Brisk Wind Advisory 146, NWS Fairbanks, AK

225 
FZAK51 PAFG 112305
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
305 PM AKDT Sun Apr 11 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-121415-
305 PM AKDT Sun Apr 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A trough of low pressure near Cape Lisburne will shift east along
the North Slope through Mon before weakening Mon night.

$$

PKZ225-121415-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
305 PM AKDT Sun Apr 11 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Snow.
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED...SE winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU...S winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ230-121415-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
305 PM AKDT Sun Apr 11 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.THU...S winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ235-121415-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
305 PM AKDT Sun Apr 11 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. 
.MON...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...S winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-121415-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
305 PM AKDT Sun Apr 11 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU...S winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...SW winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-121415-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
305 PM AKDT Sun Apr 11 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.MON...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...SW winds 15 kt.  

$$

Apr 21

235 
FZAK51 PAFG 121008
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
208 AM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-130215-
208 AM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A trough of low pressure near Cape Lisburne will shift east along
the North Slope through Mon before weakening Mon night.

$$

PKZ225-130215-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
208 AM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Snow.
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...S winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt.  

$$

PKZ230-130215-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
208 AM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...SE winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt.  

$$

PKZ235-130215-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
208 AM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...S winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-130215-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
208 AM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...S winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-130215-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
208 AM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt.  

$$

Apr 21

960 
FZAK51 PAFG 122330
CWFNSB

Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
330 PM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ298-131415-
330 PM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A trough of low pressure along the coast will persist through
Wednesday. 

$$

PKZ225-131415-
Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort-
330 PM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Snow.
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt. 
.SAT...SW winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ230-131415-
Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin-
330 PM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt. 
.TUE...NE winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt. 
.SAT...SW winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ235-131415-
Point Franklin to Cape Halkett-
330 PM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 5 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...S winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...W winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ240-131415-
Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island-
330 PM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...S winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...W winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ245-131415-
Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point-
330 PM AKDT Mon Apr 12 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...W winds 20 kt.  

$$

Apr 21

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
335 PM AKDT Sat Apr 10 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Heavy snow along with gusty winds and blowing snow are expected
over parts of the West Coast and Western Interior tonight into
early Monday as a weather system pushes north through the area.
Strong southerly gap winds are expected to develop on Sunday and
persist into Monday near passes in the Alaska Range. The Interior
will see a warmup in temperatures over the next few days after
record setting cold.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The 10/12 UTC models initialized well when compared to
observational data. The models are in decent agreement with
synoptic scale pattern out through the middle of the upcoming
week. For the grids, we nudged the winds from the Inherited
forecast to MOS guidance to bump up winds in valley areas. We also
nudged inherited winds over the ocean a bit to the Canadian model
to help bump the values up a bit.

Aloft, at 500 mb, a 508 dam low is currently in place over the
central Bering Sea, while a weak ridge stretches from the
Chukotsk Peninsula southeast into the Gulf of Alaska. The low will
slowly push to the east through Monday causing the ridge to build to
the north and east. The result of this will be southerly flow
developing over most of the forecast area by Sunday afternoon.
Southerly flow looks to remain in place over much of the forecast
area through the middle of the upcoming week, with a trough in
place over the Bering Sea.

Central and Eastern Interior...
A warming trend in temperatures is expected over the next few
days. Last night, many locations in the Interior saw low
temperatures in the 20s to 30s below zero (over 40 degrees below
climatological normals). With southerly flow kicking in, we
expect tonight to be much warmer than last night, especially over
the southern Interior, with lows in the single digits to teens
below zero. Closer to the Brooks Range, we will see some readings
that drop into the 20s below. Highs tomorrow in the southern
Interior will go above freezing in many locations, and will climb
into the 40s on Monday. Many spots in the southern Interior will
see lows Sunday and Monday nights in the 20s (above zero). Areas
north of the Yukon River will see some light snow Sunday night and
Monday, the snow could be heavy at times in the Koyukuk River
Valley. Strong southerly winds are expected to develop for Sunday
and Monday in the Alaska Range.

West Coast and Western Interior...
A weather front is currently bringing snow and blowing snow to
the Yukon Delta and the lower Yukon Valley. As the surface low in
the Bering Sea pushes to the east tonight and Sunday, snow, heavy
at times, will push north and east across the west Coast and
Western Interior. This will also be accompanied by gusty easterly
winds along the front as it moves north over the area. Snow
amounts of 6 to 12 inches through Monday morning. Some areas may
see lower amounts due to downsloping (especially on the north side
of terrain) or rain mixing in with the snow (this will be more
prevalent south of the Yukon River). The bulk of the snow will
taper off Sunday night and Monday; however with a trough over the
Bering, showers are possible at times through the middle of the
week.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
Another night with temperatures in the 20s to 30s below is
expected for tonight. A warming trend in temperatures is expected
over the next few days, with temperatures close to normal for
Monday and above normal for Tuesday. Easterly winds will increase
along the coast early Monday as a front moves north over the area.
Areas west of Utqiagvik will see some snow on Monday as this
front moves across, with less than two inches of accumulation
expected. As the winds pick up, blowing snow will develop. Areas
from Wainwright west may see the visibility become poor at times.
Southerly gap winds will also develop early Monday in the Brooks
Range as the front moves to the north over the area. As the winds
pick up blowing snow will likely develop near passes in the Brooks
Range.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...Southerly flow over the Central
and Eastern Interior will bring seasonal temperatures with highs
in the 30s and 40s, and lows in the teens and 20s above.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory for AKZ225.

High Wind Warning for AKZ226.

Winter Storm Warning for AKZ211-AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ216-AKZ217.

Blizzard Warning for AKZ213.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ212-
AKZ219.

Gale Warning for PKZ200-PKZ220.

Storm Warning for PKZ210.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ215-PKZ225.
&&

APR 21