Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS Northern Indiana

200 
WWUS53 KIWX 102142
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
542 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

INC091-099-141-149-MIC021-027-102230-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-200810T2230Z/
St. Joseph IN-Starke IN-Marshall IN-La Porte IN-Cass MI-Berrien MI-
542 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM
EDT/530 PM CDT/ FOR ST. JOSEPH...STARKE...MARSHALL...LA PORTE...
WESTERN CASS AND BERRIEN COUNTIES...

At 541 PM EDT/441 PM CDT/, severe thunderstorms were located along a
line extending from 9 miles northwest of New Buffalo to near
Westville to Wanatah to near Dunns Bridge, moving east at 60 mph.

These are very dangerous storms.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect 
         considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. 
         Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

These severe storms will be near...
  Trail Creek around 545 PM EDT.
  New Buffalo and Kingsford Heights around 550 PM EDT.
  La Porte, Bridgman, North Judson, Shorewood-Tower Hills-Harbert 
  and Shorewood-Tower Hill around 555 PM EDT.
  Knox, Stevensville and Hamlet around 600 PM EDT.
  Buchanan, Walkerton, New Carlisle and Koontz Lake around 605 PM 
  EDT.
  Plymouth, North Liberty and Berrien Springs around 610 PM EDT.
  South Bend, Niles and Culver around 615 PM EDT.
  Bremen, Georgetown, Gulivoire Park, Lakeville and Roseland around 
  620 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include Dewey
Lake, Lomax, Waterford, Michiana Shores, Harbert, Bertrand, Fish
Lake, Brems, Crumstown and Tyner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind
speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are
especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be
overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the
lowest floor of a building. These storms have the potential to cause
serious injury and significant property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4207 8622 4207 8605 4117 8607 4119 8693
      4171 8693 4173 8691 4175 8693 4183 8678
      4192 8666 4212 8654 4212 8649 4224 8636
      4224 8622
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 267DEG 50KT 4191 8685 4161 8695 4141 8688 4119
8701

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...80MPH
 
$$

Brown

065 
WWUS53 KIWX 102211
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
611 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

INC091-099-141-149-MIC021-027-102230-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-200810T2230Z/
St. Joseph IN-Starke IN-Marshall IN-La Porte IN-Cass MI-Berrien MI-
611 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM
EDT/530 PM CDT/ FOR ST. JOSEPH...STARKE...MARSHALL...LA PORTE...
WESTERN CASS AND BERRIEN COUNTIES...

At 610 PM EDT/510 PM CDT/, severe thunderstorms were located along a
line extending from Berrien Springs to 6 miles southeast of New
Carlisle to 6 miles northwest of Plymouth to near Culver, moving east
at 60 mph.

These are very dangerous storms.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters quarter sized hail and tree 
         branches down in Baroda, Michigan.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect 
         considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. 
         Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

These severe storms will be near...
  South Bend and Plymouth around 615 PM EDT.
  Niles, Gulivoire Park, Lakeville and Roseland around 620 PM EDT.
  Mishawaka, Dowagiac, Bremen and Argos around 625 PM EDT.
  Osceola and Bourbon around 630 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include Dewey
Lake, Lomax, Waterford, Michiana Shores, Harbert, Bertrand, Fish
Lake, Brems, Crumstown and Tyner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind
speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are
especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be
overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the
lowest floor of a building. These storms have the potential to cause
serious injury and significant property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4207 8622 4207 8605 4117 8607 4119 8693
      4171 8693 4173 8691 4175 8693 4183 8678
      4192 8666 4212 8654 4212 8649 4224 8636
      4224 8622
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 270DEG 50KT 4193 8633 4163 8643 4143 8636 4121
8649

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...80MPH
 
$$

Brown

468 
WWUS53 KIWX 102219
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
619 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

INC091-099-141-149-MIC021-027-102230-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-200810T2230Z/
St. Joseph IN-Starke IN-Marshall IN-La Porte IN-Cass MI-Berrien MI-
619 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM
EDT/530 PM CDT/ FOR ST. JOSEPH...STARKE...MARSHALL...EASTERN LA
PORTE...WESTERN CASS AND BERRIEN COUNTIES...

At 618 PM EDT/518 PM CDT/, severe thunderstorms were located along a
line extending from near Dowagiac to near Gulivoire Park to near
Bremen to near Culver, moving east at 60 mph.

These are very dangerous storms.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters quarter sized hail and tree 
         branches down in Baroda, Michigan.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect 
         considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. 
         Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

These severe storms will be near...
  Dowagiac around 625 PM EDT.
  Osceola and Bourbon around 630 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include Dewey
Lake, Harbert, Bertrand, Fish Lake, Brems, Crumstown, Tyner,
Millburg, Hibbard and Tippecanoe.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind
speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are
especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be
overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the
lowest floor of a building. These storms have the potential to cause
serious injury and significant property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4207 8622 4207 8605 4117 8607 4119 8681
      4147 8671 4192 8666 4212 8654 4212 8649
      4224 8636 4224 8622
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 267DEG 50KT 4194 8620 4164 8630 4144 8623 4122
8636

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...80MPH
 
$$

Brown

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
250 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 248 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

A destructive line of severe thunderstorms with widespread damaging
winds will shift across the area late afternoon and evening before
diminishing overnight. Dry and warm weather will follow into next
weekend before a chance of showers and thunderstorms returns to the
area.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight)
Issued at 248 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

Severe MCS over ern IA attm will blast ewd into wrn zones toward
21Z and into wrn OH by 00Z. Intense wake low seen post squall line
is contributing to extreme sfc gusts within the full extent of this
line segment. Expect continued organization along with some
expansion of this squall line as it carries east through aftn in
response to very unstable/moist downstream airmass. Noted
substantial and growing cold pool supports widespread sig wind gusts
through most of MI/IN portion of the CWA and perhaps extending
further through wrn OH. Ewd bending warm advection wing bears
watching too with at least some isolated pre-squall line svr storm
threat as well.

Otherwise in wake of this intense sys large scale convective
overturning should placate any additional substantial development
overnight and will just carry an isolated mention beyond mid
evening. Exception will be along swrn flank of cold pool bubble
where elevated isentropic lift may yield additional storms. For now
believe that will setup just south over nrn portion of IND CWA and
will amend later as needed.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 248 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

In wake of short term storms this evening little to discuss as sfc
ridging builds across the lakes and pushes active frontal zone south
of the OH river. Not surprising 12Z med range guidance has abandoned
any potential precipitation locally until next weekend at the
earliest. Otherwise warm temps to persist within neutral thermal
advective pattern.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 100 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

Ongoing convection in Iowa is expected to propagate into the area
this evening. Latest CAMS output has arrival at KSBN 22-23Z and KFWA
00-01Z. In addition to MVFR cigs/vsbys with TSRA will also include
mention of wind gust potential...especially at KSBN.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Lakeshore Flood Warning from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT
     Tuesday for INZ003.

     Beach Hazards Statement from 7 PM CDT this evening through
     Tuesday morning for INZ003.

MI...Lakeshore Flood Warning from 8 PM this evening to 11 AM EDT
     Tuesday for MIZ077.

     Beach Hazards Statement from 8 PM EDT this evening through
     Tuesday morning for MIZ077.

OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...T
UPDATE...T
SHORT TERM...T
LONG TERM...T
AVIATION...JAL

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
305 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ078>081-111915-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Cass MI-
St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-
305 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020 /205 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
southwest Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

...Destructive wind threat increasing across northern Indiana and
southwestern Lower Michigan late this afternoon into this evening...

A line of severe thunderstorms, with a history of wind gusts between
70 and 100 mph, will race east across northern Illinois this
afternoon, reaching northwestern Indiana and far southwestern Lower
Michigan by 5 PM EDT. The line will then continue racing east at 60
to 70 mph across the remainder of northern Indiana and far southern
Lower Michigan. While winds will pose the greatest risk, an isolated
tornado will be possible.

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms could also develop ahead of
the line.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There a chances for thunderstorms Friday through Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed.

OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-111915-
Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
305 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

...Threat for damaging winds increasing across northwestern Ohio...

A line of severe thunderstorms is expected to race east across
northern Indiana during the late afternoon and early evening hours,
reaching northwestern Ohio after 7 pm EDT. Damaging wind gusts in
excess of 70 mph with isolated high gusts, will be possible. Strong
to severe thunderstorms could also develop ahead of the line.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There a chances for thunderstorms Friday through Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed.

LMZ043-046-MIZ077-111915-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
Berrien-
305 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Michigan and the
nearshore waters of southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

...Dangerous line of thunderstorms to cause impacts across southeastern
Lake Michigan and shores of Berrien county late this afternoon into
this evening...

A line of severe thunderstorms, with a history of wind gusts between
70 and 100 mph, will race east across northern Illinois this
afternoon, and southern Lake Michigan, reaching southeastern Lake
Michigan by 5 pm EDT. These storms will n

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1142 AM EDT MON AUG 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0243 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW ROSELAND           41.75N 86.31W
08/10/2020                   ST. JOSEPH         IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HEALTHY LOOKING TREE PARTIALLY SNAPPED. VIA
            TWITTER. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

BROWN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
312 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

INZ003>005-012>016-020-022>024-MIZ077-078-102200-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-
Kosciusko-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Berrien-Cass MI-
Including the cities of Michigan City, La Porte, South Bend,
Mishawaka, New Carlisle, Walkerton, Elkhart, Goshen, Nappanee,
Knox, North Judson, Bass Lake, Winamac, Francesville,
Medaryville, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver, Rochester, Akron, Warsaw,
Winona Lake, Syracuse, Mentone, Monticello, Monon, Brookston,
Logansport, Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash,
North Manchester, Niles, Benton Harbor, St. Joseph, Fair Plain,
Benton Heights, Buchanan, Paw Paw Lake, Dowagiac, Cassopolis,
and Marcellus
312 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020 /212 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020/

...DESTRUCTIVE LINE OF STORMS ARRIVING LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

A line of storms with a history of producing wind gusts between 70
and 100 mph is tracking through northwest Illinois. This line
will move into northwest Indiana and southwest Lower Michigan
near 5 PM EDT.

Secure outdoor items. Ensure you can receive watches and
warnings. If a warning is issued, seek shelter in a sturdy
building.

Brown