Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 862, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 29, 2021, 3:59 PM AKDT. It was in force for 60 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 29, 2021, 3:59 PM AKDT (23:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 1, 2021, 4:13 AM AKDT
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
573 FZAK52 PAFC 292359 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-301300- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... Semisopochnoi volcano, located 140 nm west of Adak, is currently active. A 971 mb North Kamchatka low moves to 65 nm South of Mekoryuk at 1001 mb by Sun afternoon. Its front pushes into Western Alaska through Sun afternoon. A 1004 mb Central Kamchatka low Sat afternoon moves to 270 nm North of Attu at 988 mb for Sun afternoon. Its front extends across the Bering through Sun afternoon. $$ PKZ150-301300- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 21 ft. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ155-301300- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 50 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .SAT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ160-301300- Bristol Bay- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray west of Nunavachak Bay. Snow and rain east of Nunavachak Bay. .SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain, snow and freezing rain. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-301300- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow. .SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain with snow. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ170-301300- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. $$ PKZ171-301300- Unalaska Bay- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ172-301300- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ173-301300- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ174-301300- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ175-301300- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ176-301300- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ177-301300- Adak to Kiska- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ178-301300- Kiska to Attu- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ179-301300- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ180-301300- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray except heavy freezing spray near the coast. .SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray except heavy freezing spray near the coast in the morning. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ181-301300- North and West of Nunivak Island- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ185-301300- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 359 PM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 20 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers. .SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SW 25 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$
5 follow-up statements
598 FZAK52 PAFC 301129 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-310015- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... Semisopochnoi volcano, located 140 nm west of Adak, is currently active. A 969 mb low 230 nm Southeast of Chignik moves to 40 nm Northeast of Sitkinak at 992 mb by Sun afternoon and then dissipates. A 998 mb North Kamchatka low moves to 30 nm West of Hooper Bay at 994 mb through Sun afternoon and moves inland. Its front pushes into Western Alaska through Sun afternoon. A 1002 mb Central Kamchatka low Sat evening moves to 170 nm Northeast of Attu at 982 mb for Mon morning. Its front extends across the Bering through Mon morning. $$ PKZ150-310015- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 21 ft. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ155-310015- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...N wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ160-310015- Bristol Bay- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain, snow and freezing rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and freezing rain. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ165-310015- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain with snow. .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. From Port Moller E, NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ170-310015- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ171-310015- Unalaska Bay- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ172-310015- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ173-310015- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ174-310015- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ175-310015- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. $$ PKZ176-310015- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ177-310015- Adak to Kiska- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ178-310015- Kiska to Attu- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ179-310015- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ180-310015- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ181-310015- North and West of Nunivak Island- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ185-310015- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 329 AM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SW 25 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$
247 FZAK52 PAFC 302338 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-311300- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 997 mb low 85 nm North of St Matthew Island moves to 45 nm Southwest of Hooper Bay at 994 mb for Sun afternoon, then inland Sun night. Its front stretches across the Bering and dissipates Mon morning. A 1007 mb Central Kamchatka low moves to 190 nm North of Kiska at 983 mb by Mon afternoon. Its front extends into Norton Sound and back across the Aleutians for Mon afternoon. $$ PKZ150-311300- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .SUN...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ155-311300- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ160-311300- Bristol Bay- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ165-311300- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SUN...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ170-311300- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ171-311300- Unalaska Bay- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ172-311300- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ173-311300- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft. $$ PKZ174-311300- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. $$ PKZ175-311300- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. $$ PKZ176-311300- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ177-311300- Adak to Kiska- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ178-311300- Kiska to Attu- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. .MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ179-311300- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ180-311300- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ181-311300- North and West of Nunivak Island- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ185-311300- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 338 PM AKDT Sat Oct 30 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$
161 FZAK52 PAFC 311227 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-010130- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 991 mb low 125 nm Northwest of Nunivak moves to 50 nm North of Nunivak at 1000 mb Mon morning. This low will move inland later Monday. There is a 997 mb low 300 nm Northwest of Attu Island that moves to 200 nm Northwest of Adak at 983 mb by Mon afternoon. The low then moves to 200 nm Northeast of Adak at 989 mb Tue morning. $$ PKZ150-010130- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ155-010130- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ160-010130- Bristol Bay- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ165-010130- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt except S 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ170-010130- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ171-010130- Unalaska Bay- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 .TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ172-010130- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ173-010130- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ174-010130- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ175-010130- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ176-010130- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ177-010130- Adak to Kiska- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ178-010130- Kiska to Attu- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft. .MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ179-010130- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ180-010130- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ181-010130- North and West of Nunivak Island- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-010130- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 427 AM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...E 35 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$
934 FZAK52 PAFC 010007 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-011245- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... Semisopochnoi Volcano located 140 nm West of Adak is currently active. A 992 mb low 110 nm West of Hooper Bay moves to 25 nm West of Cape Romanzof at 995 mb and dissipates Mon morning. A 987 mb low 215 nm North west of Attu moves to 60 nm South of St George Island at 988 mb by Tue afternoon. Its front pushes through Bristol Bay and trails over the Aleutians by Tue afternoon. $$ PKZ150-011245- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ155-011245- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ160-011245- Bristol Bay- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ165-011245- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt except S 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt except S 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 7 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. $$ PKZ170-011245- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...W to SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ171-011245- Unalaska Bay- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ172-011245- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ173-011245- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ174-011245- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ175-011245- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ176-011245- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ177-011245- Adak to Kiska- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ178-011245- Kiska to Attu- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ179-011245- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ180-011245- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ181-011245- North and West of Nunivak Island- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ185-011245- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 407 PM AKDT Sun Oct 31 2021 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, NW wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 35 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... N 35 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
853 FZAK52 PAFC 011213 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-020030- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... Semisopochnoi Volcano located 140 nm West of Adak is currently active. A 999 mb low at 61N 168W moves weakens and dissipates Mon afternoon. A 983 mb low 200 nm North of Attu moves to 70 nm South of St George Island at 989 mb by Tue afternoon. Its front pushes through to Bristol Bay and over the Aleutians through Wed morning. $$ PKZ150-020030- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ155-020030- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ160-020030- Bristol Bay- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ165-020030- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt except S 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt except S 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ170-020030- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ171-020030- Unalaska Bay- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 .TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ172-020030- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ173-020030- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ174-020030- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ175-020030- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ176-020030- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ177-020030- Adak to Kiska- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ178-020030- Kiska to Attu- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ179-020030- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ180-020030- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ181-020030- North and West of Nunivak Island- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers and snow. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ185-020030- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 413 AM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers with rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 35 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming NW 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 35 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 29, 6:37 AM AKDT, 9 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 29, 6:37 AM AKDT, 9 hours 22 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
637 AM AKDT Fri Oct 29 2021
Correction made to include WWAs.
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
An upper level shortwave is moving across the northern Susitna
Valley and the Copper River Basin with a few lingering snow
showers that should end this morning. Another low is sitting near
the Bering Strait with a shortwave rotating into western Alaska
however this feature will not affect Southwest Alaska. A deepening
low pressure system is producing storm force winds south of the
AKPEN, and producing rain from Unalaska towards Cold Bay and Sand
Point. Radar shows a few rain and snow showers across Prince
William Sound as a weakening surface low moves across the area. A
few showers are seen over Cook Inlet west of the Kenai Peninsula,
otherwise quiet elsewhere. Temperatures are in the teens across
Southwest Alaska with 20s across the Copper River Basin and upper
20s to low 30s from the Kenai Peninsula up to Anchorage and the
Mat-Su valleys. And mid to upper 30s across the Pribilofs and
Aleutians, with 20s and 30s across the Alaska Peninsula.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good agreement. However, there are some minor
differences in the evolution of the low pressure system south of
the Alaska Peninsula and the large scale trough extending from
the southern Gulf through the eastern Bering and Southwest Alaska.
The biggest forecast challenges will be timing of the change from
snow to freezing rain and rain across Bristol Bay and the Lower
Kuskokwim Valley tonight through Saturday and when the strong
winds will move across the Anchorage Bowl Saturday afternoon and
evening.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...Light winds with VFR conditions will persist through this
morning with a few lingering low clouds around the terminal,
mainly over Cook Inlet. Northerly winds will increase around noon
today as a down inlet flow develops in response to a strengthening
storm system near Kodiak Island. The flow aloft will quickly turn
southeast and increase as a front approaches the Southcentral
coast. The combination of northerly surface winds and
southeasterly winds aloft will introduce wind shear over the
terminal by mid afternoon. Wind shear is expected to increase
through the late afternoon and evening hours as winds aloft
increase. Wind shear will persist through early Saturday afternoon
before gusty southeasterly Turnagain Arm winds are expected to
bend over the terminal. Periods of sprinkles or light rain are
possible by late Friday evening. Ceilings should remain at or
above 5,000 ft.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Today
through Sunday morning)...
An upper-level wave draped across the Southcentral coast this
morning will continue to lift north toward the interior. An
associated surface low that spun up in Cook Inlet yesterday
evening has now weakened as it moved north over the southern
Susitna Valley overnight. A few lingering snow showers persist
near Kenai this morning, but will diminish as the upper-level
wave moves north.
The upper-level pattern will amplify in the wake of the
aforementioned wave as an upper level low south of the Aleutian
Chain moves east toward the western Gulf. The upper-level ridge
downstream will build from the Pacific Northwest to the Yukon,
causing the upper-level low to stall and eventually move north
toward the AKPen by Saturday. This feature will weaken Sunday as
it elongates. However, the overall pattern will remain stagnant
with Southcentral Alaska remaining under the influence of a moist,
southerly flow ahead of the upper-level trough.
At the surface, an associated area of deepening low pressure will
move to an area well south of the AKPen. Its front will move from
the western Gulf with rain and gusty east winds developing over
Kodiak Island Friday morning. The front will move to the northern
Gulf by late Friday with a deep, tropical fetch of moisture
lifting toward the Kenai Peninsula. This atmospheric river will
bring copious amounts of rain and high elevation (above 3,000 ft)
snow to the eastern half of the Peninsula and Prince William
Sound through Sunday as the low continues to strengthen as it
slowly drifts north toward the AKPen. In addition to the
precipitation, the combination of the building coastal ridge and
the deepening low will induce strong southeasterly gap and
mountaintop winds. These winds are expected to increase through
Friday night and peak Saturday morning before slowly winding down
late Saturday evening into Sunday morning. Winds may gust to as
high as 90 mph across Turnagain Arm and the Upper Hillside of
Anchorage and as high as 80 mph through Portage Valley. Anchorage
and Palmer could also see a period of gusty winds by late Saturday
afternoon as a trough extending across Southwest Alaska helps to
reorient the pressure gradient in a way to draw the gusty winds
across the Anchorage Bowl and Knik River Valley. The strong
southeasterly flow aloft will help limit precipitation for the lee
of the mountains; however, upper-level waves embedded within the
southerly flow along with the amount of moisture being drawn
northward with both work to negate the downsloping from time to
time, especially by Saturday afternoon.
The other main impact from this system will be the potential for
flooding, especially for areas around Seward and along the Anchor
River due to prolonged heavy rain and runoff from snowmelt.
Seward could see upwards of 5 to 8 inches of rain with higher
amounts at elevation, especially along the windward side of the
Kenai and Chugach Mountains due to orographic enhancement. The
rain will finally taper off by Monday morning as the upper-level
trough retreats to the west and the ridge downstream extends
across the northern Gulf.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The longwave pattern is highly amplified this forecast period.
There is a surface low south of Cold Bay this morning that has a
fetch of modified tropical moisture wrapped into it. This low will
continue to deepen as it moves eastward and an inverted trough
will set up over the AKPen and Southwest Alaska. The
precipitation shield will impact the AKPen by noon today. The
expectation is that this low will bring a wintry mix due to the
fact that a cold airmass has been in place over SW AK and the low
has a subtropical origin. Expect snow, freezing rain (possibly
sleet), and rain. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for
this event for zones 152 and 161. Aniak (in 152) will remain all
snow for this event with 8 to 14 inches expected. Whereas
Dillingham (in 161) will see multiple types of precipitation.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 to 2)...
This morning there is a surface low south of Cold Bay. The front
attached to this mature low is currently moving across the
Aleutian Chain and will continue moving eastward Friday night.
Then the surface low track pivots north. This system is expected
to bring storm force winds to the coastal waters south of the
Eastern Aleutians and southern Alaska Peninsula Friday and Friday
night. Rough seas will accompany this storm. There is a second
surface low in the north Bering that will move towards St Matthew
Island. The models all bring Siberian air over the Bering. Cold
air over relatively warmer air is inherently unstable, showers are
possible.
&&
.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Sunday through Tuesday)...
Aleutians/Bering...A broad area of low pressure over the Bering
through Tuesday. Gusty winds with areas of Westerly gales
associated with a front moving across the Bering through Tuesday.
Northerly gales with the rear flank of the Gulf low linger over
the Eastern Bering and Bristol Bay, diminishing. Seas to 18 feet,
subsiding. Forecast confidence is moderate.
Gulf of Alaska...A strong nearly stationary low over the Western
Gulf brings widespread gales over the Gulf, diminishing Monday.
Seas to 25 feet, subsiding. An area of gales moves over the
Northern Gulf and North Gulf Coast for Tuesday, as the low center
moves towards Kodiak Island. Seas to 22 feet, subsiding.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through Thursday)...
Solutions struggled quite a bit with the placement of the lows,
the distribution of rain and mixed rain/snow, and wind speed for
the long term. However, GFS, GEM and ECMWF highlighted the
potential for increased precipitation and winds over Pribilof
Islands, Southwest, Kodiak Island, Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage
Bowl and Prince William Sound in response to two separate lows and
fronts over the Gulf and Bering Sea in the coming days. Over the
Gulf, a strong North Pacific low and its associated front will
usher strong winds and higher gusts across the western Gulf
through Prince William Sound beginning Mon afternoon into Tue
evening. Interestingly, a ridge over the state could weaken the
expansion of clouds and rain over Southcentral on Mon, creating
dry downsloping to the north of Anchorage Bowl and across Copper
River Basin into Mon night. Meanwhile, a developing low near the
central Aleutians Tue afternoon will build across the eastern
Bering, causing strong winds and increased precipitation across
Southwest Coast, Pribilof Islands and the Aleutian Chain into Thu
afternoon.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning...101, 125.
Winter Weather Advisory...152, 161.
Flood Watch...121, 125.
Special Weather Statement...155.
MARINE...Storms...155.
Gales... 119, 120, 125, 129, 130, 131, 132, 136-139, 141,
150, 160, 165, 170-174, 180, 351, 352, 414.
Marine Weather Statement...177.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PJS
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/CBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:01 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Oct 28, 4:01 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Oct 28, 4:09 PM AKDT | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 66 hr | |
| Oct 29, 3:46 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Oct 29, 3:56 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Oct 29, 11:36 AM AKDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AFC | 45 hr | |
| Oct 29, 11:47 AM AKDT | Areal Flood Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 29, 3:59 PM AKDT | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.