Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 415

August 4, 20204 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 4, 2020, 2:26 AM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 4, 2020, 2:26 AM EDT (06:26 UTC)
Expired
Aug 4, 2020, 11:54 AM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 43 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Harford County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Accomack County, VA, Charles City County, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Essex County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Greensville County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
20%

Warnings issued inside it

59 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 4, 2:27 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQGloucester, Mathews, Middlesex, Northumberland33 min
Aug 4, 2:45 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQIsle of Wight, Southampton, Sussex, City of Franklin, City of Suffolk30 min
Aug 4, 2:55 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQIsle of Wight, Southampton, City of Suffolk35 min
Aug 4, 3:14 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQSouthampton, Sussex31 min
Aug 4, 3:49 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQCharles City, James City, Surry26 min
Aug 4, 4:01 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXSaint Mary's29 min
Aug 4, 4:15 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQCharles City, James City, New Kent30 min
Aug 4, 4:29 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQGloucester, James City, York, City of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Poquoson and 1 more31 min
Aug 4, 4:34 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQCharles City, New Kent26 min
Aug 4, 4:47 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXCharles, Saint Mary's28 min
Aug 4, 4:50 AM EDTTornado WarningPHISussex25 min
Aug 4, 4:54 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQCharles City, James City, New Kent, Prince George3 hr
Aug 4, 4:57 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQGloucester, James City, King and Queen, King William, New Kent, York33 min
Aug 4, 5:04 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQSomerset, Wicomico, Worcester26 min
Aug 4, 5:17 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQLancaster, Mathews, Middlesex28 min
Aug 4, 5:24 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQKing and Queen, King William36 min
Aug 4, 5:27 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQSomerset, Wicomico33 min
Aug 4, 5:41 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQHanover, King William, New Kent3 hr
Aug 4, 5:42 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQLancaster, Northumberland, Richmond33 min
Aug 4, 5:54 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQEssex, Richmond, Westmoreland36 min
Aug 4, 5:55 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQDorchester, Wicomico35 min
Aug 4, 6:03 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQNorthumberland22 min
Aug 4, 6:18 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXCharles, Saint Mary's13 min
Aug 4, 6:35 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQDorchester11 min
Aug 4, 6:41 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXSaint Mary's34 min
Aug 4, 6:44 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXCalvert, Saint Mary's31 min
Aug 4, 6:55 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester35 min
Aug 4, 6:55 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent, Queen Anne's35 min
Aug 4, 6:57 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXCalvert, Saint Mary's4 hr
Aug 4, 7:04 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQWicomico, Worcester26 min
Aug 4, 7:17 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Calvert28 min
Aug 4, 7:20 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQWicomico, Worcester40 min
Aug 4, 7:22 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent, Queen Anne's23 min
Aug 4, 7:26 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQDorchester, Wicomico34 min
Aug 4, 7:28 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHINew Castle3 hr
Aug 4, 7:28 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQWicomico, Worcester32 min
Aug 4, 7:32 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXAnne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's4 hr
Aug 4, 7:39 AM EDTTornado WarningPHISussex36 min
Aug 4, 7:42 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXCalvert, Prince George's8 min
Aug 4, 7:50 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHICaroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot4 hr
Aug 4, 7:51 AM EDTTornado WarningPHISussex24 min
Aug 4, 7:53 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQWorcester37 min
Aug 4, 8:13 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent, Queen Anne's, Talbot26 min
Aug 4, 8:15 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent45 min
Aug 4, 8:18 AM EDTTornado WarningPHISussex27 min
Aug 4, 8:24 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQDorchester4 hr
Aug 4, 8:27 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent33 min
Aug 4, 8:39 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Prince George's, City of Baltimore4 hr
Aug 4, 8:50 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHICaroline, Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne's4 hr
Aug 4, 8:56 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent, New Castle34 min
Aug 4, 8:58 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIKent, New Castle, Sussex3 hr
Aug 4, 9:02 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXBaltimore, Harford4 hr
Aug 4, 9:16 AM EDTTornado WarningPHICumberland18 min
Aug 4, 9:23 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHINew Castle4 hr
Aug 4, 9:23 AM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedPHINew Castle22 min
Aug 4, 9:26 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXHarford18 min
Aug 4, 9:31 AM EDTTornado WarningLWXBaltimore11 min
Aug 4, 9:42 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIAtlantic, Cape May19 min
Aug 4, 10:02 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHINew Castle4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2020-08-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 920 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2020-08-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
920 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
841 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

788 
WWUS20 KWNS 040622
SEL5  
SPC WW 040622
DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-041600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 415
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Delaware
  Eastern Maryland
  Southern New Jersey
  Southeast Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday morning from 225 AM until NOON EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible

SUMMARY...Multiple low-topped supercells associated with tropical
cyclone Isaias will spread north-northeast from northeast North
Carolina across the Virginia Tidewater, Chesapeake Bay, and the
Delmarva region this morning.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Dover DE to 30 miles
southwest of Norfolk VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 414...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 17045.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 4, 1:41 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, Sussex3 hr
Aug 4, 5:15 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex3 hr
Aug 4, 6:45 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtlantic, Bergen, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Essex and 14 more3 hr
Aug 4, 7:23 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAtlantic, Bergen, Burlington, Camden, Essex, Gloucester and 12 more9 hr
Aug 4, 8:59 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 5 more91 min
Aug 4, 11:13 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBergen, Burlington, Camden, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon and 8 more92 min
Aug 3, 8:49 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCIsle of Wight, York, City of Chesapeake, City of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Norfolk and 4 more9 hr
Aug 4, 12:02 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrunswick, Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Gloucester, Greensville and 31 more118 min
Aug 4, 2:43 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCIsle of Wight, Prince George, Southampton, Surry, Sussex, City of Chesapeake and 9 more92 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2020Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2020Tornado Watches in Delaware, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.