Alert archive / Ohio / Wind Advisories in 2020
Wind Advisory 3, NWS Wilmington, OH
NWS Wilmington, OH issued this wind advisory at Mar 28, 2020, 3:29 PM EDT for 32 counties in Ohio; 11 counties in Kentucky; 4 counties in Indiana. It took effect at Mar 29, 2020, 10:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 28, 2020, 3:29 PM EDT (19:29 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 29, 2020, 10:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 29, 2020, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Wilmington, OH
All 47 counties
Fayette County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Union County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH
The radar
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 15 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 195 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -256 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1079 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 63 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 255 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 292 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted.
034 WWUS71 KILN 281929 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 329 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074- 080-290400- /O.NEW.KILN.WI.Y.0003.200329T1400Z-200330T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize- Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Hillsboro, and Greenfield 329 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...From 10 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
6 follow-up statements
085 WWUS71 KILN 290221 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1021 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074- 080-291030- /O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.200329T1400Z-200330T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize- Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Hillsboro, and Greenfield 1021 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...From 10 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
772 WWUS71 KILN 290750 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 350 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074- 080-291600- /O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.200329T1400Z-200330T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize- Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Hillsboro, and Greenfield 350 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
642 WWUS71 KILN 291500 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1100 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 KYZ090>100-OHZ077>079-081-082-088-292200- /O.EXB.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200329T2200Z/ Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken- Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Pike-Scioto- Including the cities of Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 1100 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts around 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of South Central and Southwest Ohio and Northeast and Northern Kentucky. * WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074- 080-292300- /O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200330T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize- Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Hillsboro, and Greenfield 1100 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
322 WWUS71 KILN 291851 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 251 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074- 080-300000- /O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200330T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize- Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Hillsboro, and Greenfield 251 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ KYZ090>100-OHZ077>079-081-082-088-292200- /O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200329T2200Z/ Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken- Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Pike-Scioto- Including the cities of Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 251 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts around 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of South Central and Southwest Ohio and Northeast and Northern Kentucky. * WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
648 WWUS71 KILN 292154 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 554 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 KYZ090>100-OHZ077>079-081-082-088-292300- /O.EXP.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200329T2200Z/ Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken- Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Pike-Scioto- Including the cities of Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 554 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING... Winds will continue to be gusty early this evening, with gust values between 30 and 35 mph. The winds will continue to decease as the evening progresses. $$ INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074- 080-300000- /O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200330T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize- Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Hillsboro, and Greenfield 554 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and Central, South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
965 WWUS71 KILN 292357 NPWILN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 757 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074- 080-300100- /O.EXP.KILN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-200330T0000Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize- Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Highland- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Hillsboro, and Greenfield 757 PM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... Winds will continue to be gusty this evening, with gust values between 30 and 35 mph. The winds will continue to decrease as the night progresses. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 28, 1:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 1:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 149 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 .SYNOPSIS... A warm front will lift north of the area this morning. This will allow for very warm temperatures, although with a continued chance of showers and thunderstorms, until a cold front sweeps across the region late tonight. Windy conditions will follow on Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A shortwave trough is ejecting into the central US from the desert southwest and leading to cyclogenesis in the central Plains. East of the deepening surface cyclone, a warm front has pushed north of the forecast area into northern Ohio. Thunderstorms have been observed along and just north of the warm front clipping Mercer, Auglaize, and Hardin counties. The convection has been elevated in nature. Thus, the main threat has been hail. The storms associated with the warm front are expected to continue progressing north of the area today. Breezy southerly winds in the warm sector east of the cyclone will help to usher in warm and moist air into the area today. Dew points are forecast to reach the low to mid 60s areawide with highs near 80 by the Ohio River and middle 70s across central Ohio/eastern Indiana. Any breaks in the cloud cover could lead to highs being a couple degrees warmer than currently forecast. As surface temperatures warm and dew points rise today there may be a developing threat for thunderstorms as instability develops. A warm layer aloft around 750 hPa was observed on the 1200Z ILN sounding and this CAP would help to inhibit deep, moist convection, as forcing approaches later today, but the warm layer aloft should erode as the day progresses. As the warm layer weakens, it would not take much to have thunderstorms form this afternoon in the presence of 1000+ J/kg of surface based CAPE. The shear profile is also forecast to be supportive of severe weather (all threats) with a straight line hodograph containing speed shear. The main forecast challenge is determining whether or not storms will be present due to lack of a strong forcing mechanism later today. Currently, forecasting a slight chance to a chance for thunderstorms given the destabilizing environment today with the low approaching from the west and the warm front lifting north. Previous discussion... Showers and thunderstorms moving across the northern half of Indiana will continue northeast with the low level jet. This activity may still impact west central Ohio with some heavier rainfall. So the flash flood watch remains in effect into the morning. Once this convection moves through, the low level jet weakens. However, an axis of very high moisture will linger across the forecast area stretching east northeast to west southwest. Temperatures will warm substantially resulting in a destabilizing atmosphere. Past several runs of the HRRR have been trending towards scattered convection developing along this axis. Temperatures will be very warm, ranging from the upper 60s in parts of west central Ohio to lower 80s along and south of the Ohio River. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/... Expect the warm sector to have a minimum of activity during the evening. But showers and storms will move across the area after midnight along and ahead of a cold front that will sweep across the region late tonight. While there will be plenty of shear, instability will be decreasing by the time activity moves into the area. It is not even clear how expansive precipitation will be as some CAMs are indicating that little may be occurring this far east. Any storms that can remain robust will have some severe potential with damaging wind the main threat given fairly straight hodographs and linear forcing. In the wake of the front there will be an initial surge of cold air advection, but then that becomes rather weak later in the day. But there will be some sun allowing for mixing. This in association with a tightening pressure gradient will result in a substantial increase in winds during the morning. It will remain windy through the remainder of the day with northwest counties near wind advisory criteria. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... On Sunday evening, stacked low pressure will be centered over the northern lower peninsula of Michigan. Deep-layer WSW flow will be in place across the Ohio Valley, and gusty winds from Sunday afternoon will be gradually subsiding. Pseudo-zonal flow will remain in place through Monday, with a north-to-south temperature gradient in place, with highs ranging from around 50 to the lower 60s. A secondary frontal boundary is expected to move south into the region on Monday night. This will allow Tuesday to be the coolest day of the extended forecast period, with max temps in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Through the rest of the period, max temps should rebound more solidly into the 50s -- seasonable for early April. The main chance for precipitation during the extended forecast period will be from Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning. Attention will turn to a shortwave moving east across the central part of the CONUS. This wave will also develop a surface low, which will move east across the southern tier of states on Tuesday, and then northeast into the mid-Atlantic region on Tuesday night. Lift ahead of these features will eventually spread precipitation into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday, continuing into Wednesday, with fairly strong model agreement in a period of rain -- especially across the southern half of the ILN forecast area on Tuesday evening. There has been some model variability with regards to how quickly this system exits the area on Wednesday, but the trend toward more rapid drying out has been apparent, and thus PoPs have been shaved back considerably on Wednesday. It remains possible that some low-level moisture could remain in place and contribute to a low chance of showers or drizzle on Wednesday. With too little instability to support a chance of thunder, and no signs of heavy rain, this system is not expected to bring any significant impacts to the area. Late in the week, there are signs that a large upper low will be moving ESE across the northern tier of states, which may have some impact to the weather in the Ohio Valley by late Thursday or Friday. As of now, there is a significant amount of model variability with regards to this system, so forecast confidence remains low beyond Thursday. && .AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... A warm front has pushed north of the TAF sites this morning. South of the warm front, periods of showers and thunderstorms (some severe) are expected through the afternoon and overnight hours until a cold front crosses the region. Drops to MVFR ceilings and MVFR/IFR visibilities are expected in the convection. Additionally, southerly winds from 10-20 knots with gusts upwards of 25 knots are expected through the afternoon outside of thunderstorms. Surface winds may drop off a bit overnight, but a strong low-level jet is expected to develop and lead to southwesterly low-level wind shear around 45 knots east of the front. After the front passes through Saturday morning, low-level wind shear should subside in the cold air advection regime and westerly/southwesterly surface winds are expected around 25 knots with gusts upwards of 40 knots. OUTLOOK...Wind gusts 40 knots or higher are likely on Sunday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM...Campbell SHORT TERM... LONG TERM...Hatzos AVIATION...Campbell
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 28, 2:07 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wilmington OH 207 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 INZ050-058-059-066-073-074-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065- 070>074-077>080-291815- Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Hardin-Mercer- Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton- Clermont-Brown-Highland- 207 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana, Southeast Indiana, Central Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon. A few storms may be strong to severe with damaging winds and large hail. Additional showers and thunderstorms will then move across the area after midnight. There is the potential for a few storms to be severe with damaging straight-line winds the primary threat. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected on Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters should activate this afternoon. Spotter activation may be needed later tonight. INZ075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ081-082-088-291815- Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Adams-Pike-Scioto- 207 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will move across the area after midnight. There is the potential for a few storms to be severe with damaging straight-line winds the primary threat. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Wind gusts around 40 mph are expected on Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed later tonight.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 28, 2:29 PM EDT, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
229 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0217 PM HAIL 1 NNE FAIRBORN 39.82N 84.01W
03/28/2020 M0.88 INCH GREENE OH TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
NMCGINNISpecial weather statement, Mar 28, 2:36 PM EDT, 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
236 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020
INZ050-OHZ042-060-281900-
Wayne IN-Darke OH-Preble OH-
236 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WAYNE...NORTHERN
PREBLE AND DARKE COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...
At 236 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over Fountain
City, moving northeast at 45 mph.
STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Penny size hail...
Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning...
Very heavy rain...
Locations impacted include...
Richmond, Greenville, Versailles, Arcanum, Bradford, Ansonia, New
Madison, Fountain City, Webster, Wayne Lakes, Gettysburg, Eldorado,
Verona, West Manchester, Pitsburg, Bethel, Hollansburg, Gordon,
Palestine and Ithaca.
This includes I-70 in Indiana between mile markers 148 and 153.
Do not stay in the open or seek shelter under trees when lightning
threatens. Move indoors when a thunderstorm approaches.
Water will pond on roads and may quickly fill roadside ditches and
small streams.
To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.
LAT...LON 4000 8481 4016 8481 4031 8457 4028 8443
3992 8444 3992 8448 3990 8449 3985 8495
4000 8505
TIME...MOT...LOC 1836Z 237DEG 41KT 3995 8493
KCLocal storm report, Mar 28, 2:39 PM EDT, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
239 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0218 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N FAIRBORN 39.81N 84.02W
03/28/2020 GREENE OH TRAINED SPOTTER
GAZEBO AND FENCE DESTROYED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
BCSpecial weather statement, Mar 28, 3:05 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
305 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020
OHZ055-281930-
Franklin OH-
305 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM EDT...
At 305 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over Lake Darby,
moving east at 50 mph.
STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 50 mph...
One half inch diameter hail...
Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning...
Very heavy rain...
Locations impacted include...
Columbus, Reynoldsburg, Grove City, Upper Arlington, Gahanna,
Hilliard, Bexley, Canal Winchester, Groveport, West Jefferson, Ohio
State University, Lake Darby, Easton, Whitehall, New Albany,
Grandview Heights, Obetz, Urbancrest, Valleyview and Marble Cliff.
This includes the following Interstates...
I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 87 and 111.
I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 98 and 114.
Do not stay in the open or seek shelter under trees when lightning
threatens. Move indoors when a thunderstorm approaches.
Water will pond on roads and may quickly fill roadside ditches and
small streams.
To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.
LAT...LON 3994 8278 3994 8281 3991 8281 3991 8280
3985 8280 3985 8325 3992 8325 3994 8323
3997 8325 3999 8325 4009 8277
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 254DEG 44KT 3993 8322
KCLocal storm report, Mar 28, 3:06 PM EDT, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
306 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0305 PM HAIL BALTIMORE 39.85N 82.61W
03/28/2020 M0.75 INCH FAIRFIELD OH TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
BCSpecial weather statement, Mar 28, 3:29 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
329 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020
OHZ042-282015-
Darke OH-
329 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL DARKE COUNTY UNTIL 415
PM EDT...
At 329 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 8 miles west of
Winchester, moving east at 45 mph.
STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 45 mph...
Penny size hail...
Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Versailles, Bradford, Union City, Ansonia, Webster,
Gettysburg, Rossburg, Yorkshire, Union Corners, Darke County Airport,
Cosmos, Sharpeye, Brock, State Route 47 at US Route 127, Willowdell,
Sharps Crossing, Horatio and Pikeville.
Residents in these areas should remain alert. If this storm becomes
stronger, then a warning may be needed.
To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.
LAT...LON 4019 8443 4018 8444 4018 8443 4007 8443
4007 8481 4028 8480 4033 8444
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 260DEG 40KT 4014 8513
McGinnisThe office that day
Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 12:34 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Brown | 26 min |
| Mar 28, 3:19 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Delaware, Union | 26 min |
| Mar 28, 1:05 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Preble | 25 min |
| Mar 28, 1:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Darke, Miami, Montgomery, Preble | 35 min |
| Mar 28, 1:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Darke | 23 min |
| Mar 28, 1:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Clark | 35 min |
| Mar 28, 1:46 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Darke, Shelby | 29 min |
| Mar 28, 1:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Champaign, Clark, Greene, Miami, Montgomery | 40 min |
| Mar 28, 1:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Clark, Greene, Madison | 32 min |
| Mar 28, 2:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Franklin, Madison, Pickaway | 48 min |
| Mar 28, 2:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Fairfield | 29 min |
| Mar 28, 2:27 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Clark | 18 min |
| Mar 28, 2:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Darke | 24 min |
| Mar 28, 2:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fairfield, Franklin, Licking, Pickaway | 51 min |
| Mar 28, 2:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fairfield, Licking | 48 min |
| Mar 28, 3:05 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Franklin | 25 min |
| Mar 28, 3:09 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Fairfield, Franklin, Licking | 3 hr |
| Mar 28, 3:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Darke | 46 min |
| Mar 28, 5:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Darke | 38 min |
| Mar 28, 6:26 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Auglaize, Darke, Mercer, Miami, Shelby | 3 hr |
| Mar 28, 6:49 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Darke, Miami, Shelby | 3 hr |
| Mar 28, 7:09 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Logan, Union | 51 min |
| Mar 28, 7:15 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Champaign, Logan | 3 hr |
| Mar 28, 7:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Logan, Union | 23 min |
| Mar 28, 7:49 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILN | Delaware, Union | 2 hr |
| Mar 28, 12:16 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Lewis | 29 min |
| Mar 28, 12:23 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Lewis | 20 min |
| Mar 28, 12:42 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Bracken, Pendleton | 33 min |
| Mar 28, 12:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Wayne | 31 min |
| Mar 28, 12:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Fayette, Union, Wayne | 35 min |
| Mar 28, 12:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Ripley | 31 min |
| Mar 28, 1:27 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILN | Dearborn | 48 min |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Ohio, 2020Wind Advisories in Kentucky, 2020Wind Advisories in Indiana, 2020Every wind advisory in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.