Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2020
Tornado Watch 415
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 4, 2020, 2:26 AM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 4, 2020, 2:26 AM EDT (06:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 4, 2020, 11:54 AM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 55 kt
All 43 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Harford County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Accomack County, VA, Charles City County, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Essex County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Greensville County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA
The radar
The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 10%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 20%
Warnings issued inside it
59 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2:27 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Gloucester, Mathews, Middlesex, Northumberland | 33 min |
| Aug 4, 2:45 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Isle of Wight, Southampton, Sussex, City of Franklin, City of Suffolk | 30 min |
| Aug 4, 2:55 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Isle of Wight, Southampton, City of Suffolk | 35 min |
| Aug 4, 3:14 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Southampton, Sussex | 31 min |
| Aug 4, 3:49 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Charles City, James City, Surry | 26 min |
| Aug 4, 4:01 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Saint Mary's | 29 min |
| Aug 4, 4:15 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Charles City, James City, New Kent | 30 min |
| Aug 4, 4:29 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Gloucester, James City, York, City of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Poquoson and 1 more | 31 min |
| Aug 4, 4:34 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Charles City, New Kent | 26 min |
| Aug 4, 4:47 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Charles, Saint Mary's | 28 min |
| Aug 4, 4:50 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Sussex | 25 min |
| Aug 4, 4:54 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | Charles City, James City, New Kent, Prince George | 3 hr |
| Aug 4, 4:57 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Gloucester, James City, King and Queen, King William, New Kent, York | 33 min |
| Aug 4, 5:04 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester | 26 min |
| Aug 4, 5:17 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex | 28 min |
| Aug 4, 5:24 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | King and Queen, King William | 36 min |
| Aug 4, 5:27 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Somerset, Wicomico | 33 min |
| Aug 4, 5:41 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | Hanover, King William, New Kent | 3 hr |
| Aug 4, 5:42 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Lancaster, Northumberland, Richmond | 33 min |
| Aug 4, 5:54 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Essex, Richmond, Westmoreland | 36 min |
| Aug 4, 5:55 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Wicomico | 35 min |
| Aug 4, 6:03 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Northumberland | 22 min |
| Aug 4, 6:18 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Charles, Saint Mary's | 13 min |
| Aug 4, 6:35 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Dorchester | 11 min |
| Aug 4, 6:41 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Saint Mary's | 34 min |
| Aug 4, 6:44 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Calvert, Saint Mary's | 31 min |
| Aug 4, 6:55 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester | 35 min |
| Aug 4, 6:55 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent, Queen Anne's | 35 min |
| Aug 4, 6:57 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Calvert, Saint Mary's | 4 hr |
| Aug 4, 7:04 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Wicomico, Worcester | 26 min |
| Aug 4, 7:17 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert | 28 min |
| Aug 4, 7:20 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Wicomico, Worcester | 40 min |
| Aug 4, 7:22 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent, Queen Anne's | 23 min |
| Aug 4, 7:26 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Wicomico | 34 min |
| Aug 4, 7:28 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | New Castle | 3 hr |
| Aug 4, 7:28 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Wicomico, Worcester | 32 min |
| Aug 4, 7:32 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's | 4 hr |
| Aug 4, 7:39 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Sussex | 36 min |
| Aug 4, 7:42 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Calvert, Prince George's | 8 min |
| Aug 4, 7:50 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Caroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 4 hr |
| Aug 4, 7:51 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Sussex | 24 min |
| Aug 4, 7:53 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Worcester | 37 min |
| Aug 4, 8:13 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 26 min |
| Aug 4, 8:15 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent | 45 min |
| Aug 4, 8:18 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Sussex | 27 min |
| Aug 4, 8:24 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | Dorchester | 4 hr |
| Aug 4, 8:27 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent | 33 min |
| Aug 4, 8:39 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Prince George's, City of Baltimore | 4 hr |
| Aug 4, 8:50 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Caroline, Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne's | 4 hr |
| Aug 4, 8:56 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 34 min |
| Aug 4, 8:58 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 3 hr |
| Aug 4, 9:02 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 4 hr |
| Aug 4, 9:16 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Cumberland | 18 min |
| Aug 4, 9:23 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | New Castle | 4 hr |
| Aug 4, 9:23 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | New Castle | 22 min |
| Aug 4, 9:26 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Harford | 18 min |
| Aug 4, 9:31 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Baltimore | 11 min |
| Aug 4, 9:42 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Cape May | 19 min |
| Aug 4, 10:02 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | New Castle | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 1389 Tornado watch 414
- Mesoscale Discussion 1390 Severe potential...tornado watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 1391 Tornado watch 414...415
- Mesoscale Discussion 1392 Tornado watch 415
- Mesoscale Discussion 1393 Severe potential...tornado watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 1394 Tornado watch 416
The nearest sounding before it
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 920 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -35 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 841 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 59 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 75 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.5
The text
As transmitted.
788 WWUS20 KWNS 040622 SEL5 SPC WW 040622 DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-041600- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 415 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 225 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Delaware Eastern Maryland Southern New Jersey Southeast Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday morning from 225 AM until NOON EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible SUMMARY...Multiple low-topped supercells associated with tropical cyclone Isaias will spread north-northeast from northeast North Carolina across the Virginia Tidewater, Chesapeake Bay, and the Delmarva region this morning. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Dover DE to 30 miles southwest of Norfolk VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 414... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 17045. ...Grams
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 1:41 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, Sussex | 3 hr |
| Aug 4, 5:15 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 3 hr |
| Aug 4, 6:45 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atlantic, Bergen, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Essex and 14 more | 3 hr |
| Aug 4, 7:23 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Atlantic, Bergen, Burlington, Camden, Essex, Gloucester and 12 more | 9 hr |
| Aug 4, 8:59 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 5 more | 91 min |
| Aug 4, 11:13 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bergen, Burlington, Camden, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon and 8 more | 92 min |
| Aug 3, 8:49 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Isle of Wight, York, City of Chesapeake, City of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Norfolk and 4 more | 9 hr |
| Aug 4, 12:02 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brunswick, Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Gloucester, Greensville and 31 more | 118 min |
| Aug 4, 2:43 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Isle of Wight, Prince George, Southampton, Surry, Sussex, City of Chesapeake and 9 more | 92 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2020Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2020Tornado Watches in Delaware, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.