Brisk Wind Advisory 43, NWS Fairbanks, AK

076 
FZAK52 PAFG 300038
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
338 PM AKST Fri Jan 29 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-301515-
338 PM AKST Fri Jan 29 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 991 mb low near over Bristol Bay will continue to weaken and 
move southeast into the Gulf of Alaska tonight. High pressure will
strengthen over the Chukchi Sea through Mon. A strong low will
move N into the southwest Bering Sea on Sun as its associated 
front moves north across the Bering Sea Sat and Sun. 

$$

PKZ200-301515-
Norton Sound-
338 PM AKST Fri Jan 29 2021

.TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-301515-
Dall Point to Wales-
338 PM AKST Fri Jan 29 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SUN...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...NE winds 30 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-301515-
Kotzebue Sound-
338 PM AKST Fri Jan 29 2021

.TONIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 10 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-301515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
338 PM AKST Fri Jan 29 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.MON...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...NE winds 30 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt.  

$$

Jan 21

891 
FZAK52 PAFG 301159
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
259 AM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-310315-
259 AM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
High pressure will strengthen over the Chukchi Sea through Mon. A
strong low will move N into the southwest Bering Sea on Sun as 
its associated front moves north across the Bering Sea Sat and 
Sun.

$$

PKZ200-310315-
Norton Sound-
259 AM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

.TODAY...NW winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 25 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. 
.MON...E winds 40 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-310315-
Dall Point to Wales-
259 AM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Snow.
.SUN...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.MON...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.TUE...NE winds 30 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 35 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-310315-
Kotzebue Sound-
259 AM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

.TODAY...NW winds 10 kt. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.MON...E winds 30 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. 
.TUE...NE winds 25 kt. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-310315-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
259 AM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. 
.MON...E winds 35 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. 
.TUE...NE winds 35 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt.  

$$

Jan 21

417 
FZAK52 PAFG 310023
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
323 PM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-311515-
323 PM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
High pressure will strengthen over the Chukchi Sea through Mon. A
strong low will move N into the southwest Bering Sea on Sun as 
its associated front moves north across the Bering Sea tonight 
and Sun.

$$

PKZ200-311515-
Norton Sound-
323 PM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...S winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-311515-
Dall Point to Wales-
323 PM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.TUE...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 35 kt. 
.THU...S winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-311515-
Kotzebue Sound-
323 PM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 5 kt becoming N. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-311515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
323 PM AKST Sat Jan 30 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

Jan 21

644 
FZAK52 PAFG 311233
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
333 AM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-010315-
333 AM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
High pressure will strengthen over the Chukchi Sea through Tue. A
strong low will move N into the southwest Bering Sea on Sun as 
its associated front moves north across the Bering Sea tonight and
Sun.

$$

PKZ200-010315-
Norton Sound-
333 AM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...SE winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-010315-
Dall Point to Wales-
333 AM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 50 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.TUE...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 35 kt. 
.THU...SE winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-010315-
Kotzebue Sound-
333 AM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 10 kt. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-010315-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
333 AM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt.  

$$

Jan 21

065 
FZAK52 PAFG 010002
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
302 PM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-011530-
302 PM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
High pressure will strengthen over the Chukchi Sea through Tue. A
strong low will continue to move N over the SW Bering Sea through
Tue as its associated front moves NW across the Bering Sea 
tonight and Mon.

$$

PKZ200-011530-
Norton Sound-
302 PM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...SE winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...SE winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-011530-
Dall Point to Wales-
302 PM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 50 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 45 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.TUE...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...SE winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-011530-
Kotzebue Sound-
302 PM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-011530-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
302 PM AKST Sun Jan 31 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

Jan 21

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
247 PM AKST Thu Jan 28 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A front will bring increased cloud cover and chances for snow as
it moves east into the Interior tonight. This will cause
temperatures to warm up over the Interior. Elsewhere, gusty
northerly winds will persist into early Saturday through the
Bering Strait. Very cold wind chill values will be an issue at
times into early Saturday across the Arctic Coast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The 28/12 UTC model suite initialized the low in the Bering Sea a
few millibars to weak when compared to observational data, so we
will make some hand edits to the winds to account for this. The
operational models are in decent agreement in the short term.

Aloft, at 500 mb, a 507 dam low is located over the northern
Bering Sea while a 515 dam low is located over Kodiak. A ridge
stretches from the central Interior into the Yukon Territory while
a trough stretches across the Arctic Coast to a 494 dam low over
the Canadian Archipelago. The low over the northern Bering will
push into Bristol Bay tonight before weakening on Friday. The low
near Kodiak will remain relatively stationary before diving to
the southwest Friday night. The trough over the Arctic will
strengthen on Saturday before diving south into the Interior on
Sunday where it will persist into early next week.

Central and Eastern Interior...
A front will push to the northeast over the Interior this evening.
This will bring increased cloud cover to the area to along with
chances for snowfall. North of the Fairbanks area, up to an inch
of accumulation is possible. Fairbanks will see weak downslope
flow that will limit snowfall, so we are not anticipating any
accumulation in town. The Alaska Range will see around an inch of
snowfall at pass level as well. Snowfall is expected Saturday
into Sunday across the Interior as a trough digs southward over
the Interior. Right now this system looks to be the best chance
for measurable snowfall for Fairbanks that we have seen in a
while. Snowfall will diminish on Sunday, and temperatures will
drop Sunday night. Temperatures Sunday night could approach -30
at valley level; however, cloud cover will make the forecast
challenging.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
A weak surface low over the Mackenzie Delta combined with high
pressure near 80N and 160E will continue to produce east winds
along with broken cloud cover and a few flurries for much of the
North Slope. Temperatures will assume a steady drop going into
the weekend, with some of the coldest temperatures of the season
to follow early next week. Wind chill values will be right around
advisory levels tonight. We opted to issue a wind chill advisory
for zone 203 where Deadhorse will see wind chill values as cold as
55 below.

West Coast and Western Interior...
A weather front associated with a 976 mb low situated in the
Central Bering Sea continues to track north through the Bering
Strait and Seward Peninsula, and Western Interior. Low
visibilities in snow and blowing snow continue over the Bering
Strait where a Winter Weather Advisory continues through Midnight
tonight. Blizzard conditions developed today near Point Hope today,
so we opted to issue a Blizzard Warning through noon on Friday
for p Winds in the 40 to 50 mph range will continue along and near
the Bering strait. Strong winds are also expected to continue
along the Chukchi Sea Coast north of the Bering Strait through
Friday. Snowfall in the Western Interior will mostly taper off
tonight, but not before 1 to 2 inches of snow falls over the area.
Colder temperatures are expected for the weekend.

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...
Starting off early next week, a cold airmass will be in place over
northern Alaska. This has the potential to bring Fairbanks its
coldest temperatures so far this season; however, there is still a
lot of uncertainty due to the cloud cover.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ213.

Gale Warning for PKZ210-PKZ220.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

JAN 21