Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 789, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 5, 2021

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 5, 2021, 3:59 AM AKDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 5, 2021, 3:59 AM AKDT (11:59 UTC)
Expired
Oct 8, 2021, 4:06 PM AKDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

674 
FZAK51 PAFC 051159
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-060030-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

High pressure exits the Southeast Gulf by Wed evening. A 1002 mb 
low develops 100 nm southeast of Seward Wednesday evening. The low
moves 145 nm southeast of Cordova at 1001 mb Thursday morning.

$$

PKZ119-060030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-060030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-060030-
Resurrection Bay-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-060030-
Prince William Sound-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-060030-
Port Valdez-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-060030-
Valdez Narrows-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-060030-
Valdez Arm-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE wind 15 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming NE wind 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-060030-
Passage Canal-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-060030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-060030-
Barren Islands East-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-060030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-060030-
Chiniak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ137-060030-
Marmot Bay-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-060030-
Shelikof Strait-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-060030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-060030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-060030-
Kachemak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
7 follow-up statements
977 
FZAK51 PAFC 052347
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-061230-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front tracks across the Alaska Peninsula Wed afternoon. A 1000 
mb low forms on the front 60 nm west of Middleton Island Wed 
evening and moves into the Southeast Panhandle at 1004 mb for Thu 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-061230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W after midnight. Near the coast,
SE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-061230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-061230-
Resurrection Bay-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-061230-
Prince William Sound-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-061230-
Port Valdez-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-061230-
Valdez Narrows-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-061230-
Valdez Arm-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-061230-
Passage Canal-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming variable wind 10 kt after 
midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-061230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-061230-
Barren Islands East-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-061230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-061230-
Chiniak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-061230-
Marmot Bay-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-061230-
Shelikof Strait-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-061230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after
midnight.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-061230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 1 ft building to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-061230-
Kachemak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Tue Oct 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. E of Homer, variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. E of Homer, SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
615 
FZAK51 PAFC 061132
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-070045-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1001 mb low will develop 135 nm southwest of Cordova Wednesday 
evening and will move 180 nm southeast of Cordova at 1002 mb 
Thursday morning. A second 984 mb low will develop 60 nm northeast
of Kodiak City Friday morning. 

$$

PKZ119-070045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W after midnight. Near the coast,
SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-070045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-070045-
Resurrection Bay-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-070045-
Prince William Sound-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-070045-
Port Valdez-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-070045-
Valdez Narrows-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-070045-
Valdez Arm-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-070045-
Passage Canal-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-070045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-070045-
Barren Islands East-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-070045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-070045-
Chiniak Bay-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-070045-
Marmot Bay-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-070045-
Shelikof Strait-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-070045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-070045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-070045-
Kachemak Bay-
332 AM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
528 
FZAK51 PAFC 070036
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-071330-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 998 mb low develops Wed evening 45 nm south of Seward and 
tracks along the North Gulf Coast Thu, dissipating Fri. A 986 mb 
low forms over Kodiak Island Fri morning and moves 30 nm south of 
Seward at 980 mb for Fri afternoon. Its front extends into the 
eastern Gulf for Fri afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-071330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Lower winds and seas near the coast. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-071330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Lower winds and seas near the coast. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-071330-
Resurrection Bay-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-071330-
Prince William Sound-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming variable 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 
kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-071330-
Port Valdez-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-071330-
Valdez Narrows-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-071330-
Valdez Arm-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-071330-
Passage Canal-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-071330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-071330-
Barren Islands East-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 
ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-071330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ136-071330-
Chiniak Bay-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 
ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft 
building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ137-071330-
Marmot Bay-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 3
ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-071330-
Shelikof Strait-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-071330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ140-071330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-071330-
Kachemak Bay-
436 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft 
building to 8 ft after midnight.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$
264 
FZAK51 PAFC 071144
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-080015-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 mb low will develop 90 nm northeast of Kodiak City Friday 
morning and moves over Prince William Sound at 988 mb Saturday 
morning. A second 989 mb low will develop 90 nm north of Kodiak
City Saturday morning.

$$

PKZ119-080015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Along the coast, SE wind 20 kt early becoming
NW. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-080015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-080015-
Resurrection Bay-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-080015-
Prince William Sound-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft 
building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-080015-
Port Valdez-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-080015-
Valdez Narrows-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-080015-
Valdez Arm-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-080015-
Passage Canal-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt early becoming W 10 kt. Gusts
to 20 kt near Whittier by late morning. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-080015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft 
building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft 
subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-080015-
Barren Islands East-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-080015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-080015-
Chiniak Bay-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the morning becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 2 ft 
building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming SW. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-080015-
Marmot Bay-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft
building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-080015-
Shelikof Strait-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 9 ft 
building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-080015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-080015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-080015-
Kachemak Bay-
344 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...Outer Bay, W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Inner Bay, 
W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
470 
FZAK51 PAFC 080000
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-081315-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 988 mb low forms 20 nm west of Kodiak City early Fri morning 
and moves over Prince William Sound at 983 mb for Fri night, 
dissipating Sat. A front tracks across the Alaska Peninsula Fri 
and reaches the East Gulf Coast by Sat morning. 

$$

PKZ119-081315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 12 ft. 
Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-081315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-081315-
Resurrection Bay-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-081315-
Prince William Sound-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-081315-
Port Valdez-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-081315-
Valdez Narrows-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-081315-
Valdez Arm-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NE wind 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-081315-
Passage Canal-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-081315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-081315-
Barren Islands East-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-081315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-081315-
Chiniak Bay-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-081315-
Marmot Bay-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft building to 7 ft after midnight.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 7 ft after midnight.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-081315-
Shelikof Strait-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-081315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-081315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-081315-
Kachemak Bay-
400 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
410 
FZAK51 PAFC 081158
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-090045-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 985 mb low 65 nm south of Seward this morning moves inland 
Saturday morning. A second 991 mb low will develop 65 nm south of
Seward Saturday morning and will move 255 nm southeast of Cordova 
at 1009 mb Sunday morning.

$$

PKZ119-090045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon. Along the
coast, SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Along the coast, SW wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt
in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ120-090045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ121-090045-
Resurrection Bay-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-090045-
Prince William Sound-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-090045-
Port Valdez-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-090045-
Valdez Narrows-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-090045-
Valdez Arm-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NE wind 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-090045-
Passage Canal-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and
snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-090045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-090045-
Barren Islands East-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ132-090045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-090045-
Chiniak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-090045-
Marmot Bay-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt early increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-090045-
Shelikof Strait-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt early increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 
11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-090045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-090045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-090045-
Kachemak Bay-
358 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft 
building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
223 
FZAK51 PAFC 090006
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091330-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 979 mb low 25 nm north of Middleton Island tracks inland over 
Cordova at 982 mb Fri night and dissipates Sat morning. Its front 
reaches the east Gulf Coast Fri evening. A 985 mb low 80 nm west of 
Seward Sat morning tracks along the north Gulf Coast through Sat and
weakens to 1008 mb 45 nm south of Yakutat Sun morning. 

$$

PKZ119-091330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight...except E
wind 35 kt along the coast east of Montague Island through early 
evening. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-091330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-091330-
Resurrection Bay-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-091330-
Prince William Sound-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-091330-
Port Valdez-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-091330-
Valdez Narrows-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-091330-
Valdez Arm-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-091330-
Passage Canal-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-091330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-091330-
Barren Islands East-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-091330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-091330-
Chiniak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-091330-
Marmot Bay-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-091330-
Shelikof Strait-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-091330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-091330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft subsiding after midnight.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-091330-
Kachemak Bay-
406 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt during the evening. 
Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 4, 4:39 PM AKDT, 11 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 4, 4:39 PM AKDT, 11 hours 20 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
439 PM AKDT Mon Oct 4 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The remnants of former typhoon Mindulle are located in the
northwest Bering Sea and heading toward the Gulf of Anadyr. The
upper level low associated with this system is just north of it
creating rather zonal flow along the jet stream as the jet stream
crosses the Bering Sea from west-to-east.

The front associated with the NW Bering Sea low is coming onshore
along the Y-K Delta this afternoon and will continue to progress
eastward. Weak ridging remains over Southcentral Alaska today but
this will get displaced in short order by the front in Southwest
AK.

Another plume of moisture can be seen on satellite streaming into
the western ALeutians from the west-southwest. This is associated
with the wave that will amplify into the front that reached the
Kuskokwim Delta late Tuesday night and that is referenced in the
model discussion section.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in better agreement today with the front crossing
the Bering Sea and reaching the coast of the Kuskokwim Delta.
It now looks to be likely that the front will reach the Kuskokwim
Delta coast very late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning. The
key feature with this front is an upper level wave caught up in
the jet with a surface low under it. This feature will move
quickly through the Bering Sea in the tight gradient south of
former typhoon Mindulle which will be trekking across the
northern Bering Sea. This low will intensify as it crosses the
Bering and that is where the models were struggling, but it looks
like we have a very reasonable solution now.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. Ceilings may
drop below 5000 ft Tuesday afternoon due to rain moving into the
area.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 to 3: Today
through Thursday afternoon)...

Clearer skies will linger into the evening as the ridge
progresses eastward. Then, fronts extending from a low in the
Bering will bring unsettled weather as they track through
Southcentral. The first round of precipitation will begin with a
frontal passage early Tuesday morning. This front will likely
bring rain to the coasts and snow over higher terrain, with
valleys experiencing rain/snow mix before transitioning into
rain. As the first front weakens and stalls west of the Copper
River Basin, another front enters Southcentral early Wednesday
morning. This second, more robust front looks to bring localized
areas of heavier precipitation, especially over higher terrain and
in the northern Susitna Valley. While snowfall timing and amounts
remain uncertain, a Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect
through Broad Pass from Tuesday evening through Thursday.
Otherwise, precipitation outside of the mountains will likely fall
as rain. Precipitation will slowly subside through Thursday as
the fronts combine.

&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 to 3: Tonight
through Thursday)...

A front extending from a large synoptic low continuing to spin
east of the Kamchatka Peninsula is now working across Bristol Bay,
bringing gusty southerly winds and a band of mainly rain inland
over the Y-K Delta. This front will continue to move east
overnight as it weakens, initiating warm/moist advection that will
finally bring the interior Southwest out of the recent cold spell
over the next couple days. The Middle Kuskokwim Valley should
hang on to the colder air in place just long enough for a period
of snowfall late tonight. Accumulations at lower elevations
generally expected to remain under 1 inch before warming low level
temps win out and change snow over to rain for all but the high
terrain of the Alaska Range and Kuskokwim Mountains tomorrow
morning.

From Tuesday onwards, an extended period of relatively warm and
wet conditions will continue as strong southwesterly flow sets up
and brings a series of shortwaves across from southwest to
northeast. A more pronounced wave and developing surface low will
move over the Y-K Delta on Wednesday Morning, sending moderate
rainfall over nearly the entire region. Onshore winds will ramp up
as the trough moves onshore, with gusts around 40 mph likely
along the coast on Wednesday, especially around the Kuskokwim Bay
area. A shortwave ridge will move in behind this system on
Thursday and provide a brief break in the wet and windy pattern.
However, a potent low pressure moving across the Bering will keep
the break very short lived, with yet another round of strong winds
and rain approaching the Southwest coast by Thursday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 to 3: Tonight
through Thursday)...

A large low centered just east of Kamchatka continues to be the
dominant player for sensible conditions across most of the region.
Southwesterly gale force winds will continue tonight over the
Western Bering, while a front moves inland near the AKPen and
brings mainly rain as it progresses east. An amplified trough will
eject from Kamchatka and move west into the Bering on Tuesday,
sending another round of rain and winds into the Bering and over
the Pribilofs through Tuesday night. Winds will increase to gale
force as the trough moves across the eastern Bering on Wednesday
morning before a shortwave ridge moves, allowing southwest winds
to briefly subside with rainfall ending from west to east.

The break in the weather will be very short-lived, as a potent low
pressure lifts out of the North Pacific and across the Aleutian
Chain into the western Bering on Wednesday night. Moderate to
heavy rainfall and gale to potentially storm force winds will
spread into the Kiska, Attu and Atka area late Wednesday night
into early Thursday. Gale force winds and rain will move
northeast with the low throughout the day on Thursday, with steady
rainfall overspreading the Eastern Aleutians and Pribilofs by
late Thursday morning.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Thursday through Saturday)...

Bering Sea and Aleutians: A low moving across the Aleutians and
Bering through Friday is expected to strengthen as it moves
towards the eastern Bering with high end Gales likely and storm
force winds possible especially on the south side of the low.
Expect high end Gales to continue south of the AKPEN especially
through the gaps on Friday and Saturday. Another gale force low is
expected to move towards the western Bering and Aleutians on
Saturday, however there is more uncertainty on the strength and
location of this low.

Gulf of Alaska: A Gale force low will move into the eastern Gulf
on Thursday. Thursday night and Friday a strong front enters the
Gulf with a triple point low developing along the front with Gale
force winds north of the front as the barrier jet develops across
the northern Gulf. Expect Gales across a good portion of the Gulf
Friday and Saturday. Also expect strong gap winds to develop
across the Barren Islands through Shelikof Strait.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Friday through Monday)...

Overall models are in decent agreement with the synoptic pattern
through the long term. Ensemble forecasts of the GFS are all in
fairly good agreement through Monday. The progressive pattern will
continue through the long term, however the pattern will amplify
a bit on Friday as a deepening low and cold frontal system moves
into Southwest Alaska on Friday. This will bring rain to the
eastern Aleutians, AKPEN and Southwest Alaska and strong winds to
the AKPEN and parts of Bristol Bay. This front will move into the
Gulf and Southcentral with increasing winds and rain and snow on
Friday. It's still too early to tell where the snow level will be
but some lower elevations could get snow Friday morning.
Additionally, a triple point low will develop along this front
affecting the overall strength of the winds and location of
precipitation north of the coastal mountains. Strong gap winds may
develop Friday into Saturday in the usual spots across
Southcentral and the Gulf however there is uncertainty on the
timing of this due to model differences on the location of the
low. Saturday the frontal system will weaken and move east but
rain and snow will linger across Southcentral. By Sunday a ridge
of high pressure moves across the southern mainland and Gulf of
Alaska with cooler and quieter weather. Another low and front is
expected to move into the Bering on Sunday with increasing winds
and rain for the Aleutians and Bering. This low will track across
the Bering with rain and higher elevation snow moving into
Southwest Alaska late Sunday into Monday. By Monday expect the low
to cross into the Gulf near Kodiak Island spreading winds and
precipitation to Kodiak Island and the coastal areas of
Southcentral and possibly north of the coastal mountains, however
lots of model uncertainty on where the low will track and where
precipitation will occur.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 145.
MARINE...Gales 165 170 173 175 177 178 179 180 185 411 412 413 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AP/KC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AS
MARINE/LONG TERM...RC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 5, 4:12 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC3 days
Oct 5, 4:12 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC35 hr
Oct 5, 3:11 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC13 hr
Oct 5, 3:12 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC13 hr
Oct 5, 3:12 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC49 hr
Oct 5, 3:12 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC49 hr
Oct 5, 3:21 PM AKDTHigh Wind WatchAFC22 hr
Oct 5, 3:47 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 5, 3:47 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.