Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 269

March 29, 202010 counties in New York; 11 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 29, 2020, 10:58 AM EDT for 10 counties in New York; 11 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 29, 2020, 10:58 AM EDT (14:58 UTC)
Expired
Mar 29, 2020, 1:00 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 21 counties

Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Elk County, PA, Forest County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, McKean County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2020-03-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2020-03-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 288 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1264 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
288 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
343 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 12:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Livingston and 6 more4 hr
Mar 29, 2:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cayuga, Genesee, Jefferson, Livingston, Monroe and 9 more84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2020Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.