Alert archive / Arkansas / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 71, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 26, 2020Franklin County, Johnson County, Logan County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at May 26, 2020, 9:53 AM CDT for Franklin County, Johnson County, Logan County, Arkansas. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 26, 2020, 9:53 AM CDT (14:53 UTC)
Expired: May 30, 2020, 2:02 PM CDT
In force: 4 days
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Franklin County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Arkansas River at Ozark L/D Tailwater (OZGA4).

Action stage: 355.5 ft
Minor stage: 357 ft
Moderate stage: 363 ft
Major stage: 365 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

347 
WGUS44 KTSA 261453
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
953 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020

...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC047-071-083-262251-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0071.200526T1453Z-200529T0834Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T0600Z.200529T0234Z.NO/
953 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam
* until late Thursday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday, the stage was 357.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 358.0 feet by 
  Wednesday before dawn. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 357.0 feet, flooding affects agricultural use lands 
  along the river downstream of the lock and dam in Franklin County. 
  Gas fields are also subject to flooding downstream. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground. North 5th Street in 
  Logan County near the Six Mile Levee begins to flood and may cut 
  off access to a nearby residence. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

17 follow-up statements

249 
WGUS84 KTSA 262001
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
301 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County. 
  
ARC033-131-270400-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200529T0600Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0600Z.200529T0000Z.NO/
301 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until late Thursday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 PM Tuesday, the stage was 23.44 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue rising to 
  near 23.8 feet Wednesday before dawn. The river is expected to fall
  below flood stage Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca. Some rural 
  roads near Lavaca may be impassable. Parts of Kelley Park northwest
  of downtown Fort Smith experience minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-270400-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200529T2200Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T1200Z.200529T1600Z.NO/
301 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2:00 PM Tuesday, the stage was 358.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 358.5 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

OKC127-270400-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-200528T1200Z/
/ANTO2.1.ER.200527T0417Z.200527T1800Z.200528T0600Z.NO/
301 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* until Thursday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 PM Tuesday, the stage was 23.23 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by
  early Wednesday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Thursday before dawn .
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor flooding occurs along the west bank of 
  the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Campers should move to higher 
  ground.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3442 9550 3417 9543 3419 9558 3424 9569 3441 9569

$$

051 
WGUS84 KTSA 270122
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
822 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
ARC033-131-270921-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200529T0600Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0600Z.200529T0000Z.NO/
822 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until late Thursday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday, the stage was 24.05 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue slowly 
  rising to near 24.1 feet Wednesday before dawn. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca. Some rural 
  roads near Lavaca may be impassable. Parts of Kelley Park northwest
  of downtown Fort Smith experience minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-270921-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200531T1500Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T1200Z.200531T0900Z.NO/
822 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday, the stage was 358.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 359.2 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river is forecast to remain above 357.5
  feet through Saturday afternoon and then fall below flood stage
  early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

884 
WGUS84 KTSA 270829
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...Arkansas...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC115-271629-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200529T1620Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200527T0715Z.200529T1020Z.NO/
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 18.24 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is cresting.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will remain nearly steady
  around 18.0 feet thru tonight, and will then begin falling Thursday to 
  below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC079-271629-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200529T1800Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200523T1642Z.200528T0000Z.200529T1200Z.NO/
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 34.50 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue rising to 
  near 35.4 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the 
  floodplain become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

OKC021-271629-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-200528T0508Z/
/TALO2.1.ER.200527T0108Z.200527T1200Z.200527T2308Z.NO/
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 11.92 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah will continue rising 
  to near 12.0 feet this morning. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Extreme turbulence makes the river 
  too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

ARC033-131-271629-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200529T0600Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0115Z.200529T0000Z.NO/
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until late Thursday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 AM Wednesday, the stage was 22.84 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will fall below 
  flood stage by Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca. Some rural 
  roads near Lavaca may be impassable. Parts of Kelley Park northwest
  of downtown Fort Smith experience minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-271629-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200531T1500Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T1200Z.200531T0900Z.NO/
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Wednesday, the stage was 359.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 359.2 feet by 
  this morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

Lacy

130 
WGUS84 KTSA 271434
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
934 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC079-272235-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200529T1607Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200523T1642Z.200527T1045Z.200529T1007Z.NO/
934 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 34.47 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the 
  floodplain become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

ARC033-131-272234-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200531T0000Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0115Z.200530T1800Z.NO/
934 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until Saturday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday, the stage was 22.48 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue rising to 
  near 23.0 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-272234-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200531T0900Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200528T0000Z.200531T0300Z.NO/
934 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday, the stage was 359.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 359.8 feet by 
  this evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

035 
WGUS84 KTSA 271927
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
227 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
OKC079-280327-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200529T2000Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200523T1642Z.200527T1045Z.200529T1400Z.NO/
227 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 34.10 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the 
  floodplain become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

ARC033-131-280326-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200531T0000Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0115Z.200530T1800Z.NO/
227 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until Saturday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 PM Wednesday, the stage was 22.86 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue rising to 
  near 23.0 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-280326-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200601T1500Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200528T0000Z.200601T0900Z.NO/
227 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 PM Wednesday, the stage was 359.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 359.8 feet by 
  this evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

555 
WGUS84 KTSA 280057
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
757 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...Arkansas...

  Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County. 
  
  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
OKC101-280856-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0073.200528T1048Z-200529T2100Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.200528T1048Z.200528T1800Z.200529T1500Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River near Muskogee.
* from late tonight to Friday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Wednesday, the stage was 27.39 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River near Muskogee is expected to rise 
  above flood stage early Thursday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 29.0 feet by early Thursday afternoon. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. A boating 
  marina north of the OG&E power plant may be flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3583 9520 3552 9507 3547 9515 3559 9532 3583 9537

$$

ARC033-131-280856-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200531T0600Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0115Z.200531T0000Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Wednesday, the stage was 22.66 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue falling to
  below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-280856-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200601T0712Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200601T0112Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Wednesday, the stage was 359.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

824 
WGUS84 KTSA 280824
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...Arkansas...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC115-281624-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200530T1350Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T0645Z.200530T0750Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 19.53 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is near crest.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will begin falling 
  tonight to below flood stage by Saturday before dawn.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC101-281624-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0073.200528T1132Z-200529T2100Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.200528T1132Z.200528T1800Z.200529T1500Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River near Muskogee.
* from this morning to Friday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  3:00 AM Thursday, the stage was 27.23 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River near Muskogee is expected to rise 
  above flood stage this morning and continue to rise to near 29.0 
  feet by this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. A boating 
  marina north of the OG&E power plant may be flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3583 9520 3552 9507 3547 9515 3559 9532 3583 9537

$$

ARC033-131-281624-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200531T0600Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0115Z.200531T0000Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 AM Thursday, the stage was 22.47 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will fluctuate near 22.5 
  feet thru Saturday morning. The river will then fall below flood stage
  by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-281624-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200601T0712Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200601T0112Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Thursday, the stage was 359.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and has begun falling. The river
  is expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

OKC079-281624-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200529T1640Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200523T1642Z.200527T1045Z.200529T1040Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 32.71 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands 
  occurs between Shady Point and Arkoma. Williams Road east of Panama
  and some local farm roads are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

Lacy

362 
WGUS84 KTSA 281515
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1015 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC047-071-083-282315-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200601T1200Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200601T0600Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday, the stage was 359.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to near 357.8 feet Friday
  evening and then begin to rise to near 358.1 feet Saturday afternoon. 
  The river is then expected to fall below flood stage by Monday before 
  dawn.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

941 
WGUS84 KTSA 281924
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
224 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC047-071-083-290324-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200531T1800Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200531T1200Z.NO/
224 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 358.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

676 
WGUS84 KTSA 290101
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
800 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC033-131-290859-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200531T0600Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0115Z.200531T0000Z.NO/
800 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 22.28 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue falling to
  below flood stage by Saturday evening. However, the river will remain 
  between 21.0 and 22.0 feet through Tuesday evening. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-290859-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200602T0600Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200602T0000Z.NO/
800 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until late Monday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 358.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Monday evening. However, the river will remain between 356.5 and 
  357.0 feet through Tuesday evening. 
* Impact...At 357.0 feet, flooding affects agricultural use lands 
  along the river downstream of the lock and dam in Franklin County. 
  Gas fields are also subject to flooding downstream. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground. North 5th Street in 
  Logan County near the Six Mile Levee begins to flood and may cut 
  off access to a nearby residence. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

444 
WGUS84 KTSA 290811
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
311 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC033-131-291610-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200531T0600Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0115Z.200531T0000Z.NO/
311 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Friday, the stage was 22.14 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue falling to
  below flood stage by Saturday evening. However, the river will remain 
  between 21.0 and 22.0 feet through Tuesday evening. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-291610-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200602T0600Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200602T0000Z.NO/
311 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until late Monday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Friday, the stage was 357.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Monday evening. However, the river will remain between 356.5 and 
  357.0 feet through Tuesday evening. 
* Impact...At 357.0 feet, flooding affects agricultural use lands 
  along the river downstream of the lock and dam in Franklin County. 
  Gas fields are also subject to flooding downstream. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground. North 5th Street in 
  Logan County near the Six Mile Levee begins to flood and may cut 
  off access to a nearby residence. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

666 
WGUS84 KTSA 291315
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
815 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC047-071-083-292114-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200531T0600Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200531T0000Z.NO/
815 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Friday, the stage was 357.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Saturday evening. However, the river will remain between 356.0 and 
  357.0 feet through Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 357.0 feet, flooding affects agricultural use lands 
  along the river downstream of the lock and dam in Franklin County. 
  Gas fields are also subject to flooding downstream. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground. North 5th Street in 
  Logan County near the Six Mile Levee begins to flood and may cut 
  off access to a nearby residence. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

696 
WGUS84 KTSA 291847
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
147 PM CDT Fri May 29 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC047-071-083-300246-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200531T0600Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200531T0000Z.NO/
147 PM CDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Friday, the stage was 357.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Saturday evening. However, the river will remain between 356.0 and 
  357.0 feet through Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 357.0 feet, flooding affects agricultural use lands 
  along the river downstream of the lock and dam in Franklin County. 
  Gas fields are also subject to flooding downstream. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground. North 5th Street in 
  Logan County near the Six Mile Levee begins to flood and may cut 
  off access to a nearby residence. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

083 
WGUS84 KTSA 300136
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
836 PM CDT Fri May 29 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC047-071-083-300935-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200531T0000Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200530T1800Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until Saturday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Friday, the stage was 357.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early Saturday afternoon. The river will then remain between 356.0
  and 357.0 feet until further notice. 
* Impact...At 357.0 feet, flooding affects agricultural use lands 
  along the river downstream of the lock and dam in Franklin County. 
  Gas fields are also subject to flooding downstream. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground. North 5th Street in 
  Logan County near the Six Mile Levee begins to flood and may cut 
  off access to a nearby residence. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

404 
WGUS84 KTSA 300832
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
332 AM CDT Sat May 30 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC047-071-083-301632-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200531T0000Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200530T1800Z.NO/
332 AM CDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 357.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early Saturday afternoon. The river will then remain between 356.0
  and 357.0 feet until further notice. 
* Impact...At 357.0 feet, flooding affects agricultural use lands 
  along the river downstream of the lock and dam in Franklin County. 
  Gas fields are also subject to flooding downstream. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground. North 5th Street in 
  Logan County near the Six Mile Levee begins to flood and may cut 
  off access to a nearby residence. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

371 
WGUS84 KTSA 301301
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
801 AM CDT Sat May 30 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC047-071-083-302101-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200601T1200Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200601T0600Z.NO/
801 AM CDT Sat May 30 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Saturday, the stage was 357.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early Monday morning. The river will then remain between 355.5
  and 357.0 feet until further notice.
* Impact...At 357.0 feet, flooding affects agricultural use lands 
  along the river downstream of the lock and dam in Franklin County. 
  Gas fields are also subject to flooding downstream. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground. North 5th Street in 
  Logan County near the Six Mile Levee begins to flood and may cut 
  off access to a nearby residence. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

301 
WGUS84 KTSA 301902
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
202 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Arkansas and has been replaced by a Flood Advisory...

  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
ARC047-071-083-301932-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200601T1200Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200530T1536Z.NO/
202 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* At  1:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 356.8 feet.
* fell below flood stage at 10:36 AM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast..The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam is below flood 
  stage but will fluctuate between 355.5 feet and 357.0 feet until 
  further notice. Therefore, the Warning has been replaced by a Flood
  Advisory. Please refer to the Flood Advisory for future updates.
* Impact...At 357.0 feet, flooding affects agricultural use lands 
  along the river downstream of the lock and dam in Franklin County. 
  Gas fields are also subject to flooding downstream. Equipment and 
  livestock should be moved to higher ground. North 5th Street in 
  Logan County near the Six Mile Levee begins to flood and may cut 
  off access to a nearby residence. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 26, 6:14 AM CDT, 3 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 26, 6:14 AM CDT, 3 hours 39 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
614 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020

.DISCUSSION...

The 12Z TAF forecast discussion follows...

&&

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
A cool and fairly saturated boundary layer from the recent rains
will yield MVFR and spotty IFR cigs this morning. Expect improving
conditions back to VFR by this afternoon. Best chance for
afternoon and evening storms will be at KMLC and KFSM. Storm
chances may linger thru the night over NW AR as upper low spins
overhead. Guidance was hitting fog potential hard tonight. I'm a
bit skeptical at this point given persistent cloud cover with
nearby upper low so will stay conservative for now.

Lacy

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 418 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020/

DISCUSSION...
Surface low continued to lift northward across far Eastern
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas early this morning. Majority of
the ongoing showers had also lifted into Kansas and Missouri with
some light to moderate rainfall still occurring on the north and
east side of the low. Recent hourly rainfall rates have generally
been less than a quarter of an inch and thus...have let the
current flash flood watch go early as additional flash flooding
potentials are not anticipated.

Through this afternoon...the surface low will continue its
northward push into the Central Plains while at the same time
another upper level low...currently centered over Western
Kansas...drops southward into the region. Some scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible this morning
across Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas as precip wraps
around the surface low. Additional shower and thunderstorm
development will also be possible this afternoon into tonight as
the upper low settles into the region and stalls. Greater
potential looks to be across Southeast Oklahoma into Northwest
Arkansas. Marginal instability combined with forecast deep layer
shear values less than 35KT will allow for severe weather
potentials to not be expected today. Also this afternoon...with
continued cloud cover...temps today look to warm into the low/mid
70s for most locations.

Tonight through Thursday...the upper low is progged to become a
closed cut off low with the center of the low now forecast to be
positioned over Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas by Thursday.
In response...additional rounds of shower and thunderstorm
chances will continue across the CWA. The greater chances look to
be Wednesday afternoon into Thursday afternoon as the upper low
moves overhead of the CWA. With the low centered over the
CWA...weak mid/upper level flow is forecast which should aid in
limiting overall severe potentials for the week. Also...with the
low stalling over the CWA...the greater low level moisture
vectors look to shift eastward before wrapping around the low.
This should keep some of the additional rainfall amounts from
getting too much out of control...with additional amounts
generally in the half inch to locally near 2 inches possible by
the end of the week.

Thursday night and Friday...an upper level trof axis is forecast
to push east southeast out of Central Canada through the
Plains/MidWest with a trailing cold front progged to push into the
CWA during the day Friday. Latest model solutions continue to
indicate that as this system approaches...the cut off low finally
begins to weaken and gets a push eastward...exiting the region
Friday ahead of the cold front. This should finally put an end to
the multiple day rain event ongoing over the CWA. Will continue
with shower and thunderstorm chances during the day Friday ahead
of the front with clearing skies forecast Friday night into the
weekend.

Behind the departing upper level low...extended model solutions
show more of a summer time type pattern with a ridge of high
pressure setting up over the Southern/Central Plains. This will
allow for drier conditions and warm temps to make it back into
the region with highs in the upper 80s possible early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  62  77  62 /  20  20  60  50
FSM   77  64  76  62 /  40  50  80  40
MLC   75  61  76  60 /  50  20  60  40
BVO   73  59  76  61 /  30  20  50  40
FYV   75  63  73  59 /  40  40  80  40
BYV   75  63  73  59 /  40  50  80  40
MKO   74  62  75  61 /  30  30  70  50
MIO   73  61  75  60 /  50  20  70  40
F10   74  61  76  60 /  30  20  60  50
HHW   75  61  77  61 /  50  20  60  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

AVIATION.....30

Hazardous weather outlook, May 26, 5:00 AM CDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible
over Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas this morning as a
surface low pressure lifts north of the region. Additional shower
and thunderstorm chances will become possible this afternoon and
evening in response to an upper level low pressure system dropping
southward into the region. The greater thunderstorm potential
this afternoon and evening looks to be across Southeast Oklahoma
into West Central Arkansas. Marginal instability over the region
should limit overall severe potentials... and thus severe weather
is not anticipated today.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The upper level low pressure system is forecast to stall across
the region through Thursday before exiting ahead of a cold front
Friday. This will allow for continued multiple rounds of shower
and thunderstorm chances through the end of the work week and
finally tapering off behind the cold front. Locally heavy rainfall
will be possible through the week. Once the low pressure system
exits the region...a ridge of high pressure looks to set up over
the weekend into the start of next week which will allow for
warming temperatures and drier conditions.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 25, 7:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Benton, Washington	45 min
May 25, 7:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Benton, Crawford, Washington	35 min
May 25, 7:27 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Crawford, Sebastian	3 hr
May 25, 7:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Benton	50 min
May 25, 7:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Benton, Washington	60 min
May 25, 8:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Benton	52 min
May 25, 9:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Madison	41 min
May 25, 9:46 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	TSA	Benton, Madison, Washington	6 hr
May 25, 9:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Madison	50 min
May 26, 7:40 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Crawford, Sebastian	3 days
May 26, 10:20 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Crawford	5 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2020 Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.