Severe Thunderstorm Warning 230, NWS North Platte, NE

235 
WWUS53 KLBF 140148
SVSLBF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
848 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

NEC063-085-111-140215-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0230.000000T0000Z-200714T0215Z/
Frontier NE-Lincoln NE-Hayes NE-
848 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR WESTERN FRONTIER...SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN AND EASTERN HAYES
COUNTIES...

At 848 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 7 miles southwest of Maxwell to 7 miles east of
Wellfleet to 13 miles southwest of Curtis, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Curtis, Hayes Center, Brady, Wellfleet, Moorefield, Stockville, Lake
Maloney State Recreation Area, Maywood, Quick, Cottonwood Canyon
State Wildlife Management Area, Hansen Memorial Reserve State
Wildlife Management Area, Jeffrey Canyon State Wildlife Management
Area, Willow View Campground, Freedom, Hayes Center State Wildlife
Management Area, Marengo, Bluegill Haven Campground, Red Willow
Reservoir State Recreation Area, Somerset and Dancing Leaf Earth
Lodge.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 80 in Nebraska between mile markers 193 and 202.
 Highway 83 between mile markers 27 and 76.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4105 10083 4104 10030 4035 10037 4035 10104
      4071 10104
TIME...MOT...LOC 0148Z 254DEG 42KT 4100 10062 4076 10059 4052 10072 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Jurgensen

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
622 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 240 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

High cloudiness moving across western Nebraska, with isolated storms
beginning to develop to our west. A weak frontal boundary was
analyzed from near Valentine through Mullen then back southwest
through Sidney and then west to near Lander, WY. A dryline extended
south from near Merriman through Ogallala and Wray, CO. Rich
dewpoints from 65 to 70 east of this dryline.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 240 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

An organized severe weather event expected this evening. A
disturbance currently moving across sctrl WY and nctrl CO will
move eastward this evening within fairly strong 500mb winds near
45KT and 0-6km shear from 40-50KT. A storms initiate to our west
this afternoon, steep boundary-layer lapse rates and intense
vertical mixing will produce areas of DCAPE exceeding 1500 J/kg. A
surface dryline from near Ogallala to Mullen will separate MLCAPE
increasing from around 1000-1500 J/kg to the west and much higher
from 2000- 4000 J/kg to the east.

After initial discrete to semi-discrete storm develop early
evening, convection should organize upscale in association with
developing outflows. One or more clusters of resulting cold-pool-
driven thunderstorm cluster is likely and should accelerate
eastward into richer low-level moisture. as has been the case with
other supercells or thunderstorm clusters this past week, an
organized severe wind threat is expected mid to late evening
within surging segments and bowing clusters supportive of 80+ mph
gusts. Significant large hail 2"+ is also possible, especially
with discrete storms initially. An isolated tornado is also
possible within the moisture rich environment across the south
and east.

The most intense storms should quickly move east of the area by 06Z
with chances for showers and thunderstorms overnight behind an
advancing cold front. Showers chances linger Tuesday morning mainly
north of Highway 2. Much cooler behind the front with considerable
stratus and stratocumulus persisting into the afternoon. HIghs were
lowered a few degrees from near 70 northeast to near 75 southwest
with a breezy northeast wind 15 to 25 mph.

Chances for showers and thunderstorms return Tuesday night as an
h500 trough moves into the area. Given the post frontal airmass,
showers and thunderstorms will be elevated and only general
thunderstorms are predicted.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 240 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

Chances for showers Wednesday morning as a mid-level disturbance
moves to the southeast of the area. Looks dry in the afternoon with
increased sunshine and warming into the upper 70s and lower 80s.

A warm front lifts north Wednesday night as a weak disturbance moves
eastward overnight. Isolated thunderstorms are possible with the
best chances over Cherry County. No strong storms are expected as
the better wind shear and instability will be across eastern CO
and Kansas.

A subtropical ridge will remain centered across the Southern Plains
into the sern U.S. this week. The models are in very good agreement
warming 850mb temperatures across wrn and ncntl Nebraska to
around 30C by Friday and Saturday followed by a cooldown Sunday
and Monday. The GFS and ECM show this ridge tapping subtropical
moisture north into Nebraska by this weekend.

The very warm temperatures aloft are generating a dry forecast
Friday and Saturday with highs in the 90s to near 100. Thunderstorm
chances Thursday associated with warm air advection, steepening
lapse rates and a disturbance aloft. a few of the storms could be
strong. Thunderstorm chances return Sunday and Monday associated
with deepening moisture and a weakening cap. Given the subtropical
moisture increase shown by the ECM and GFS, thunderstorms could
contain heavy rainfall Sunday into Monday. A front is forecast to
drop south on Sunday, and given the high instability, isolated
strong or severe storm development would still be possible.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to impact both sites tonight.
KLBF has a better chance to see thunderstorms, possibly severe, with
large hail and damaging winds. Both sites will likely see heavy
rainfall reducing visibilities. Overcast skies continue into Tuesday
with rain showers expected on and off throughout the day. Severe
weather is not anticipated on Tuesday.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Roberg
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Kulik

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
400 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-142100-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
400 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020 /300 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

The combination of intense heating and a relatively moist airmass
will provide the fuel needed for severe thunderstorms later this
afternoon and evening. A cold front and a surface trough will
provide the focus with storm development to the west. The storms
look to move east off the higher terrain into southwest and west
central Nebraska late this afternoon. The activity is expected to
be severe with very large hail, heavy rainfall and extreme wind
gusts being the primary threats. Though the potential is low, an
isolated brief tornado cannot be ruled out. The thunderstorms are
expected to track east, possibly into north central Nebraska
late this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

Daily thunderstorm chances exist for Tuesday through Sunday. At
this time the threat for severe weather through this timeframe is
low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS.

&&

Get your weather, hydrological, and climate information at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
447 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020

NEZ004-022-023-094-132330-
Sheridan NE-Grant NE-Western Cherry NE-Garden NE-
447 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHERRY...
NORTHWESTERN GRANT...NORTHERN GARDEN AND SOUTHEASTERN SHERIDAN
COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM MDT...

At 446 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles northwest of Crescent Lake National Wildlife Refuge, or 24
miles southeast of Alliance, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ellsworth and Ashby.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 250 near mile marker 1.
 Highway 2 between mile markers 110 and 138.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MDT for
the Panhandle of, north central and west central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4175 10255 4195 10266 4223 10206 4185 10177
TIME...MOT...LOC 2246Z 238DEG 30KT 4188 10250

Jacobs

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
631 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

NEZ035-036-057-059-140015-
Arthur NE-McPherson NE-Lincoln NE-Keith NE-
631 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ARTHUR...
NORTHEASTERN KEITH...NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN AND SOUTHERN MCPHERSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT/615 PM MDT/...

At 631 PM CDT/531 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 18 miles north of Sarben, or 19 miles southwest of
Tryon, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Tryon, Schnick Lake and Diamond Bar Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 92 between mile markers 187 and 206, and near mile marker
208.
 Highway 97 between mile markers 24 and 32.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT/1100
PM MDT/ for southwestern and west central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4127 10145 4148 10140 4165 10111 4150 10084
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 242DEG 26KT 4144 10129

Roberg

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
654 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             12 ESE BUCKTAIL LAKE    41.42N 101.23W
07/13/2020  E1.00 INCH       MCPHERSON          NE   PUBLIC

&&

SMELTZER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
758 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0729 PM     TSTM WND GST     WSW ELSIE               40.85N 101.40W
07/13/2020  M73 MPH          PERKINS            NE   MESONET

            HOME WEATHER STATION PWS-KNEELSIE2

&&

NMJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
803 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

NEZ059-140145-
Lincoln NE-
803 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL 845
PM CDT...

At 802 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 10 miles north of North Platte to near Hershey
to near Sutherland Reservoir State Recreation Area. Movement was
southeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
North Platte, Sutherland, Hershey, Sutherland Reservoir State
Recreation Area, Lake Maloney State Recreation Area, North Platte
Airport, Keith, Coker, O'Fallons and Birdwood.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 97 between mile markers 1 and 13.
 Interstate 80 in Nebraska between mile markers 152 and 188.
 Highway 83 between mile markers 76 and 100.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
southwestern Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4130 10038 4103 10059 4104 10124 4124 10126
      4129 10106 4138 10080
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 304DEG 11KT 4127 10082 4117 10093 4112 10116

Buttler

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
812 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TSTM WND GST     NNW GRAINTON            40.82N 101.29W
07/13/2020  E70 MPH          PERKINS            NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMELTZER