Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
213 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Periodic showers and scattered thunderstorms can be expected through
tomorrow with the approach and passage of a cold front.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

Surface warm front currently just north of PGH will continue to drift
north and serve as the main source of convective initiation the
remainder of the afternoon. Substantial breaks in the clouds south of
the boundary along with substantial WAA has resulted in around
1500j/kg MLCAPE and with substantial (50kts+) effective shear in
place across the region there will be potential for severe weather
through the afternoon. The biggest question is for areas south of PGH
and whether or not storms will be triggered. There are some subtle
waves in low-level wv imagery which could be enough so have issued a
convective watch for the vast majority of the forecast area. The
primary threat north of the warm front will be hail, and south of the
boundary with more dry mid-level air and steep lapse rates there
will be an increased wind threat (in addition to hail) with the
strongest updrafts.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Activity will diminish later in the evening. The occluded surface
front will approach western Ohio late tonight. More showers, and
possibly a thunderstorm, will develop ahead of the boundary and push
through the entire region Sunday morning. Atmosphere will dry out
quickly behind the boundary, allowing for some sunshine to make a
much needed return. The main concern for Sunday will be the threat
for strong winds behind the front. An impressive wind field will
develop on the southeastern flank of the 500 low. Mixing heights rise
quickly and instability aloft increases. This will allow for the
strong winds aloft to mix down to the surface. Current forecast
soundings are hinting that a wind advisory may be needed on Sunday.

Temperatures remain well above normal Saturday night and Sunday.

Increasing clouds and the risk for a passing shower on Monday with
the return of cold advection and northwest flow.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Building high pressure on Tuesday will promote drier conditions. The
next chance for rain will be Wednesday as a disturbance passes to
our south.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Restrictions will be possible into early evening associated with sct
thunderstorm activity.

.Outlook...
Restrictions are likely to continue Sun mrng followed by gusty wind
with a Sun cdfnt.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
OH...None.
PA...None.
WV...None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
202 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

MDZ001-WVZ012-021-509>514-291815-
Garrett-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia-
Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-
Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker-
202 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Maryland and northern
West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-
031-073>076-WVZ001>004-291815-
Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH-
Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Mercer-Venango-Forest-
Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-Jefferson PA-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong-
Indiana-Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Westmoreland Ridges-Fayette-
Fayette Ridges-Hancock-Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-
202 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 67 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, northwest
Pennsylvania, southwest Pennsylvania, western Pennsylvania,
northern West Virginia and the northern panhandle of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
223 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HAIL             SLIPPERY ROCK           41.07N  80.06W
03/28/2020  E1.00 INCH       BUTLER             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MIX OF DIME AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ2000692

MF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
229 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1216 PM     HAIL             TIMBERLY HEIGHTS        40.91N  79.93W
03/28/2020  E1.00 INCH       BUTLER             PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

            PICTURE ON FACEBOOK

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ2000693

MF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
234 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0227 PM     HAIL             BESSEMER                40.98N  80.49W
03/28/2020  E1.00 INCH       LAWRENCE           PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

            FACEBOOK REPORT OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL WEST OF BESSEMER,
            LAWRENCE COUNTY

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ2000694

MF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
247 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0231 PM     HAIL             3 S NEW WILMINGTON      41.08N 80.33W
03/28/2020  U1.00 INCH       LAWRENCE           PA   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

&&