Severe Thunderstorm Warning 63, NWS Nashville, TN

075 
WWUS54 KOHX 290646
SVSOHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
146 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

TNC117-290655-
/O.CAN.KOHX.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200329T0715Z/
Marshall TN-
146 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARSHALL COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3562 8644 3576 8642 3591 8595 3584 8589
      3584 8585 3585 8584 3544 8591 3536 8626
      3537 8628 3538 8625 3539 8628 3541 8625
      3541 8628 3535 8641 3532 8642 3536 8649
      3536 8652
TIME...MOT...LOC 0645Z 246DEG 59KT 3573 8628 3537 8645 

$$

TNC003-015-031-149-177-290715-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200329T0715Z/
Rutherford TN-Warren TN-Coffee TN-Bedford TN-Cannon TN-
146 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...WESTERN WARREN...COFFEE...EASTERN
BEDFORD AND CANNON COUNTIES...

At 145 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 10 miles southeast of Murfreesboro to 7 miles
northwest of Lynchburg, moving northeast at 70 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Shelbyville, Manchester, Woodbury, Tullahoma, Morrison, Wartrace,
Bell Buckle, Centertown, Normandy, Christiana, Beechgrove, Raus,
Fosterville, Summitville, Deason, Bradyville and Readyville.

This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 85 and 117.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3562 8644 3576 8642 3591 8595 3584 8589
      3584 8585 3585 8584 3544 8591 3536 8626
      3537 8628 3538 8625 3539 8628 3541 8625
      3541 8628 3535 8641 3532 8642 3536 8649
      3536 8652
TIME...MOT...LOC 0645Z 246DEG 59KT 3573 8628 3537 8645 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Hawblitzel

204 
WWUS54 KOHX 290659
SVSOHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
159 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

TNC003-149-290709-
/O.CAN.KOHX.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200329T0715Z/
Rutherford TN-Bedford TN-
159 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD AND
EASTERN BEDFORD COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3537 8628 3538 8625 3539 8628 3541 8625
      3545 8625 3545 8624 3546 8625 3569 8624
      3571 8621 3573 8621 3576 8618 3584 8618
      3591 8595 3584 8589 3585 8584 3544 8591
      3536 8626
TIME...MOT...LOC 0659Z 249DEG 70KT 3580 8600 3546 8611 

$$

TNC015-031-177-290715-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200329T0715Z/
Warren TN-Coffee TN-Cannon TN-
159 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT
FOR WESTERN WARREN...COFFEE AND CANNON COUNTIES...

At 159 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Woodbury to Manchester, moving east at 80 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Manchester, Woodbury, Tullahoma, Morrison, Centertown, Bradyville,
Beechgrove, Readyville and Summitville.

This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 97 and 117.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 8628 3538 8625 3539 8628 3541 8625
      3545 8625 3545 8624 3546 8625 3569 8624
      3571 8621 3573 8621 3576 8618 3584 8618
      3591 8595 3584 8589 3585 8584 3544 8591
      3536 8626
TIME...MOT...LOC 0659Z 249DEG 70KT 3580 8600 3546 8611 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Hawblitzel

092 
WWUS54 KOHX 290711
SVSOHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
211 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

TNC015-031-177-290721-
/O.EXP.KOHX.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-200329T0715Z/
Warren TN-Coffee TN-Cannon TN-
211 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN WARREN...COFFEE AND
CANNON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 215 AM CDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3537 8628 3538 8625 3539 8628 3541 8625
      3545 8625 3545 8624 3546 8625 3569 8624
      3571 8621 3573 8621 3576 8618 3584 8618
      3591 8595 3584 8589 3585 8584 3544 8591
      3536 8626
TIME...MOT...LOC 0711Z 246DEG 59KT 3588 8578 3554 8589 

$$

Hawblitzel

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1224 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

I'm going to start with the most important part of this AFD: we are
expecting severe weather tonight in the form of damaging straight
line winds, hail and tornadoes. Because of this, let me re-emphasize
the following:

1. This is going to be a nighttime event. Please make sure you have
multiple ways to get warnings that may be issued for you. This does
NOT mean having downloaded multiple apps on your phone. Your phone,
turned on and up, is one way. A second would be a properly
programmed NOAA weather radio -- something that will wake you up in
the event you go under a warning while you are asleep.

2. Have a safety plan for your family in place now. Practice it. If
you need help putting one of these together, visit ready.gov. They
have great information on what you need to do PRIOR to going under a
warning. This includes having plan to get to shelter in a timely
manner. If you live in a mobile home, this could include being in
that shelter during the watch, not just if you go under a warning.

3. Please treat Severe Thunderstorm Warnings with the same priority
you would a Tornado Warning. Winds blowing in a straight line versus
those spinning around in a circle at 70 mph or more can do the same
kind of damage. Just take shelter.

I'll climb down off my soapbox now.

Yes, severe storms will be possible tonight. Here are the highlights
from my update earlier, as things have not changed in the last
couple of hours:

The strong cap, being seen in current LAPS soundings, looks like it
will be in place throughout the afternoon and early evening hours.
This is what we're going to have to watch closely as we get into the
6 pm timeframe. If that cap starts to break, then we could see some
discrete development. However, the current thinking is that the cap
will hold tight until we can get the 850-700mb jet structure closer
to the mid-state, which will probably be the 7-9 pm time frame. This
should erode the cap and allow convection to begin developing across
West TN/North MS, with storms then moving into Middle TN shortly
after that. Helicities do pick up right around that time (which will
help organization). If we can elude the discrete development in the
early evening hours and only have to deal with the activity closest
to the front, then we should be dealing with a QLCS/broken line type
event. Of note, no matter what soundings we look at, even though I
said they pick up, helicities are not off the charts. Some of our
bigger tornado outbreaks have 0-3km helicities of 400-600 m2/m2,
where this evening is in the neighborhood of about 300, based on
latest guidance. This could help us in the tornado department and is
really why we're focusing on this event being more of a straight-
line wind event, but tornadoes are NOT out of the question, by any
means. In addition, because of this more-likely scenario I've drawn
out here, the large hail threat should be less as well, due to storm
mode. Quarters are more likely versus anything much bigger.

For more on timing, including graphics, visit our website
weather.gov/ohx.

On that note, storms should be pulling off the Cumberland Plateau
prior to sunrise and it looks like we'll return to the dry
conditions we've been experiencing the last few days. Our next
system is progged for Tuesday and models continue to keep the
surface low moving west to east over northern Alabama, which keeps
us out of the warm sector and any severe threat south of Middle TN.

Following Tuesday's rain, we should have a couple more days of dry
conditions then another system on Friday. Models aren't in great
agreement regarding this system's evolution, so more to come on
that. For now, please remain weather aware as the sun sets.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Cold front expected to push through overnight with the boundary
exiting the Plateau area between 09z and 12z. Thunderstorm
development is expected along and in advance of this feature.
A few wind gusts will still be possible. Otw, all precip will
exit the area by 12Z with partial clearing beginning in the
afternoon.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

AVIATION........21

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
512 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-291015-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
512 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Several rivers will remain above action stage through today.

Strong to severe thunderstorms may develop after 4 PM today,
though the greatest chance for severe weather will be from 8 PM
tonight through early Sunday morning. All modes of severe weather
are possible, including damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a few
tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A few strong to severe storms may linger into the early morning
hours on Sunday. Damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a tornado
will remain possible.

Several rivers will remain above action stage into early next
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed tonight into early Sunday
morning.

Schaper

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1249 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1239 AM     HAIL             6 S LAWRENCEBURG        35.16N  87.35W
03/29/2020  E0.88 INCH       LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ALSO REPORTED 50 MPH WINDS IN LEOMA.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2000210

SCHAPER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
107 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 AM     HAIL             LORETTO                 35.08N  87.44W
03/29/2020  E1.25 INCH       LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2000211

SCHAPER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
110 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

TNZ010-011-031-033-290700-
Overton TN-Pickett TN-Clay TN-Jackson TN-
110 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN OVERTON...PICKETT...
NORTHERN JACKSON AND CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 200 AM CDT...

At 110 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles south of Tompkinsville to 9 miles
northeast of Carthage. Movement was northeast at 55 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Livingston, Celina, Gainesboro, Byrdstown, Wolf River Dock, Moss,
Whitleyville, Huntersville, Dale Hollow Lake, Static and Standing
Stone State Park.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3662 8501 3656 8504 3655 8505 3653 8505
      3653 8507 3650 8509 3644 8510 3635 8583
      3660 8579 3662 8575 3661 8550 3663 8527
TIME...MOT...LOC 0610Z 242DEG 49KT 3660 8572 3636 8584

Hawblitzel

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
112 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

TNZ059>062-075-290700-
Rutherford TN-Williamson TN-Bedford TN-Maury TN-Marshall TN-
112 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MARSHALL...SOUTHERN
RUTHERFORD...SOUTHEASTERN MAURY...SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON AND
NORTHERN BEDFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 200 AM CDT...

At 112 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles north of Lewisburg, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Murfreesboro, Columbia, Lewisburg, Spring Hill, Nolensville, Chapel
Hill, Eagleville, Christiana, I-65 East Of Columbia, Fosterville,
Triune, Rover, Deason, Rockvale, Farmington and Unionville.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 65 between mile markers 35 and 52.
 Interstate 24 between mile markers 77 and 94.
 Interstate 840 between mile markers 35 and 52.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3560 8704 3596 8659 3570 8622 3569 8625
      3567 8624 3566 8625 3544 8684
TIME...MOT...LOC 0612Z 230DEG 46KT 3557 8684

Hawblitzel

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
120 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

TNZ061-075-095-290645-
Bedford TN-Giles TN-Marshall TN-
120 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MARSHALL...NORTHEASTERN
GILES AND SOUTHERN BEDFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 145 AM CDT...

At 120 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Pulaski, moving northeast at 75 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Shelbyville, Lewisburg, Cornersville, Belfast, Frankewing, Raus and
Farmington.

This includes Interstate 65 between mile markers 11 and 32.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3528 8702 3545 8688 3559 8648 3541 8627
      3538 8633 3536 8633 3535 8637 3535 8641
      3532 8642 3533 8646 3536 8649 3535 8653
      3536 8654 3537 8660 3533 8660 3531 8668
      3525 8675 3526 8683 3516 8683 3511 8696
TIME...MOT...LOC 0620Z 230DEG 64KT 3521 8690

Hawblitzel

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
131 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0116 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW LEWISBURG         35.44N  86.79W
03/29/2020                   MARSHALL           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES ON A POWER LINE AS WELL AS POWER LINE DAMAGE NEAR
            CORNERSVILLE RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2000212

SCHAPER