Brisk Wind Advisory 10, NWS Fairbanks, AK

834 
FZAK52 PAFG 092328
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
228 PM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-101515-
228 PM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 963 mb low near Nikolski will move to near Kodiak Island as a 
962 mb low Sun morning and will remain in place and strengthen to
959 mb Mon morning.

$$

PKZ200-101515-
Norton Sound-
228 PM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-101515-
Dall Point to Wales-
228 PM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN...N winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...N winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. 
.WED...N winds 25 kt. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-101515-
Kotzebue Sound-
228 PM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

.TONIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. 
.SUN...NW winds 20 kt. 
.SUN NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.MON...W winds 10 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...NW winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-101515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
228 PM AKST Sat Jan 9 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. 
.WED...NW winds 25 kt. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt.  

$$

Jan 21

853 
FZAK52 PAFG 101257
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
357 AM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-110330-
357 AM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 964 mb low just south of Kodiak Island will remain in place and
strengthen to 959 mb Mon morning.

$$

PKZ200-110330-
Norton Sound-
357 AM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON...N winds 25 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-110330-
Dall Point to Wales-
357 AM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...N winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NW winds 25 kt. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-110330-
Kotzebue Sound-
357 AM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

.TODAY...NW winds 20 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.MON...W winds 15 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.TUE...NW winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-110330-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
357 AM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt.  

$$

Jan 21

314 
FZAK52 PAFG 102322
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
222 PM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-111515-
222 PM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 962 mb low just south of Kodiak Island will remain in place and
strengthen to 957 mb Mon morning. A 1028 MB high over the Russian
Far East will continue in place. This is creating a strong 
pressure gradient across the region.

$$

PKZ200-111515-
Norton Sound-
222 PM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...N winds 25 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-111515-
Dall Point to Wales-
222 PM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON...N winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-111515-
Kotzebue Sound-
222 PM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.MON...W winds 10 kt. 
.MON NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.TUE...NW winds 5 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-111515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
222 PM AKST Sun Jan 10 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow and freezing fog. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.MON...N winds 35 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt.  

$$

PROTON Jan 21

299 
FZAK52 PAFG 111143
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
243 AM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-120315-
243 AM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 962 mb low just south of Kodiak Island will slowly move to
Bristol Bay and weaken to 991 mb by Wed.

$$

PKZ200-120315-
Norton Sound-
243 AM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-120315-
Dall Point to Wales-
243 AM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-120315-
Kotzebue Sound-
243 AM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

.TODAY...W winds 10 kt. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt. 
.TUE...NW winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 5 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-120315-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
243 AM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 35 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt.  

$$

Jan 21

754 
FZAK52 PAFG 112314
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
214 PM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-121515-
214 PM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1024 mb high pressure center over the Chukotsk Peninsula will
shift north and weaken through Wednesday. An area of low pressure
over the Interior will shift west to the YK Delta on Wednesday.
High pressure over the Arctic Ocean will persist.

$$

PKZ200-121515-
Norton Sound-
214 PM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late tonight. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-121515-
Dall Point to Wales-
214 PM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-121515-
Kotzebue Sound-
214 PM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

.TONIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. 
.TUE...W winds 10 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-121515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
214 PM AKST Mon Jan 11 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 
NM or less. 
.TUE...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...NE winds 20 kt.  

$$

Jan 21

834 
FZAK52 PAFG 121303
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
403 AM AKST Tue Jan 12 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-130315-
403 AM AKST Tue Jan 12 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1024 mb high pressure center over the Chukotsk Peninsula will
shift north and weaken through Wednesday. An area of low pressure
over the Interior will shift west to the YK Delta on Wednesday.
High pressure over the Arctic Ocean will persist.

$$

PKZ200-130315-
Norton Sound-
403 AM AKST Tue Jan 12 2021

.TODAY...N winds 20 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-130315-
Dall Point to Wales-
403 AM AKST Tue Jan 12 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...NW winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ215-130315-
Kotzebue Sound-
403 AM AKST Tue Jan 12 2021

.TODAY...W winds 10 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW winds 5 kt. Snow.
.WED...E winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-130315-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
403 AM AKST Tue Jan 12 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. 
.SAT...NE winds 20 kt.  

$$

Jan 21

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
351 PM AKST Fri Jan 8 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Relatively warm temperatures are expected to persist into the
weekend across the Interior. Gusty winds will also be an issue at
times in the Interior through the weekend, especially near the
Alsaka Range and in the Tanana Valley near Delta Junction. The
West Coast and Western Interior will see light snow at times into
Saturday. Breezy northerly winds are expected to develop along the
West Coast on Sunday and will continue into early next week. The
North Slope will be relatively quiet through Sunday, with chances
for snow increasing on Sunday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The 08/12 UTC model suite initialized well when compared to
observational data. The models are in good agreement with the
overall synoptic scale pattern out through early next week.

Aloft, at 500 mb, we are currently in a southerly flow pattern
over much of the area, with a ridge over western Canada an a 492
dam low over the western Aleutians. A pair of shortwaves in the
southerly flow that will move north over the area tonight and
Saturday. The low that is currently over the Aleutians will push
east into the Gulf of Alaska by Sunday. This will help to push the
ridge to the northwest, stretching across the northern Interior
and the North Slope.

Central and Eastern Interior...
Southerly gap winds are expected to develop again tonight in the
Alaska Range. With the afternoon forecast package we opted to
change the High Wind Watch that was out for the eastern Alaska
Range to a Wind Advisory with gusts up to 65 mph expected. The
gap winds in the Alaska Range will die back off Saturday morning,
with another round expected for Sunday night. Easterly Tanana
Valley Jet winds with gusts up to 45 mph are expected to continue
near Delta Junction through tonight. The winds near Delta will die
down somewhat on Saturday, but will remain easterly. Elsewhere,
the southerly flow pattern will keep temperatures above normal
into the weekend, with a strong inversion persisting over
Fairbanks. The far northern Interior could see a few snow flakes
this evening; however, no accumulation is expected. A weak
easterly wave will bring chances for some light snow to the
eastern Interior late Saturday and the northern Interior on Sunday;
however, again, no accumulation is expected.

West Coast and Western Interior...
Light snow will continue from Kotzebue Sound north this evening,
with up to an additional expected. Another shortwave will move
over the area on Saturday bringing additional chances for light
snow. The pressure gradient really tightens along he coast on
Saturday evening, which will cause northerly winds to increase
along the coast. The strongest winds look to remain mainly
offshore, with gale force winds expected from the Bering Strait
to St. Lawrence Island. The gusty winds look to persist into early
next week.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
Light snow will continue this evening over the northwest Arctic
this evening before tapering off overnight. Up to an additional
inch of accumulation is expected through the morning. A brief
period of gusty east winds are expected along the eastern Arctic
Coast this evening, possibly causing reductions in visibility due
to blowing snow. Relatively quiet weather is expected for
Saturday and Sunday with with periods of fog and status. Sunday
night the pressure gradient increase across the Brooks Range
causing northerly gap winds to increase. Chances for snow increase
on Sunday night and Monday mainly for areas east of Utqiagvik.

Extended Forecast Days 4-7...
The extended period doesn't look to exciting for our forecast
area, with much of the active weather remaining to our south. The
flow over the next week will mostly be southerly, helping to keep
temperatures at or above climatological normal values. The pattern
also looks for the most part, relatively dry.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory for AKZ226.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ220-PKZ245.
&&

JAN 21