Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
333 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2020

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Monday Night/...

A closed low over the OH Valley this afternoon will drop southward
into the Savannah River Valley through the short term. Meanwhile
wedging will develop at the surface as the remains of a front and
a short wave linger just off the coast of the Carolinas. Bands of
showers and thunderstorms rotating around the upper low...combined
with the easterly flow should affect much of north and central GA
through the short term. Cooling aloft and afternoon instability
could produce a few strong to severe thunderstorms across north GA
this afternoon and evening. Showers and thunderstorms should have
a mainly diurnal pattern through the short term...but expect some
convection to linger overnight. Max temperatures Monday should be
a few degrees cooler across northeastern areas due to the easterly
winds and increased clouds.

41

.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/...

The main feature through the long term period will be a closed upper
level low that is expected to linger near the local forecast area
through the rest of the week. This low is expected to keep moisture
across the area leading to chances for showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon and evenings.

By Tuesday, the low is expected to be centered in the vicinity of
eastern Georgia/South Carolina/North Carolina border. As the low
lingers just northeast of the area, chances for showers and
thunderstorms are expected to increase, especially across portions
of northern and eastern Georgia, in the afternoon and evening. As
the low meanders in the vicinity through Wednesday and Thursday,
those chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue, although
mainly in a diurnal trend and focused more across northern and
eastern Georgia.

By late Tuesday into Wednesday, a surface low is forecast to develop
along a stalled boundary just off the North/South Carolina
coastline. As this system meanders slowly up the coast, high
pressure will be expected to push into portions of northern and
northeastern Georgia, allowing for weak wedging across the area by
mid-week onward. In the upper levels, the low is expected to broaden
and lift slightly later on Thursday before beginning to be swept up
in the upper level flow on Friday. While models have come into much
better agreement on the progression of the low pressure system on
Friday, some differences in timing remain. The ECMWF tries to clear
the local forecast area by Saturday afternoon while the GFS starts
to show clearing closer to Saturday evening. Overall, continued a
blend for this time frame, keeping just slight chance pops just
across portions of eastern Georgia for Saturday afternoon.

With some periods of wedging and additional cloud cover, high
temperatures through the extended are expected to be fairly mild and
overall slightly below average with high temps in the 70s and 80s.
By Friday into the weekend, temps are expected to trend warmer with
highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s areawide. Low temperatures are
forecast to be slightly below average as well with lows in the upper
50s and 60s, before increasing to the upper 60s to lower 70s for the
weekend.

Reaves

&&

AVIATION...
18Z Update...
SCT/BKN 040-060 expected this afternoon with some higher layers.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop mainly this
afternoon and evening across the northern taf sites. VFR overnight
with storms diminishing but could be some mvfr stratus mainly KAHN
toward morning. Basically Monday should be a repeat of today with
a chance of thunderstorms across all taf sites. Winds stay east
to NE mainly 4-9 kts.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update... Medium to high on all elements.

41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          62  76  60  75 /  20  50  30  30
Atlanta         65  78  60  78 /  20  40  20  30
Blairsville     56  70  54  71 /  40  60  40  40
Cartersville    60  81  59  81 /  30  30  20  20
Columbus        66  87  64  84 /  10  30  20  20
Gainesville     61  73  58  75 /  30  50  30  30
Macon           64  84  62  80 /  10  40  20  30
Rome            60  82  59  82 /  30  30  20  20
Peachtree City  62  81  60  80 /  20  40  20  20
Vidalia         66  84  64  81 /  20  40  30  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....Reaves
AVIATION...41

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
253 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-151900-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
253 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening
across north Georgia. Some isolated storms may become strong to
severe. Gusty winds, small hail, frequent lightning, and locally
heavy rainfall will be possible in any stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

From Monday through Saturday, isolated to scattered thunderstorms
will be possible each afternoon, especially over the eastern half
of the forecast area. Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy
rain will be possible with any storms that do develop.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
620 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2020

GAZ047-142245-
Walton GA-
620 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WALTON COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

At 620 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Between, or 7 miles
west of Monroe...moving east at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail...frequent
           cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Monroe, Loganville, Social Circle, Walnut Grove, Between, Good Hope,
Jersey, Bold Springs, Windsor, Nicholasville, Youth, Pannell,
Campton, Herndonville and Gratis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3391 8376 3389 8376 3390 8374 3390 8373
      3391 8368 3391 8364 3389 8363 3388 8361
      3388 8358 3364 8367 3377 8395 3383 8393
      3393 8380
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 289DEG 11KT 3384 8384

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
628 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     HAIL             2 N MOUNTAIN PARK       34.11N  84.41W
06/14/2020  E1.25 INCH       CHEROKEE           GA   PUBLIC

            QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL SAID TO BE ALL OVER
            THE GROUND ON JOHN ROSS CT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000748

KS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
637 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2020

GAZ078-142300-
Harris GA-
637 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY UNTIL
700 PM EDT...

At 637 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Hamilton...moving
southeast at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail...frequent
           cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Hamilton, Pine Mountain, Waverly Hall, Ellerslie, Mountain Hill,
Cataula, Fortson and Mulberry Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3285 8487 3271 8469 3270 8470 3269 8470
      3269 8469 3259 8469 3258 8471 3258 8491
      3261 8491 3261 8501 3269 8510
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 316DEG 13KT 3271 8491

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
647 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2020

GAZ030-142315-
Polk GA-
647 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR POLK COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

At 647 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Cedartown...moving
south at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail...frequent
           cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Cedartown, Antioch and Fish Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3408 8526 3410 8526 3410 8516 3408 8516
      3408 8512 3393 8505 3391 8505 3391 8521
      3390 8522 3390 8534 3408 8536
TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 346DEG 12KT 3405 8524

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH