Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 520

December 31, 202013 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 31, 2020, 7:40 AM CST for 13 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 31, 2020, 7:40 AM CST (13:40 UTC)
Expired
Dec 31, 2020, 3:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Brazoria County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Tyler County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 31, 10:03 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria29 min
Dec 31, 11:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHHardin50 min
Dec 31, 11:51 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston114 min
Dec 31, 11:53 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHHardin, Jefferson3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2020-12-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 238 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2020-12-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 181 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
238 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
492 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

940 
WWUS20 KWNS 311336
SEL0  
SPC WW 311336
TXZ000-CWZ000-312100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 520
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
740 AM CST Thu Dec 31 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  The upper Texas coastal plain
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 740 AM until
  300 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity
through the morning while spreading inland across the upper Texas
coast.  The storm environment will gradually become more favorable
for supercells inland, with an attendant threat for a few tornadoes
and damaging winds through early to mid afternoon.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west southwest of Angleton
TX to 20 miles north northeast of Port Arthur TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 21035.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 30, 8:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Pecos, Presidio, Upton6 hr
Dec 31, 2:16 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Glasscock, Pecos, Reagan, Sterling and 2 more6 hr
Dec 31, 7:10 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Hardin, Harris and 3 more95 min
Dec 31, 9:09 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Borden, Callahan, Childress, Clay and 39 more6 hr
Dec 31, 11:21 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChambers, Galveston, Hardin, Harris, Jefferson, Liberty and 2 more114 min
Dec 31, 1:27 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCNewton, Orange8 hr
Dec 31, 2:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNewton, Orange2 hr
Dec 31, 2:59 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Callahan, Coke, Cottle, Fisher, Foard and 16 more4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.