatures and snowier conditions for
many locations.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
At the surface, models continue to be in good agreement with the
placement of major synoptic features, with a 984 mb low 150 nm
north of Banks Island and a 1026 mb high over Eastern Siberia. A
front rotating around the low near Banks Island has pushed on
shore over the Eastern North Slope and is now stalled in the
Eastern Brooks Range. The front continues to produce light snow
and strong and gusty winds which are producing blizzard
conditions. Conditions are expected to improve this afternoon as
both winds and snow diminish. High pressure over Siberia will
remain quasi- stationary, building southeast over Northern Alaska,
keeping most locations dry and cold today. By Tuesday, the first
of several fronts will move into Southwest Alaska and cross the
Interior bringing snowier and warmer conditions across the region.

Aloft, at 500 mb, models initialize well with the main feature
being a 459 decameter (dam) closed low north of Banks Island with
a deep longwave trough extending southwest across Northern Alaska
into the Bering Sea. In this longwave trough, a shortwave trough
and associate 510 dam low continues to move south along the West
Coast and is currently located over Western Bristol Bay. This
upper level low will continue to push south and east into the
Gulf of Alaska as an upper level ridge builds north and east into
the Eastern Bering Sea and West Coast late today and Tuesday and
into the Central and Eastern Interior by Tuesday evening. This
will bring in a southwesterly to westerly flow across the
Interior, increasing temperatures aloft and chances of snow. This
will be the first storm in a series that will bring a snowier
pattern along with warmer temperatures over much of the Interior
through most of this upcoming week.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
Snow and windy conditions continue to impact the Eastern Arctic
Coast as a front which pushed through the area yesterday is now
stalled in the Eastern Brooks Range. The strongest winds are
impacting portions of the Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast and continue
to produce blizzard or near blizzard conditions. A Blizzard
Warning remains in effect through 9 AM this morning for the
Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast, for Pt. Thomson east to Kaktovik.
Conditions are expected to improve as winds and snow diminish
later this morning. By Tuesday, ridging will push back into the
area creating benign weather conditions along with a return of
colder temperatures for the remainder of the week.

West Coast and Western Interior...
Relatively quiet conditions will persist today as high pressure
over Siberia dominates weather conditions across the region.
Expect a mix of mainly clear skies and areas of stratus over much
of the West Coast and Western Interior today. Cold temperatures
coupled with with gusty northwest winds along the West Coast,
continue to produce low wind chills this morning but are expected
to moderate this afternoon as winds diminish and temperatures
increase along portions of the Seward Peninsula. Then, attention
shifts to the YK Delta as a front moves onshore early Tuesday
morning and then into the Western Interior by Tuesday afternoon.
This will be the start of an active weather pattern as a series of
systems will move across the region, each one bringing rounds of
snow and warmer temperatures.

Central and Eastern Interior...
Mainly clear skies continue to dominate much of the Central and
Eastern Interior with a few areas of higher level clouds.
Temperatures in the 30s and 40s below this morning will moderate
into the single digits below zero again this afternoon before
they plummet once again tonight into 20s and 30s below, with the
coldest areas in valley locations with clear skies and light
winds. Then, with a storm marching across the Western Interior
Tuesday morning, look for increase chances of snow Tuesday
afternoon as the precipitation field reaches the Central Interior.
This will be the start of a snowier pattern along with warmer
temperatures across the region for the remainder of the work week.
There is still some uncertainty of the exact location of the
heaviest snowfall, as models continue to struggle with the fine
details, stay tuned to the forecast for further updates as we
approach this event.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

Extended Forecast for Days 4 through 7...
Beginning the extended mid to late week will continue with an
active weather pattern impacting many location across the
Interior as series of storms push moisture north into the region
bringing several rounds of on- and- off again snow, with the
heaviest amounts primarily south of the Yukon River, along with a
surge of warmer temperatures. The North Slope and Arctic Coast
will continue to have the coldest temperatures and driest
conditions through the extended period.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Chill Advisory for AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ213.

Blizzard Warning for AKZ204.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ203-AKZ220.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ210.
&&

CCC FEB 21