Alert archive / Ohio / Wind Advisories in 2020

Wind Advisory 3, NWS Wilmington, OH

March 28, 202032 counties in Ohio; 11 counties in Kentucky; 4 counties in Indiana

NWS Wilmington, OH issued this wind advisory at Mar 28, 2020, 3:29 PM EDT for 32 counties in Ohio; 11 counties in Kentucky; 4 counties in Indiana. It took effect at Mar 29, 2020, 10:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2020, 3:29 PM EDT (19:29 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 29, 2020, 10:00 AM EDT
Expired
Mar 29, 2020, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Wilmington, OH
All 47 counties

Fayette County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Union County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 15 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2020-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 195 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2020-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 255 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
195 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-256 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1079 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
255 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
292 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

034 
WWUS71 KILN 281929
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
329 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
080-290400-
/O.NEW.KILN.WI.Y.0003.200329T1400Z-200330T0000Z/
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-
Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, 
Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, 
Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, 
Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, 
Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, 
Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, 
Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, 
Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan,
Hillsboro, and Greenfield
329 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and 
  Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio.

* WHEN...From 10 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
085 
WWUS71 KILN 290221
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1021 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
080-291030-
/O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.200329T1400Z-200330T0000Z/
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-
Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, 
Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, 
Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, 
Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, 
Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, 
Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, 
Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, 
Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan,
Hillsboro, and Greenfield
1021 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and 
  Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio.

* WHEN...From 10 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
772 
WWUS71 KILN 290750
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
350 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
080-291600-
/O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.200329T1400Z-200330T0000Z/
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-
Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, 
Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, 
Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, 
Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, 
Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, 
Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, 
Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, 
Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan,
Hillsboro, and Greenfield
350 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and 
  Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
642 
WWUS71 KILN 291500
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1100 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

KYZ090>100-OHZ077>079-081-082-088-292200-
/O.EXB.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200329T2200Z/
Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, 
Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, 
Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, 
Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, 
Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles,
Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg
1100 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts around 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of South Central and Southwest Ohio and 
  Northeast and Northern Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
080-292300-
/O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200330T0000Z/
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-
Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, 
Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, 
Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, 
Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, 
Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, 
Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, 
Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, 
Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan,
Hillsboro, and Greenfield
1100 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and 
  Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
322 
WWUS71 KILN 291851
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
251 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
080-300000-
/O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200330T0000Z/
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-
Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, 
Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, 
Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, 
Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, 
Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, 
Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, 
Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, 
Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan,
Hillsboro, and Greenfield
251 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and 
  Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

KYZ090>100-OHZ077>079-081-082-088-292200-
/O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200329T2200Z/
Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, 
Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, 
Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, 
Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, 
Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles,
Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg
251 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts around 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of South Central and Southwest Ohio and 
  Northeast and Northern Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
648 
WWUS71 KILN 292154
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
554 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

KYZ090>100-OHZ077>079-081-082-088-292300-
/O.EXP.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200329T2200Z/
Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, 
Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, 
Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, 
Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, 
Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles,
Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg
554 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

Winds will continue to be gusty early this evening, with gust
values between 30 and 35 mph. The winds will continue to decease 
as the evening progresses.

$$

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
080-300000-
/O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200330T0000Z/
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-
Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, 
Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, 
Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, 
Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, 
Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, 
Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, 
Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, 
Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan,
Hillsboro, and Greenfield
554 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and 
  Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
965 
WWUS71 KILN 292357
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
757 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
080-300100-
/O.EXP.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200330T0000Z/
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-
Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, 
Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, 
Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, 
Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, 
Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, 
Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, 
Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, 
Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan,
Hillsboro, and Greenfield
757 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

Winds will continue to be gusty this evening, with gust values 
between 30 and 35 mph. The winds will continue to decrease as the 
night progresses.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 28, 1:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 1:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
149 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front will lift north of the area this morning. This will
allow for very warm temperatures, although with a continued
chance of showers and thunderstorms, until a cold front sweeps
across the region late tonight. Windy conditions will follow on
Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A shortwave trough is ejecting into the central US from the desert
southwest and leading to cyclogenesis in the central Plains. East of
the deepening surface cyclone, a warm front has pushed north of the
forecast area into northern Ohio. Thunderstorms have been observed
along and just north of the warm front clipping Mercer, Auglaize,
and Hardin counties. The convection has been elevated in nature.
Thus, the main threat has been hail. The storms associated with the
warm front are expected to continue progressing north of the area
today.

Breezy southerly winds in the warm sector east of the cyclone will
help to usher in warm and moist air into the area today. Dew points
are forecast to reach the low to mid 60s areawide with highs near 80
by the Ohio River and middle 70s across central Ohio/eastern
Indiana. Any breaks in the cloud cover could lead to highs being a
couple degrees warmer than currently forecast.

As surface temperatures warm and dew points rise today there may be
a developing threat for thunderstorms as instability develops. A
warm layer aloft around 750 hPa was observed on the 1200Z ILN
sounding and this CAP would help to inhibit deep, moist convection,
as forcing approaches later today, but the warm layer aloft should
erode as the day progresses. As the warm layer weakens, it would not
take much to have thunderstorms form this afternoon in the presence
of 1000+ J/kg of surface based CAPE. The shear profile is also
forecast to be supportive of severe weather (all threats) with a
straight line hodograph containing speed shear. The main forecast
challenge is determining whether or not storms will be present due
to lack of a strong forcing mechanism later today. Currently,
forecasting a slight chance to a chance for thunderstorms given the
destabilizing environment today with the low approaching from the
west and the warm front lifting north.

Previous discussion...
Showers and thunderstorms moving across
the northern half of Indiana will continue northeast with the
low level jet. This activity may still impact west central Ohio
with some heavier rainfall. So the flash flood watch remains in
effect into the morning.

Once this convection moves through, the low level jet weakens.
However, an axis of very high moisture will linger across the
forecast area stretching east northeast to west southwest.
Temperatures will warm substantially resulting in a
destabilizing atmosphere. Past several runs of the HRRR have
been trending towards scattered convection developing along this
axis.

Temperatures will be very warm, ranging from the upper
60s in parts of west central Ohio to lower 80s along and south
of the Ohio River.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
Expect the warm sector to have a minimum of activity during the
evening. But showers and storms will move across the area after
midnight along and ahead of a cold front that will sweep across
the region late tonight. While there will be plenty of shear,
instability will be decreasing by the time activity moves into
the area. It is not even clear how expansive precipitation will
be as some CAMs are indicating that little may be occurring this
far east. Any storms that can remain robust will have some
severe potential with damaging wind the main threat given fairly
straight hodographs and linear forcing.

In the wake of the front there will be an initial surge of cold
air advection, but then that becomes rather weak later in the
day. But there will be some sun allowing for mixing. This in
association with a tightening pressure gradient will result in
a substantial increase in winds during the morning. It will
remain windy through the remainder of the day with northwest
counties near wind advisory criteria.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
On Sunday evening, stacked low pressure will be centered over the
northern lower peninsula of Michigan. Deep-layer WSW flow will be in
place across the Ohio Valley, and gusty winds from Sunday afternoon
will be gradually subsiding. Pseudo-zonal flow will remain in place
through Monday, with a north-to-south temperature gradient in place,
with highs ranging from around 50 to the lower 60s. A secondary
frontal boundary is expected to move south into the region on Monday
night. This will allow Tuesday to be the coolest day of the extended
forecast period, with max temps in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Through
the rest of the period, max temps should rebound more solidly into
the 50s -- seasonable for early April.

The main chance for precipitation during the extended forecast
period will be from Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning.
Attention will turn to a shortwave moving east across the central
part of the CONUS. This wave will also develop a surface low, which
will move east across the southern tier of states on Tuesday, and
then northeast into the mid-Atlantic region on Tuesday night. Lift
ahead of these features will eventually spread precipitation into
the Ohio Valley on Tuesday, continuing into Wednesday, with fairly
strong model agreement in a period of rain -- especially across the
southern half of the ILN forecast area on Tuesday evening. There has
been some model variability with regards to how quickly this system
exits the area on Wednesday, but the trend toward more rapid drying
out has been apparent, and thus PoPs have been shaved back
considerably on Wednesday. It remains possible that some low-level
moisture could remain in place and contribute to a low chance of
showers or drizzle on Wednesday. With too little instability to
support a chance of thunder, and no signs of heavy rain, this system
is not expected to bring any significant impacts to the area.

Late in the week, there are signs that a large upper low will be
moving ESE across the northern tier of states, which may have some
impact to the weather in the Ohio Valley by late Thursday or Friday.
As of now, there is a significant amount of model variability with
regards to this system, so forecast confidence remains low beyond
Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A warm front has pushed north of the TAF sites this morning. South
of the warm front, periods of showers and thunderstorms (some
severe) are expected through the afternoon and overnight hours until
a cold front crosses the region. Drops to MVFR ceilings and MVFR/IFR
visibilities are expected in the convection.

Additionally, southerly winds from 10-20 knots with gusts upwards of
25 knots are expected through the afternoon outside of
thunderstorms. Surface winds may drop off a bit overnight, but a
strong low-level jet is expected to develop and lead to
southwesterly low-level wind shear around 45 knots east of the
front. After the front passes through Saturday morning, low-level
wind shear should subside in the cold air advection regime and
westerly/southwesterly surface winds are expected around 25
knots with gusts upwards of 40 knots.

OUTLOOK...Wind gusts 40 knots or higher are likely on Sunday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...Campbell
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...Hatzos
AVIATION...Campbell
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 28, 2:07 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
207 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

INZ050-058-059-066-073-074-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-
070>074-077>080-291815-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Hardin-Mercer-
Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-
Clermont-Brown-Highland-
207 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Central Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio
and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon. A few storms
may be strong to severe with damaging winds and large hail.

Additional showers and thunderstorms will then move across the area
after midnight. There is the potential for a few storms to be severe
with damaging straight-line winds the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should activate this afternoon. Spotter activation may be
needed later tonight.

INZ075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ081-082-088-291815-
Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
207 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northeast
Kentucky, Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will move across the area after midnight.
There is the potential for a few storms to be severe with damaging
straight-line winds the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Wind gusts around 40 mph are expected on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later tonight.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 28, 2:29 PM EDT, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
229 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0217 PM     HAIL             1 NNE FAIRBORN          39.82N 84.01W
03/28/2020  M0.88 INCH       GREENE             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

NMCGINNI
Special weather statement, Mar 28, 2:36 PM EDT, 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
236 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

INZ050-OHZ042-060-281900-
Wayne IN-Darke OH-Preble OH-
236 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WAYNE...NORTHERN
PREBLE AND DARKE COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...

At 236 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over Fountain
City, moving northeast at 45 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Penny size hail...
Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning...
Very heavy rain...

Locations impacted include...
Richmond, Greenville, Versailles, Arcanum, Bradford, Ansonia, New
Madison, Fountain City, Webster, Wayne Lakes, Gettysburg, Eldorado,
Verona, West Manchester, Pitsburg, Bethel, Hollansburg, Gordon,
Palestine and Ithaca.

This includes I-70 in Indiana between mile markers 148 and 153.

Do not stay in the open or seek shelter under trees when lightning
threatens. Move indoors when a thunderstorm approaches.

Water will pond on roads and may quickly fill roadside ditches and
small streams.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 4000 8481 4016 8481 4031 8457 4028 8443
      3992 8444 3992 8448 3990 8449 3985 8495
      4000 8505
TIME...MOT...LOC 1836Z 237DEG 41KT 3995 8493

KC
Local storm report, Mar 28, 2:39 PM EDT, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
239 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0218 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N FAIRBORN            39.81N 84.02W
03/28/2020                   GREENE             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GAZEBO AND FENCE DESTROYED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

BC
Special weather statement, Mar 28, 3:05 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
305 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

OHZ055-281930-
Franklin OH-
305 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM EDT...

At 305 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over Lake Darby,
moving east at 50 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
One half inch diameter hail...
Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning...
Very heavy rain...

Locations impacted include...
Columbus, Reynoldsburg, Grove City, Upper Arlington, Gahanna,
Hilliard, Bexley, Canal Winchester, Groveport, West Jefferson, Ohio
State University, Lake Darby, Easton, Whitehall, New Albany,
Grandview Heights, Obetz, Urbancrest, Valleyview and Marble Cliff.

This includes the following Interstates...
 I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 87 and 111.
 I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 98 and 114.

Do not stay in the open or seek shelter under trees when lightning
threatens. Move indoors when a thunderstorm approaches.

Water will pond on roads and may quickly fill roadside ditches and
small streams.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3994 8278 3994 8281 3991 8281 3991 8280
      3985 8280 3985 8325 3992 8325 3994 8323
      3997 8325 3999 8325 4009 8277
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 254DEG 44KT 3993 8322

KC
Local storm report, Mar 28, 3:06 PM EDT, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
306 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HAIL             BALTIMORE               39.85N 82.61W
03/28/2020  M0.75 INCH       FAIRFIELD          OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BC
Special weather statement, Mar 28, 3:29 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
329 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

OHZ042-282015-
Darke OH-
329 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL DARKE COUNTY UNTIL 415
PM EDT...

At 329 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 8 miles west of
Winchester, moving east at 45 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 45 mph...
Penny size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Versailles, Bradford, Union City, Ansonia, Webster,
Gettysburg, Rossburg, Yorkshire, Union Corners, Darke County Airport,
Cosmos, Sharpeye, Brock, State Route 47 at US Route 127, Willowdell,
Sharps Crossing, Horatio and Pikeville.

Residents in these areas should remain alert. If this storm becomes
stronger, then a warning may be needed.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 4019 8443 4018 8444 4018 8443 4007 8443
      4007 8481 4028 8480 4033 8444
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 260DEG 40KT 4014 8513

McGinnis

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 12:34 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNBrown26 min
Mar 28, 3:19 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNDelaware, Union26 min
Mar 28, 1:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNPreble25 min
Mar 28, 1:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDarke, Miami, Montgomery, Preble35 min
Mar 28, 1:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNDarke23 min
Mar 28, 1:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNClark35 min
Mar 28, 1:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNDarke, Shelby29 min
Mar 28, 1:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNChampaign, Clark, Greene, Miami, Montgomery40 min
Mar 28, 1:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNClark, Greene, Madison32 min
Mar 28, 2:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFranklin, Madison, Pickaway48 min
Mar 28, 2:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNFairfield29 min
Mar 28, 2:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNClark18 min
Mar 28, 2:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNDarke24 min
Mar 28, 2:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFairfield, Franklin, Licking, Pickaway51 min
Mar 28, 2:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFairfield, Licking48 min
Mar 28, 3:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNFranklin25 min
Mar 28, 3:09 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILNFairfield, Franklin, Licking3 hr
Mar 28, 3:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNDarke46 min
Mar 28, 5:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNDarke38 min
Mar 28, 6:26 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILNAuglaize, Darke, Mercer, Miami, Shelby3 hr
Mar 28, 6:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNDarke, Miami, Shelby3 hr
Mar 28, 7:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNLogan, Union51 min
Mar 28, 7:15 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILNChampaign, Logan3 hr
Mar 28, 7:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLogan, Union23 min
Mar 28, 7:49 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILNDelaware, Union2 hr
Mar 28, 12:16 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNLewis29 min
Mar 28, 12:23 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis20 min
Mar 28, 12:42 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNBracken, Pendleton33 min
Mar 28, 12:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNWayne31 min
Mar 28, 12:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFayette, Union, Wayne35 min
Mar 28, 12:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNRipley31 min
Mar 28, 1:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILNDearborn48 min

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Ohio, 2020Wind Advisories in Kentucky, 2020Wind Advisories in Indiana, 2020Every wind advisory in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.