Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 26, NWS St. Louis, MO

January 11, 2020Calhoun County, Greene County, Jersey County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jan 11, 2020, 10:45 AM CST for Calhoun County, Greene County, Jersey County, Illinois. It took effect at Jan 12, 2020, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 11, 2020, 10:45 AM CST (16:45 UTC)
In effect from: Jan 12, 2020, 6:00 AM CST
Expired: Jan 16, 2020, 8:33 PM CST
In force: 5 days
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Calhoun County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Illinois River at Hardin (HARI2). The gauge peaked at 26.26 ft at Jan 13, 2020, 2:00 PM CST.

Action stage: 24 ft
Minor stage: 25 ft
Moderate stage: 31 ft
Major stage: 32 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05587060, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

585 
WGUS43 KLSX 111645
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1045 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Illinois...
 

  Illinois River at Hardin

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC013-061-083-122245-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0026.200112T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T1800Z.200116T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1045 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* from Sunday afternoon until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Saturday the stage was 23.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 25.1 feet by Wednesday 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Lowland flooding of 
  unprotected agricultural land begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/12  01/13  01/14  01/15  01/16

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   23.47      24.9   25.0   25.0   25.0   25.1


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

11 follow-up statements

542 
WGUS83 KLSX 120238
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
837 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Illinois...
 
  Illinois River at Hardin

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC013-061-083-130237-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0026.200112T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T1200Z.200113T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
837 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* from Sunday morning until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning
  and crest near 25.2 feet by tomorrow evening.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Lowland flooding of 
  unprotected agricultural land begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/12  01/13  01/14  01/15  01/16

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   24.40      25.0   25.2   25.1   25.0   24.9


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

859 
WGUS83 KLSX 121624
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1024 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Illinois..

  Illinois River at Hardin

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC013-061-083-132223-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T0950Z.200113T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1024 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 26.0 feet after midnight 
  tonight.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Lowland flooding of 
  unprotected agricultural land begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/13  01/14  01/15  01/16  01/17

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   25.43      26.0   25.9   25.5   25.1   25.0


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

583 
WGUS83 KLSX 130138
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
738 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois..

  Illinois River at Hardin

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC013-061-083-140138-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T0950Z.200113T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
738 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* until further notice.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 25.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 26.2 feet by early tomorrow
  afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/13  01/14  01/15  01/16  01/17

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   25.90      26.1   26.0   25.6   25.1   25.0


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

549 
WGUS83 KLSX 131651
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1051 AM CST Mon Jan 13 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Illinois..

  Illinois River at Hardin

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC013-061-083-142251-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T0950Z.200113T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1051 AM CST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Monday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 26.2 feet by this afternoon.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Lowland flooding of 
  unprotected agricultural land begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/14  01/15  01/16  01/17  01/18

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   26.16      26.0   25.5   25.1   25.0   25.2


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

497 
WGUS83 KLSX 140202
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
802 PM CST Mon Jan 13 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Illinois..

  Illinois River at Valley City

  Illinois River at Hardin

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC149-171-150201-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0031.200115T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/VALI2.1.ER.200115T2100Z.200119T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM CST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Valley City
* from Wednesday afternoon until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Monday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 16.1 feet by early Sunday
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...The road to Norbut Fish and Wildlife area is
  flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/14  01/15  01/16  01/17  01/18

Illinois River
  Valley City     14.0   12.69      13.0   13.7   14.5   15.1   15.6


&&


LAT...LON 3977 9067 3977 9053 3952 9052 3952 9064




$$

ILC013-061-083-150201-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T0950Z.200113T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM CST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* until further notice.
* At  7:30 PM Monday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to a stage of 25.4 feet 
  by Wednesday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/14  01/15  01/16  01/17  01/18

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   26.11      26.0   25.4   25.0   25.0   25.1


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

220 
WGUS83 KLSX 141613
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1013 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

 
  Illinois River... 
  
		  at Valley City

		  at Hardin

  
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC149-171-152212-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.200116T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/VALI2.1.ER.200116T1500Z.200120T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Valley City
* from Thursday morning until further notice.
* At  9:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late Thursday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 15.8 feet by Monday morning. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...The road to Norbut Fish and Wildlife area is
  flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/15  01/16  01/17  01/18  01/19

Illinois River
  Valley City     14.0   12.93      13.4   13.9   14.5   14.9   15.4


&&


LAT...LON 3977 9067 3977 9053 3952 9052 3952 9064




$$

ILC013-061-083-152212-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T0950Z.200113T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 25.8 feet by this 
  afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Lowland flooding of 
  unprotected agricultural land begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/15  01/16  01/17  01/18  01/19

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   25.79      25.4   25.0   24.8   24.9   25.0


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

MAPLES

927 
WGUS83 KLSX 150218
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
818 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Illinois...
 
  Illinois River at Valley City

  Illinois River at Hardin

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC149-171-160218-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.200116T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/VALI2.1.ER.200116T1800Z.200121T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
818 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Valley City
* from Thursday afternoon until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Thursday
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 15.8 feet by Monday evening.
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...The road to Norbut Fish and Wildlife area is
  flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/15  01/16  01/17  01/18  01/19

Illinois River
  Valley City     14.0   13.08      13.3   13.9   14.4   14.8   15.3


&&


LAT...LON 3977 9067 3977 9053 3952 9052 3952 9064




$$

ILC013-061-083-160218-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T0950Z.200113T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
818 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to a stage of 24.9 feet 
  by Thursday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/15  01/16  01/17  01/18  01/19

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   25.57      25.4   24.9   24.9   24.9   25.0


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

258 
WGUS83 KLSX 151715
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1115 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2020

...The flood warning continues for the Illinois River in Illinois...

 
                        ...at Valley City
                        ...at Hardin
                          

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC149-171-162315-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.200117T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/VALI2.1.ER.200117T0600Z.200121T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1115 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Valley City
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 15.6 feet by early Tuesday 
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...The road to Norbut Fish and Wildlife area is
  flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/16  01/17  01/18  01/19  01/20

Illinois River
  Valley City     14.0   13.28      13.7   14.1   14.5   14.9   15.3

&&

LAT...LON 3977 9067 3977 9053 3952 9052 3952 9064



$$

ILC013-061-083-162315-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T0950Z.200113T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1115 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to fall to near 25 feet tonight and remain
  near this level for the next few days.  Additional rises may be 
  possible thereafter.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/16  01/17  01/18  01/19  01/20

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   25.18      25.0   24.9   24.9   25.0   25.0

&&

LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       


$$

181 
WGUS83 KLSX 160316
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
915 PM CST Wed Jan 15 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Illinois..

  Illinois River at Valley City

  Illinois River at Hardin

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC149-171-170313-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0031.200117T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/VALI2.1.ER.200117T0600Z.200122T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
915 PM CST Wed Jan 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Valley City
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 15.8 feet by Tuesday evening. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...The road to Norbut Fish and Wildlife area is
  flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/16  01/17  01/18  01/19  01/20

Illinois River
  Valley City     14.0   13.38      13.7   14.1   14.5   14.9   15.3


&&


LAT...LON 3977 9067 3977 9053 3952 9052 3952 9064




$$

ILC013-061-083-170313-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T0950Z.200113T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
915 PM CST Wed Jan 15 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday morning
  and continue to rise to near 25.3 feet by Sunday evening. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Lowland flooding of 
  unprotected agricultural land begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/16  01/17  01/18  01/19  01/20

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   24.88      24.9   24.8   25.0   25.2   25.3


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

254 
WGUS83 KLSX 161644
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1044 AM CST Thu Jan 16 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...
 
  Illinois River at Valley City

  Illinois River at Hardin

  
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC149-171-172244-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.200117T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/VALI2.1.ER.200117T1800Z.200122T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 AM CST Thu Jan 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Valley City
* from Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 15.5 feet by Wednesday 
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...The road to Norbut Fish and Wildlife area is
  flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/17  01/18  01/19  01/20  01/21

Illinois River
  Valley City     14.0   13.52      13.9   14.2   14.5   14.9   15.2


&&


LAT...LON 3977 9067 3977 9053 3952 9052 3952 9064




$$

ILC013-061-083-172244-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T0950Z.200113T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 AM CST Thu Jan 16 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Illinois River at Hardin
* until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Thursday the stage was 24.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning 
  and crest near 25.5 feet by early Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Lowland flooding of 
  unprotected agricultural land begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/17  01/18  01/19  01/20  01/21

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   24.26      24.2   24.4   25.1   25.5   25.5


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

104 
WGUS83 KLSX 170233
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
833 PM CST Thu Jan 16 2020

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Illinois...

 
  Illinois River at 
  
      Hardin
  

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.  


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC013-061-083-170303-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.200112T0950Z.200113T1830Z.200116T0100Z.NO/
833 PM CST Thu Jan 16 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Illinois River at Hardin.
* At 8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage last evening.
* The river is forecast to stay steady over the next 24 hours before
  rising back to near flood stage late Saturday night. Additional
  rises above flood stage are possible. Stay tuned to the latest
  forecast information over the next couple of days.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              6 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     01/17  01/18  01/19  01/20  01/21

Illinois River
  Hardin          25.0   24.02      24.0   24.1   25.3   25.7   25.6


&&


LAT...LON 3952 9064 3952 9052 3898 9048 3891 9054
      3903 9062                       



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 11, 5:37 AM CST, 5 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 5:37 AM CST, 5 hours 8 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
537 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 355 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

Early this morning, an upper longwave TROF continued to reside over
the western CONUS, with southwest flow aloft over our region.  The
core of a strong storm system was over north-central and northeast
Texas crossing the Red River heading into Oklahoma.  At the surface,
a strong cold front has advanced to the far southeastern portions of
the forecast area, from eastern Illinois to southeast Missouri.
Temperatures have dropped fast behind the front into the 20s and
30s, with sub-freezing temps already reaching just west of
Quincy to Columbia, with temperatures still hovering around 60 ahead
of the front.  The radar mosaic shows a solid swath of
precipitation, with heavy rain now shifting more to the southeast of
the forecast area.  Fortunately, where the atmospheric column now
supports freezing rain/drizzle, the precipitation intensity is much
lighter but it has been ongoing in northeast Missouri and now into
portions of central Missouri.

With the flooding now being handled through Warning products, the
Flash Flood Watch has been cancelled.

The focus now turns towards wintry precipitation.  Cold air at the
surface has advanced more quickly than previous guidance was showing
and at this rate, the freezing line is now expected to work through
the STL metro area and southeast MO this afternoon with temperatures
dropping into and then remaining in the 20s for areas north and west
all day.

The main items of the forecast remain the same.  Precipitation
will become more spotty this morning as cloud ice becomes lost
across the forecast area and this will keep much of the
precipitation as rain or freezing rain/drizzle depending on where
the freezing line is at the surface, but through noon, this should
remain to the northwest of the STL metro area.

The core of the strong storm system will approach and then move
through our region from midday through this evening from west to
east, and this will re-introduce cloud ice back into the column and
bring an end to the freezing rain/drizzle and switch precipitation
quickly to a rain vs. snow scheme with snow eventually winning out
as colder air continues to press into the area.  Anticipated SLRs
were kept on the low side with sustained surface winds of 15kts or
higher keeping any snow well settled/drifted and a limited window
for snow to occur.  Despite this, a 2-4" swath of snow is expected
for the Warning area with up to 2" possible in the Advisory area.
The biggest change was a bit more snow for the STL metro area, where
up to an inch is expected in the western suburbs to a dusting or
less in Metro East.  Ice accretion from freezing rain is roughly the
same, with 1 to 2 tenths additional ice in the Warning and up to 1
tenth additional ice in the Advisory area, and no ice expected
elsewhere.

Precipitation is expected to rapidly exit this evening from
southwest to northeast this evening.

Some sun is finally expected for Sunday with seasonable temps, with
maxes in the 30s north of I-70 and around 40 for areas south.

TES

.LONG TERM...  (Sunday Night through Friday)
Issued at 355 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

Above normal temps already return for Monday and continue
through Wednesday before colder air works in for late week.  Another
system will edge our region on Sunday night and could provide a
chance for light snow for areas in northern MO and central IL, and a
better looking system for Friday could provide another snow
opportunity as it tries to couple with an intrusion of colder air.

TES

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Sunday Morning)
Issued at 537 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

IFR conditions are expected to prevail at the TAF sites for much
of the valid period, with only an improvement to MVFR category
later tonight. Freezing drizzle or light freezing rain at KUIN
and KCOU will transition to snow around midday, while rain at the
STL metro sites will transition to snow during the mid to late
afternoon. Snow will reduce visibilities to one mile or less at
times until it tapers off this evening. Gusty north surface winds
will continue into this evening before diminishing and becoming
light and variable late tonight.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL: IFR conditions until late this evening with
rain becoming snow during mid afternoon. Worst visibility
reductions will occur between 22-01z with one mile or less at
times and some minor snow accums.

TES

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight CST tonight for Audrain
     MO-Boone MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Franklin MO-
     Gasconade MO-Lincoln MO-Moniteau MO-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-
     Pike MO-Ralls MO-Warren MO.

     Winter Storm Warning until midnight CST tonight for Knox MO-
     Lewis MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Shelby MO.

IL...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight CST tonight for Brown IL-
     Pike IL.

     Winter Storm Warning until midnight CST tonight for Adams IL.

&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 4:18 AM CST, 6 hours 27 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
418 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-121200-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
418 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Accumulating snow, sleet, and ice are expected across much of the
region through this evening. The highest impacts are expected in
northeast Missouri and a portion of west-central Illinois where a
Warning has been issued. For most of the rest of the area to the
north and west of Saint Louis City, an Advisory has been issued.
Please see the Warning and Advisory products for additional details.

Major flooding is expected to begin on the Kaskaskia River at
Vandalia later today and continue through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Major flooding is expected to continue on the Kaskaskia River at
Vandalia until early Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts in excess of an
inch or any flooding, if observed, to the National Weather
Service. Spotters are also encouraged to report wintry precipitation
type and amounts, if observed, to the National Weather Service.

TES

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 11, 9:47 AM CST, 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
947 AM CST SAT JAN 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SALEM                   38.63N 88.95W
01/11/2020  M3.58 INCH       MARION             IL   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

GKS

Local storm report, Jan 11, 10:04 AM CST, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1004 AM CST SAT JAN 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1003 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 WNW CHERRYVILLE       37.87N 91.36W
01/11/2020  M3.22 INCH       CRAWFORD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EVENT TOTAL THUS FAR. STILL RAINING.

&&

KANOFSKY

Local storm report, Jan 11, 10:22 AM CST, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1022 AM CST SAT JAN 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1022 AM     HEAVY RAIN       JENNINGS                38.72N 90.26W
01/11/2020  M4.50 INCH       ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EVENT TOTAL. RAIN HAS ENDED.

&&

KANOFSKY

Local storm report, Jan 11, 10:24 AM CST, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1024 AM CST SAT JAN 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N LINN                38.52N 91.84W
01/10/2020                   OSAGE              MO   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING CR 310.

&&

Local storm report, Jan 11, 10:25 AM CST, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1025 AM CST SAT JAN 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 N COLUMBIA            39.03N 92.33W
01/11/2020  M1.50 INCH       BOONE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE LAST 24 HOURS.
            LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ALSO REPORTED AT THE
            TIME OF OBSERVATION.

&&

KANOFSKY

Local storm report, Jan 11, 10:35 AM CST, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1035 AM CST SAT JAN 11 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0647 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 S WRIGHT CITY         38.77N 91.03W
01/10/2020                   WARREN             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE LIMBS DOWN IN INNSBROOK.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 10, 6:35 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LSX	Calhoun, Pike	40 min
Jan 10, 7:09 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Pike	51 min
Jan 10, 9:31 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	LSX	Calhoun, Greene, Jersey	15 hr
Jan 10, 10:39 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	LSX	Jersey, Macoupin, Montgomery	15 hr
Jan 10, 10:51 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	LSX	Fayette, Marion	15 hr
Jan 11, 2:28 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	LSX	Monroe, Randolph	11 hr
Jan 11, 8:29 AM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Jersey	4 days
Jan 11, 12:02 PM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Madison	5 days
Jan 11, 12:02 PM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Saint Clair	4 days
Jan 11, 12:29 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	LSX	Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Madison, Monroe	23 hr
Jan 11, 1:43 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	LSX	Bond, Clinton, Madison, Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair and 1 more	22 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2020 Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.