Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
335 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Monday Night/...

Surface ridging builds into the state from the northeast overnight
and persists through the period. Region remains on the southwestern
periphery of the upper ridge centered over the western Atlantic
Ocean/mid-Atlantic coast region. Essentially this results in a
continuation of the basic, diurnally favored, convection scheme we
have been seeing over the past several days. Better chances across
the north/northeast tonight and Monday in the vicinity of the weak
wedge front and some orographic assistance, with the better chances
shifting toward the southern edges of the forecast area overnight
Monday night into early Tuesday as a weak wave edges northward out of
Florida. Mid-level lapse rates and instability remain moderate at
best, and although a few isolated strong to marginally severe
thunderstorms are certainly possible, chances are limited.

20

.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/...

Not much change for the long term. The overall pattern through most
of the period persists with an upper cut off low over TX and ridging
over the western Atlantic. The pattern shifts a bit by the end of
the period with the Plains low opening up and the upper ridge
suppressed some with a Great Lakes upper trough. However...this
still results in showers and thunderstorms each day with a basically
diurnal pattern. Easterly flow sets up through mid week with a Gulf
wave moving into southern GA and the Carolinas...and enhancing the
easterly winds. Look for somewhat cooler high temperatures mainly
north for the middle of the week.

41

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...

VFR conditions are expected to predominate across most of the
forecast area through this forecast period outside of scattered
convection. Will likely see some MVFR or lower ceilings developing
over upstate South Carolina by 02-06Z, expanding southwestward into
eastern portions of the area by 06-09Z. Right now, I do not think we
will see these ceilings pushing west into any TAF sites other than
KAHN. Areas of MVFR or lower visibilities are likely as well, but I
do not expect visibility to drop below VFR levels at any of the TAF
sites. Winds will be east to southeast 6kt or less through 12Z,
increasing to 6-10kt after. Isolated to scattered convection likely
through the period, with best coverage 20Z-04Z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Still low/medium confidence on potential for stratus after 08Z,
medium/high confidence other elements.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          68  82  67  75 /  30  50  50  50
Atlanta         69  83  68  75 /  30  40  40  50
Blairsville     61  78  62  71 /  40  60  50  50
Cartersville    67  84  66  76 /  30  40  30  50
Columbus        70  86  68  79 /  30  30  40  60
Gainesville     67  81  66  73 /  30  50  50  50
Macon           68  83  67  77 /  20  40  40  60
Rome            67  85  66  78 /  30  40  30  50
Peachtree City  66  84  66  76 /  30  30  40  50
Vidalia         70  84  69  79 /  20  50  50  60

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...20

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1149 AM EDT Sun May 24 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-251600-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1149 AM EDT Sun May 24 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon
and evening over north and central Georgia. Some of the storms
could be strong with lightning, gusty winds and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are possible Monday through
Saturday, mainly in the afternoons and evenings. Possible hazards
with stronger thunderstorms may include frequent lightning,
periods of heavy rain, strong wind gusts, and small hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed severe
weather to the NWS while following all local, state, and CDC
guidelines. |

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
555 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

GAZ056-068>070-242230-
Lamar GA-Upson GA-Spalding GA-Pike GA-
555 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAMAR...NORTHEASTERN UPSON...
SOUTHWESTERN SPALDING AND PIKE COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

At 555 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Piedmont, or near
Barnesville...moving northwest at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Barnesville, Zebulon, Milner, Williamson, Meansville, Aldora, The
Rock, Rover, Atwater, Lifsey Springs, Piedmont and Hannahs Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3322 8434 3304 8407 3289 8417 3298 8450
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 118DEG 13KT 3301 8420

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
629 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

GAZ069-071-079>081-242300-
Monroe GA-Taylor GA-Upson GA-Crawford GA-Talbot GA-
629 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MONROE...NORTHERN
TAYLOR...EASTERN UPSON...NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD AND EASTERN TALBOT
COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

At 629 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Salem, or 9 miles
northwest of Roberta...moving northwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Thomaston, Yatesville, Culloden, Lincoln Park, The Rock, Logtown,
Salem, Redbone Crossroads and Big Lazer Creek Wma.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3283 8402 3267 8413 3276 8442 3299 8425
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 120DEG 10KT 3279 8416

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
635 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

GAZ082-242300-
Bibb GA-
635 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BIBB COUNTY UNTIL
700 PM EDT...

At 635 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Rutland, or near
Macon...moving northwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Macon, Skipperton and Rutland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3275 8373 3288 8362 3279 8354 3274 8358
      3274 8360 3271 8360
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 127DEG 8KT 3276 8359

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
647 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

GAZ058-070-071-242315-
Butts GA-Lamar GA-Monroe GA-
647 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN BUTTS...NORTHEASTERN
LAMAR AND NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

At 647 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Collier, or near
Forsyth...moving north at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Barnesville, Forsyth, Milner, High Falls State Park, Blount, Liberty
Hill, Goggins, Collier, Johnstonville and Brent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3298 8391 3294 8403 3313 8422 3323 8392
TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 158DEG 9KT 3303 8400

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
702 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

GAZ096-242330-
Bleckley GA-
702 PM EDT Sun May 24 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BLECKLEY COUNTY
UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

At 702 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Goldsboro, or near
Cochran...moving northwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Goldsboro and Cary.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3245 8319 3239 8327 3248 8341 3257 8325
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 140DEG 7KT 3245 8329

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH