Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 70, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 26, 2020Ottawa County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at May 26, 2020, 9:37 AM CDT for Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It took effect at May 26, 2020, 11:01 AM CDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2020, 9:37 AM CDT (14:37 UTC)
In effect from
May 26, 2020, 11:01 AM CDT
Expired
May 31, 2020, 7:54 AM CDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Ottawa County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Neosho River near Commerce (COMO2).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07185000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

669 
WGUS44 KTSA 261437
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
937 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-262237-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0070.200526T1601Z-200530T1800Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200526T1601Z.200528T1800Z.200530T1200Z.NO/
937 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Neosho River near Commerce
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:30 AM Tuesday, the stage was 13.09 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage late this morning and continue to rise to near 16.5 
  feet by this afternoon. The river will then fall to 15.7 feet late
  tonight before rising again to 17.5 feet Thursday afternoon and 
  remain near that level through Thursday night. 
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding. 
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
20 follow-up statements
735 
WGUS84 KTSA 261937
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
236 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-270335-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200530T2200Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200526T1552Z.200527T0600Z.200530T1600Z.NO/
236 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:30 PM Tuesday, the stage was 16.03 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.5 feet tonight, then fall to 16.9 feet  Wednesday afternoon
  before rising again to 17.5 feet Thursday afternoon. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
669 
WGUS44 KTSA 270055
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
755 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-270855-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200529T1620Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T0600Z.200529T1020Z.NO/
755 PM CDT Tue May 26 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Neosho River near Commerce
* until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday, the stage was 17.43 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.2 feet Thursday before dawn. The river will fall below 
  flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
884 
WGUS84 KTSA 270829
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...Arkansas...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC115-271629-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200529T1620Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200527T0715Z.200529T1020Z.NO/
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 18.24 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is cresting.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will remain nearly steady
  around 18.0 feet thru tonight, and will then begin falling Thursday to 
  below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC079-271629-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200529T1800Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200523T1642Z.200528T0000Z.200529T1200Z.NO/
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 34.50 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue rising to 
  near 35.4 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands occur
  from Panama to Arkoma. Some local and county roads in the 
  floodplain become impassable.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

OKC021-271629-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-200528T0508Z/
/TALO2.1.ER.200527T0108Z.200527T1200Z.200527T2308Z.NO/
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 11.92 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah will continue rising 
  to near 12.0 feet this morning. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, minor flooding occurs from near Hanging Rock 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Extreme turbulence makes the river 
  too hazardous for floating.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$

ARC033-131-271629-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200529T0600Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0115Z.200529T0000Z.NO/
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until late Thursday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 AM Wednesday, the stage was 22.84 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will fall below 
  flood stage by Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca. Some rural 
  roads near Lavaca may be impassable. Parts of Kelley Park northwest
  of downtown Fort Smith experience minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-271629-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200531T1500Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T1200Z.200531T0900Z.NO/
329 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Wednesday, the stage was 359.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 359.2 feet by 
  this morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

Lacy
069 
WGUS84 KTSA 271358
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
858 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-272158-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200530T0315Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T0600Z.200529T2115Z.NO/
858 AM CDT Wed May 27 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Friday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 18.73 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.5 feet early Thursday afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
885 
WGUS84 KTSA 271918
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
218 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-280317-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200530T0315Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T0600Z.200529T2115Z.NO/
218 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Friday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 18.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.5 feet Thursday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
849 
WGUS84 KTSA 280041
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
741 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-280840-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200530T1350Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1200Z.200530T0750Z.NO/
741 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 19.35 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.5 feet Thursday morning. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Saturday before dawn .
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
824 
WGUS84 KTSA 280824
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...Arkansas...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian 
  Counties. 
  
  Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson 
  and Logan Counties. 
  
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County. 
  
OKC115-281624-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200530T1350Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T0645Z.200530T0750Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 19.53 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is near crest.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will begin falling 
  tonight to below flood stage by Saturday before dawn.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

OKC101-281624-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0073.200528T1132Z-200529T2100Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.200528T1132Z.200528T1800Z.200529T1500Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River near Muskogee.
* from this morning to Friday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  3:00 AM Thursday, the stage was 27.23 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River near Muskogee is expected to rise 
  above flood stage this morning and continue to rise to near 29.0 
  feet by this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. A boating 
  marina north of the OG&E power plant may be flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3583 9520 3552 9507 3547 9515 3559 9532 3583 9537

$$

ARC033-131-281624-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-200531T0600Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.200526T1041Z.200527T0115Z.200531T0000Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until late Saturday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 AM Thursday, the stage was 22.47 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will fluctuate near 22.5 
  feet thru Saturday morning. The river will then fall below flood stage
  by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the 
  shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454

$$

ARC047-071-083-281624-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200601T0712Z/
/OZGA4.1.ER.200526T1243Z.200527T2300Z.200601T0112Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Thursday, the stage was 359.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 357.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and has begun falling. The river
  is expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 360.0 feet, flooding spreads over more than 4,000 acres 
  in Franklin and Logan Counties. Numerous gas fields are flooded. 
  Some agricultural lands in Johnson County also are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3546 9405 3550 9382 3542 9347 3536 9349
      3531 9371 3540 9385

$$

OKC079-281624-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200529T1640Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.200523T1642Z.200527T1045Z.200529T1040Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 32.71 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, moderate flooding of agricultural lands 
  occurs between Shady Point and Arkoma. Williams Road east of Panama
  and some local farm roads are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3540 9449 3540 9439 3523 9442 3504 9462 3521 9470

$$

Lacy
970 
WGUS84 KTSA 281449
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
949 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-282249-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200601T1400Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1800Z.200601T0800Z.NO/
949 AM CDT Thu May 28 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 19.70 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.8 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
415 
WGUS84 KTSA 281904
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
204 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-290303-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200601T0600Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1815Z.200601T0000Z.NO/
204 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 19.72 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is cresting and will 
  fall this evening to near 15.2 feet by Saturday morning. The
  river will then rise again to near 15.6 feet Saturday evening. 
  The river will then fall below flood stage Sunday evening. 
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
647 
WGUS84 KTSA 290043
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
743 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-290842-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200601T0600Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200601T0000Z.NO/
743 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 19.63 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  near 15.2 feet by Saturday morning. The river will then rise to near 
  15.6 feet by Saturday evening before falling below flood stage 
  by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
770 
WGUS84 KTSA 290806
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
306 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-291605-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200601T0600Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200601T0000Z.NO/
306 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Sunday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Friday, the stage was 19.25 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  near 15.2 feet by Saturday morning. The river will then rise to near 
  15.6 feet by Saturday evening before falling below flood stage 
  by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
859 
WGUS84 KTSA 291248
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
748 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-292048-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200602T0800Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200602T0200Z.NO/
748 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Monday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Friday, the stage was 18.74 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late Monday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
897 
WGUS84 KTSA 291842
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
142 PM CDT Fri May 29 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-300241-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200602T1200Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200602T0600Z.NO/
142 PM CDT Fri May 29 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Friday, the stage was 17.99 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Tuesday before dawn .
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
981 
WGUS84 KTSA 300120
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
820 PM CDT Fri May 29 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-300918-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200602T0400Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200601T2200Z.NO/
820 PM CDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Friday, the stage was 17.20 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.5 feet Saturday evening. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
120 
WGUS84 KTSA 300831
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
331 AM CDT Sat May 30 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-301631-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200602T0400Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200601T2200Z.NO/
331 AM CDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 16.82 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.5 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
219 
WGUS84 KTSA 301247
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
747 AM CDT Sat May 30 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-302047-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200601T0336Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200531T2136Z.NO/
747 AM CDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 16.66 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 16.9 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
182 
WGUS84 KTSA 301849
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
149 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-310247-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200601T0336Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200531T2136Z.NO/
149 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 16.40 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
022 
WGUS84 KTSA 310112
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
812 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-310912-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200601T0112Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200531T1912Z.NO/
812 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 16.18 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
981 
WGUS84 KTSA 310810
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
310 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-311609-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200601T0112Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200531T1912Z.NO/
310 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 15.48 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early this afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
796 
WGUS84 KTSA 311254
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
754 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-311324-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200601T0112Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200526T1552Z.200528T1930Z.200531T1024Z.NO/
754 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 14.62 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage early this morning.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling and
  remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. Low lying 
  areas in Riverview Park experience minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 26, 6:14 AM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 26, 6:14 AM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
614 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020

.DISCUSSION...

The 12Z TAF forecast discussion follows...

&&

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
A cool and fairly saturated boundary layer from the recent rains
will yield MVFR and spotty IFR cigs this morning. Expect improving
conditions back to VFR by this afternoon. Best chance for
afternoon and evening storms will be at KMLC and KFSM. Storm
chances may linger thru the night over NW AR as upper low spins
overhead. Guidance was hitting fog potential hard tonight. I'm a
bit skeptical at this point given persistent cloud cover with
nearby upper low so will stay conservative for now.

Lacy

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 418 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020/

DISCUSSION...
Surface low continued to lift northward across far Eastern
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas early this morning. Majority of
the ongoing showers had also lifted into Kansas and Missouri with
some light to moderate rainfall still occurring on the north and
east side of the low. Recent hourly rainfall rates have generally
been less than a quarter of an inch and thus...have let the
current flash flood watch go early as additional flash flooding
potentials are not anticipated.

Through this afternoon...the surface low will continue its
northward push into the Central Plains while at the same time
another upper level low...currently centered over Western
Kansas...drops southward into the region. Some scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible this morning
across Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas as precip wraps
around the surface low. Additional shower and thunderstorm
development will also be possible this afternoon into tonight as
the upper low settles into the region and stalls. Greater
potential looks to be across Southeast Oklahoma into Northwest
Arkansas. Marginal instability combined with forecast deep layer
shear values less than 35KT will allow for severe weather
potentials to not be expected today. Also this afternoon...with
continued cloud cover...temps today look to warm into the low/mid
70s for most locations.

Tonight through Thursday...the upper low is progged to become a
closed cut off low with the center of the low now forecast to be
positioned over Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas by Thursday.
In response...additional rounds of shower and thunderstorm
chances will continue across the CWA. The greater chances look to
be Wednesday afternoon into Thursday afternoon as the upper low
moves overhead of the CWA. With the low centered over the
CWA...weak mid/upper level flow is forecast which should aid in
limiting overall severe potentials for the week. Also...with the
low stalling over the CWA...the greater low level moisture
vectors look to shift eastward before wrapping around the low.
This should keep some of the additional rainfall amounts from
getting too much out of control...with additional amounts
generally in the half inch to locally near 2 inches possible by
the end of the week.

Thursday night and Friday...an upper level trof axis is forecast
to push east southeast out of Central Canada through the
Plains/MidWest with a trailing cold front progged to push into the
CWA during the day Friday. Latest model solutions continue to
indicate that as this system approaches...the cut off low finally
begins to weaken and gets a push eastward...exiting the region
Friday ahead of the cold front. This should finally put an end to
the multiple day rain event ongoing over the CWA. Will continue
with shower and thunderstorm chances during the day Friday ahead
of the front with clearing skies forecast Friday night into the
weekend.

Behind the departing upper level low...extended model solutions
show more of a summer time type pattern with a ridge of high
pressure setting up over the Southern/Central Plains. This will
allow for drier conditions and warm temps to make it back into
the region with highs in the upper 80s possible early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  62  77  62 /  20  20  60  50
FSM   77  64  76  62 /  40  50  80  40
MLC   75  61  76  60 /  50  20  60  40
BVO   73  59  76  61 /  30  20  50  40
FYV   75  63  73  59 /  40  40  80  40
BYV   75  63  73  59 /  40  50  80  40
MKO   74  62  75  61 /  30  30  70  50
MIO   73  61  75  60 /  50  20  70  40
F10   74  61  76  60 /  30  20  60  50
HHW   75  61  77  61 /  50  20  60  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

AVIATION.....30
Hazardous weather outlook, May 26, 5:00 AM CDT, 4 hours 37 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 AM CDT Tue May 26 2020

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible
over Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas this morning as a
surface low pressure lifts north of the region. Additional shower
and thunderstorm chances will become possible this afternoon and
evening in response to an upper level low pressure system dropping
southward into the region. The greater thunderstorm potential
this afternoon and evening looks to be across Southeast Oklahoma
into West Central Arkansas. Marginal instability over the region
should limit overall severe potentials... and thus severe weather
is not anticipated today.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The upper level low pressure system is forecast to stall across
the region through Thursday before exiting ahead of a cold front
Friday. This will allow for continued multiple rounds of shower
and thunderstorm chances through the end of the work week and
finally tapering off behind the cold front. Locally heavy rainfall
will be possible through the week. Once the low pressure system
exits the region...a ridge of high pressure looks to set up over
the weekend into the start of next week which will allow for
warming temperatures and drier conditions.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 25, 7:00 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAAdair, Delaware45 min
May 25, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware35 min
May 25, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Mayes47 min
May 25, 7:23 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACherokee3 hr
May 25, 7:40 PM CDTTornado WarningTSADelaware50 min
May 25, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Delaware, Ottawa60 min
May 25, 8:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMayes45 min
May 25, 8:11 PM CDTTornado WarningTSADelaware, Ottawa49 min
May 25, 8:13 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACherokee, Delaware, Mayes3 hr
May 25, 8:20 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAPushmataha24 hr
May 25, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Ottawa52 min
May 25, 8:51 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore and 6 more6 hr
May 25, 8:58 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSALeFlore36 hr
May 25, 8:59 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOttawa50 min
May 25, 9:32 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAMuskogee12 hr
May 25, 10:03 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee and 4 more6 hr
May 26, 2:35 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAAdair, Delaware27 hr
May 26, 2:35 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSACherokee41 hr
May 26, 2:49 AM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware30 hr
May 26, 2:49 AM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryTSACherokee, Delaware29 hr
May 26, 4:13 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata and 3 more6 hr
May 26, 10:20 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSASequoyah5 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.