Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 481

September 1, 202022 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 1, 2020, 3:17 PM CDT for 22 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2020, 3:17 PM CDT (20:17 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2020, 6:50 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 22 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Grant County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
40%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 3:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Jackson, White45 min
Sep 1, 3:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke40 min
Sep 1, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline51 min
Sep 1, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson50 min
Sep 1, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Lonoke, Prairie32 min
Sep 1, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe50 min
Sep 1, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, White, Woodruff45 min
Sep 1, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln34 min
Sep 1, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Poinsett26 min
Sep 1, 6:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 295 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2020-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 38 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2020-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
38 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-101 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
987 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

363 
WWUS20 KWNS 012014
SEL1  
SPC WW 012014
ARZ000-020000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 481
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
315 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Central and eastern Arkansas

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until
  700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible

SUMMARY...Long-lived supercell embedded within a cluster across
north-central Arkansas may continue east in northeast Arkansas,
while a supercell near/south of Little Rock may persist east across
east-central Arkansas.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 5 miles east of Pine Bluff AR to 15
miles northwest of Jonesboro AR. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 2:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCleburne, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Faulkner, Garland and 16 more65 min
Sep 1, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden and 28 more88 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.