Severe Thunderstorm Warning 36, NWS Hastings, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
611 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2020

...Aviation Update...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 450 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2020

Increased/expanded PoPs through tonight to more closely match the
latest runs of the HRRR and other short term guidance. These
models show thunderstorms moving west to east through the forecast
area, mainly from 7pm to 1am tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 324 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2020

A mid-level embedded perturbation will help touch off some
thunderstorms this afternoon near the cold front in South Dakota,
and along a trough over Nebraska/Kansas this afternoon. Better
support for severe weather with potential northern MCS to develop,
keeping this mostly if not entirely out of our CWA where stronger
updrafts will be supported.

Hi-res models indicate the potential for convection to creep into
the CWA this evening into the overnight, but nowhere near the
support for severe weather as we had last night.

Went closer to HRRR/HRRREXP for highs Friday, based on recent model
performance statistics. Cold front will likely stall in the southern
CWA or just south for Friday, but best moisture hold on more to the
east. Our far east/southeast may be able to get in on some
convection for the evening, but not much to hang our hat on, and
generally looks dry for us Friday/Friday night.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 324 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2020

The story this weekend is HOT and WINDY! Saturday and Sunday look
very similar with highs above normal in the 90s and gusty winds.
Deep ridging will be in place over much of the central CONUS along
with an upper level trof approaching from the west. Expecting a
rather tight sfc pressure gradient on Saturday and Sunday ahead of
the trof. This will lead to sustained southerly sfc winds around 20-
30 kts. Model soundings also suggest the potential for mixing down
gusts to the sfc of around 40 kts. There could be a brief shot of
precip Saturday night for far western portions of the CWA, but don't
currently have a lot of confidence in this.

Sunday night a minor short wave along the leading edge of the trof
forms a cold front across the NE panhandle. As Monday comes around
this front will start to push southeast across western NE. Showers
and thunderstorms are expected to develop along the front late in
the day on Monday. These storms are expected to impact the CWA
overnight on Monday and into Tuesday as the front crosses through
from the NW to the SE. Behind the front we can expect cooler, more
seasonal temperatures for Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Saturday)
Issued at 605 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2020

Scattered thunderstorms expected to move from west to east in the
vicinity of the terminals this evening. The main threat to the
terminals will be brief gusty winds to around 60 MPH.

After the storms move through, skies will clear and winds will
shift from the southwest to northwest overnight, and eventually to
the east on Friday.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...Mangels
SHORT TERM...Heinlein
LONG TERM...Shawkey
AVIATION...Mangels

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
500 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2020

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
051200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
500 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to move through the area
this evening and tonight, mainly between 7pm and 1am. Some of the
storms may be capable of producing large hail the size of half
dollars and damaging winds of 60 mph or greater.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Intermittent, small chances for thunderstorms exist across
portions of the outlook area Friday evening through Saturday
night. A few storms could be strong to severe, however widespread
severe weather is not expected at this time.

Looking ahead into next week, better chances for thunderstorms
return to the outlook area in the Monday night into Tuesday time
frame with the arrival of a cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed on an isolated basis this
evening.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
552 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 PM     TSTM WND GST     ORD AIRPORT             41.62N 98.95W
06/03/2020  M64 MPH          VALLEY             NE   ASOS

0742 PM     HAIL             ORD                     41.60N 98.93W
06/03/2020  E1.00 INCH       VALLEY             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

0801 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE SHERMAN RESERVOIR 41.31N 98.88W
06/03/2020                   SHERMAN            NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            6 TO 8 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN NEAR AT SHERMAN
            RESERVOIR AT THE TRADE WINDS MARINA.
            PICTURES PROVIDED BY EM.

0805 PM     HAIL             NORTH LOUP              41.50N 98.77W
06/03/2020  E1.75 INCH       VALLEY             NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            A FEW STONES UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE, MOST
            SMALLER THAN QUARTERS.

0805 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NW SHERMAN RESERVOIR  41.35N 98.93W
06/03/2020  E60 MPH          SHERMAN            NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NORTH SIDE OF SHERMAN RESERVOIR.

0810 PM     TSTM WND GST     1E OF CAMBRIDGE         40.28N 100.14W
06/03/2020  E50 MPH          FURNAS             NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            ESTIMATED 50 MPH GUSTS...NO DOWNED BRANCHES
            VISIBLE.

0815 PM     HAIL             2W ARCADIA              41.42N 99.16W
06/03/2020  E0.70 INCH       VALLEY             NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            ALSO 1.36 INCHES OF RAIN IN ABOUT 45
            MINUTES.

0834 PM     HAIL             LOUP CITY               41.28N 98.97W
06/03/2020  E0.70 INCH       SHERMAN            NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

0834 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 WNW SAINT PAUL        41.22N 98.48W
06/03/2020  E60 MPH          HOWARD             NE   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED 50-60 MPH...RELAYED BY HOWARD
            COUNTY DISPATCH.

0836 PM     HAIL             LOUP CITY               41.28N 98.97W
06/03/2020  E1.00 INCH       SHERMAN            NE   PUBLIC

0837 PM     TSTM WND GST     BEAVER CITY             40.14N 99.83W
06/03/2020  M55 MPH          FURNAS             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEASURED ON A PERSONAL WEATHER STATION.

0850 PM     TSTM WND GST     GRAND ISLAND AIRPORT    40.97N 98.31W
06/03/2020  M46 MPH          HALL               NE   ASOS

            PEAK SUB-SEVERE GUST AT KGRI.

0858 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNW CHAPMAN           41.06N 98.18W
06/03/2020                   MERRICK            NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG
            REPORT...CHANGED TIME TO PM... FROM 3 NNW
            CHAPMAN. REGION 44 EMERGENCY MANAGER
            REPORTED SEVERAL PIVOTS FLIPPED OVER AND
            MANGLED NORTH OF CHAPMAN, INCLUDING: BETWEEN
            6TH AND 7TH ROAD ON J ROAD; ARCHER ROAD,
            SOUTH OF I ROAD; AND BETWEEN L AND M ROADS
            ALONG 8TH ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0901 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHAPMAN                 41.02N 98.16W
06/03/2020                   MERRICK            NE   BROADCAST MEDIA

            THIS REPORT ADDS MORE INFORMATION FROM THE
            PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM CHAPMAN.
            DAMAGE TO THE PUMP N PANTRY. PICTURE ON
            TWITTER COURTESY OF KSNB STORM CHASER 4.
            METAL LIGHT POLE BLOWN DOWN AND SNAPPED AT
            THE BASE. LARGE METAL ICE CHESTS BLOWN AWAY
            FROM THE MAIN BUILDING AND INTO THE PARKING
            LOT.

0901 PM     TSTM WND GST     CHAPMAN                 41.02N 98.16W
06/03/2020  M70 MPH          MERRICK            NE   PUBLIC

            KNSB VIEWER REPORTED THAT WEATHER STATION AT
            PREFERRED POPCORN MEASURED 2M WINDS OF 70
            MPH. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0902 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE SAINT LIBORY       41.11N 98.29W
06/03/2020                   HOWARD             NE   PUBLIC

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 4
            NE SAINT LIBORY...ADJUSTED AS ESTIMATED TIME
            WAS INCORRECT. HAIL DAMAGED CROPS AND 3 TO 5
            INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN NORTHWEST OF WORMS, NE.
            PICTURE OF LIMBS DOWN FROM FACEBOOK. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0905 PM     HAIL             3 SW CHAPMAN            40.99N 98.21W
06/03/2020  E1.00 INCH       MERRICK            NE   STORM CHASER

0913 PM     TSTM WND GST     AURORA AIRPORT          40.89N 97.99W
06/03/2020  M53 MPH          HAMILTON           NE   AWOS

0920 PM     HAIL             5 S MARQUETTE           40.94N 98.00W
06/03/2020  E1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0925 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SSW AURORA            40.82N 98.02W
06/03/2020  M52 MPH          HAMILTON           NE   PUBLIC

            DAVIS WEATHERLINK STATION.

0930 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW CLARKS             41.19N 97.87W
06/03/2020  E60 MPH          MERRICK            NE   STORM CHASER

            ESTIMATED FROM STORM CHASER VIDEO.

0935 PM     TSTM WND GST     AURORA AIRPORT          40.89N 97.99W
06/03/2020  M58 MPH          HAMILTON           NE   AWOS

0945 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HENDERSON               40.78N 97.81W
06/03/2020                   YORK               NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE LIMB DOWN IN HENDERSON, BLOCKING
            STREET.

0950 PM     TSTM WND DMG     YORK                    40.87N 97.59W
06/03/2020                   YORK               NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS DOWNED POWER LINES
            IN YORK AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO 2 HOMES
            FROM FALLEN TREES.

0950 PM     TSTM WND GST     YORK AIRPORT            40.89N 97.62W
06/03/2020  M79 MPH          YORK               NE   AWOS

0959 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W WACO                40.90N 97.52W
06/03/2020  E62 MPH          YORK               NE   MESONET

1003 PM     TSTM WND GST     WACO                    40.90N 97.45W
06/03/2020  M78 MPH          YORK               NE   MESONET

1007 PM     TSTM WND GST     HASTINGS AIRPORT        40.60N 98.43W
06/03/2020  M47 MPH          ADAMS              NE   ASOS

            PEAK NON-SEVERE WIND GUST AT KHSI.

1012 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 ENE FAIRMONT          40.65N 97.56W
06/03/2020  M54 MPH          FILLMORE           NE   PUBLIC

            DAVIS WEATHERLINK STATION.

1018 PM     HAIL             NORTH LOUP              41.50N 98.77W
06/03/2020  E0.88 INCH       VALLEY             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM REPORTS DIME TO NICKLE SIZE HAIL IN NORTH
            LOUP.

1049 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 ENE WEBBER            39.97N 97.95W
06/03/2020  M68 MPH          JEWELL             KS   MESONET

            PWS STATION KKSCOURT3.

1052 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NNE DAVENPORT         40.33N 97.80W
06/03/2020  M58 MPH          THAYER             NE   MESONET

            DAVIS WEATHERLINK STATION.

1101 PM     TSTM WND GST     DESHLER                 40.14N 97.73W
06/03/2020  E60 MPH          THAYER             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM REPORTS WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH IN DESHLER.

1120 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ALEXANDRIA              40.25N 97.39W
06/03/2020                   THAYER             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG
            REPORT...CHANGED ESTIMATED TIME...FROM
            ALEXANDRIA. REPORTED PER THAYER COUNTY
            EMERGENCY MANAGER TREE LIMB DOWN ON MAIN
            STREET IN ALEXANDRIA, NE - 3 FEET IN
            DIAMETER AND 50 FEET LONG, AND ANOTHER LIMB
            1.5 - 2 FEET IN DIAMETER.

1123 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DESHLER                 40.14N 97.73W
06/03/2020                   THAYER             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS SEVERAL BRANCHES
            UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER DOWN IN DESHLER.

1130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DESHLER                 40.14N 97.73W
06/03/2020                   THAYER             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM REPORTING TREE LIMB IN DESHLER 1 TO 1 1/2
            FOOT IN DIAMETER ABOUT 25 FEET LONG SNAPPED
            OFF A TREE.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
734 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0713 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 NNE GOTHENBURG        40.97N 100.15W
06/04/2020  M51 MPH          DAWSON             NE   MESONET

            DAVIS WEATHERLINK STATION.

&&

MANGELS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
743 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2020

NEZ046-060-061-072-073-050130-
Buffalo NE-Phelps NE-Dawson NE-Gosper NE-Sherman NE-
743 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PHELPS...BUFFALO...NORTHEASTERN
GOSPER...SOUTHWESTERN SHERMAN AND EASTERN DAWSON COUNTIES UNTIL 830
PM CDT...

At 743 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Sumner to near Overton to near Smithfield.
Movement was east at 40 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Kearney, Lexington, Holdrege, Ravenna, Elm Creek, Bertrand, Elwood,
Overton, Odessa, Loomis, Pleasanton, Litchfield, Amherst, Sumner,
Funk, Riverdale, Miller, Eddyville, Hazard and Smithfield.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
south central and central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4076 9991 4105 9981 4105 9921 4124 9920
      4123 9890 4105 9888 4068 9897 4065 9899
      4066 9918 4035 9919 4047 9996
TIME...MOT...LOC 0043Z 277DEG 37KT 4100 9952 4075 9961 4055 9978

Billings Wright

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
748 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SSE JOHNSON LAKE      40.64N 99.83W
06/04/2020  M55 MPH          GOSPER             NE   MESONET

            DAVIS WEATHERLINK STATION.

&&

MANGELS

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>