Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 178

May 12, 202014 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 12, 2020, 10:48 AM CDT for 14 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 12, 2020, 10:48 AM CDT (15:48 UTC)
Expired
May 12, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Lee County, TX, Travis County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 12, 10:50 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXBexar, Comal, Kendall25 min
May 12, 10:53 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXBastrop, Lee37 min
May 12, 11:10 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXLee35 min
May 12, 11:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBexar, Comal, Kendall61 min
May 12, 11:25 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXBastrop, Lee35 min
May 12, 11:28 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXComal3 hr
May 12, 11:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLee34 min
May 12, 11:52 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXHays, Travis3 hr
May 12, 11:55 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXLee35 min
May 12, 12:23 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXComal, Hays19 min
May 12, 12:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLee18 min
May 12, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGonzales20 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 264 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2020-05-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1021 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2020-05-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 57 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1021 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
847 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
155 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
5.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

960 
WWUS20 KWNS 121544
SEL8  
SPC WW 121544
TXZ000-122200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 178
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1045 AM CDT Tue May 12 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  A small part of central Texas

* Effective this Tuesday morning and afternoon from 1045 AM until
  500 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A small convective system across central Texas will likely
persist into the afternoon, with embedded supercells capable of
producing a couple of tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles northwest of San Antonio TX
to 55 miles east southeast of Austin TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 22020.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 8:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Pecos, Terrell, Upton, Ward93 min
May 11, 8:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress, Cochran and 34 more90 min
May 11, 10:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Briscoe, Childress, Cottle, Crosby, Dawson and 15 more96 min
May 12, 10:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burleson, Burnet, Caldwell and 11 more2 hr
May 12, 2:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burleson, Burnet, Caldwell and 16 more93 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.