Small Craft Advisory 188, NWS Anchorage, AK

376 
FZAK51 PAFC 050059
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-051330-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front dissipates over the Central Gulf by Fri morning. A 996 mb
low 25 nm Southwest of Sand Point moves to 75 nm South of Kodiak 
City at 986 mb Fri afternoon, then exits Southern Gulf at 991 mb 
Sat morning. A 977 mb North Pacific low moves to 100 nm Southeast 
of Middleton Island at 997 mb by Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-051330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-051330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-051330-
Resurrection Bay-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft
building to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-051330-
Prince William Sound-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft. Snow.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-051330-
Port Valdez-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt after 
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-051330-
Valdez Narrows-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-051330-
Valdez Arm-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-051330-
Passage Canal-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-051330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-051330-
Barren Islands East-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-051330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon, Seas
16 ft. N of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 25 kt becoming N 30 kt in the
afternoon, Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-051330-
Chiniak Bay-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after
midnight. Snow.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-051330-
Marmot Bay-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-051330-
Shelikof Strait-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Freezing spray S of Cape Kuliak. Snow.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-051330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-051330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-051330-
Kachemak Bay-
359 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE wind 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

748 
FZAK51 PAFC 051246
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-060145-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 992 mb low 60 nm south of Sitkinak exits the southern Gulf at 
992 mb by Sat morning. A 993 mb North Pacific low moves to 80 nm 
southwest of Yakutat by Sat morning and then dissipates 110 nm 
southeast of Middleton Island at 1000 mb by Sun morning.

$$

PKZ119-060145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River
Delta after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-060145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-060145-
Resurrection Bay-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-060145-
Prince William Sound-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-060145-
Port Valdez-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-060145-
Valdez Narrows-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-060145-
Valdez Arm-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-060145-
Passage Canal-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-060145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-060145-
Barren Islands East-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. Snow with rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-060145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming NW 45 kt in the afternoon. N of 
Dangerous Cape, SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft except 8 ft N of Dangerous 
Cape. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-060145-
Chiniak Bay-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-060145-
Marmot Bay-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-060145-
Shelikof Strait-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-060145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after
midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-060145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Snow.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-060145-
Kachemak Bay-
346 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

889 
FZAK51 PAFC 060053
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-061400-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 985 mb low 165 nm South of Kodiak City exits the Southern Gulf 
Fri night. Its front dissipates over the Central Gulf for Sat 
morning. A 993 mb low 120 nm West of Sitka moves to 80 nm West of 
Yakutat at 1006 mb Sat night then dissipates into a trough that 
stretches across the Northern Gulf through Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-061400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near the Copper River Delta
after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Gust to 40 kt near the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-061400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of Resurrection Bay. Seas 9 
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of Resurrection Bay.
Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-061400-
Resurrection Bay-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-061400-
Prince William Sound-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-061400-
Port Valdez-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-061400-
Valdez Narrows-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-061400-
Valdez Arm-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt decreasing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 
4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-061400-
Passage Canal-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight.
Seas building to 4 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-061400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 11
ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-061400-
Barren Islands East-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt in the evening. Seas 11
ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-061400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, NE wind 25 kt becoming
NW 40 kt in the evening. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-061400-
Chiniak Bay-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 4 
ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-061400-
Marmot Bay-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 4 
ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-061400-
Shelikof Strait-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of western bays and 
passes. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of western bays and passes. Seas
7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-061400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-061400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt after
midnight. Snow.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt.
.WED...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-061400-
Kachemak Bay-
353 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray W of Homer. 
Snow.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray W of Homer in the
morning.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

538 
FZAK51 PAFC 061230
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-070100-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 994 mb low 90 nm southwest of Yakutat moves to 90 nm southeast
of Cordova at 1006 mb Sat night then dissipates into a trough 
that stretches across the Northern Gulf through Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-070100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-070100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8 
ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-070100-
Resurrection Bay-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 6 ft. Freezing
spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-070100-
Prince William Sound-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-070100-
Port Valdez-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-070100-
Valdez Narrows-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-070100-
Valdez Arm-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-070100-
Passage Canal-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-070100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-070100-
Barren Islands East-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
11 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-070100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-070100-
Chiniak Bay-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-070100-
Marmot Bay-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-070100-
Shelikof Strait-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft Freezing spray along the Alaska
Peninsula coast.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-070100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Freezing spray and patchy freezing fog.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-070100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt.
.WED...N wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-070100-
Kachemak Bay-
330 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

887 
FZAK51 PAFC 070038
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-071400-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A trough lingers across the Northern Gulf through Mon afternoon. A
new front approaches the Western Gulf for Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-071400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-071400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of Resurrection Bay. Seas
8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-071400-
Resurrection Bay-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-071400-
Prince William Sound-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. N of Naked Island, N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-071400-
Port Valdez-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-071400-
Valdez Narrows-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-071400-
Valdez Arm-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-071400-
Passage Canal-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 
ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-071400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt decreasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9 
ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-071400-
Barren Islands East-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt decreasing to 25 kts after midnight. Seas 
11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-071400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
6 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-071400-
Chiniak Bay-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-071400-
Marmot Bay-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-071400-
Shelikof Strait-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kts through western bays and 
passes in the evening. Freezing Spray along the Alaska Peninsula
coast. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-071400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Freezing spray and patchy freezing fog.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-071400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt.
.WED...N wind 10 kt.
.THU...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-071400-
Kachemak Bay-
338 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

288 
FZAK51 PAFC 071235
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-080200-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A trough lingers across the Northern Gulf through Mon morning. A 
front approaches the Western Gulf for Mon afternoon. 1013 mb low 
forms 70 nm west of Akhiok Mon night and moves to 70 nm west of 
Kodiak City at 1013 mb by Tue morning. 

$$

PKZ119-080200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River Delta.
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta in the evening. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-080200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Gusts 
to 35 kt out of Resurrection Bay in the morning. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-080200-
Resurrection Bay-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-080200-
Prince William Sound-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-080200-
Port Valdez-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-080200-
Valdez Narrows-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-080200-
Valdez Arm-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-080200-
Passage Canal-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-080200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt in the morning becoming N 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming NE 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-080200-
Barren Islands East-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-080200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-080200-
Chiniak Bay-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-080200-
Marmot Bay-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft building to
2 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft in the morning building to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-080200-
Shelikof Strait-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 2 ft in
the morning building to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-080200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-080200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Patchy freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt.
.THU...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-080200-
Kachemak Bay-
335 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
520 PM AKST Wed Mar 3 2021

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A broad ridge building over the western Bering is forcing a more
amplified pattern to set up as an elongated trough shifts eastward
toward the Alaska-Yukon border. Farther west, there is an upper
level low over Kamchatka gradually tracking eastward. The
associated front is in place across the western Bering,
transporting warmer, southerly flow northward over much of the
Western Bering. Meanwhile over Southcentral, fog and low level
stratus in place this morning has dissipated, and northerly
outflow winds continue to aid the clearing process. A weakening
low in place over the central Gulf continues to bring a few
lingering showers to areas along the northern Gulf coast.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Overall, model solutions remain in good synoptic agreement. The
finer details, however, reveal several discrepancies. As the
Kamchatka low moves east, its front will push inland over
Southwest Thursday. Model solutions have been struggling with the
location of the triple point that forms in the vicinity of Kodiak
Island Friday. At this time, the NAM seems to be the outlier,
keeping the developing low much weaker and broader, without a
defined circulation. In contrast, the GFS/EC/Canadian solutions
all advertise a well defined low spinning up and moving into the
western Gulf by Friday morning. The GFS solution even suggests
storm force winds on the backside of this low Friday morning,
however it is the lone model to suggest this. The track this low
takes will largely affect the weather over the next few days,
first for Kodiak Island, and then for Southcentral. How far north
or south this low tracks as it travels eastward across the Gulf
will determine snowfall amounts and wind fields. At this time,
confidence is high that temperatures will be cold enough to
produce an all-snow event for areas across the northern Gulf, but
confidence remains low with regard to the the track and position
of this low.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions are expected through the afternoon with
light northerly winds. Freezing fog over Cook Inlet may develop
again during the overnight hours, and drift into the terminal
during the early morning on Thursday, though expect fog to
dissipate by late Thursday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 3: Today
through Saturday afternoon)...

A cold air mass remains anchored in place over Southcentral with
quiet and clear conditions predominantly expected through this
evening along with continued cool temperatures. Gap and outflow
winds along the North Gulf Coast supported by offshore flow and
cold air in place over the interior will reach their peak this
evening. The strongest winds will blow through the Copper River
Delta and Thompson Pass, where northerly gusts as high as 50 to 60
mph are possible through tonight. These winds should shut off
rapidly during the day on Thursday as low level flow reverses and
becomes onshore by Thursday evening. Areas of fog are possible
once again over parts of the Mat-Su valleys after nightfall as
the boundary layer decouples and temperatures near the surface
cool into the single digits.

Attention from there shifts to the next system approaching from
the Southwest. A triple point low is expected to form along a
weakening front moving in from the Southwest, and this compact low
will track somewhere just south of Kodiak Island on Thursday Night
into Friday. A quick-hitting but possibly intense round of wet
snow is likely for Kodiak Island north of the low center, with
3 to 6 inches of snowfall currently expected for Kodiak City late
Thursday into Friday morning. However, some uncertainty persists
with the track of the low, and any shift north or south could
result in higher or lower totals than currently expected. As the
low pushes farther east Friday, snow will spread into the eastern
Kenai Peninsula along an inverted trough extending from the Gulf
low. Several inches of snowfall are possible from Friday into
Saturday with this band along parts of the Kenai Peninsula
including Seward, Homer and Whittier, but uncertainty here remains
for where the axis of heaviest snowfall will set up. Minor
snowfall accumulations are also possible on Saturday morning as
the band moves west over the Matanuska Valley prior to the
passage of an upper level shortwave, along with another shot of
much colder arctic air moving in from the northwest.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

An active weather pattern is in store for Southwest Alaska over
the next 3 days. An occluded front (warm occlusion) will approach
Southwest Alaska this evening and tonight. Winds will increase
overnight to gale force along the coastal Kuskokwim Delta and
Nunivak Island by Thursday morning. The strongest winds will occur
in and around Etolin Strait due to this area being prone to the
localized funneling of south to southeasterly winds. Snow will
begin falling early Wednesday morning across Nunivak Island and
reach the Kuskokwim Delta by mid-morning Wednesday. The snow will
then begin in Bristol Bay during the late morning hours on
Wednesday and the Kuskokwim Valley by mid-afternoon. Accumulations
range from 3-5" across the Kuskokwim Delta, 4-8" across Nunivak
Island, 3-6" across Bristol Bay and 3-5" across the Kuskokwim
Valley with locally higher amounts in spots. A Blizzard Warning
has been issued from 6am AKST Wednesday morning through 6pm AKST
Wednesday evening for the coastal Kuskokwim Delta and Nunivak
Island as gale force winds in addition to this snow will restrict
visibility to a quarter of a mile or less at times. Farther inland
in the Kuskokwim Delta and Kuskokwim Valley, winds will not be as
strong, though visibility can be restricted to a half of a mile
at times inside of the heaviest snowbands. A Winter Weather
Advisory has been issued for Bristol Bay for snow and blowing snow
from 11am AKST through 11pm AKST as visibilities will be reduced
to a half of a mile at times with areas in the heaviest snowbands
expected to see 6" of snow within a 12 hour period.

With respect to precipitation type, there is high confidence that
the precipitation will remain as snow across the Kuskokwim Delta,
Kuskokwim Valley, Bristol Bay and the northern AKPEN. BUFKIT
soundings consistently show temperatures remaining below freezing
from the surface through the upper levels. Likewise, guidance is
consistent in the warm front occluding before it reaches Southwest
Alaska. This means the above freezing layer aloft will erode and
thus make for below freezing temperatures from the cloud to the
surface. The NAM was the warmest outlier with bringing this warmer
layer farther north compared to the rest of guidance and this
solution also showed the above freezing aloft become completely
eroded before the onset of precipitation. Farther to the south
(i.e. southern AKPEN), forecast soundings show this above
freezing layer aloft not eroding completely which will allow for
the snow to mix with rain at times. There is also no cold air
damming present and this above layer aloft will be short-lived
which inhibits the potential for freezing rain or sleet.

The snow will then gradually taper off across Nunivak Island late
Thursday afternoon, Thursday evening for the Kuskokwim Delta,
Thursday night for coastal Bristol Bay and Friday morning for the
Kuskokwim Valley.

We are currently monitoring the potential for elevated water
levels along coastal Bristol Bay Friday afternoon into Saturday.
Confidence remains low at this time, however with the current
pattern of widespread gale force westerly winds combined with long
period 20-30ft swell behind this occluded front it cannot be
ruled out.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

An active weather pattern is in store for the Bering/Aleutians over
the next 3 days. A quick moving transient ridge of high pressure
will pass over the eastern Aleutians and AKPEN tonight and thus
weaken the strong northwesterly gap winds throughout the coastal
marine zones south of the AKPEN and eastern Aleutian Chain. A
front that is currently approaching the central Aleutians is
producing widespread storm force winds in the western Bering Sea
with an even larger area of gale force winds. This front will
continue to move eastward and completely move over land by
Thursday afternoon. Areas along the Aleutian chain that are prone
to the localized funneling of winds from the south will experience
enhanced winds. Gusts associated with this front will reach low-
end hurricane force in localized areas. Behind this front,
widespread west-northwesterly gale force winds with localized
areas of storm force winds will produce large westerly swell that
will build to 30-35ft in spots across the central Bering Sea. The
combination of widespread gale force winds with a very long fetch
over the water allow for this large swell to form. This swell
will remain long in period. This 30-35ft westerly swell will begin
to gradually abate Thursday afternoon and will remain 20-25ft on
Friday.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Saturday through Monday)...

Bering Sea: A Northern Bering low tracks into Northwest Alaska,
and its front moves across the Aleutians and Bering into Western
Alaska Sat night. Widespread gale force winds and waves with some
areas of storm force gusts moves into the Eastern Bering and
diminishing Mon. Seas to 24 feet and heavy freezing spray subsides
by Mon. Forecasts become unclear towards Mon. A new low and front
moves into the Western Aleutians and Bering for Mon. Seas
building to 20 feet around the Western Aleutians Mon.

Gulf of Alaska: A low exits the Gulf Sun. Strong northwesterly
outflow winds from the Alaska Peninsula weaken. Model confidence
is good. Widespread gale force winds and waves with an area of
storm force winds near the Barren Islands and heavy freezing spray
along the Alaska Peninsula diminish to small craft winds for Sun.
Wave heights 22 feet over the Gulf subsiding late Sun. A new low
and front enter the Western Gulf Sun night. Widespread
southeasterly small craft winds spread across the Gulf. Waves
building to 12 feet for Mon

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...

Looking at the averaged big picture, models are in pretty good
synoptic agreement Sunday and Monday. An upper level low will
remain across the eastern portion of Siberia and is expected to
have a trough dig across the Bering and Aleutian Chain late this
weekend. Ahead of that trough, ridging sets up across
southcentral.

Overall this means temperatures will continue to steadily climb
throughout the daytime hours Sunday and Monday across much of the
region. Inland areas across southcentral could see temperatures
rise above freezing for the first time since the middle of
January. This pattern could potentially turn into a snowier
regime for Southcentral and in particular across the Anchorage
Bowl. However, many factors have to come together for Anchorage to
get the snow, though, the storm track looks favorable with model
guidance mostly bringing lows near and into Prince William Sound
with details of each uncertain.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Warning 155.
		 Winter Weather Advisory 161.
MARINE...Storm Warning 177-179 181 185 411-414.
		 Gale Warning 131 150 155 165 170-176 180.
		 Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 121 130 138 160 165 180 185
									  414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ED
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/SS