River Flood Warning 33, NWS Raleigh, NC

123 
WGUS82 KRAH 300153
FLSRAH

Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
953 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-301352-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0034.200530T0742Z-200531T1930Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.200530T0742Z.200530T1800Z.200531T0730Z.NO/
953 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* from late tonight to Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Friday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  and continue to rise to near 18.6 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM EST forecast 
stages for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM EST
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Little River
 Manchester       18  17.1 Fri 10 PM  17.7  15.0  13.2  12.0      


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC101-301352-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-200531T1912Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.200529T1941Z.200530T1200Z.200531T0712Z.NO/
953 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  9:15 PM Friday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.4 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water 
  reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM EST forecast 
stages for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM EST
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Neuse River
 Clayton           9   9.7 Fri 09 PM   8.6   8.1   8.0   7.9      


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-301352-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.200529T1145Z.200531T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  9:15 PM Friday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.3 feet by 
  early Sunday morning, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM EST forecast 
stages for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM EST
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  15.8 Fri 09 PM  17.0  15.6  15.5  15.3      


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC083-131-301352-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.200528T1330Z.200529T2130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 10.9 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Farmlands and timberlands 
  adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  Property on the 
  farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM EST forecast 
stages for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM EST
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Roanoke River
 Roanoke Rapids    9  11.0 Fri 09 PM  10.9  10.9  10.9  10.9      


&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3641 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
          3638 7761 3645 7765         

$$

NCC083-131-301352-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.200601T0600Z.200604T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
953 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Monday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 29.0 feet by Wednesday 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, There is widespread flooding on the left 
  banks.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the left
  bank.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM EST forecast 
stages for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM EST
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Roanoke River
 Scotland Neck    28  26.6 Fri 09 PM  27.6  28.1  28.5  28.9      


&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7721 3608 7727
          3628 7748 3628 7759         

$$

605 
WGUS82 KRAH 300505
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
105 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-301705-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0034.200530T0519Z-200531T1930Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.200530T0519Z.200530T1800Z.200531T0730Z.NO/
105 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 12:45 AM Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early this 
  morning and continue to rise to near 18.6 feet by this 
  afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 8 AM EDT forecast
stages for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 8 AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed  

Little River
  Manchester  18  18.0 Sat 01 AM    18.5  17.7  15.0  13.2  12.0


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC101-301705-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-200531T1912Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.200529T1941Z.200530T1200Z.200531T0712Z.NO/
105 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At 12:15 AM Saturday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.4 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water 
  reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 8 AM EDT forecast
stages for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 8 AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed  

Neuse River
  Clayton      9  10.1 Sat 12 AM    10.5   8.6   8.1   8.0   7.9


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-301705-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.200529T1145Z.200531T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
105 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At 12:15 AM Saturday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.3 feet by 
  early Sunday, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 8 AM EDT forecast
stages for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 8 AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed  

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  16.0 Sat 12 AM    16.6  17.0  15.6  15.5  15.3


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC083-131-301705-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.200528T1330Z.200529T2130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
105 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* At 11:45 PM Friday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 10.9 feet.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Farmlands and timberlands 
  adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  Property on the 
  farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 8 AM EDT forecast
stages for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 8 AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed 

Roanoke River
  Roanoke Ra   9  10.9 Sat 12 AM    10.9  10.9  10.9  10.9  10.9


&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3641 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
          3638 7761 3645 7765         

$$

NCC083-131-301705-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.200601T0600Z.200604T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
105 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* At 12:00 AM Saturday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Monday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 29.0 feet by Wednesday 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, There is widespread flooding on the left 
  banks.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the left
  bank.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 8 AM EDT forecast
stages for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 8 AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Roanoke River
  Scotland N  28  26.8 Sat 12 AM    27.0  27.6  28.1  28.5  28.9


&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7721 3608 7727
          3628 7748 3628 7759         

$$

916 
WGUS82 KRAH 301425
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
1025 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-310226-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-200602T0000Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.200529T1941Z.200530T1800Z.200601T1200Z.NO/
1025 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.0 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM EST forecast 
stages for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM EST
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Clayton           9  10.9 Sat 09 AM   9.8   9.0   8.4   7.9   7.3


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-310226-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.200529T1145Z.200531T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1025 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM EST forecast 
stages for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM EST
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  16.7 Sat 09 AM  17.4  16.7  16.1  15.5  15.1


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

591 
WGUS82 KRAH 310103
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
903 PM EDT Sat May 30 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-311302-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-200601T2000Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.200530T0451Z.200531T0600Z.200601T0800Z.NO/
903 PM EDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for the Little River At Manchester.
* At  8:45 PM Saturday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.1 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM EST forecast 
stages for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM EST
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Little River
 Manchester       18  20.0 Sat 09 PM  17.6  15.5  13.8  12.6      


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC101-311302-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-200531T2100Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.200529T1941Z.200530T1315Z.200531T0900Z.NO/
903 PM EDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  8:15 PM Saturday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water 
  reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM EST forecast 
stages for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM EST
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Clayton           9   9.5 Sat 08 PM   8.5   8.2   8.0   7.3      


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-311302-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-200605T0600Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.200529T1145Z.200531T0600Z.200604T1800Z.NO/
903 PM EDT Sat May 30 2020

The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  8:15 PM Saturday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.6 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM EST forecast 
stages for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM EST
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  17.4 Sat 08 PM  16.4  15.8  15.6  15.2      


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

322 
WGUS82 KRAH 310914
FLSRAH


Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
514 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-310944-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-200531T2100Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.200529T1941Z.200530T1315Z.200531T0231Z.NO/
514 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At 4:15 AM Sunday the stage was 8.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 10:31 PM Saturday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.3 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water 
  reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 8 AM EDT forecast
stages for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 8 AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Neuse River
  Clayton      9   8.0 Sun 04 AM     7.8   7.3   7.3   7.2   6.8


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
135 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A deep southerly flow in advance of a slow moving cold front
approaching from the west will keep a moist and humid air mass in
place through Saturday. A cold front will move through the region
late Saturday night, bringing cooler and drier air to NC Sunday and
into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1020 AM Friday...

...Marginal risk of severe thunderstorms continues this afternoon
and evening...

...Isolated flash flooding is again possible this afternoon and
evening...

Ahead of an approaching shortwave trough and within the right
entrance region of a 90kt 300 mb jet over the southern/central
Appalachians, deep southerly flow will continue to direct a plume of
tropical moisture(1.75-2.0") over central and eastern NC. Shortwave
impulses embedded within the deep southerly will interact with the
moisten-laden and unstable air in place to support scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms through the evening. Partial
breaks in low overcast will fuel further destabilization by
the afternoon, which should lead to a diurnal flare up.

Given the wet antecedent conditions that have developed across all of
central NC over the past 2 weeks(most of central NC running 300 to
400% of normal)and with convective storm motion largely parallel to
the deep southerly flow, flash flooding will be a concern today,
especially across the eastern third of the forecast area. At times,
hourly rainfall amounts of 1 to 2" will be possible over localized
areas.

Also, deep layer shear of 25 to 35 kts is slightly better and more
uniform distributed across central NC, so there will be a chance for
a few severe storms as well.

As the mid-level trough advances east, over the region, the
deeper moisture and upper jet axis is forecast to shift east
which should leave to drier conditions overnight/early Saturday
morning across the western half/two-thirds of the forecast area.

Highs today in the lower to mid 80s. Lows tonight in the upper 60s
to lower 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 232 AM Friday...

...Marginal risk of severe thunderstorms, mainly in the east on
Saturday afternoon and early evening...

At least scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Saturday
morning with the pre-frontal trough. However, the main cold front
will move across the region late Saturday (west) and in the east
Saturday night. The continuation of high PW (1.5 inches, especially
in the east, along with partial clearing and heating will allow for
additional showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall, especially
in the east on Saturday afternoon and evening. The steering flow
will be stronger allowing for quicker movement of the convection. In
addition, the western Piedmont will begin to see a reduction in
convection chances due to the flow veering to more WSW instead of
southerly. Dew points will come down into the lower 60s in the
afternoon, with PW forecast to fall into the 1 inch range. Highs
will be warmer with less in the way of low level moisture and more
periods of sunshine. Highs generally in the mid to upper 80s.
Showers and thunderstorms will end in the east late, otherwise
turning cooler and clearing skies are expected Saturday night. Lows
in the 50s west and north to mid 60s SE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 305 AM Friday...

...Cooler and drier Sunday and Monday followed by a warming trend
mid-week...

Troughing over the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic states will
bring cooler than normal temperatures Sunday and Monday. The
surface high pressure will build overhead late Monday into
Monday night. This will be the coolest night. Highs Sunday
and Monday will be in the 70s, with lows in the 50s. There
should be some upper 40s in the normally cooler areas both nights.

June weather will return by mid-week as temperatures and
dew points rise as upper ridging builds. A NW flow a top the
ridge will give birth to a wavy surface front to our north
by Wednesday and Thursday where showers and thunderstorms will
track. If the front gets close to the region, the chance of
PM scattered thunderstorms will return. Highs return to the mid to
upper 80s, with lows in the mid to upper 60s Wed-Thu. We
will leave POP out for now.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 130 PM Friday...

A warm and humid airmass continues to support scattered to numerous
showers and storms across central NC.  Morning storms from RDU east
have shifted mostly east of RWI and fAY, while additional storms
developing near CLT are poised to shift east and possibly impact
RDU/FAY/RWI in the 19-23Z time frame.  MVFR conditions will mostly
prevail outside of the storms, with heavy rain, gusty winds and
IFR/LIFR when the storms pass.

Stratus should redevelop again tonight, with models suggesting IFR
more likely from RDU east, perhaps remaining MVFR at GSO/INT.  Expect
stratus will slowly lift through midday Saturday, with showers and
storms again favored from RDU east.

Looking ahead after 18z/Saturday: A cold front will move east
through the area by Saturday evening. Drier and cooler air in the
wake of the cold front will result in predominately VFR conditions
Sunday through early next week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CBL/Badgett
NEAR TERM...CBL
SHORT TERM...Badgett
LONG TERM...BSD
AVIATION...BLS/CBL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
409 AM EDT Fri May 29 2020

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-300815-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
409 AM EDT Fri May 29 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms may again produce locally heavy rainfall,
mainly this afternoon and evening. Urban and small stream flooding
may occur. In addition... a few of the thunderstorms may become
strong to locally severe, with isolated damaging wind gusts the main
threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms Saturday afternoon
and early evening over the eastern sections of North Carolina. The
main threat is damaging wind gusts to near 60 mph.

32

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
937 AM EDT Fri May 29 2020

NCZ075>077-086-291500-
Lee NC-Hoke NC-Harnett NC-Moore NC-
937 AM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MOORE...
WESTERN HARNETT...LEE AND NORTHWESTERN HOKE COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 AM
EDT...

At 936 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking an area of showers and
strong thunderstorms near Carthage, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and minor flooding will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sanford, Southern Pines, Lillington, Carthage, Pinehurst, Aberdeen,
Whispering Pines, Pinebluff, Broadway and Robbins.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning, especially in urban areas where prolonged heavy rain
can quickly lead to flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3506 7948 3507 7957 3512 7957 3520 7966
      3528 7971 3536 7972 3552 7938 3552 7932
      3555 7929 3553 7927 3557 7924 3555 7922
      3556 7920 3562 7914 3561 7908 3555 7903
      3552 7897 3555 7894 3544 7877 3500 7940
TIME...MOT...LOC 1336Z 217DEG 14KT 3530 7941

JD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1204 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

NCZ038-073-074-291700-
Stanly NC-Davidson NC-Montgomery NC-
1204 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...AN AREA OF SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN DAVIDSON...NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND STANLY
COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM EDT...

At 1202 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking an area of showers and
strong thunderstorms near Plyler, or near Albemarle. These storms
are moving very slowly and in some cases moving repeatedly over the
same area. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 1.5 inches are possible.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and minor flooding will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Albemarle, Badin Lake, Plyler, Locust, Badin, Oakboro, Stanfield,
Richfield, New London and Eldorado.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning, especially in urban areas where prolonged heavy rain
can quickly lead to flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3528 8043 3550 8028 3551 8018 3554 8020
      3555 8021 3557 8021 3555 8006 3551 8007
      3551 7989 3518 8022 3518 8024 3521 8025
      3519 8030 3520 8045
TIME...MOT...LOC 1602Z 218DEG 4KT 3532 8025

23

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
131 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

NCZ023-024-039-040-076-291830-
Lee NC-Chatham NC-Alamance NC-Randolph NC-Orange NC-
131 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN ALAMANCE...SOUTHERN
ORANGE...EASTERN RANDOLPH...NORTHERN LEE AND CHATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL
230 PM EDT...

At 130 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Siler City, moving east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and minor flooding will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Chapel Hill, Pittsboro, Siler City, Carrboro, Goldston, Liberty,
Staley, Crosswinds Boating Center, Snow Camp and Crosswinds
Campground.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
light outdoor objects.

Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this storm. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.

Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 7900 3586 7902 3587 7891 3561 7899
      3558 7892 3553 7896 3551 7963 3590 7961
      3590 7954 3598 7954
TIME...MOT...LOC 1730Z 249DEG 22KT 3571 7950

10

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
134 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S ASHEBORO            35.71N 79.81W
05/29/2020                   RANDOLPH           NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FLOODED ROADWAYS IN
            ASHEBORO, NC.

&&

AS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
144 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

NCZ073-074-083-084-291845-
Stanly NC-Anson NC-Richmond NC-Montgomery NC-
144 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ANSON...
MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN RICHMOND AND SOUTHEASTERN STANLY COUNTIES UNTIL
245 PM EDT...

At 144 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking an area of showers and
strong thunderstorms near Ansonville, or 13 miles southeast of
Albemarle, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and minor flooding will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Albemarle, Wadesboro, Troy, Biscoe, Ansonville, Polkton, Norwood,
Badin, Mount Gilead and Ellerbe.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other light outdoor
objects.

Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning, especially in urban areas where prolonged heavy rain
can quickly lead to flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3518 8028 3519 8029 3535 8028 3551 7977
      3532 7971 3528 7971 3525 7970 3524 7967
      3519 7966 3517 7962 3512 7957 3507 7958
      3506 7955 3483 8031
TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 252DEG 35KT 3519 8009

23