Small Craft Advisory 881, NWS Anchorage, AK

029 
FZAK52 PAFC 051223
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-060130-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1018 mb low off the coast of Kamchatka quickly tracks across 
the Bering and reaches the Alaska Peninsula just west of Sand 
Point as a 1016 mb low Sat evening. High pressure behind the low 
builds over the Bering Sat evening through Sun afternoon. A 986 mb
North Pacific low moves 236 nm south of Attu Station Sun morning.
Its front pushes into Atka Sun morning.


$$

PKZ150-060130-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-060130-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-060130-
Bristol Bay-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-060130-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-060130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-060130-
Unalaska Bay-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 2 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-060130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-060130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-060130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-060130-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ176-060130-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-060130-
Adak to Kiska-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-060130-
Kiska to Attu-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-060130-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-060130-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-060130-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-060130-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
423 AM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NW 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

732 
FZAK52 PAFC 052353
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-061315-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1016 mb low 260 nm west of St Paul Island quickly tracks across
the Bering and moves 40 nm southwest of Sand Point as a 1013 mb 
low Sat afternoon. High pressure behind the low builds over the 
Bering Sat evening through Sun afternoon. A 990 mb North Pacific 
low moves to 230 nm southwest of Adak Sun afternoon. Its front 
pushes through the western and central Aleutians through Sun 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-061315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-061315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-061315-
Bristol Bay-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-061315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-061315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt, except 15 kt W of Dutch Harbor. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-061315-
Unalaska Bay-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft building 
to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-061315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft.
.SAT...NW wind increasing to 20 kt. W of Unalaska, variable wind 10
kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-061315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE wind 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-061315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-061315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-061315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-061315-
Adak to Kiska-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-061315-
Kiska to Attu-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-061315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-061315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-061315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-061315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
353 PM AKDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

476 
FZAK52 PAFC 061217
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-070115-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1014 mb low 157 nm northwest of Cold Bay makes its way across 
the Alaska Peninsula Sat afternoon and into the North Pacific Sun 
morning. High pressure over the Bering persists through Sun 
evening before breaking down Sun night. A mature 996 mb low 330 nm
southwest of Attu Station moves to 65 nm southwest of Adak while 
weakening to 1002 mb Mon morning. Its occluded front makes slow 
progress from the Western Aleutians on Sat afternoon to the 
Eastern Aleutians Mon morning.

$$

PKZ150-070115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-070115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-070115-
Bristol Bay-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-070115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.  and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-070115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-070115-
Unalaska Bay-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ172-070115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-070115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-070115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-070115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-070115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-070115-
Adak to Kiska-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-070115-
Kiska to Attu-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-070115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-070115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-070115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ185-070115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
417 AM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

419 
FZAK52 PAFC 070014
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-071300-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1011 mb low 100 nm southeast of Sand Point will enter the North
Pacific Sun morning. High pressure will persist over the Bering 
through Sun evening. A 1000 mb low 150 nm southwest of Kiska Sun
morning moves to 70 nm south of Amchitka Mon morning and then 
elongates to 998 mb through Mon afternoon. Its associated front 
moves from the western Aleutians Sat afternoon to the eastern 
Aleutians Mon morning.

$$

PKZ150-071300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-071300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-071300-
Bristol Bay-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray late.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-071300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-071300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-071300-
Unalaska Bay-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-071300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-071300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-071300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-071300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-071300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-071300-
Adak to Kiska-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt except variable wind 15 kt Pacific side. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-071300-
Kiska to Attu-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ179-071300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-071300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt except 15 kt N of Cape Newenham. Seas 7 ft.
Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-071300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-071300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
414 PM AKDT Sat Nov 6 2021

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

934 
FZAK52 PAFC 071251
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-080145-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1000 mb low 170 nm south of Shemya moves to 20 nm southeast of
Seguam Island, strengthening to 993 mb Tue morning. Its front 
moves over Unalaska Bay Tue morning. High pressure over the Bering
begins to break down Sun night.

$$

PKZ150-080145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-080145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-080145-
Bristol Bay-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-080145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ170-080145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ171-080145-
Unalaska Bay-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-080145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-080145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-080145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-080145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-080145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-080145-
Adak to Kiska-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-080145-
Kiska to Attu-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-080145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-080145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-080145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-080145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
351 AM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 20 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

403 
FZAK52 PAFC 080000
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-081245-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1001 mb low 120 nm south of Kiska moves to 85 nm northwest of 
Adak and strengthens to 991 mb Tue morning. It then moves to 45 nm
north of Seguam Island at 993 mb by Tue afternoon. Its front 
reaches Unalaska Bay Tue morning.

$$

PKZ150-081245-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-081245-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-081245-
Bristol Bay-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-081245-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ170-081245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ171-081245-
Unalaska Bay-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-081245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt, except variable less than 10 kt E of Unalaska.
Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-081245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-081245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-081245-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt late W of Atka. Seas 9 
ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ176-081245-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-081245-
Adak to Kiska-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming W 30 kt late. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-081245-
Kiska to Attu-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight.
Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-081245-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-081245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt except variable less than 10 kt S of Cape
Newenham. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the evening. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-081245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-081245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
300 PM AKST Sun Nov 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
455 AM AKDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The pattern is in the process of changing across Southcentral
Alaska as the strong blocking high over western North America
slowly shifts eastward. This eastward shift will allow for the
upper trough over the Alaskan mainland to also shift eastward. A
vertically stacked low over Bristol Bay is remaining nearly
stationary across the area. This pattern of a low over Bristol
Bay with high pressure to the east allows for the continuous
moisture advection across Southcentral. This moisture advection
from the North Pacific will continue the chance for ample cloud
cover and precipitation across Southcentral. Satellite imagery
shows ocean-effect snow continuing across the eastern
Bering/Aleutians due to strong cold air advection from brisk
northwesterly flow.

Closer to the surface, radar imagery shows a combination of
stratiform rain and rain showers moving northwestward across the
northern Gulf into Southcentral. Observations show the
precipitation type as rain for the coastal areas and valleys.
Precipitation type continues to remain as snow in the mountains.
Radar also shows rain and snow showers moving northwestward across
the northern Alaska Peninsula and Bristol Bay. Snow showers are
also moving over the Kuskokwim Delta and lower Kuskokwim Valley.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Guidance remains in good agreement with the placement and
intensity of synoptic scale features at both the surface and in
the upper levels. The only real discrepancy is the placement and
intensity of a low that is expected to move northwestward from
the southeastern Gulf on Friday and Saturday. Due to this,
forecast confidence remains low to moderate for the Gulf on Friday
and Saturday. Otherwise, forecast confidence remains above
average.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will continue through 04th/16z. Temporary
MVFR conditions are expected through 04th/06z as light rain will
reduce visibility to 6SM and ceilings to 1500ft. MVFR conditions
then prevail between 04th/16z and 05th/08z as ceilings remain
around 1500ft. IFR conditions are expected after 05th/08z as
ceilings fall to near 700ft.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Thursday through Saturday)...

Southerly moisture plume continues to pump sub-tropical moisture
into Southcentral. This is leading to another round of rain for
the Gulf Coast and Prince William Sound, to include the already-
saturated areas of Portage and Whittier. This system will likely
bring upwards of another 2" of rain by late Thursday night.

A vertically stacked low over Bristol Bay is embedded within the
base of a deep upper level trough. The low weakens as it moves
eastward over the Alaska Peninsula and into the western Gulf for
Friday morning. The front associated with this low is currently
lingering over the Kenai Peninsula. It is producing a band of
moderate to heavy precipitation this morning which is expected to
persist through the day. Temperatures have cooled just enough in
the heaviest precipitation to support snow (instead of rain) in
Kenai and Soldotna. Surface temperatures have been warm the past
several days and should hold right around the freezing mark. This
will limit accumulations, but a few inches will still be possible.
This band of precipitation pushes northeast up the Kenai
Peninsula and into Anchorage through Friday morning, bringing
cold air with it. Temperature forecasts will be heavily dependent
on precipitation intensity. At this time, it looks like most of
Anchorage will see a rain/snow mix turning to snow overnight while
higher elevations should see predominantly snow. If conditions
cool just 1-2 degrees further, a couple of inches of accumulation
are not out of the question at sea level. Friday morning commuters
should stay tuned into the forecast.

By Friday afternoon, northwesterly flow within the upper level
trough advects cold air southward across the Alaska Peninsula.
This will bring a period of gusty northwest winds across Southern
Cook Inlet down through Kodiak Island. It will also make for some
convective snow showers in that area. After all the excitement of
the past 6-7 days, things finally look relatively quiet for
Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A vertically stacked low parked over Bristol Bay this morning
will slowly drift south over the Alaska Peninsula today, reaching
Kodiak Island by Friday morning. Multiple shortwaves rotating
around the low will allow snow showers to linger across the
Bristol Bay region today, as well as across higher terrain where
the precipitation is being enhanced by upslope flow. The shower
activity will taper off Friday as the low exits the region. Light
snow, however, will redevelop over the Kuskokwim Delta this
afternoon and linger across the Kilbuck Mountains through early
Saturday as a shortwave lifting north ahead of the aforementioned
low stalls and elongates as it runs into a second upper-level wave
moving southeast from the north Bering. Snowfall amounts with
both systems will remain light across the Kuskokwim Delta and
Bristol Bay, as neither system is all that impressive. In addition
to the snow showers, northwesterly flow aloft will advect colder
air over the region with temperatures trending downward into the
weekend.

For the Alaska Peninsula, the cold, northwesterly flow in the
wake of the upper-level trough will keep conditions unstable,
allowing for snow showers to persist through Saturday.
Accumulating snow is possible over the next couple of days,
especially in areas where snow showers train over the same
location for extended periods of time. Blustery winds may also
reduce visibility at times in the heavier snow showers. Rain may
also mix with the snow at times along the immediate coast as
temperatures fluctuate between the lower and mid 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

An upper-level trough situated over the northern and eastern
Bering will slowly move east with cold northwesterly winds and
snow showers lingering through Saturday. Widespread gales will
persist through Friday with storm-force gusts possible out of
bays and passes along the Alaska Peninsula. Although the winds
will remain gusty, any gale-force winds are expected diminish
through the day Saturday. The western Bering will remain quiet
through Friday as a ridge builds over the region and slowly moves
east. A North Pacific low will swing a gale-force front toward the
western Aleutians late Friday.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Saturday through Monday)...

Aleutians/Bering...Considerable uncertainty through the forecast
period. A North Pacific low and its front moves over the Western
and Central Aleutians by monday. Gusty Easterly winds increase and
spread over the Central Aleutians and Bering for Monday. Seas
building to 20 feet along the Pacific side of the Western and
Central Aleutians by Monday.

Gulf of Alaska... A low tracks over the Western Gulf into the
North Pacific by Monday. Gusty winds with areas of gales along the
rear flank of the low extends from the Alaska Peninsula into the
North Pacific, diminishing Monday. Seas 10 feet or less. A
Southeast Gulf low weakens as it moves along the North Gulf Coast
to Kodiak Island by Monday. A gale force barrier jet pushes along
the North Gulf Coast, diminishing Monday. Seas to 13 feet,
subsiding near Kodiak Island Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...

The upper level flow is quite complex during the extended period,
making it difficult to nail down the details of the weather with
any confidence. However, there is general agreement in large scale
features and overall evolution of the pattern to make some broad
conclusions. Beginning with the Sunday-Monday time frame, a large
low gyre will be centered over the Gulf, with short-waves rotating
across southern Alaska. None of these waves looks particularly
strong, so chances are most areas will be dry. A ridge will be
positioned to the west over the central to eastern Bering Sea.
The most active weather will be over the western Bering and
Aleutians as a series of short-waves dog southward out of eastern
Russia. This will lead to cyclogenesis, with multiple storms
likely transiting the region. It's impossible at this point to
determine the track and depth of these lows, but based on forcing
and time of year, gale force winds are likely.

The forecast becomes a bit more fuzzy as we head through Tuesday
and Wednesday. The low gyre will fall apart as various energy
heads in different directions. The western Bering trough looks
like it will undercut the Bering ridge, tracking across the North
Pacific and perhaps interacting with the remnant trough over the
Gulf. With that general flow in mind, would expect mostly dry
conditions for southern Alaska and quieter conditions out across
the western Bering/Aleutians. There is some potential for
development of a Gulf storm mid week (and beyond) depending on
the exact placement and interaction of the aforementioned
features.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning 155 165 170 171 172 173 174 179 180 181 185 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ED
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MO/AF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TM
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/SB