Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Tallahassee, FL

449 
WWUS52 KTAE 200700
SVSTAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
Issued by National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
300 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020

GAC017-019-071-075-155-173-277-287-321-200745-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-200420T0745Z/
Cook GA-Irwin GA-Berrien GA-Turner GA-Lanier GA-Colquitt GA-Tift GA-
Ben Hill GA-Worth GA-
300 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM EDT
FOR COOK...IRWIN...BERRIEN...EASTERN TURNER...NORTHERN LANIER...
NORTHEASTERN COLQUITT...TIFT...BEN HILL AND SOUTHEASTERN WORTH
COUNTIES...

At 259 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 8 miles southeast of Rochelle to near Enigma to near
Lenox to 9 miles west of Sparks, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Tifton, Nashville, Moultrie, Adel, Ocilla, Fitzgerald, Sparks,
Enigma, Omega, Norman Park, Lenox, Alapaha, Phillipsburg, Mystic,
Unionville, Ellenton, Rebecca, Reed Bingham State Park, Osierfield
and Waterloo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for south central
Georgia.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8382 3147 8354 3169 8353 3185 8351
      3185 8318 3181 8313 3182 8311 3178 8299
      3166 8300 3161 8306 3155 8306 3149 8310
      3146 8315 3140 8314 3134 8307 3128 8304
      3118 8305 3118 8297 3107 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 0659Z 272DEG 29KT 3187 8336 3137 8339 3124 8348 3112
8360

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

330 
WWUS52 KTAE 200710
SVSTAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
Issued by National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
310 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020

GAC287-321-200720-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-200420T0745Z/
Turner GA-Worth GA-
310 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN TURNER AND
SOUTHEASTERN WORTH COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for south central
Georgia.

LAT...LON 3113 8369 3144 8342 3156 8334 3185 8335
      3185 8318 3181 8313 3182 8311 3178 8299
      3166 8300 3161 8306 3155 8306 3149 8310
      3146 8315 3140 8314 3134 8307 3128 8304
      3118 8305 3118 8297 3107 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 0710Z 276DEG 27KT 3186 8329 3136 8332 3123 8341 3111
8353

$$

GAC017-019-071-075-155-173-277-200745-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-200420T0745Z/
Cook GA-Irwin GA-Berrien GA-Lanier GA-Colquitt GA-Tift GA-
Ben Hill GA-
310 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM EDT
FOR COOK...IRWIN...BERRIEN...NORTHERN LANIER...NORTHEASTERN
COLQUITT...SOUTHEASTERN TIFT AND BEN HILL COUNTIES...

At 310 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 8 miles south of Abbeville to near Enigma to near
Lenox to 6 miles west of Adel, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Fitzgerald, Nashville, Adel, Ocilla, Sparks, Enigma, Lenox, Alapaha,
Mystic, Ellenton, Reed Bingham State Park, Eldorado, Gladys, Massee,
Osierfield, Glory, Flat Ford, Wagon Wheel, Ashton and Allenville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for south central
Georgia.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and 
widespread significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not 
immediately likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the 
lowest floor of a building. These storms may cause serious injury 
and significant property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 3113 8369 3144 8342 3156 8334 3185 8335
      3185 8318 3181 8313 3182 8311 3178 8299
      3166 8300 3161 8306 3155 8306 3149 8310
      3146 8315 3140 8314 3134 8307 3128 8304
      3118 8305 3118 8297 3107 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 0710Z 276DEG 27KT 3186 8329 3136 8332 3123 8341 3111
8353

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

122 
WWUS52 KTAE 200730
SVSTAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
Issued by National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
330 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020

GAC017-071-155-277-200739-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-200420T0745Z/
Irwin GA-Colquitt GA-Tift GA-Ben Hill GA-
330 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR IRWIN...NORTHEASTERN
COLQUITT...SOUTHEASTERN TIFT AND BEN HILL COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for south central
Georgia.

LAT...LON 3111 8346 3126 8329 3140 8314 3134 8307
      3128 8304 3118 8305 3118 8297 3107 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 0729Z 279DEG 43KT 3178 8291 3148 8300 3123 8309 3110
8322

$$

GAC019-075-173-200745-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-200420T0745Z/
Cook GA-Berrien GA-Lanier GA-
330 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL COOK...EASTERN BERRIEN AND NORTHERN LANIER
COUNTIES...

At 329 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Jacksonville to 7 miles south of Ambrose to 7
miles south of Willacoochee to near Ray City, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Adel, Nashville, Courthouse, Cottle, Berrien Co A/P, Massee,
Allenville, Weber, Glory, Bannockburn and Teeterville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for south central
Georgia.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 3111 8346 3126 8329 3140 8314 3134 8307
      3128 8304 3118 8305 3118 8297 3107 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 0729Z 279DEG 43KT 3178 8291 3148 8300 3123 8309 3110
8322

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
Issued by National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
152 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020

.AVIATION...
[Through 06Z Tuesday]

Cigs lower to at least IFR overnight as a line of severe TSRA
sweeps across terminals through Monday morning. Winds shift with
frontal passage on Monday gusting to 30 kt at times.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [1129 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Clearly, the airmass over our western area remains very unstable
- while over portions of South Central, GA, it will be a little
longer before this boundary starts moving northward

The 00z TAE sounding shows the kinematic fields continue to
increase with near 60 kt of deep layer shear and the 850 mb winds
now up to 45 knots. RAP analysis of 850 mb winds in our western
counties already show the presence of winds around 50 kt at that
level. Further west, the KLIX VWP is showing 50 kt winds at 3000
ft. Clearly, the wind fields moving into the region are more than
supportive for significant severe weather. While the low level
flow is not sufficiently curved, even across Srn Alabama and the
Western Florida Panhandle, there still appears to be enough low
level shear present to maintain the tornado risk through the night.
Moreover, the presence of the surface frontal boundary across a
portion of our forecast area could be a significant factor in
tornado potential later tonight, especially if this boundary is
slow to recede northward. Storms nearing this boundary would
encounter enhanced low level shear as the winds back near the
boundary, thus increasing tornado potential. This risk is greatest
across Southeast Alabama and into extreme SW Georgia over the
next 2-4 hours.

Through 9 pm CDT, storms that are over South Central Alabama will
be moving eastward toward our northern SE AL counties as well as
approaching Quitman/Clay Counties in extreme SW Georgia. With the
boundary beginning to retreat northward, it is possible that
these storms will remain surface-based moving into the area and
present the risk of all severe hazard types as they move through.
As the storms move further east of Clay/Quitman Counties, the
storms should become increasingly elevated and present more of a
large hail threat into South Central Georgia, as long as they are
not overtaken by the frontal boundary, should this occur, the
storms would continue to present a risk for all severe hazards.

After midnight CDT - a large cluster of storms, now across
Southern Mississippi will be nearing our western CWA boundary.
This particular complex of storms a cross Southern Mississippi
is especially intense, with a relatively untouched airmass ahead
of it that is incredibly favorable for the continued maintenance
of the storms. 22z/23z HRRR output suggests this storm nears
Southeast Alabama around 1 am CT and will pose a risk for all
severe hazards. This storm and others in the main line would then
progress across the region throughout the early morning hours on
Monday.

Key Point:

1. A moderate risk for severe weather continues across the region
tonight. Storms are expected to increase in coverage and severity
later tonight in our region and pose a risk for all severe
weather hazards: destructive winds, tornadoes, and large hail.

.SHORT TERM [Monday Night Through Wednesday]...

Dry weather with high pressure at the surface and confluent flow
aloft. Cool-ish partly cloudy mornings and warm mainly sunny
afternoons expected. Little change made to previous forecast.

.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Sunday]...

Next strong system will approach Thursday with deep moisture and
decent shear in play. Severe weather possible along with an
excessive rain threat. Will have to see how the Friday-Sunday
period plays out as it looks like another system will move
through.  We'll look closer at that tmrw.

.MARINE...

Hazardous marine conditions are expected as a strong system moves
across the area. Winds and seas increasing this afternoon and
reaching SCA levels this evening into early Monday afternoon. A
Small Craft Advisory is now in effect. A cluster or line of
severe storms sweeps through overnight into Monday. After the
system departs, winds and seas gradually relax before ramping up
to cautionary/advisory levels again ahead of the next system on
Thurs.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days.

.HYDROLOGY...

Thunderstorm outflow has reinforced the cool airmass to our north
and the warm front has come to a halt. This will focus a heavy
rain threat across much of our AL/GA counties...esply northern
sections...through tonight. Risk of flash flooding has increased in
these areas as has the potential for flooding on the Lee and
Lowndes County tributaries. River Flood warnings may be required
for these areas later today.

Thursday system still looks wet and after this system's rain we
will be much more susceptible to flooding. We're going to focus on
the short term for now but plan an ESF tomorrow to update
interests on our rivers about late week/weekend flood potential.
Stay tuned!

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by
calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee
Panama City
Dothan
Albany
Valdosta
Cross City
Apalachicola

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...Godsey
SHORT TERM...Johnstone
LONG TERM...Johnstone
AVIATION...Nguyen
MARINE...Johnstone
FIRE WEATHER...LF
HYDROLOGY...Johnstone

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
210 AM EDT MON APR 20 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NW CUTHBERT           31.78N 84.80W
04/20/2020                   RANDOLPH           GA   911 CALL CENTER

            SCATTERED TREES DOWN ACROSS RANDOLPH COUNTY.

&&

DH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
216 AM EDT MON APR 20 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0134 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BOYKIN                  31.10N 84.69W
04/20/2020                   MILLER             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN IN SOUTHERN MILLER COUNTY.

&&

DH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
217 AM EDT MON APR 20 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N STEINHAM STORE      31.05N 84.55W
04/20/2020                   DECATUR            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN IN NORTHERN DECATUR COUNTY.

&&

DH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
221 AM EDT MON APR 20 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1252 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE PETERMAN          31.20N 85.47W
04/20/2020                   HOUSTON            AL   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN IN THE ROBINDALE SUBDIVISION.

&&

DH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
232 AM EDT MON APR 20 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0211 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NW LIVINGSTON         31.42N 83.95W
04/20/2020                   WORTH              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN HIGHWAY 133 AND HIGHWAY 112
            BLOCKING BOTH LANES OF TRAFFIC.

&&

DH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
238 AM EDT MON APR 20 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE DAWSON             31.80N 84.41W
04/20/2020                   TERRELL            GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 118 BLOCKING
            TRAFFIC.

&&

DH