Flash Flood Warning 15, NWS Tallahassee, FL

152 
WGUS52 KTAE 152100
FFWTAE
FLC005-160715-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200916T0715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
400 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Bay County in the panhandle of Florida...

* Until 215 AM CDT Wednesday.

* At 400 PM CDT, Doppler radar continued to indicate bands of heavy 
  rain moving into the area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly and become more significant through the overnight 
  hours.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Doppler radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Panama City, Lynn Haven, Panama City Beach, Callaway, Springfield, 
  Mexico Beach, Hiland Park, Tyndall Air Force Base, Parker, 
  Brannonville, Southport, Dirego Park, College Station, Cedar 
  Grove, Recota Beach, Vicksburg, Bayhead, Millville, Bayou George 
  and Bay Harbor.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3027 8596 3028 8599 3039 8599 3041 8596
      3041 8588 3044 8585 3044 8539 3006 8539
      3005 8538 3005 8539 3003 8539 2992 8539
      2990 8537 3000 8556 3023 8594 3027 8602
      3028 8602

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

42-DVD

121 
WGUS52 KTAE 160644
FFWTAE
FLC005-161515-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200916T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
144 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Bay County in the panhandle of Florida...

* Until 1015 AM CDT Wednesday.

* At 144 AM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
  heavy rain falling across the warned area. Flash flooding is 
  ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
           flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Doppler radar and automated gauges.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Panama City, Lynn Haven, Panama City Beach, Callaway, Springfield, 
  Mexico Beach, Hiland Park, Tyndall Air Force Base, Parker, 
  Brannonville, Southport, Dirego Park, College Station, Cedar 
  Grove, Recota Beach, Vicksburg, Bayhead, Millville, Bayou George 
  and Bay Harbor.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3027 8596 3028 8599 3039 8599 3041 8596
      3041 8588 3044 8585 3044 8539 3006 8539
      3005 8538 3005 8539 3003 8539 2992 8539
      2990 8537 3000 8556 3023 8594 3027 8602
      3028 8602

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

790 
WGUS52 KTAE 161434
FFWTAE
FLC005-162315-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200916T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
934 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Bay County in the panhandle of Florida...

* Until 615 PM CDT Wednesday.

* At 934 AM CDT, local law enforcement reported heavy rain across 
  the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
           flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Law enforcement.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Panama City, Lynn Haven, Panama City Beach, Callaway, Springfield, 
  Mexico Beach, Hiland Park, Tyndall Air Force Base, Parker, 
  Brannonville, Southport, Dirego Park, College Station, Cedar 
  Grove, Recota Beach, Vicksburg, Bayhead, Millville, Bayou George 
  and Bay Harbor.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3027 8596 3028 8599 3039 8599 3041 8596
      3041 8588 3044 8585 3044 8539 3006 8539
      3005 8538 3005 8539 3003 8539 2992 8539
      2990 8537 3000 8556 3023 8594 3027 8602
      3028 8602

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

42-DVD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
634 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2020

.AVIATION...
[Through 12Z Wednesday]

MVFR with occasional IFR conditions will prevail through this
period. Winds will frequently gust to 25 to 30 knots at DHN and
ECP due to the proximity of Hurricane Sally.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [610 AM EDT]...

.NEAR AND SHORT TERM [Through Wednesday night]...

Hurricane Sally continues to move slowly west-northwest with a gradual
turn toward the north expected today before making landfall along the
northern gulf coast by Wednesday. There still remains above average
uncertainty in the track, although confidence has increased slightly
compared to yesterday. Regardless, impacts will extend well north and
east of the center and outside of the cone, and continue across the
area through mid-week. For portions of the area, these impacts
include heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding, tropical storm
force winds along the immediate coast, minor storm surge flooding
above normally dry ground, the potential for a few tornadoes, and
hazardous beach and marine conditions.

The Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for SE Alabama into portions
of the adjacent Florida Panhandle, and has been extended through
Thursday morning. Flash flood potential is expected to increase
today with heavier rainfall overspreading this area. Localized
amounts of 10 inches are possible in Southeast AL and isolated
amounts up to 20 inches are possible in Walton County through mid-
week. The Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the immediate
Gulf coast west of Indian Pass, where tropical storm force wind
gusts continue. Tornado potential will be elevated through mid-week,
especially portions of the Florida Panhandle, where SPC has a slight
risk through Wednesday. Life threatening rip currents will persist
through at least Thursday and high surf through Wednesday.

.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...

Sally or its remnants will still be meandering northeastward
across east central Alabama, only moving into Georgia Thursday
night. Therefore, rain chances will remain high for those periods.
Sally will finally pull far enough away for PoPs to decrease
significantly by Friday night. Temperatures will also seem more
like fall from Friday through the weekend and into early next
week.

.MARINE...

Tropical Storm Sally will continue tracking west-northwest through
the north-central Gulf of Mexico today, and is forecast to reach
hurricane intensity, before turning more north and making landfall
along the northern Gulf coast on Tuesday. Tropical storm force winds
have spread across much of the gulf waters west of the Ochlocknee
River. Southeast winds of 35 to 45 knots with gusts up to 50 knots,
especially in squalls, will gradually subside across this area later
today. Some of these squalls could also produce waterspouts.
Significant wave heights will reach 12 to 15 feet within 20 nautical
miles of shore and around 20 feet beyond that, subsiding later
today, however remaining elevated through Tuesday Night. Meanwhile,
a Small Craft Advisory is in effect east of the Ochlocknee River
through this morning. More tranquil boating conditions will not
return until Thursday.

.FIRE WEATHER...

No concerns.

.HYDROLOGY...

The highest rainfall totals so far have been in Gulf and Franklin
Counties. There is a swath of 5 to 7 inches in Eastern/Central
Franklin County. Rain bands will continue to move onshore. Hurricane
Sally is slowing to a crawl and heavy rain will continue through at
least Thursday. The threat for flooding will continue to increase
today since soils are becoming more saturated. The highest rainfall
totals will be in the Florida Panhandle and Western Big Bend,
especially near the coast. As Hurricane Sally begins to move inland
west of the region on Wednesday, the highest rainfall totals will be
in the Florida Panhandle and SE Alabama. A Flash Flood Watch is in
effect west of the Chattahoochee/Apalachicola Rivers and the Western
FL Big Bend through Wednesday night. WPC has a moderate risk for
flash flooding today and tonight.

As Coastal Flood Advisory continues for the entire coast as 1 to 3
feet of storm surge will be possible through Wednesday. River levels
are rising slowly and we are monitoring them closely. River flooding
may become an issue late this week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report
significant weather conditions and/or damage (while following all
local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting
us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   82  73  83  74  85 / 100  80  90  80  80
Panama City   81  74  83  76  85 / 100  90 100  90  80
Dothan        80  71  78  71  81 /  90  80  90  90  80
Albany        83  71  78  73  82 /  80  70  90  80  90
Valdosta      84  73  81  73  84 /  80  60  80  60  90
Cross City    85  73  85  74  86 /  90  60  80  60  90
Apalachicola  82  76  84  77  85 / 100  90  90  90  80

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Calhoun-Central
     Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Holmes-
     Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Jackson-Liberty-
     North Walton-South Walton-Washington.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-South
     Walton.

     High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ Wednesday for
     Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-
     Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-South
     Walton.

     High Surf Advisory until 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ Wednesday for
     Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...None.
AL...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Coffee-Dale-
     Geneva-Henry-Houston.

GM...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Coastal Waters
     From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-
     Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20
     NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton
     County Line FL out 20 NM.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River
     to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Mexico
     Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to
     60 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County
     Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for Apalachee
     Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee
     River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to
     Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...LF
SHORT TERM...LF
LONG TERM...Wool
AVIATION...Wool
MARINE...LF
FIRE WEATHER...McD
HYDROLOGY...McD