Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Little Rock, AR

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
621 PM CDT Fri May 22 2020

.AVIATION...Updated with a discussion for the 23/00Z TAFs

A BKN line of TSRA has moved Ewrd out of the fcst region, with
some new, isolated TSRA developing along the Wrn I40 corridor.
Thunderstorm activity is expected to increase over Wrn AR Fri
evening with a BKN line of storms that will move E/SE. Nrn
terminals should not be impacted, with IFR CIGs improving to VFR
later Fri night. Additionally, LLWS has been included at BPK
starting 23/08Z through 23/12Z. Cntrl and Srn terminals will see
an increase in TSRA coverage around 23/03Z, with storms moving
E/SE through the night, and clearing all terminals by 23/12Z. SHRA
will linger through 23/15Z with BKN VFR CIGs persisting through
the end of the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 244 PM CDT Fri May 22 2020)
SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Sunday

Persistent swrly flow aloft will remain in place across the region
through the period. No major troughs are expected to transverse
the flow this weekend but a few weak pieces of energy will make
their way across the area providing adequate lift for precip
development.

Surface pattern will be fairly stagnant with ridging over much of
the area and a warm front well to the north. Temps across southern
Arkansas on Saturday may approach 90 F and with Td values in the
upper 60s, heat indices may climb into the lower to mid 90s.

LONG TERM...Sunday Night Through Friday

An upper ridge will be over the southeast U.S. to begin the long
term period with an upper trough over the northern Plains. The upper
trough dips to the south Monday and Tuesday into Texas but the upper
ridge holds strong through the end of the period. Tuesday night, an
upper low closes off over Texas and does not move much due to the
blocking high through the end of the period.

Several short waves will be able to move over Arkansas during the
period keeping unsettled weather over the area. Rain chances will
continue on Monday as a cold front approaches from the west.
However, the front will get held up by the ridge to the east, and
stall in eastern Oklahoma through much of the coming week.
Temperatures will be near normal through the period.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

Aviation...GREEN

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
248 PM CDT Fri May 22 2020

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
248 PM CDT Fri May 22 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will remain possible through the overnight
hours. Widespread severe weather is not expected, but some
thunderstorms may produce gusty winds, hail and locally heavy
rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Showers and storms will be possible virtually every day through
next week with the most widespread activity expected late weekend
into next week. Heavy rainfall and localized flooding will be
possible.

While all storms are accompanied by a lightning threat, some of
the stronger storms may produce locally strong wind gusts and
small hail. A few severe storms are possible, but at this time,
the timing and certainty of any severe threat remains unclear.

With several rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected through
the week, heavy rainfall could allow for rises on area lakes and
rivers.

Your best bet is to continue to monitor the latest forecasts and
outlooks from your National Weather Service as updates will be
made in the coming days.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation could be needed this afternoon and evening over
about the northwest half of Arkansas.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

67

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1024 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0941 PM     HAIL             3 WSW ABBOTT            35.06N  94.24W
05/22/2020  E1.00 INCH       SCOTT              AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL FELL NEAR MANSFIELD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2000341

57

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