Beach Hazards Statement 27, NWS Wilmington, NC

204 
WHUS42 KILM 300903
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
503 AM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

NCZ106-108-310000-
/O.EXA.KILM.BH.S.0027.200730T1000Z-200731T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-
503 AM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong south to north longshore current expected. Also, a
  moderate risk of rip currents is forecast.

* WHERE...Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover Counties.

* WHEN...Through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into
  rip currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas. Often,
  if the longshore current is strong enough, it will sweep
  swimmers off their feet, making it difficult to return to shore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution should be used when in or near the water. Check with the
lifeguards before entering the ocean for possible hazards you may
be swept into.

&&

$$

SCZ054-056-310000-
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0027.200730T1000Z-200731T0000Z/
Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown-
503 AM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong south to north longshore current expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Horry and Coastal Georgetown Counties.

* WHEN...Through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into
  rip currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas. Often,
  if the longshore current is strong enough, it will sweep
  swimmers off their feet, making it difficult to return to shore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution should be used when in or near the water. Check with the
lifeguards before entering the ocean for possible hazards you may
be swept into.

&&

$$

IGB

507 
WHUS42 KILM 302354
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
754 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

NCZ106-108-311200-
/O.EXP.KILM.BH.S.0027.000000T0000Z-200731T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KILM.BH.S.0028.200731T1000Z-200801T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KILM.RP.S.0019.200731T1000Z-200801T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-
754 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents
  expected. For the Beach Hazards Statement, a strong south to
  north longshore current is expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover Counties.

* WHEN...From 6 AM EDT Friday through Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
  from shore into deeper water. Longshore currents can sweep
  swimmers and surfers into rip currents, piers, jetties, and
  other hazardous areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create
life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be
used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

SCZ054-056-311200-
/O.EXP.KILM.BH.S.0027.000000T0000Z-200731T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KILM.BH.S.0028.200731T1000Z-200801T0000Z/
Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown-
754 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong south to north longshore current expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Horry and Coastal Georgetown Counties.

* WHEN...From 6 AM EDT Friday through Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into
  rip currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create
life-threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be
used when in or near the water.

&&

$$

NCZ110-311200-
/O.NEW.KILM.RP.S.0019.200731T1000Z-200801T0000Z/
Coastal Brunswick-
754 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Brunswick County.

* WHEN...From 6 AM EDT Friday through Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
  from shore into deeper water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

21

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
725 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Hot and humid weather will continue into the weekend with
afternoon showers and thunderstorms as Bermuda High remains
anchored to the east over the Atlantic and trough of low
pressure strengthens to the west.

&&

.UPDATE...
No changes to the forecast with the mid evening update.
Convection is right on schedule in diminishing.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Convection to move slowly east through afternoon, weakening or
moving off the coast after 9-10 pm. Low effective shear should keep
the severe threat localized, mainly spotty downburst winds as
downdraft CAPE remains moderately strong through early evening.

Similar day Thursday, isolated to scattered TSTMS, although lack of
upper support may result in late days storms, not firing as early
as today, as short-wave energy approaches the area toward evening.
A 'marginal' risk of excessive rainfall Thursday resides primarily
north and west of our forecast area. Heat indices remain below heat
advisory criteria Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Bermuda high pressure extending over the Southeast coast will
maintain a SW flow of warm and moist air into the weekend. Pcp
water values will be up to 2.4 inches in deep SW flow as mid to
upper trough remains west of area. Shortwave energy will move
along the base of the trough aloft through the Carolinas, to
help enhance convective development along Piedmont trough and
sea breeze boundary, as well as any outflow boundaries that
develop. This should provide a more active day of shwrs/tstms on
Fri.

GFS shows a weak sfc low or reflection of upper trough which
moves off to the northeast pushing trough along or just offshore
by Saturday. A potent shortwave rotating around mid to upper
trough extending down from the Great Lakes will amplify the
trough down through the central CONUS which should allow H5
ridge to build up through the Southeast into the weekend. This
should allow some mid level dry air and subsidence to work its
way in on Saturday. Therefore, convection should be more limited
on Sat, but may remain focused along the coast. May also begin
to see moisture working its way northward from what is now
potential tropical cyclone nine by Sat night, as it tracks
toward the Florida coast. This could affect forecast into the
latter half of the weekend, but for now, too much uncertainty
exists. Max temps will be in the low 90s most places with heat
indices between 100 and 105 both Fri and Sat.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Deep mid to upper trough amplified from the Upper Great Lakes down
through the Mississippi Valley will push slowly eastward through
early next week. This will continue to maintain a deep SW flow
over the Southeast coast. Southwest winds become a bit more
southerly as Bermuda High builds back north and west over the
Carolinas. GFS shows increased moisture aligned along the coast,
and we may see moisture from tropical system reaching into our
area as early as Sunday. Overall, the forecast through early
next week will be highly depend on eventual track of a
disturbance moving across the Caribbean, or what is
now Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine. It should track around the
Atlantic ridge or get picked up by the mid to upper trough as
it moves toward the east coast. For now, the official NHC
forecast brings it to Florida by early next week. For now,
should see an increase in clouds and pcp through the first half
of next week. High temps will be into the 90s into the weekend
and heat index values should reach over 100 through Sunday.
Temps will drop several degrees early next week due to clouds
and pcp and lowering of H5 heights.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Some sites still being affected by convection and debris but
this will give way to VFR conditions in the next hour or so.
The next challenge for the aviation community arrives Thursday
afternoon with another round of scattered convection.

Extended Outlook...Mainly VFR expected outside of showers
and thunderstorms that occur each afternoon and evening.
Thunderstorms will be capable of brief periods of IFR/MVFR along
with gusty winds.

&&

.MARINE...
Bumpy conditions upcoming, very nearly advisory winds, 15-20 kt with
a few higher gusts at times. Winds may increase moreso late Thursday
and a Small Craft Advisory may be needed. Mariners should exercise
caution. TSTMs will also be present, mainly at night and early
mornings, and radar updates are encouraged. The swell portion of the
wave spectrum is weak, a foot or less, and seas almost entirely
dominated by bumpy, short-crested wind-seas.

SW flow persists Fri through the weekend, becoming more
southerly on Sunday as ridge builds back north and west.
As trough strengthens and shifts closer to the coast Fri, SW
winds may reach up to 15 to 25 kts and may push seas up above
SCA thresholds Fri into Sat. The forecast early next week will
depend on track and strength of Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine
moving across the Caribbean into this weekend. This may produce
a longer period SE swell up to 15 seconds by this weekend.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ILM
UPDATE...SHK
NEAR TERM...MJC
SHORT TERM...RGZ
LONG TERM...RGZ
AVIATION...SHK
MARINE...MJC/RGZ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
317 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

NCZ106-108-110-301930-
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Brunswick-
317 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Risk of Rip Currents.

Heat indices will reach between 100 to 103 degrees this afternoon
through early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Elevated rip current and longshore conditions possible Thursday
through Sunday.

Heat Advisory thresholds may be met Saturday.
Otherwise, heat indices will reach above 100 each afternoon through
early evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

SCZ054-056-301930-
Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown-
317 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Heat indices will reach between 100 to 103 degrees this afternoon
through early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Elevated rip current and longshore conditions possible Thursday
through Sunday.

Heat Advisory thresholds may be met Saturday.
Otherwise, heat indices will reach above 100 each afternoon through
early evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ087-096-099-105-107-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-055-058-059-
301930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-
Williamsburg-Inland Georgetown-Central Horry-Northern Horry-
317 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered TSTMS could drop visibility below 1/2 mile in heavy
rainfall through 9 pm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Heat Advisory thresholds may be met Saturday.
Otherwise, heat indices will reach above 100 each afternoon through
early evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

AMZ250-252-254-256-301930-
Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Murrells Inlet to South Santee River SC out
20 nm-
317 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Occasional gusts between 20 and 25 knots.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Occasional gusts between 20 and 25 knots.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

8

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
405 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

NCZ105>108-292100-
Inland New Hanover NC-Coastal Pender NC-Inland Pender NC-
Coastal New Hanover NC-
405 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW HANOVER AND
SOUTHEASTERN PENDER COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EDT...

At 405 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Porters Neck, or near Figure Eight Island, moving northeast at 10
mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Burgaw, Rich Inlet, Figure Eight Island, Hampstead, Topsail Beach,
Cape Fear Community College North Campus, Ashton, Rocky Point,
Murrayville, Topsail, Castle Hayne, Bayshore, Scotts Hill, Ogden,
Porters Neck, Woodside and St. Helena.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 7769 3429 7772 3427 7775 3423 7778
      3434 7796 3456 7791 3440 7759
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 214DEG 7KT 3433 7780

SHK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
436 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

NCZ096-099-292130-
Columbus NC-Bladen NC-
436 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR SOUTHEASTERN BLADEN AND NORTHEASTERN
COLUMBUS COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM EDT...

At 436 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Freeman, or 17 miles east of Whiteville, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Waccamaw, Sandyfield, Carvers, Freeman, Riegelwood, Council,
Kelly, Bolton and East Arcadia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3445 7819 3440 7825 3439 7825 3437 7823
      3438 7823 3437 7822 3437 7821 3436 7821
      3435 7820 3422 7834 3432 7853 3456 7841
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 212DEG 12KT 3434 7839

SHK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
512 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

NCZ099-292215-
Columbus NC-
512 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR CENTRAL COLUMBUS COUNTY UNTIL 615 PM
EDT...

At 510 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Redbug, or near Whiteville, moving west at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with this storm. Frequent
cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. Torrential
rainfall is also occurring with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Whiteville, Chadbourn, Lake Waccamaw, Williams, Hallsboro, Redbug,
Mollie, Sidney, Southeastern Community College, Crusoe Island,
Brunswick and Columbus Regional Healthcare System.

People attending Columbus Regional Medical Tent may be affected by
this storm and are urged to follow the precautionary measures of the
onsite officials.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Thunderstorms can pose a variety of threats including gusty winds,
small hail, cloud to ground lightning, and localized flooding. It is
recommended that you remain indoors until the storm passes. Do not
drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Lightning can strike 10
miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a
building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3442 7855 3423 7841 3412 7877 3436 7884
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 080DEG 12KT 3428 7860

RGZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
521 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

NCZ087-099-SCZ024-033-059-292215-
Robeson NC-Columbus NC-Marion SC-Northern Horry SC-Dillon SC-
521 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ROBESON...WEST CENTRAL
COLUMBUS...SOUTHEASTERN DILLON...NORTHWESTERN HORRY AND NORTHEASTERN
MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

At 521 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Lake View to near Mullins. Movement was
southeast at 10 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Marion, Mullins, Fair Bluff, Lake View, Fork, Zion, Gapway,
Barnesville, Smithboro, Kemper, Nichols, Marietta and Carolinas
Hospital System - Marion.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3440 7897 3438 7889 3433 7893 3425 7901
      3405 7920 3422 7945 3446 7913
TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 308DEG 7KT 3435 7910 3418 7930

III

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
550 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

SCZ039-055-292215-
Williamsburg SC-Inland Georgetown SC-
550 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2020

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR WEST CENTRAL GEORGETOWN AND
SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMSBURG COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

At 549 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Warsaw, or 17 miles northwest of Georgetown, moving northeast at 15
mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Andrews, Rhems and Warsaw.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3354 7966 3363 7947 3347 7934 3341 7961
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 245DEG 13KT 3350 7955

III