Alert archive / Florida / Coastal Flood Statements in 2020

Coastal Flood Statement 22, NWS Key West, FL

November 9, 2020Monroe County, Florida

NWS Key West, FL issued this coastal flood statement at Nov 9, 2020, 8:00 AM EST for Monroe County, Florida. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 9, 2020, 8:00 AM EST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 13, 2020, 5:00 PM EST
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Key West, FL

County Monroe County, FL

The radar

The Miami radar (KAMX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 12:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2020-11-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 174 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2020-11-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
174 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
723 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

648 
WHUS42 KKEY 091300
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
800 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

FLZ077-078-100400-
/O.CAN.KKEY.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-201109T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KKEY.CF.S.0022.201109T1300Z-201110T0400Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
800 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding will return during the next high
  tide.

* WHERE...Middle and Lower Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Water levels have receded at the Key West and Vaca Key 
  tide stations. The next round of high tides will be after 
  midnight. 

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and
  lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$

FLZ076-100400-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-201110T0400Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
800 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...Major saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Bayside communities of Key Largo.

* WHEN...In effect until further notice. Water levels will be very
  slow to recede across the Upper Keys.  

* IMPACTS...Some roads may be inundated with saltwater. Many low 
  lying lots will be inundated. Storm drains will overflow, and 
  many seawalls and docks will be overtopped.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ramps near Gilbert Resort are under
  water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through 
water of unknown depth.

&&

$$

CLR
12 follow-up statements
323 
WHUS42 KKEY 091901
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
201 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

FLZ076-100400-
/O.CAN.KKEY.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-201110T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KKEY.CF.Y.0006.201109T1901Z-201110T0400Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
201 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...In effect.

* IMPACTS...Saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and lots
  is ongoing. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls 
  and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less clearance 
  under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that persistent 
  puddles around the times of high tide are almost certain to 
  contain a mix of saltwater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Water levels will recede very slowly 
  within the Bayside communities of Key Largo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. 

&&

$$

FLZ077-078-100400-
/O.CON.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201110T0400Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
201 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding will return during the next 
  high tide.

* WHERE...Middle and Lower Florida Keys.

* WHEN...The next round of high tides will be after midnight.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and
  lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$

CLR
226 
WHUS42 KKEY 100351
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
1051 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

FLZ076-101600-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-201110T1600Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
1051 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...Saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...In Effect.

* IMPACTS...Saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and lots 
  is ongoing. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls 
  and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Water levels will recede very slowly 
  within the Bayside communities of Key Largo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth.

&&

$$

FLZ077-078-101600-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201110T1600Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
1051 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding will return during the next 
  high tide.

* WHERE...Middle and Lower Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Through the high tide cycle on Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets 
  and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some 
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Minor saltwater flooding is expected around
  the time of high tide on Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$
786 
WHUS42 KKEY 100804
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
304 AM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

FLZ076-101600-
/O.CON.KKEY.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-201110T1600Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
304 AM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...Saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...In Effect.

* IMPACTS...Saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and lots 
  is ongoing. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls 
  and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Water levels will recede very slowly 
  within the Bayside communities of Key Largo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth.

&&

$$

FLZ077-078-101600-
/O.CON.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201110T1600Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
304 AM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding will return during the next 
  high tide.

* WHERE...Middle and Lower Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Through the high tide cycle on Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets 
  and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some 
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Minor saltwater flooding is expected around
  the time of high tide this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$
560 
WHUS42 KKEY 101419
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
919 AM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

FLZ076-110400-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-201111T0400Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
919 AM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...Saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...In effect.

* IMPACTS...Saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and lots 
  is ongoing. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls 
  and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Water levels will recede very slowly 
  within the Bayside communities of Key Largo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. 

&&

$$

FLZ077-078-110400-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201111T0400Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
919 AM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding will return during the next 
  high tide.

* WHERE...Middle and Lower Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Through the next high tide cycle on Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and
  lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$

CLR
522 
WHUS42 KKEY 110323
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
1023 PM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

FLZ076-111130-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-201111T1400Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
1023 PM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...Saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...In effect.

* IMPACTS...Saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and lots 
  is ongoing. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls 
  and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Water levels will recede very slowly 
  within the Bayside communities of Key Largo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

$$

FLZ077-078-111130-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201111T1400Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
1023 PM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding will return during the next 
  high tide.

* WHERE...Middle and Lower Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Through the next high tide cycle on Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets 
  and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some 
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$
300 
WHUS42 KKEY 110901
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
401 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

FLZ076-111600-
/O.CAN.KKEY.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-201111T1400Z/
/O.EXB.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201111T1600Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
401 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Through this morning.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets 
  and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some 
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Minor saltwater flooding will continue,
  with some relief at low tide. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$

FLZ077-078-111600-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201111T1600Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
401 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Middle and Lower Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Through the high tide cycle this morning.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets 
  and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some 
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Minor saltwater flooding is expected around
  the time of high tide this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$

WLC
962 
WHUS42 KKEY 111542
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
1042 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

FLZ076>078-112200-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201111T2200Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
1042 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets 
  and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some 
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Minor saltwater flooding is expected 
  around the time of high tide this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$
362 
WHUS42 KKEY 112156
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
456 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

FLZ077-078-112300-
/O.CAN.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201111T2200Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
456 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding has ended.

* WHERE...Middle and Lower Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Water levels have receded at the Key West and Vaca Key
  tide stations.


$$

FLZ076-121600-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201112T1600Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
456 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...In effect.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets 
  and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some 
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$
219 
WHUS42 KKEY 120318
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
1018 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

FLZ076-121600-
/O.CON.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201112T1600Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
1018 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...In effect.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets 
  and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some 
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$
981 
WHUS42 KKEY 121459
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
Issued by National Weather Service Miami FL
959 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

FLZ076-130600-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201113T0600Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
959 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Through at least late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets 
  and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some 
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$
247 
WHUS42 KKEY 122045
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
Issued by National Weather Service Miami FL
345 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

FLZ076-130445-
/O.CON.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201113T0600Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
345 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...Through at least late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and
  lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$
804 
WHUS42 KKEY 130327
CFWKEY

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Key West FL
1027 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

FLZ076-132200-
/O.EXT.KKEY.CF.S.0022.000000T0000Z-201113T2200Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
1027 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding.

* WHERE...Upper Florida Keys.

* WHEN...In effect.

* IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets 
  and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some 
  seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less 
  clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that 
  persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost 
  certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Key West, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at Nov 9, 5:21 AM EST, 2 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 9, 5:21 AM EST, 2 hours 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
521 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

.CURRENTLY...
Tropical Storm Eta made landfall at Lower Matecumbe
Key around 11 pm last evening. Since then, it has moved to the
west- northwest overnight and is now centered about 40 miles north
or north- northwest of Key West. The Upper Keys got a thrashing,
with the peak measured wind gust of 71 mph occurring at Carysfort
Reef Light at 938 pm. It is safe to say that Key Largo and all of
the Upper Keys got solid tropical storm conditions. In contrast,
the Lower Keys dodged a bullet with the rain and wind, thanks to
being on the weaker left side of the tropical storm. The Lower
Keys have merely seen a few TS-force wind gusts at most.

We recently changed the Hurricane Warnings to Tropical Storm
Warnings. No hurricane conditions have been observed over the
Keys, and the movement of Eta away from the Keys during the
upcoming day eliminates any future possibility of hurricane
conditions. Nonetheless, Eta has finally attained a small cluster
of deep convection near its center overnight, and the NHC forecast
calls for Eta to slowly strengthen as it moves away from the Keys.
Even though TS conditions are not being observed at this moment
over most of the island chain, the prospect for some strengthening
supports the notion of stepping back to a Tropical Storm Warning
for the entire forecast domain. Through the day ahead, we will be
able to start trimming the TS Warning back from east to west

Will also step back from the Storm Surge Warning, which is meant
to accompany 3+ feet of surge. Instead, the three main tide gages
that we use have observed tidal anomalies of 1-2 feet overnight.
Have therefore changed over to a Coastal Flood Warning. The tide
gages have observed tide levels that are similar to some of this
year's worst king tide episodes.

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Wednesday)
Tropical Storm Eta will move west and then southwest tonight. By
the time its center gets about 100-150 miles west-southwest of the
Dry Tortugas, it will sit stationary or move slowly through at
least Wednesday morning. During the time, the Keys will remain in
breezy, confluent southeast flow, and a tail-like feature could
extend off Eta toward the Keys. Against the backdrop of a very
moist air mass, will carry 50-70 percent rain chances.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Later Wednesday into this weekend, Eta is forecast to slowly move
off to the N or NNE through the eastern Gulf while weakening a
little. In its wake, weak high pressure will nose in from the
Atlantic across the FL Peninsula. A little boundary layer drying
is forecast, but the mid-level drying will bring a significant
drop in PW values from Thu night through Saturday. PW values will
start this transition near record moist values for this time of
year. PW values will finish the transition slightly below the
climatological normal. So mid-level drying and the development of
weak high pressure over Florida will lessen convective coverage,
while also eliminating any small threat of thunder. By next
weekend, we will be left with much more common isolated coverage
for weak and low-topped showers.

&&

.MARINE...
Tropical Storm Eta will head west through out deep Gulf waters
this morning. The Pulley Ridge buoy in the southeast Gulf is
currently observing 12-foot seas northwest of Eta's center. As Eta
pulls westward away from the waters this afternoon and tonight,
winds and seas will improve. The Hurricane Warning has been
cancelled and replaced with a Tropical Storm Warning. Even that
will get trimmed back from east to west this afternoon and
tonight.

Eta will turn up stationary or meander slowly over from tonight
through early Wednesday about 100-150 miles west of the Dry
Tortugas. This proximity is what continues to prompt use of the
tropical expressions of uncertainty through Wednesday over our
western waters.

From synopsis, at 4 am EST, the center of Tropical Storm Eta was
about 50 miles north-northwest of Key West. Eta was moving to the
west-northwest at 13 mph. The center will pass north of the Dry
Tortugas this morning, then slow down and meander about 100 to 150
miles west of the Dry Tortugas from tonight through at least
Wednesday morning. This will support fresh to strong southeast
breezes over Keys waters. Eta is forecast to move north then
northeast through the eastern Gulf late this week. In its wake,
weak high pressure will nose in across the Florida Peninsula
around Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...
Tropical Storm Eta is located northwest of Key West and continues to
move away from the island chain. However, outer rainbands will
continue to affect the terminals, producing periods of heavy rain
and gusty winds. The timing of the rainbands is uncertain and
frequent TEMPOs and amendments can be expected. The passing squalls
will cause IFR vis and MVFR cigs, occasionally dropping to IFR cigs.
Winds S-SE at 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 to 30 knots,
occasionally higher during stronger cells.

&&

.CLIMATE...
On this date in 2015, the daily record warm low temperature of
81F was recorded at Keys West. This is also the warmest low
temperature ever recorded in November.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  82  78  85  78 / + 90 70 50
Marathon  82  78  84  78 / + 90 70 60

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Tropical Storm Warning for FLZ076>078.

     Coastal Flood Warning for FLZ076>078.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075.

&&

Event Coordinator...Jacobson
Public/Marine/Fire...Haner
Aviation/Nowcasts....SDR/WLC
Data Acquisition.....DR

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Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 9, 4:31 AM EST, 3 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Key West FL
431 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-101100-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out
and beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
431 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Florida Keys and
adjacent coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Tropical Storm Eta is is forecast to move away from the Florida
Keys and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico today and tonight.

Some impacts from Eta will linger across the Florida Keys today,
but will gradually decrease as Eta moves farther away from the
area. Remaining impacts will include coastal flooding as well as
possible tropical storm force winds, occurring mainly in gusts
with passing showers or squalls. Also, locally heavy rainfall will
be possible today, and an isolated tornado will remain possible
this morning.

Water levels have risen at some locations across the Keys during the
night due to strong winds associated with Eta. Coastal flooding is
ongoing in both the bayside and oceanside of the Upper Keys, and is
likely this morning across bayside portions of the Lower Keys as well.
Water levels will range up to 2 feet above the recent high tides.
Coastal flooding will continue through the high tide cycle this
morning, then should gradually decrease during the midday and afternoon
hours. Due to the movement of Eta away from the Keys, the Storm Surge
Warning has been cancelled and replaced with a Coastal Flood Warning.

Tropical storm force winds of 40 to 50 mph will remain possible across
the Keys today, mainly in gusts associated with showers and squalls.

Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches will be possible across
the Keys during the next few days. This may aggravate saltwater
flooding today, and also cause minor flooding in areas not impacted by
saltwater inundation.

Isolated tornadoes will be possible as Eta moves away from the Keys
this morning.

Once Tropical Storm Eta moves farther westward into the Gulf of
Mexico later today or this evening, Small Craft Advisories will be
needed for all of the Keys coastal waters to replace the current
Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Tropical Storm Eta is forecast to intensify into a hurricane and
move slowly northward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico from
Tuesday through Friday. This will maintain fresh to strong
southerly breezes and continued large seas across the Keys
coastal waters. Small Craft Advisories will likely be needed from
Tuesday through at least Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 9, 2:39 AM EST, 5 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
239 AM EST MON NOV 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1216 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY       24.85N 80.62W
11/09/2020  M54.00 MPH       GMZ042             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 47 KNOTS, OR 54 MPH, WAS OBSERVED BY THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR REEF LIGHT AT
            1216 AM EST.

1231 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 14 NW KEY WEST          24.72N 81.92W
11/09/2020  M40.00 MPH       GMZ033             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 35 KNOTS, OR 40 MPH, WAS OBSERVED BY THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT SMITH SHOAL LIGHT AT 1231
            AM EST.

1233 AM     TROPICAL STORM   11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/09/2020                   GMZ052             FL   MESONET

            THE FINAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE SUSTAINED WIND OF 35
            KNOTS, OR 40 MPH, IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL STORM ETA
            WAS OBSERVED AT THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT
            CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT BEGINNING AT 1233 AM EST.

1236 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY       24.85N 80.62W
11/09/2020  M50.00 MPH       GMZ042             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 44 KNOTS, OR 50 MPH, WAS OBSERVED BY THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR REEF LIGHT AT
            1236 AM EST.

1248 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/09/2020  M47.00 MPH       GMZ052             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 41 KNOTS, OR 47 MPH, WAS OBSERVED AT THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT AT
            1248 AM EST.

1251 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 14 NW KEY WEST          24.72N 81.92W
11/09/2020  M39.00 MPH       GMZ033             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 34 KNOTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS OBSERVED AT THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT SMITH SHOAL LIGHT AT 1251
            AM EST.

1258 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/09/2020  M45.00 MPH       GMZ052             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 39 KNOTS, OR 45 MPH, WAS OBSERVED BY THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT AT
            1258 AM EST.

0126 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY       24.85N 80.62W
11/09/2020  M45.00 MPH       GMZ042             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 39 KNOTS, OR 45 MPH, WAS OBSERVED AT THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR REEF LIGHT AT
            0126 AM EST.

0126 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 14 NW KEY WEST          24.72N 81.92W
11/09/2020  M41.00 MPH       GMZ033             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 36 KNOTS, OR 41 MPH, WAS OBSERVED AT THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT SMITH SHOAL LIGHT AT 0126
            AM EST.

0156 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY       24.85N 80.62W
11/09/2020  M44.00 MPH       GMZ042             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 38 KNOTS, OR 44 MPH, WAS OBSERVED AT THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR REEF LIGHT AT
            0156 AM EST.

0211 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY       24.85N 80.62W
11/09/2020  M41.00 MPH       GMZ042             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 36 KNOTS, OR 41 MPH, WAS OBSERVED AT THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR REEF LIGHT AT
            0211 AM EST.

0213 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/09/2020  M39.00 MPH       GMZ052             FL   MESONET

            A WIND GUST OF 34 KNOTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS OBSERVED AT THE
            WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT AT
            0213 AM EST.

&&

WILLIAMS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Key West, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 9, 4:05 AM ESTCoastal Flood WarningKEYMonroe10 hr
Nov 9, 10:14 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryKEY59 hr
Nov 9, 2:01 PM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryKEYMonroe38 hr
Nov 9, 3:19 PM ESTSpecial Marine WarningKEY56 min
Nov 9, 4:10 PM ESTSpecial Marine WarningKEY65 min

Nearby

Coastal Flood Statements in Florida, 2020Every coastal flood statement in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.