Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 615, NWS Norman, OK

July 30, 2020Caddo County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 30, 2020, 9:15 PM CDT for Caddo County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 30, 2020, 9:15 PM CDT (02:15 UTC)
Expired
Jul 30, 2020, 9:43 PM CDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Norman, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Caddo County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 30, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 279 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2020-07-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1104 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2020-07-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 62 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1104 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-75 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2261 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 30, 6:53 PM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 30, 6:53 PM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
653 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 227 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

Showers/thunderstorms are likely to develop across southwestern OK
and western north TX this afternoon and evening a mid-level trough
and surface boundary. Latest radar imagery shows a few echoes with
a few cloud flashes already developing over Beckham County in
western OK and tracking quickly east-southeastward at about 40
mph. With a moderately unstable atmosphere in place, little to no
CIN, storms may become severe later this afternoon and evening.
Large hail up to the size of golf balls, damaging winds, and heavy
rainfall are possible with any storms that develop. A few
thunderstorms are also possible this evening over northern
Oklahoma. Precipitation appears likely, generally south of I-40,
through at least 10PM with chances diminishing after midnight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

In the wake of Friday's storm system, we should see a break from
rain this weekend with below normal temperatures.

Models (both deterministic and ensemble) are trending further west
with their possible MCS Sunday night into Monday, affecting mainly
the panhandles and parts of western Oklahoma into north Texas.
Latest NBM guidance seems to represent this fairly well.

The most recent WPC cluster analysis is coming in weaker and slower
with the building of the upper level ridge next week. This is
consistent with deterministic models which keep us in an active
northwest flow pattern through much of next week.

Day

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 647 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

Showers and storms will continue to develop across southern
Oklahoma and north Texas through the evening, slowly making their
way southeast. Damaging winds will be possible with these storms.
Outside of this convection, breezy northerly winds will prevail.

Day

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  69  82  66  84 /  40  30   0   0
Hobart OK         69  87  64  89 /  30  10   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  71  88  66  89 /  60  10   0   0
Gage OK           64  85  60  88 /  20  10   0   0
Ponca City OK     69  81  64  83 /  60  40   0   0
Durant OK         73  88  68  89 /  60  30  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...14
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 30, 8:48 PM CDT, 27 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 30, 8:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 30, 8:11 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 30, 8:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 30, 8:20 PM CDT, 55 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 30, 8:25 PM CDT, 50 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 30, 9:11 PM CDT, 4 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Carter, Coal, Johnston, Marshall, Murray and 1 more39 min
Jul 30, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Jefferson, Stephens, Tillman50 min
Jul 30, 7:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCoal, Hughes, Pontotoc3 hr
Jul 30, 7:37 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNPontotoc3 hr
Jul 30, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Hughes, Johnston and 3 more53 min
Jul 30, 7:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNAtoka3 hr
Jul 30, 7:44 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNStephens3 hr
Jul 30, 7:53 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNCotton3 hr
Jul 30, 7:59 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningOUNGrant, Kay, Noble18 hr
Jul 30, 8:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNJefferson52 min
Jul 30, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Kiowa50 min
Jul 30, 11:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNComanche, Cotton42 min
Jul 31, 12:16 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNComanche, Cotton44 min
Jul 31, 12:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Cotton51 min
Jul 31, 1:26 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCotton49 min
Jul 31, 2:48 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCarter27 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2020Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.