Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 163, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 20, 2020Ector County, Midland County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 20, 2020, 7:39 PM CDT for Ector County, Midland County, Texas. It was in force for 66 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 2020, 7:39 PM CDT (00:39 UTC)
Expired
Jun 20, 2020, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
66 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Ector County, TX, Midland County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 20, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 12 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2020-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2139 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2020-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -16 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2139 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2134 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 20, 6:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 20, 6:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
623 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Thunderstorms ongoing at issuance look to affect MAF within the
first couple of hours of the forecast period, with potential
MVFR/IFR conditions in heavy rain and blowing dust as well as
erratic, gusty winds and lightning. Other terminals do not look to
be impacted by storms, though outflow boundaries may result in
erratic winds between 00-03Z. Outside of storms, VFR conditions
will prevail, with southeasterly winds tonight veering around to
the south/southwest late Sunday morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 228 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020/

DISCUSSION...

An upper level trough is centered over southern Canada and extends
southward into Texas. A dryline is expected to develop across West
Texas this afternoon with very moist air to the east of this
feature. The NAM12 is showing CAPE (Convective Available Potential
Energy) values of 2,000 to 4,000+ across West Texas and across
portions of Lea County in New Mexico. Bulk wind shear values will
get up to 30 to 40 knots across portions of the area. It appears
that the convection to the north of the area this morning left a
boundary in place that could be the focus for thunderstorms
developing this afternoon across the Permian Basin. Thunderstorms
are also expected to develop in/near the Davis Mountains and Lower
Trans Pecos. These storms have the potential to become severe given
the previously mentioned conditions. Temperatures today will be
similar to those yesterday with highs in the 90s and triple digits.

The upper trough axis will move east of the area on Sunday, and the
dryline will be pushed to the far eastern Permian Basin and Lower
Trans Pecos. Storms will continue to be possible across those areas,
and the threat for severe storms will still be present. Temperatures
on Sunday will heat up from today as westerly winds across much of
the area contribute to downslope warming. Similar conditions will be
present for Monday with temperatures heating up into the triple
digits across most of West Texas and southeast New Mexico. It looks
like Heat Advisories will likely be issued for Monday for portions
of the area. A cold front is expected to move into the area Tuesday
morning resulting in highs in the 90s for most of the County Warning
Area (CWA). Rain and storms will be possible along this front.
Rain and storm chances will increase on Wednesday from the
previous day and temperatures will be a little cooler.
Precipitation chances continue into Thursday with temperatures
warming up a little from Wednesday. Temperatures will warm up and
precipitation chances will diminish Friday and next Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     72 102  74 105 /  30  10  10   0
Carlsbad                       66 105  70 108 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         73 100  73 103 /  20  20  20   0
Fort Stockton                  71 102  73 105 /  20  20  10   0
Guadalupe Pass                 66  94  67  97 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          66 102  67 105 /  10   0   0   0
Marfa                          62  97  62 100 /  20  20   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           71 103  73 106 /  20  10  10   0
Odessa                         71 103  73 106 /  20  10   0   0
Wink                           71 106  72 109 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

49/84
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 20, 2:36 AM CDT, 17 hours 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
236 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-210745-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
236 AM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020 /136 AM MDT Sat Jun 20 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Chances of severe weather will exist for west Texas this afternoon.
Large hail and damaging winds will remain the greatest threats.

Elevated fire weather concerns for portions of Southeast New Mexico
and the Guadalupe mountains this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Chances of severe weather will remain for west Texas on Sunday.
Large hail and damaging winds will remain the greatest threats.

High temperatures will reach into the upper 90s and topping the
triple digits on Sunday and Monday areawide. Some heat advisories are
increasingly likely.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 20, 5:28 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
528 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

TXZ060-061-202315-
Ector TX-Winkler TX-
528 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN ECTOR AND SOUTHEASTERN
WINKLER COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

At 528 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles east of Kermit, moving east at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Goldsmith, West Odessa, Notrees and Penwell.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 95 and 104.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3171 10294 3188 10297 3200 10257 3167 10252
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 259DEG 15KT 3181 10288

84
Special weather statement, Jun 20, 5:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
432 PM MDT Sat Jun 20 2020

NMZ034-202315-
Southern Lea County NM-
432 PM MDT Sat Jun 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY UNTIL 515
PM MDT...

At 432 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles southwest of Eunice Airport, or 19 miles northwest of Jal,
moving east at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Eunice.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3219 10351 3236 10355 3247 10314 3214 10312
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 259DEG 15KT 3229 10345

84
Special weather statement, Jun 20, 6:04 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
604 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

TXZ067-075-274-202345-
Pecos TX-Ward TX-Reeves County Plains TX-
604 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL PECOS...EASTERN
REEVES AND SOUTHEASTERN WARD COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

At 603 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles south of Pyote, or 16 miles southwest of Monahans, moving
southeast at 55 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Monahans, Thorntonville, Grandfalls, Royalty, Imperial Reservoir and
Roy Hurd Memorial Airport.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 79 and 83.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3138 10319 3149 10318 3160 10285 3125 10283
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 307DEG 49KT 3142 10308

49
Local storm report, Jun 20, 7:31 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 20, 7:33 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 20, 7:37 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
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    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Ector, Martin, Midland43 min
Jun 20, 7:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFDawson42 min
Jun 20, 7:38 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFEctor3 hr
Jun 20, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Gaines27 min
Jun 20, 8:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFCrane51 min
Jun 20, 9:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFAndrews44 min
Jun 21, 3:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos66 min
Jun 21, 4:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBrewster56 min
Jun 21, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Upton17 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2020Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.