Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 743, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 20, 2021, 4:03 PM AKDT. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 20, 2021, 4:03 PM AKDT (00:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 24, 2021, 3:57 AM AKDT
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
427 FZAK51 PAFC 210003 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-211300- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 988 mb low 65 nm south of Middleton Island weakens as it moves inland to the North Gulf Coast, dissipating by Wed afternoon. Its front sweeps to the East Gulf Coast by Tue afternoon. A 988 mb low south of the Aleutians elongates as it moves 215 nm south of Sand Point at 985 mb for Wed afternoon. Its front extends into the Gulf through Wed afternoon. $$ PKZ119-211300- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ120-211300- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NW 40 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ121-211300- Resurrection Bay- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt in the evening. Seas 6 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-211300- Prince William Sound- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-211300- Port Valdez- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-211300- Valdez Narrows- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-211300- Valdez Arm- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-211300- Passage Canal- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 4 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-211300- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ131-211300- Barren Islands East- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt decreasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ132-211300- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ136-211300- Chiniak Bay- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ137-211300- Marmot Bay- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ138-211300- Shelikof Strait- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ139-211300- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-211300- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ141-211300- Kachemak Bay- 403 PM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
7 follow-up statements
920 FZAK51 PAFC 211224 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-220130- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 989 mb low 130 nm southeast of Middleton Island weakens as it moves inland to the North Gulf Coast, dissipating by Wed afternoon. A 979 mb low moves to 250 nm south of Akhiok on Wed afternoon and then to 120 nm south of Kodiak at 980 mb by Wed night. Its front extends into the Gulf through Thu morning. $$ PKZ119-220130- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ120-220130- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ121-220130- Resurrection Bay- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-220130- Prince William Sound- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ126-220130- Port Valdez- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-220130- Valdez Narrows- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-220130- Valdez Arm- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-220130- Passage Canal- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W wind 10 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-220130- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ131-220130- Barren Islands East- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...W wind 15 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ132-220130- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ136-220130- Chiniak Bay- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ137-220130- Marmot Bay- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ138-220130- Shelikof Strait- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ139-220130- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ140-220130- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ141-220130- Kachemak Bay- 424 AM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
491 FZAK51 PAFC 220014 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-221315- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 989 mb low 85 nm east of Cordova tracks inland and dissipates through Wed morning. A 988 mb elongated low south of the Aleutians Wed afternoon strengthens as it moves to 160 nm south of Seward at 977 mb for Thu afternoon. Its front tracks along the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula then reaches the North Gulf Coast by Thu afternoon. $$ PKZ119-221315- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ120-221315- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ121-221315- Resurrection Bay- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 40 kt this evening. Seas 6 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ125-221315- Prince William Sound- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ126-221315- Port Valdez- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-221315- Valdez Narrows- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-221315- Valdez Arm- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-221315- Passage Canal- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-221315- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt becoming W 25 kt late. Seas 10 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt becoming NE wind 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE wind 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ131-221315- Barren Islands East- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ132-221315- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ136-221315- Chiniak Bay- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ137-221315- Marmot Bay- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ138-221315- Shelikof Strait- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ139-221315- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. .THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ140-221315- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt decreasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ141-221315- Kachemak Bay- 414 PM AKDT Tue Sep 21 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
279 FZAK51 PAFC 221211 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-230100- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... Low pressure lingers across the Gulf through Wed afternoon. A 985 mb elongated low south of the Aleutians Wed afternoon strengthens as it moves to 150 nm southeast of Kodiak on Thu morning. It then moves to 125 nm east of Kodiak at 977 mb by Thu afternoon. Its front tracks along the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula then reaches the North Gulf Coast by Thu afternoon. $$ PKZ119-230100- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of the Copper River Delta before noon. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ120-230100- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .THU...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ121-230100- Resurrection Bay- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ125-230100- Prince William Sound- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-230100- Port Valdez- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 .TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-230100- Valdez Narrows- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-230100- Valdez Arm- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-230100- Passage Canal- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 .TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-230100- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ131-230100- Barren Islands East- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...NE wind 45 kt becoming N 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ132-230100- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...N wind 35 kt becoming NW 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ136-230100- Chiniak Bay- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-230100- Marmot Bay- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-230100- Shelikof Strait- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT AND FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ139-230100- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. .THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ140-230100- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-230100- Kachemak Bay- 411 AM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT AND SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
612 FZAK51 PAFC 222336 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-231230- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 989 mb low 365 nm South of Dutch harbor and a 989 mb low 210 nm South of Sitkinak merge to form a 976 mb low at 110 nm South of Seward Thu afternoon. This low continues over Montague Island at 989 mb for Fri afternoon. Its front pushes across the Gulf through Fri afternoon. $$ PKZ119-231230- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-231230- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .THU...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ121-231230- Resurrection Bay- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ125-231230- Prince William Sound- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-231230- Port Valdez- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-231230- Valdez Narrows- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-231230- Valdez Arm- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-231230- Passage Canal- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-231230- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to NE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .THU...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...W wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ131-231230- Barren Islands East- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...NE wind 45 kt becoming N 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ132-231230- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...NE wind 35 kt becoming NW 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ136-231230- Chiniak Bay- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-231230- Marmot Bay- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-231230- Shelikof Strait- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ139-231230- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. .THU...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-231230- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. .FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-231230- Kachemak Bay- 336 PM AKDT Wed Sep 22 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
636 FZAK51 PAFC 231136 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-240045- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 983 mb low 150 nm southeast of Kodiak moves to 140 nm south of Seward by Thu afternoon. This low then moves into Prince William Sound by Fri afternoon. Its front pushes across the Gulf through Fri afternoon. $$ PKZ119-240045- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind increasing to 50 kt this morning, then diminishing to 35 kt during the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. S of Middleton Island, S wind 35 kt becoming SW 45 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ120-240045- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind increasing to 50 kt by late morning, then diminishing to N 40 kt late. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ121-240045- Resurrection Bay- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind increasing to 25 kt by late morning. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ125-240045- Prince William Sound- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind increasing to 35 kt by late morning. Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-240045- Port Valdez- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-240045- Valdez Narrows- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt by afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-240045- Valdez Arm- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt by afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-240045- Passage Canal- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-240045- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...N wind 45 kt becoming NW 35 kt late. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT AND FRI...W wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ131-240045- Barren Islands East- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind increasing to 50 kt by late morning. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ132-240045- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N of Dangerous Cape, N wind 40 kt becoming NW 50 kt by afternoon. S of Dangerous Cape, N wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ136-240045- Chiniak Bay- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-240045- Marmot Bay- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ138-240045- Shelikof Strait- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...N wind increasing to 40 kt during the morning, then becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 55 kt out of bays and passes in the morning. Seas 8 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ139-240045- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-240045- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ141-240045- Kachemak Bay- 336 AM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind increasing to 30 kt during the morning. Seas building to 4 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt becoming Variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
127 FZAK51 PAFC 240010 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-241315- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 975 mb low 90 nm South of Middleton Island moves into Western Prince William Sound through Sat afternoon. Its front moves into the Eastern Gulf through Sat afternoon. $$ PKZ119-241315- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 45 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-241315- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming variable 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ121-241315- Resurrection Bay- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts up to 40 kt. Higher winds and seas south of Caines Head. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-241315- Prince William Sound- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ126-241315- Port Valdez- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-241315- Valdez Narrows- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-241315- Valdez Arm- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-241315- Passage Canal- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-241315- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ131-241315- Barren Islands East- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ132-241315- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ136-241315- Chiniak Bay- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-241315- Marmot Bay- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ138-241315- Shelikof Strait- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ139-241315- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ140-241315- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ141-241315- Kachemak Bay- 410 PM AKDT Thu Sep 23 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt, becoming variable 10 kt E of Homer after midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. .FRI...N wind 15 kt, except variable wind less than 10 kt E of Homer. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
588 FZAK51 PAFC 241157 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-250115- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 978 mb low near Montague Island moves into Western Prince William Sound through Sat afternoon. Its front moves into the Eastern Gulf through Sat afternoon. $$ PKZ119-250115- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ120-250115- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ121-250115- Resurrection Bay- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-250115- Prince William Sound- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-250115- Port Valdez- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-250115- Valdez Narrows- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-250115- Valdez Arm- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-250115- Passage Canal- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 .TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-250115- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight. .SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ131-250115- Barren Islands East- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ132-250115- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ136-250115- Chiniak Bay- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ137-250115- Marmot Bay- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ138-250115- Shelikof Strait- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ139-250115- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-250115- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-250115- Kachemak Bay- 357 AM AKDT Fri Sep 24 2021 .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Higher seas in the outer bay. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 20, 5:56 AM AKDT, 10 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 20, 5:56 AM AKDT, 10 hours 7 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
556 AM AKDT Mon Sep 20 2021
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A system of low pressure moves across the Gulf towards the North
Gulf Coast through the early week. Meanwhile, an arctic trough
pushes across the Southern Mainland. This will create an active
weather pattern, with rain for the Southcentral coastal areas and
possibly some localized rain/snow showers among the higher
elevations, as well as increased cloud cover and cooler
temperatures elsewhere across Southcentral. Further west, high
pressure sets up over the eastern Bering and parts of Southwest
Alaska. Ahead of the ridge, a much colder airmass moves over the
Mainland that will help continue the downward trend in overnight
temperatures. A large area of low pressure approaches tracks
eastwards south of the Aleutians through mid week. Its associated
front moves across the Chain and eventually up the AKPen, which
will produce another round of active weather to the Islands and
Southern Bering. There is really good model agreement with this
system through at least Wednesday evening. Beyond Wednesday
evening, model spread increases with the development of a possible
triple point low south/southwest of Kodiak Island around
Wednesday night.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in decent overall synoptic agreement through the
short term. There is a strong low over the Gulf that the models
are handling fairly well, with the Canadian being biggest outlier
amongst them. The Canadian is developing a separate low within the
trough closer to the shore and moving it along the front, while
the rest of the models keep the low further south in the Gulf. The
NAM/EC eventually catch up, pushing the low nearly onshore by
Tuesday. The GFS, by this point, keep the low much further south
in comparison before finally pushing northwards on Wednesday.
Further west, the models are handling a low tracking south of the
Aleutians really well, the timing and orientation, as well as
phasing, of the associated front is lining up well through at
least Wednesday morning. On the other hand, the models are
struggling quite a bit with a low dropping out of northern Russia
towards Western Alaska by Wednesday. There is a lot of discrepancy
with center location, with the GFS/EC being the most consistent
with each other, placing the low over the Kuskokwim Delta; the
Canadian lags behind the others, while the NAM is further north
over the Yukon Delta.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist through this
afternoon. Winds transition to northerly and progressively
increase throughout the day, becoming gusty by this evening.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Today through Wed night)...
The short stretch of mostly quiet, pleasant weather is beginning
to come to an end with cloud cover moving in over Southcentral
from two sides. From the south, clouds and showers are associated
with a low entering the Gulf, and from the north, a potent Arctic
trough is beginning to sweep across the Alaska Range. A complex
setup between these two systems is expected to play out today
through Tuesday.
Showers are already developing ahead of a front draped across the
Gulf, and will shortly be followed by the front itself, making
landfall before noon along the north Gulf coast, where the
heaviest precipitation can be expected initially. Some rain
showers are expected to make it over the Chugach Mountains and
affect the Anchorage area during the morning hours. A band of
precipitation is expected to set up today from the Susitna
Valley southward, enhanced by upsloping along the western slope
of the Talkeetna Mountains, as cold air brought by the Arctic
trough begins to undercut warm moist air advecting northward from
the Gulf. POPs are most likely in the Susitna Valley, decreasing
southward, however some rain could be seen as far south as the
western Kenai Peninsula. Throughout the day, this band of
precipitation is expected to push eastward, where it will reach
the Chugach Mountains by this evening. As the cold air continues
to push southeast, this will lower the snow level, and late this
evening as precipitation begins to taper off, some snow
accumulations, most likely less than an inch, are possible on the
Anchorage Hillside.
Out east in the Copper Basin, more significant winter weather
impacts can be expected, particularly in southern portions, where
northerly low-level flow wrapping the Gulf low will result in
upsloping wringing out moisture near and along mountainous
terrain. Expect the event to begin with rain today, although this
will change to snow tonight as cold air filters into the basin.
Higher elevations like Eureka and Thompson pass will begins to see
snow first, around 7-9 PM this evening. Lower elevations like
Gulkana will start to see precipitation as all snow around
midnight. 5-8 inches of snow is expected across parts of the Glenn
and Richardson Highway, with lower accumulations in the lower
elevations near Chitina and McCarthy. See the Winter Weather
Advisory issued for the Copper Basin for more information.
Strong gap winds bolstered by cold air advection will be the other
main impact from these systems. Strong gusty winds can be expected through
the typical places, including the Barren Islands, Seward, and
Whittier. Gusts may reach as high as 50 mph for Whittier and
Seward on Tuesday. The Anchorage Bowl itself will also be gusty
with northwesterly winds gusting up to 35 mph, especially on the
west side of town. Elevated mountain passes, particularly Thompson
Pass, are also expected to experience some blowing snow with gusty
winds accompanying higher snowfall rates.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A cold front was visible on satellite imagery ("Nighttime
Microphysics") early this morning over the Aniak and Goodnews Bay.
Ahead of the front...there were mostly clear skies. Behind the
front there is an area of cold air stratocumulus clouds over the
northern Bering. The nose of the polar jet is near Kipnuk this
morning and it will be over King Salmon and Pilot Point by this
afternoon. Expect cold air advection with this system. A
reinforcing shortwave will dive towards Hooper Bay late Tuesday.
There is sufficient moisture and upward vertical motion associated
with this feature to support a quick shot of shower activity.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
An occluded front is south of the eastern Aleutians and AKPEN
early this morning. The parent low is south of Kodiak and slowly
weakening. There is a ridge axis over the central Aleutians and a
closed upper level low near Kamchatka with multiple embedded
vorticity lobes. The models suggest that the pattern will be
progressive. Tuesday morning a new surface low will be south of
Adak. The pressure gradient associated with this low is pretty
strong, expect gusty easterly winds from this system even though
the position of the surface low stays 200+ miles south of the
chain. Gales are anticipated on the Pacific side of the chain.
The Semisopochnoi volcano which is 140 nm west of Adak is
currently active. Last night, the Alaska Volcano Observatory
upgraded its status from orange to red.
&&
.MARINE (Days 3 through 5/ Wednesday through Friday)...
High pressure across the northern half of the Bering spreads
generally light winds over the region. A well-developed low south
of the Aleutians spreads gusty winds less than gale force across
the southern Bering. Widespread high-end gales wrap the low as it
moves into the Gulf of Alaska by Friday. Seas to 18 ft along the
Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula, subsiding Thursday. This low
continues to the North Gulf Coast through Friday. High-end gales
ahead of the low with areas of storm force winds near the capes
along the North Gulf Coast down to Kodiak Island, dissipating
Friday. Seas to 16 ft spread across the Gulf through Friday.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Thursday through Sunday)...
Deterministic and ensemble forecast models are in excellent
agreement through the long term due to well defined and strong
upper level features. A strong upper level jet ranging from 120 to
140 kts will extend a high amplitude trough from the Kamchatka
Peninsula south to 40N and north to Southeast Alaska. An
additional polar jetstreak is expected from the Gulf of Anadyr to
the AKPen between 70 and 90 kts. With the jetstreak extending from
the north Pacific to Southeast Alaska, a strong upper low is
expected to develop in the left exit region and move into
Southcentral Alaska Thursday through Saturday. Deterministic
models have the surface low center somewhere in the vicinity of
Prince William Sound Friday night, which will make for a
difficult precipitation type forecast throughout Southcentral.
Cold air aloft is expected to wrap in on the backside of the low,
but seasonally high sea surface temperatures will likely yield
rain at sea level with snow likely over the mountains.
Out west the weather will be a bit quieter with brisk northerly
winds likely from Southwest to the AKPen and fairly quiet
conditions for the central Bering. Over the western Bering storms
are likely to track south from the Kamchatka Peninsula, over the
western Aleutians, and into the north Pacific.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 141
MARINE...Gale 119 120 121 127 130 131 132 138 150 174 175 176 177 351 352
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CQ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PJS
MARINE/LONG TERM...AF/CJThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 4:03 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Sep 21, 3:40 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Sep 21, 3:40 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Sep 21, 4:24 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Sep 21, 3:55 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Sep 21, 3:57 PM AKDT | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 18 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.