Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 61, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 22, 2020Ottawa County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at May 22, 2020, 9:06 AM CDT for Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It took effect at May 23, 2020, 10:55 AM CDT. It was in force for 51 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2020, 9:06 AM CDT (14:06 UTC)
In effect from
May 23, 2020, 10:55 AM CDT
Expired
May 25, 2020, 1:46 PM CDT
In force
51 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Ottawa County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Neosho River near Commerce (COMO2).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07185000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

358 
WGUS44 KTSA 221406
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
906 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-222206-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0061.200523T2300Z-200525T1545Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200523T2300Z.200524T1200Z.200525T0945Z.NO/
906 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Neosho River near Commerce
* from Saturday evening to Monday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Friday, the stage was  8.27 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage Saturday evening and continue to rise to near 16.0 feet
  by early Sunday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
13 follow-up statements
541 
WGUS84 KTSA 221902
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
202 PM CDT Fri May 22 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-230301-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0061.200523T1920Z-200526T1651Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200523T1920Z.200524T1800Z.200526T1051Z.NO/
202 PM CDT Fri May 22 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from Saturday afternoon to Tuesday morning, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Friday, the stage was  8.87 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage early Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 
  17.9 feet by Sunday evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
874 
WGUS44 KTSA 230236
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
936 PM CDT Fri May 22 2020



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-231035-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0061.200523T1348Z-200526T1442Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200523T1348Z.200525T0000Z.200526T0842Z.NO/
936 PM CDT Fri May 22 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Neosho River near Commerce
* from Saturday morning to Tuesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Friday, the stage was 11.32 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 18.3 feet
  by Monday before dawn . The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
598 
WGUS84 KTSA 230850
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
350 AM CDT Sat May 23 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-231649-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0061.200523T1348Z-200526T1442Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200523T1348Z.200525T0000Z.200526T0842Z.NO/
350 AM CDT Sat May 23 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from this morning to Tuesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  3:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 13.24 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage this morning and continue to rise to near 18.3 feet by 
  Monday before dawn . The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
772 
WGUS84 KTSA 231305
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
805 AM CDT Sat May 23 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-232104-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0061.200523T1555Z-200526T1633Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200523T1555Z.200525T0600Z.200526T1033Z.NO/
805 AM CDT Sat May 23 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 14.18 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage late this morning and continue to rise to near 18.0 
  feet by Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
155 
WGUS84 KTSA 231923
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
223 PM CDT Sat May 23 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-240322-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-200526T1633Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.200523T1700Z.200525T0600Z.200526T1033Z.NO/
223 PM CDT Sat May 23 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 15.22 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.0 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
940 
WGUS84 KTSA 240100
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
800 PM CDT Sat May 23 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-240859-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-200526T0955Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200523T1700Z.200525T0000Z.200526T0355Z.NO/
800 PM CDT Sat May 23 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Monday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 16.07 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.7 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Monday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
302 
WGUS84 KTSA 240819
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
319 AM CDT Sun May 24 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-241619-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-200526T0955Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200523T1700Z.200525T0000Z.200526T0355Z.NO/
319 AM CDT Sun May 24 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Monday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 16.72 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.7 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Monday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
677 
WGUS84 KTSA 241259
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
759 AM CDT Sun May 24 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-242058-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-200526T0955Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200523T1700Z.200525T0600Z.200526T0355Z.NO/
759 AM CDT Sun May 24 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Monday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 AM Sunday, the stage was 17.00 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.7 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Monday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
550 
WGUS84 KTSA 241843
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
143 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-250242-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-200526T0955Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200523T1700Z.200525T0600Z.200526T0355Z.NO/
143 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Monday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:30 PM Sunday, the stage was 17.33 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.7 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Monday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
816 
WGUS84 KTSA 250043
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
742 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-250842-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-200526T0440Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200523T1700Z.200525T0600Z.200525T2240Z.NO/
742 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday, the stage was 17.41 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.5 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
753 
WGUS84 KTSA 250830
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
330 AM CDT Mon May 25 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-251630-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-200526T0440Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200523T1700Z.200525T0145Z.200525T2240Z.NO/
330 AM CDT Mon May 25 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Monday, the stage was 17.06 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will rise to near 17.4 
  feet this morning. The river will then fall below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
439 
WGUS84 KTSA 251341
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
841 AM CDT Mon May 25 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-252141-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-200525T2250Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200523T1700Z.200525T0145Z.200525T1650Z.NO/
841 AM CDT Mon May 25 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:30 AM Monday, the stage was 15.58 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late this morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$
207 
WGUS84 KTSA 251846
FLSTSA
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
146 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-251916-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-200525T2250Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.200523T1700Z.200525T0145Z.200525T1502Z.NO/
146 PM CDT Mon May 25 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* At 1:30 PM Monday, the stage was 13.26 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage late this morning.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue to fall
  to around 7.2 feet by Tuesday morning but rise again to 14.8 feet
  Wednesday night which is just below flood stage. Interests along
  the river should continue to monitor later forecasts.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. Low lying 
  areas in Riverview Park experience minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9491 3689 9478 3681 9488 3700 9510

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 22, 6:46 AM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 22, 6:46 AM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
646 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MCS will continue to push across the CWA this morning with gusty
to strong winds and IFR/MVFR conditions. Will continue with tempo
groups for timing. Behind the MCS MVFR conditions look to lift
back to VFR this afternoon as additional thunderstorm chances
become possible. Greater storm chances look to be Southeast
Oklahoma into Western Arkansas and will add tempo/Prob30 groups
for timing. Periods of MVFR conditions will again be possible
within the second round of precip. Late evening into the overnight
hours...conditions look to lift back to VFR over the CWA. Winds
through the period are expected to be gusty with the
precip...otherwise varying from east to south and finally
subsiding overnight tonight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 314 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020/

DISCUSSION...

The main forecast concern will be severe/heavy rain potential
today and tonight.

A shortwave trough, currently over the central/southern High
Plains, will eject northeast across the central lower Plains
today. At the surface, a warm front extends east/southeast from a
surface low over the northern TX Panhandle across eastern OK. A
cold pool generated by an ongoing MCS over NW OK/SW KS is surging
toward the south and east.

The forecast for today and into tonight will hedge largely on the
mesoscale details, namely the track of the ongoing MCS and the
position of the outflow boundary by this afternoon. The current
gridded forecast reflects the latest trends in the data, but
subtle changes may be needed by later today.

The ongoing MCS is expected to track east/southeast across
northeast OK this morning and into northwest AR by early
afternoon. Severe potential will be low as the storms enter our
far western areas early this morning, but will likely ramp up thru
the morning with daytime heating and advancing warm front ahead of
the feature. Damaging winds and possibly a quick spin-up tornado
are possible, especially where the outflow intersects the warm
front. As we head into the afternoon, the left over outflow
boundary should be draped from west central AR across southeast OK
where more convection is likely to be focused. H5 winds will
increase some during the day in the basal portion of the ejecting
shortwave trough, so the initial cellular convection could be
supercellular. Any discrete storms that have time to interact with
the outflow boundary could produce a tornado, along with large
hail and damaging winds. The latest CAMs suggest that cellular
mode may not last long, growing upscale into a southeastward
moving complex by late this afternoon or early this evening. Other
scattered convection is likely to develop this evening across
eastern OK/northwest AR as the low level jet interacts with the
outflow boundary. The greatest heavy rain potential will exist
across northeast OK and northwest AR thru early afternoon,
especially in areas that get affected by a developing band of
storms in association with the retreating warm front ahead of the
MCS and by the MCS itself. As we head into the afternoon and
evening, the heavy rain potential shifts down across southeast OK,
where the outflow boundary could focus multiple rounds of
convection over the same areas.

The beginning of the holiday weekend looks fairly tame, with our
area in the wake of the ejecting shortwave trough and rising
heights aloft. Expect potential for rain/storms to increase,
however, by the end of the weekend as an upper trough approaches
from the west. Unsettled weather continues into next week as an
upper low closes off overhead and becomes cutoff from the flow. We
may finally see an end to precip chances by the following weekend
when a cold front is expected to push thru, but we'll just have to
wait and see. While organized severe weather is not expected,
pockets of locally heavy rainfall, falling on areas likely to have
received rounds of heavy rainfall previous, may begin to cause
river flooding and localized flash flooding.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   81  66  86  70 /  90  30  20  20
FSM   82  66  88  69 /  70  50  20  10
MLC   82  66  85  69 /  70  40  20  10
BVO   78  65  85  69 /  90  30  20  20
FYV   78  65  84  68 /  70  50  20  10
BYV   77  64  84  67 /  80  40  20  10
MKO   81  66  84  69 /  90  40  20  10
MIO   77  64  84  69 /  90  50  20  20
F10   81  66  84  69 /  80  30  20  10
HHW   83  67  85  69 /  60  40  20  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

AVIATION.....20
Hazardous weather outlook, May 22, 4:51 AM CDT, 4 hours 15 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
451 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
451 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020

...SEVERE STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TODAY...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Northeast Oklahoma this morning, Southeast Oklahoma and
			Western Arkansas this afternoon and early evening.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Northeast Oklahoma this morning, Southeast Oklahoma and
			Western Arkansas this afternoon.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...West of highway 75 this morning, Southeast
							Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas this
							afternoon and evening.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas, portions of
			Southeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas this morning into
			the early afternoon, Southeast Oklahoma this afternoon
			evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas, portions of
			Southeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas this morning into
			the early afternoon, Southeast Oklahoma this afternoon
			evening .

DISCUSSION...

A complex of storms will sweep across northeast Oklahoma this
morning and into western Arkansas by early this afternoon.
Damaging winds and a quick spin-up tornado are possible with these
storms. More storms are expected to develop from west central
Arkansas down into southeast Oklahoma along an outflow boundary
this afternoon. These storms could become severe quickly, and will
pose a large hail, damaging wind and tornado risk while cells
remain discrete. A strong tornado is possible. Widely scattered
storms are possible during the evening across eastern Oklahoma
with some threat for large hail and damaging winds. Locally heavy
rainfall and flash flooding is possible across northeast Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas this morning into the early afternoon, and
across southeast Oklahoma this afternoon and evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY THRU THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

An unsettled weather pattern will bring daily thunderstorm chances
mainly from the latter part of the holiday weekend on into the
following week. While organized severe weather is not expected,
pockets of locally heavy rainfall, falling on areas likely to have
received rounds of heavy rainfall previous, may begin to cause
river flooding and localized flash flooding by early next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Lacy

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 22, 6:40 AM CDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
640 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 W TULSA               36.13N 95.94W
05/22/2020  E0 MPH           TULSA              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM RECEIVED A REPORT OF A 60MPH WIND GUST AT 4300 W
            EDISON WITH LOSS OF POWER.

&&

TDS
Local storm report, May 22, 6:49 AM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
649 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 W TULSA               36.13N 95.94W
05/22/2020  E60.00 MPH       TULSA              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM RECEIVED A REPORT OF A 60MPH WIND GUST AT 4300 W
            EDISON WITH LOSS OF POWER.

&&

PBS
Local storm report, May 22, 6:56 AM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
656 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0643 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 ENE TULSA             36.14N 95.91W
05/22/2020  M71 MPH          TULSA              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM REPORTS WIND GUST TO 71MPH

&&

SNIDER
Special weather statement, May 22, 7:03 AM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
703 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020

OKZ055>057-060>062-066>068-070-221245-
Tulsa OK-Muskogee OK-Okmulgee OK-Craig OK-Cherokee OK-Rogers OK-
Nowata OK-Washington OK-Mayes OK-Wagoner OK-
703 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CRAIG...ROGERS...MAYES...EASTERN
WASHINGTON...NOWATA...WAGONER...NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE...NORTHWESTERN
MUSKOGEE...NORTH CENTRAL OKMULGEE AND EASTERN TULSA COUNTIES UNTIL
745 AM CDT...

At 703 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles west of South Coffeyville to near Nowata to 2
miles southeast of Catoosa to 6 miles west of Stonebluff. Movement
was east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Tulsa...                          Broken Arrow...
Claremore...                      Wagoner...
Vinita...                         Nowata...
Pryor...                          Owasso...
Bixby...                          Jenks...
Glenpool...                       Coweta...
Pryor Creek...                    Catoosa...
Collinsville...                   Fort Gibson...
Verdigris...                      Chouteau...
Haskell...                        Chelsea...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 226 and 293.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until noon CDT for
northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3699 9504 3695 9499 3615 9502 3581 9512
      3582 9608 3586 9603 3617 9588 3670 9585
      3700 9592 3700 9501
TIME...MOT...LOC 1203Z 272DEG 39KT 3699 9571 3672 9563 3615 9572 3585
9584

Lacy
Special weather statement, May 22, 7:42 AM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
742 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020

OKZ057-058-061>063-067>072-221330-
Adair OK-Muskogee OK-Craig OK-Sequoyah OK-Cherokee OK-Rogers OK-
Delaware OK-Ottawa OK-Mayes OK-Wagoner OK-McIntosh OK-
742 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CRAIG...EASTERN ROGERS...
DELAWARE...OTTAWA...NORTHEASTERN MCINTOSH...NORTHWESTERN SEQUOYAH...
MAYES...NORTHWESTERN ADAIR...EASTERN WAGONER...CHEROKEE AND MUSKOGEE
COUNTIES UNTIL 830 AM CDT...

At 742 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southeast of Edna to 2 miles southwest of
Adair to 2 miles southeast of Council Hill. Movement was east at 35
mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Muskogee...                       Tahlequah...
Miami...                          Wagoner...
Vinita...                         Baxter Springs...
Jay...                            Pryor...
Pryor Creek...                    Grove...
Fort Gibson...                    Checotah...
Commerce...                       Chouteau...
Warner...                         Locust Grove...
Salina...                         Fairland...
Afton...                          Gore...

This includes the following highways,
 Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 253 and 291.
 Interstate 44 between mile markers 265 and 324.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until noon CDT for
southeastern, northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3644 9461 3546 9505 3545 9507
      3545 9572 3638 9538 3700 9539 3700 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1242Z 259DEG 30KT 3697 9531 3640 9530 3554 9561
Special weather statement, May 22, 8:26 AM CDT, 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
826 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020

ARZ001-010-OKZ058-063-068>070-072>076-221415-
Benton AR-Washington AR-Haskell OK-Pittsburg OK-Adair OK-Muskogee OK-
Latimer OK-Sequoyah OK-Cherokee OK-Delaware OK-Ottawa OK-Le Flore OK-
826 AM CDT Fri May 22 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN BENTON...WESTERN
WASHINGTON...DELAWARE...OTTAWA...HASKELL...SEQUOYAH...NORTHERN
LATIMER...ADAIR...NORTHWESTERN LE FLORE...EAST CENTRAL PITTSBURG...
CHEROKEE AND EASTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES UNTIL 915 AM CDT...

At 825 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Treece to 5 miles south of Jay to 6 miles
southwest of Quinton. Movement was east at 35 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Bentonville...                    Tahlequah...
Siloam Springs...                 Miami...
Sallisaw...                       Baxter Springs...
Stilwell...                       Stigler...
Jay...                            Bella Vista...
Grove...                          Gentry...
Commerce...                       Gravette...
Lincoln...                        Decatur...
Warner...                         Westville...
Vian...                           Fairland...

This includes the following highways,
 Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 276 and 316.
 Interstate 44 between mile markers 298 and 324.
 Interstate 49 between mile markers 92 and 93.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until noon CDT for
southeastern, northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3650 9423 3641 9422 3490 9485
      3497 9556 3533 9539 3530 9535 3542 9535
      3633 9491 3700 9495 3700 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1325Z 256DEG 30KT 3700 9487 3635 9483 3506 9544

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 4:59 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOsage, Pawnee46 min
May 22, 5:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee42 min
May 22, 5:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa40 min
May 22, 5:49 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOsage41 min
May 22, 6:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Pawnee, Rogers and 3 more66 min
May 22, 6:22 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSANowata, Osage, Washington53 min
May 22, 7:03 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACraig, Mayes, Nowata, Rogers, Wagoner42 min
May 22, 7:42 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACherokee, Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee, Ottawa and 1 more48 min
May 22, 8:26 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Ottawa, Sequoyah49 min
May 22, 9:11 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAAdair, LeFlore, Sequoyah64 min
May 22, 10:15 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore30 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.