Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 76

March 29, 202012 counties in New York; 4 counties in Ohio; 18 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 29, 2020, 12:05 PM EDT for 12 counties in New York; 4 counties in Ohio; 18 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 29, 2020, 12:05 PM EDT (16:05 UTC)
Expired
Mar 29, 2020, 4:29 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Ashtabula County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Elk County, PA, Erie County, PA, Forest County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Potter County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 1:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEErie25 min
Mar 29, 1:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Niagara66 min
Mar 29, 2:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans, Wyoming57 min
Mar 29, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFGenesee, Livingston, Monroe, Ontario64 min
Mar 29, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Elk, McKean, Potter49 min
Mar 29, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFGenesee, Livingston, Ontario, Wyoming50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2020-03-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2020-03-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 288 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1264 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
288 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
343 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 10:58 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Livingston and 4 more2 hr
Mar 29, 2:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cayuga, Genesee, Jefferson, Livingston, Monroe and 9 more84 min
Mar 28, 10:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAuglaize, Butler, Champaign, Clark, Darke, Greene and 8 more97 min
Mar 28, 11:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Clermont, Hamilton86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2020Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.