Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2020

Mesoscale Discussion 151

March 4, 202017 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 4, 2020, 2:03 AM CST for 17 counties in Texas. It was in force for 117 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 4, 2020, 2:03 AM CST (08:03 UTC)
Expired
Mar 4, 2020, 4:00 AM CST
In force
117 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%

Counties Bandera County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Real County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2020-03-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 277 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2020-03-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
277 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1090 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
93 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
294 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 3, 9:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Burleson, Burnet and 23 more2 hr
Mar 4, 1:19 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Jasper, Nacogdoches, Newton, Panola, Sabine and 3 more2 hr
Mar 4, 2:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Edwards and 13 more6 hr
Mar 4, 4:20 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Brazos and 41 more115 min
Mar 4, 5:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAngelina, Cherokee, Jasper, Nacogdoches, Newton, Panola and 5 more7 hr
Mar 4, 7:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Brazos, Burleson, Falls, Freestone, Grimes and 10 more4 hr
Mar 4, 10:50 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Houston, Jasper, Nacogdoches, Newton, Polk and 5 more115 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2020Every mesoscale discussion in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.