River Flood Warning 322, NWS Atlanta, GA

834 
WGUS82 KFFC 011407
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1007 AM EDT Fri May 1 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Lumber City affecting Montgomery...Telfair and
  Wheeler Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Abbeville affecting Dodge...Telfair and Wilcox
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Washington and Wilkinson 
  Counties 

  Commissioner Creek near McIntyre affecting Wilkinson County 


GAC091-271-315-020407-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0312.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABBG1.2.ER.200422T0640Z.200426T1730Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT Fri May 1 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Abbeville.
* Until further notice.
* At 945 AM Friday the stage was 12.5 feet, and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 12.1 feet by 
  Saturday afternoon.
* Between 12 and 13 feet, minor flooding occurs in the lowlands 
  adjacent to the river and the water level will be around the top of 
  the Abbeville boat ramp and in parts of the nearby park.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3206 8337 3210 8332 3188 8315 3181 8299
      3175 8299 3184 8320             

$$

GAC209-271-309-020407-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0319.000000T0000Z-200503T0300Z/
/LBRG1.1.ER.200427T1833Z.200430T1015Z.200502T2100Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT Fri May 1 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Lumber City.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 945 AM Friday the stage was 15.5 feet, and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* The river will continue to fall, dropping below flood stage by 
  Saturday afternoon.
* At 15 to 16 feet, minor flooding occurs in the broad swampy flood 
  plain. Farm fields on the right bank flood and general agriculture 
  and timber interests are affected by the flooding. In addition, 
  water will be around the top of the boat ramp near the Highway 341 
  bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3175 8299 3181 8299 3189 8278 3196 8261
      3191 8258 3176 8285             

$$

GAC303-319-020407-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0322.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.200501T0245Z.200501T0930Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1007 AM EDT Fri May 1 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* Until further notice.
* At 945 AM Friday the stage was 18.6 feet, and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is expected to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* Between 18 and 19 feet, minor flooding continues in the woodlands 
  and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream from the gage 
  located by the dirt boat ramp on the west side of the Avant Mine off 
  Adams Road in Washington County. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311             

$$

GAC319-020407-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0324.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MITG1.1.ER.200501T0415Z.200501T1330Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1007 AM EDT Fri May 1 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Commissioner Creek near McIntyre.
* Until further notice.
* At 930 AM Friday the stage was 13.4 feet, and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is expected to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Between 13 and 14 feet, minor flooding occurs in the natural flood 
  plain and woodlands along the creek upstream and downstream from the 
  gage on U.S. Highway 441 or Georgia Highway 29.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3286 8331 3292 8327 3284 8298 3279 8296


$$

GAC167-303-319-020407-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0323.200501T2300Z-200504T1000Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.200501T2300Z.200502T1800Z.200504T0400Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT Fri May 1 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From this evening until Monday morning.
* At 945 AM Friday the stage was 14.8 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast to develop.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening 
  then continue rising, reaching near 20.1 feet by Saturday afternoon. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Monday 
  morning.
* At 14 feet, bankfull conditions occur along the river. The Old Balls 
  Ferry Road boat ramp, just upstream and right bank from the Georgia 
  Highway 57 bridge, will begin to flood. 
  
  At 17 feet, flood stage is reached. The water level reaches the top 
  of the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp, just upstream and rightbank 
  from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor flooding of woodlands near 
  the river occurs.

  At 20 feet, the water level floods parts the dirt parking lot area 
  near the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp, just upstream and rightbank 
  from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor flooding continues and 
  spreads further into the woodlands near the river.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

940 
WGUS82 KFFC 011755
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
155 PM EDT Fri May 1 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Washington and Wilkinson 
  Counties

 
GAC303-319-011825-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0322.000000T0000Z-200501T1755Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.200501T0245Z.200501T0930Z.200501T1650Z.NR/
155 PM EDT Fri May 1 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* This takes effect immediately.
* Until Wednesday December 31.
* At 145 PM Friday the stage was 17.8 feet, and falling.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
* Between 16 and 18 feet, bankfull conditions occur along the river 
  upstream and downstream from the gage located by the dirt boat ramp 
  on the west side of the Avant Mine off Adams Road in Washington 
  County.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
741 PM EDT Thu Apr 30 2020

.UPDATE...

Overall the short term forecast remains in great shape, as winds
are steadily decreasing and low to mid level clouds are
diminishing and will continue through the evening hours. Only
minor adjustments have been made based on the latest observations
and trends. Updated for the 00Z Aviation Discussion.

King

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 331 PM EDT Thu Apr 30 2020/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/...
No major forecast concerns in the short term period. Widespread,
convective clouds associated with mid-level cold air will
dissipated after sunset with clear skies expected through
Saturday. Another relatively cool day Friday before much warmer
temperatures expected. Ready for a nice break from this active
pattern.

SNELSON

LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/...
Medium-range models in fairly good agreement through the extended
forecast period with respect to the large scale pattern, however,
that pattern is a relatively flat and progressive pattern and the
small scale features vary widely, especially for the latter half of
the period as we head into next week. Unfortunately, those smaller
scale features are what will determine the placement and timing of
the sensible weather. For now a general model blend is likely the
best strategy. Went with an NBM initialization resulting in
minimal changes from the previous forecast trends. Period starts
out with the region under weak upper ridging and warm/dry weather
for the weekend. Still looks like chance PoPs work into the far
north by Monday, lingering across the north through Tuesday before
pushing south and east through the rest of the area
Wednesday/Thursday. Models showing sufficient instability for
thunder, but too vague to pinpoint any severe weather focus at
this time.

20

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z Update...
VFR conditions are expected to persist through the period, as 5-8kft
clouds continue to dissipate through the evening hours. Clear skies
are then expected throughout the day on Friday. Winds are expected
to be W to NW throughout the period, starting out at 9-12 kts before
decreasing to 4-8 kts overnight. Winds will increase once again to 9-
12 kts with gusts up to 20 kts after 15Z Friday.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

King

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          49  72  49  80 /   5   0   0   0
Atlanta         50  72  51  80 /   5   0   0   0
Blairsville     44  65  45  76 /  20   5   0   0
Cartersville    46  72  48  81 /   5   0   0   0
Columbus        51  77  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     49  70  49  79 /   5   0   0   0
Macon           50  75  50  82 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            48  74  48  81 /   5   0   0   0
Peachtree City  48  74  49  82 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         54  76  53  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...SNELSON/King
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...King

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1028 PM EDT Thu Apr 30 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-020230-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1028 PM EDT Thu Apr 30 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Thunderstorms will be possible Monday through Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.