Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Watches in 2021

Flash Flood Watch 18, NWS Albuquerque, NM

August 2, 202113 counties in New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this flash flood watch at Aug 2, 2021, 1:30 AM MDT for 13 counties in New Mexico. It took effect at Aug 2, 2021, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 56 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2021, 1:30 AM MDT (07:30 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 2, 2021, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Aug 4, 2021, 7:44 PM MDT
In force
56 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM
Flood severity
None

Counties Catron County, NM, Cibola County, NM, Colfax County, NM, Los Alamos County, NM, McKinley County, NM, Mora County, NM, Rio Arriba County, NM, San Juan County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Sandoval County, NM, Santa Fe County, NM, Socorro County, NM, Taos County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 00:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 00:00Z on 2021-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 149 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 00:00Z on 2021-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -15 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
149 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2117 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

034 
WGUS65 KABQ 020730
FFAABQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
130 AM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

NMZ203-204-206-208-210>215-021800-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FF.A.0018.210802T1800Z-210803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Far Northwest Highlands-Northwest Highlands-West Central
Mountains-Southwest Mountains-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern
Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
130 AM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH LATE 
TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of north central and west central 
  New Mexico, including the following areas, in north central New 
  Mexico, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Far Northwest 
  Highlands, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez Mountains, 
  Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Northwest Highlands, Southern 
  Sangre de Cristo Mountains and Tusas Mountains Including Chama. In 
  west central New Mexico, Southwest Mountains and West Central 
  Mountains.

* From Noon MDT today through late tonight.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms from midday through tonight. Storm motions will 
  remain very slow and erratic if not nearly stationary at times. 
  Rainfall rates up to one inch in 30 to 45 minutes are likely with 
  the strongest storms. This will increase the threat of flash 
  flooding. Recent burn scars will be especially susceptible. Some 
  locations may receive two inches or more of rainfall in a short 
  period of time this afternoon or evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

CHJ
9 follow-up statements
521 
WGUS65 KABQ 021755
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1155 AM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

NMZ203-204-206-208-210>215-030400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0018.210802T1800Z-210803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Far Northwest Highlands-Northwest Highlands-West Central
Mountains-Southwest Mountains-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern
Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
1155 AM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of north central and west central New Mexico, including 
  the following areas, in north central New Mexico, East Slopes 
  Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Far Northwest Highlands, Glorieta Mesa 
  Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de 
  Cristo Mountains, Northwest Highlands, Southern Sangre de Cristo 
  Mountains and Tusas Mountains Including Chama. In west central New 
  Mexico, Southwest Mountains and West Central Mountains.

* Through late tonight.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms across northern and western New Mexico through 
  tonight. Storm motions will be slow and erratic toward the 
  southeast. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely with the 
  strongest storms. This will increase the threat of flash flooding. 
  Recent burn scars will be especially susceptible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Guyer
491 
WGUS65 KABQ 021959
FFAABQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
159 PM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

NMZ227>232-030400-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FF.A.0019.210803T1900Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far Northeast
Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding County-Eastern
San Miguel County-
159 PM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE 
TUESDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of northeast New Mexico, including 
  the following areas, Eastern San Miguel County, Far Northeast 
  Highlands, Harding County, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including 
  Raton Pass, Northeast Highlands and Union County.

* From Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday night.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms from midday Tuesday through late Tuesday night. 
  Storm motions will remain slow and erratic. Rainfall amounts of 1 
  to 2 inches are likely with the strongest storms. This will 
  increase the threat of flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NMZ210>215-030400-
/O.EXT.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa
Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo
Mountains-
159 PM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* A portion of north central New Mexico, including the following 
  areas, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Glorieta Mesa 
  Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de 
  Cristo Mountains, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains and Tusas 
  Mountains Including Chama.

* Through late Tuesday night.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms through late Tuesday night. Storm motions will 
  remain slow and erratic. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are 
  likely with the strongest storms. This will increase the threat of 
  flash flooding. Recent burn scars will be especially susceptible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NMZ203-204-206-208-030400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Far Northwest Highlands-Northwest Highlands-West Central
Mountains-Southwest Mountains-
159 PM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of north central and west central New Mexico, including 
  the following areas, in north central New Mexico, Far Northwest 
  Highlands and Northwest Highlands. In west central New Mexico, 
  Southwest Mountains and West Central Mountains.

* Through late tonight.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms through late tonight. Storm motions will remain slow 
  and erratic. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely with the 
  strongest storms. This will increase the threat of flash flooding. 
  Recent burn scars will be especially susceptible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Guyer
066 
WGUS65 KABQ 030352
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
952 PM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

NMZ203-204-206-208-031200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Far Northwest Highlands-Northwest Highlands-West Central
Mountains-Southwest Mountains-
952 PM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT TUESDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of north central and west central New Mexico, including 
  the following areas, in north central New Mexico, Far Northwest 
  Highlands and Northwest Highlands. In west central New Mexico, 
  Southwest Mountains and West Central Mountains.

* Until 6 AM MDT Tuesday.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms through late tonight. Storm motions will remain slow 
  and erratic. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely with the 
  strongest storms. This will increase the threat of flash flooding. 
  Recent burn scars will be especially susceptible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NMZ210>215-031200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa
Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo
Mountains-
952 PM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of north central New Mexico, including the following 
  areas, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Glorieta Mesa 
  Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de 
  Cristo Mountains, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains and Tusas 
  Mountains Including Chama.

* Through late Tuesday night.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms through late Tuesday night. Storm motions will 
  remain slow and erratic. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are 
  likely with the strongest storms. This will increase the threat of 
  flash flooding. Recent burn scars will be especially susceptible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NMZ227>232-031200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0019.210803T1900Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far Northeast
Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding County-Eastern
San Miguel County-
952 PM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON 
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of northeast New Mexico, including the following areas, 
  Eastern San Miguel County, Far Northeast Highlands, Harding 
  County, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass, Northeast 
  Highlands and Union County.

* From Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday night.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms from midday Tuesday through late Tuesday night. 
  Storm motions will remain slow and erratic. Rainfall amounts of 1 
  to 2 inches are likely with the strongest storms. This will 
  increase the threat of flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

15
868 
WGUS65 KABQ 030825
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
225 AM MDT Tue Aug 3 2021

NMZ203-204-206-208-030930-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Far Northwest Highlands-Northwest Highlands-West Central
Mountains-Southwest Mountains-
225 AM MDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of north central and west central 
New Mexico, including the following areas, in north central New 
Mexico, Far Northwest Highlands and Northwest Highlands. In west 
central New Mexico, Southwest Mountains and West Central Mountains. 
has been cancelled.

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

$$

NMZ210>215-031800-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa
Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo
Mountains-
225 AM MDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of north central New Mexico, including the following 
  areas, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Glorieta Mesa 
  Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de 
  Cristo Mountains, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains and Tusas 
  Mountains Including Chama.

* Through late tonight.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms through late Tuesday night. Storm motions will 
  remain slow and erratic. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are 
  likely with the strongest storms. This will increase the threat of 
  flash flooding. Recent burn scars will be especially susceptible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NMZ227>232-031800-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0019.210803T1900Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far Northeast
Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding County-Eastern
San Miguel County-
225 AM MDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON 
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of northeast New Mexico, including the following areas, 
  Eastern San Miguel County, Far Northeast Highlands, Harding 
  County, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass, Northeast 
  Highlands and Union County.

* From 1 PM MDT this afternoon through late tonight.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms from midday Tuesday through late Tuesday night. 
  Storm motions will remain slow and erratic. Rainfall amounts of 1 
  to 2 inches are likely with the strongest storms. This will 
  increase the threat of flash flooding, especially over recent burn 
  scars.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

CHJ
194 
WGUS65 KABQ 031748
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1148 AM MDT Tue Aug 3 2021

NMZ210>215-040415-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa
Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo
Mountains-
1148 AM MDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of north central New Mexico, including the following 
  areas, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Glorieta Mesa 
  Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de 
  Cristo Mountains, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains and Tusas 
  Mountains Including Chama.

* Through late tonight.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms through late tonight. Storm motions will remain slow 
  and erratic. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely with the 
  strongest storms. This will increase the threat of flash flooding. 
  Recent burn scars will be especially susceptible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NMZ227>232-040415-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0019.210803T1900Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far Northeast
Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding County-Eastern
San Miguel County-
1148 AM MDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of northeast New Mexico, including the following areas, 
  Eastern San Miguel County, Far Northeast Highlands, Harding 
  County, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass, Northeast 
  Highlands and Union County.

* Through late tonight.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous slow-moving 
  thunderstorms through late tonight. Storm motions will remain slow 
  and erratic. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely with the 
  strongest storms. This will increase the threat of flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Guyer
246 
WGUS65 KABQ 040351
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
951 PM MDT Tue Aug 3 2021

NMZ227>232-041200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0019.000000T0000Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far Northeast
Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding County-Eastern
San Miguel County-
951 PM MDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT WEDNESDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of northeast New Mexico, including the following areas, 
  Eastern San Miguel County, Far Northeast Highlands, Harding 
  County, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass, Northeast 
  Highlands and Union County.

* Until 6 AM MDT Wednesday.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous thunderstorms 
  through late Tuesday night. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are 
  likely with the strongest storms. This will increase the threat of 
  flash flooding, especially over recent burn scars.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NMZ210>215-041200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa
Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre de Cristo
Mountains-
951 PM MDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT WEDNESDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of north central New Mexico, including the following 
  areas, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Glorieta Mesa 
  Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de 
  Cristo Mountains, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains and Tusas 
  Mountains Including Chama.

* Until 6 AM MDT Wednesday.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous thunderstorms 
  through late tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely 
  with the strongest storms. This will increase the threat of flash 
  flooding. Recent burn scars will be especially susceptible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

15
340 
WGUS65 KABQ 040806
FFAABQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
206 AM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

NMZ210-211-040915-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210804T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez Mountains-
206 AM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of north central New Mexico, 
including the following areas, Jemez Mountains and Tusas Mountains 
Including Chama. has been cancelled.

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

$$

NMZ223-233-041800-
/O.EXB.KABQ.FF.A.0019.000000T0000Z-210805T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Central Highlands-Guadalupe County-
206 AM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of central and east central 
  New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New Mexico, 
  Central Highlands. In east central New Mexico, Guadalupe County.

* Through this evening.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous thunderstorms 
  through this evening. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely 
  with the strongest storms. This will increase the threat of flash 
  flooding, especially over recent burn scars.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

$$

NMZ227>232-041800-
/O.EXT.KABQ.FF.A.0019.000000T0000Z-210805T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far Northeast
Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding County-Eastern
San Miguel County-
206 AM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* A portion of northeast New Mexico, including the following areas, 
  Eastern San Miguel County, Far Northeast Highlands, Harding 
  County, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass, Northeast 
  Highlands and Union County.

* Through this evening.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous thunderstorms 
  through tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely with 
  the strongest storms. This will increase the threat of flash 
  flooding, especially over recent burn scars.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

$$

NMZ212>215-041800-
/O.EXT.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210805T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre de Cristo
Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-
206 AM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* A portion of north central New Mexico, including the following 
  areas, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Glorieta Mesa 
  Including Glorieta Pass, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains and 
  Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains.

* Through this evening.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous thunderstorms 
  through tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely with 
  the strongest storms. This will increase the threat of flash 
  flooding, especially over recent burn scars.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

$$

CHJ
031 
WGUS65 KABQ 041758
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1158 AM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

NMZ223-227>233-050300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0019.000000T0000Z-210805T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Central Highlands-Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding
County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
1158 AM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central, east central, and northeast New Mexico, 
  including the following areas, in central New Mexico, Central 
  Highlands. In east central New Mexico, Guadalupe County. In 
  northeast New Mexico, Eastern San Miguel County, Far Northeast 
  Highlands, Harding County, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including 
  Raton Pass, Northeast Highlands and Union County.

* Until 9 PM MDT this evening.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous 
  thunderstorms. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely with 
  the strongest storms.

* Locations with saturated ground from recent rainfall will be 
  especially susceptible to rapid runoff and flash flooding today, 
  as well as areas of complex terrain, recent burn scars, and urban 
  areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

$$

NMZ212>215-050300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210805T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre de Cristo
Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-
1158 AM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of north central New Mexico, including the following 
  areas, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Glorieta Mesa 
  Including Glorieta Pass, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains and 
  Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains.

* Until 9 PM MDT this evening.

* Abundant moisture will support scattered to numerous 
  thunderstorms. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely with 
  the strongest storms.

* Locations with saturated ground from recent rainfall will be 
  especially susceptible to rapid runoff and flash flooding today, 
  as well as areas of complex terrain, recent burn scars, and urban 
  areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

$$

44
204 
WGUS65 KABQ 050144
FFAABQ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
744 PM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

NMZ223-227>233-050245-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FF.A.0019.000000T0000Z-210805T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Central Highlands-Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-Harding
County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
744 PM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central, east central, and 
northeast New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New 
Mexico, Central Highlands. In east central New Mexico, Guadalupe 
County. In northeast New Mexico, Eastern San Miguel County, Far 
Northeast Highlands, Harding County, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas 
Including Raton Pass, Northeast Highlands and Union County. has been 
cancelled.

The Flash Flood Watch is cancelled. Flooding is no longer expected 
to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road 
closures.

$$

NMZ212>215-050245-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-210805T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre de Cristo
Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-
744 PM MDT Wed Aug 4 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of north central New Mexico, 
including the following areas, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo 
Mountains, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass, Northern Sangre de 
Cristo Mountains and Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains. has been 
cancelled.

The Flash Flood Watch is cancelled. Flooding is no longer expected 
to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road 
closures.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Aug 2, 12:29 AM MDT, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 2, 12:29 AM MDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1229 AM MDT Mon Aug 2 2021

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will generally move
toward the south at speeds around 5-10 kts through the overnight
hours. MVFR to IFR conditions are likely tonight along the east
slopes of the central mountain chain and possibly across the
southeast plains. Monday's crop of scattered to numerous afternoon
convection will favor the northern and western mountains, moving out
over the lower basins and valleys after 03/00Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...315 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021...
.SYNOPSIS...
A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for portions of western and
central New Mexico through late tonight. The heavy rainfall threat
will be in response to a backdoor cold front that brought increased
moisture to the region Saturday into Saturday night. Meanwhile, the
upper high directly over the area is allowing for slow and erratic
storm motions, especially in the west. That said, the very active
weather pattern will persist into the early work week period as the
upper high shifts to the west, opening the door for a disturbance to
migrate southward through the eastern plains. This will enhance the
threat for shower and thunderstorm activity along with a threat for
localized flash flooding. The middle to latter part of the week will
favor reduced storm coverage as drier air works into the state.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
With temperatures struggling to reach 70 degrees across northeast
parts of the ongoing Flash Flood Watch, we will trim a few zones
with the afternoon package. The risk of Flash Flooding persists over
western and southeast areas.

Temperatures will continue to cool Monday over western and southern
areas, but readings will warm a few to 7 degrees above today's
readings over east central and northeast areas as the winds veer out
of the south there. With the 500 mb high pressure center over Las
Vegas, NV, storms will move toward the south and south southeast
over NM on Monday. An upr level trough approaching the Four Corners
from the Great Salt Lake will invigorate showers and thunderstorms
over western and north central NM Monday afternoon and evening
triggering scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some
capable of locally heavy rainfall. Another active area will be along
and southeast of the south central mountains. However, there will be
little if any convection over far east central and northeast areas.
44

LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
Main forecast concern will be the coverage for storms and attendant
flash flood threat for Tuesday into Wednesday, then determining how
much dry air will work into the area for mid/late week and how this
will influence storm coverage across the CWFA.

Deterministic and ensemble guidance are highly consistent with the
500hPa high positioned over southern NV/CA by 00Z/Wed, supporting a
general north to south flow across NM. As a result, the shortwave in
the upr flow mentioned in the Short Term Discussion will slowly drift
southward across northeast/east central NM. PWATs across the far ern
plains are progged to range from 0.75-1.00 inch on Mon, but low/mid-
level return flow will support modest moisture advection across this
area on Tue, sending PWATs into the 1.25-1.50 inch range. As forcing
from the disturbance increases combined with added moisture, a flash
flood threat will re-emerge across this region once again. N/NW flow
is notorious for severe weather potential; however, the latest SREF
suggests only 750 J/kg of MLCAPE and 0-6km bulk shear <30 knots. So
while a strong to severe storm or two cannot be ruled out, the risk
for widespread activity appears rather limited at this time. Forcing
will allow activity to persist well into Tues night in the northeast
zones, which may further enhance the flash flood risk due to a lack
of a significant break in pcpn.

For Wed, the upr high remains anchored in the same general location,
though its axis will likely pivot to more of a southwest to northeast
orientation. Meanwhile, the upr level disturbance plaguing NM should
be sagging southward through east central or southeast NM. There are
some differences in the timing of its progression in the guidance and
this will have a significant influence on PoPs across central/eastern
NM. Drier air will start to work into the Four Corners region during
this time, sending PWATs into the 0.50-0.75 inch range. Thus, a very
sharp pcpn gradient could setup across the CWFA.

The upper ridge rolls eastward by Thursday as a closed low in the ern
Pacific migrates into the PacNW. As a result, the disturbance over NM
will get a boot to the east. Significantly drier air invades the CWA
as a result, sending coverage of storms into the isolated to possibly
scattered range. Further flattening of the ridge is progged by global
models for Friday with monsoonal moisture being trapped in northwest
Mexico. A potential moisture squeeze play may occur for next weekend,
with an upper high situated over the western Gulf coast and trough in
the PacNW. How far south the trough digs and where the moisture axis
will be oriented will play a significant factor on which locales will
be at greatest risk for storms. Pinpointing those specific details is
nearly impossible at this time frame, but something to watch. DPorter

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The wet monsoon pattern will continue through Thursday mainly along
and east of the continental divide as the high pressure system aloft
builds west of NM and repeated disturbances pass south/southeastward
over the forecast area. A couple of especially convectively active
periods will be Tuesday and Wednesday as an upper level trough tracks
slowly over the state from the north northwest. There will be a
significant downtick in the coverage and wetness of showers and
thunderstorms Thursday and Friday as the 500 mb high pressure center
builds over NM and moisture recycles. However, models depict the
upper high shifting eastward over TX next weekend with a more
traditional monsoon moisture plume streaming north and northeastward
out of Mexico. High temperatures will remain mostly below normal
through Wednesday, then they will warm near normal areawide at the
end of the week. 44

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 6 AM MDT Monday for the following zones...
NMZ206>208-241.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 1, 3:49 AM MDT, 21 hours 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
349 AM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

NMZ201>241-021000-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
349 AM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Widespread slow-moving thunderstorms are expected this afternoon through
the overnight. Storms will be most concentrated east of the Divide to
the east slopes of the central mountain chain. Storm motions will be
very slow and erratic. Rainfall will be locally very heavy at times.
This may lead to localized areas of flash flooding, especially over
and near recent and older burn scars. Isolated locations may receive
up to 2 inches of rainfall in a short amount of time. A few storms
may also produce small hail and wind gusts to 50 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected Monday through
Wednesday.  Storm motions will be slow and rainfall could become
heavy. This may lead to localized areas of flash flooding, especially
over and near recent and older burn scars. Isolated locations may
receive up to 2 inches of rainfall. A few storms may also produce
small hail and wind gusts to 50 mph. A trend toward fewer storms is
expected by Thursday and especially Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and any flooding
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at
weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637.

41

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 7:00 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCibola2 hr
Aug 1, 7:53 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQSocorro112 min
Aug 2, 1:14 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCatron3 hr
Aug 2, 1:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ27 min
Aug 2, 1:47 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQCibola28 min
Aug 2, 1:59 PM MDTFlash Flood WatchABQColfax, Guadalupe, Harding, Mora, San Miguel, Santa Fe and 2 more54 hr
Aug 2, 2:13 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCatron, Socorro3 hr
Aug 2, 2:24 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ36 min
Aug 2, 2:29 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCatron3 hr
Aug 2, 2:52 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ23 min
Aug 2, 3:04 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCatron3 hr
Aug 2, 3:17 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQMcKinley3 hr
Aug 2, 3:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQMcKinley26 min
Aug 2, 3:23 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ37 min
Aug 2, 3:37 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCatron3 hr
Aug 2, 3:45 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQMcKinley3 hr
Aug 2, 3:50 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQRio Arriba3 hr
Aug 2, 4:06 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQCatron24 min
Aug 2, 4:08 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQCatron37 min
Aug 2, 4:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCatron33 min
Aug 2, 4:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQCatron23 min
Aug 2, 4:38 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCatron3 hr
Aug 2, 4:39 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQMcKinley36 min
Aug 2, 4:42 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ33 min
Aug 2, 4:54 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCibola, McKinley3 hr
Aug 2, 5:09 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ36 min
Aug 2, 5:16 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQMcKinley3 hr
Aug 2, 5:25 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCibola, McKinley3 hr
Aug 2, 5:31 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCatron3 hr
Aug 2, 5:34 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQ26 min
Aug 2, 5:36 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementABQCibola24 min
Aug 2, 5:48 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryABQCibola3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in New Mexico, 2021Every flash flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.